Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - February 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (7/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/6)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/6)-(5/4/3)-(5/2/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(5/2/8/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/2/8/3/4)-(1/3/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-3   WIN (5/2/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/3/4)-(5/2/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/3/4)-(5/2/8/3/4)-(5/2/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/8/3/4)-(1/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/3/4)-(1/3/5)-(1/2/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/7/5)-(6/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-6   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(6/5/2)-(6/1/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7/2)-(6/1/5/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   02/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUNG SQUIRE Dec18 Nov08 Sep20 Aug21 Jul24 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 4.00    
JEAN VALJEAN Dec08 Oct24 Sep13 Aug17 Jul12 (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
EAGLES CRY Jan18 Dec15 Nov30 Nov17 Oct25 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00    
MEET ME AT MUNDIS Dec08 Oct28 Sep01 Jul01 May18 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
PICTOR Dec08 Nov17 Oct25 Aug02 Jul06 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 9% 10.70    
MOBEER Dec08 Nov16 Oct25 Aug17 Jul07 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT Jan10 Dec18 Nov20 Oct25 Aug21 (lake a)OCASIO M 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-2   02/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU SHACK Dec28 Dec06 Nov16 Oct07 Aug18 (ramirez ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50    
SCR  BROTHER SHOWTYME Oct26 Sep27 Sep16 Aug24 Jul19 (sanchez-piner)RIVERA D 120 15.00    
WASABI BOY Jan18 Dec28 Nov30 Oct26 Sep20 (rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
WARRIOR'S CAUSE Jan18 Dec28 Nov16 Oct17 Oct02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
DIAMOND HEIST Jan25 Jan12 Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
BEST DEFENSE Jan18 Dec15 Nov02 Sep01 Aug19 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00    
 
PEN-3   02/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLINGTON Dec13 Apr29 Apr06 Feb25 Jan28 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00    
GRAB THE GOLD Jan19 Dec22 Nov03 Sep20 Sep07 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
JUST GOT STARTED Jan18 Apr19 Mar17 Feb23 Feb08 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 7% 12.60    
HONORABLE AVENUE Jan19 Dec27 Nov21 Oct23 Oct09 (o'callahan c)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
KAZ SWEET HEIST Jan19 Dec21 Nov15 Oct25 Aug27 (synnefia)DAVIS A 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
PRATT Jan10 Dec13 Dec01 Nov01 Sep13 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00    
HERE'S WALDO Dec13 Nov08 Oct20 Sep24 Sep14 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
TRIBAL NOTION Jan19 Dec13 Dec01 Nov16 Oct25 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
REDEEM EDDIE Jan19 Dec22 Dec07 Nov04 Aug31 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   02/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETCHA BOOTS BABE         (crane cl)DAVIS A 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
STYLISH GIRLFRIEND         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.50    
STORMEY MONDAY         (wolfe j)INIRIO J 122 12.00 5% 17.30    
CARSONS COOL WOMEN Dec29         (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50    
LEO'S PISCES         (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 5% 17.30    
BANKERS ROSE GOLD         (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00    
LOOKING FANCY         (crane clovis)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
 
PEN-5   02/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLENE JOLENE Dec18 Nov13 Oct18 Sep12 Aug11 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 1.80 38% 1.60    
AMI'S LINK Jan10 Dec08 Nov18 Oct19 Sep24 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
BLIND SIGHT Jan10 Nov24 Oct06 Sep14 Sep01 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
SCR  HI HEELED WARRIOR Dec30 Sep20 Sep07 Aug16 Jul20 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
RUN LAURA RUN Jan10 Dec07 Nov09 Sep08 Aug04 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 120 12.00 7% 12.60    
PRUSSIAN BLUE Jan24 Dec29 Dec15 Nov02 Oct19 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
SCR  CRICKET WEST Jan31 Jan18 Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 (morzan e)CORA D 120 12.00    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Jan31 Jan10 Nov24 Nov08 Oct26 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 12.00    
 
PEN-6   02/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U U STAR Jan11 Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 Oct17 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
BOYS OF QUEENS Jan12 Dec28 Nov29 Sep22 Dec13 (ippolito mark)BAKER J 122 50.00    
PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Jan25 Nov17 Sep20 Aug25 Aug04 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00    
DR RAGS Dec22 Dec08 Nov12 Nov05 Oct19 (synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00    
JW'S THIRD MISCHIE Dec18 Dec04 Nov27 Nov01 Oct25 (arce josue)RIVERA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
THAT'S MY BUSINESS Jan18 Dec21 Nov13 Oct31 Oct10 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00    
BEYOND THE BEND Jan11 Dec21 Dec08 Nov22 Nov02 (patterson k)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Dec08 Oct03 Jul05 Jun19 May31 (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
 
PEN-7   02/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO GRACIE Jan24 Dec21 Nov22 Nov01 Sep08 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 122 4.50    
DREAM MUSIC Jan24 Dec13 Oct02 Aug14 Jul18 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 9% 10.80    
KIRBY Jan24 Dec21 Nov30 Nov04 Oct20 (maldona)BRICENO GREGOR 122 2.50    
FLOWER'S FORTUNE Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 Aug08 Jul19 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 117 6.00    
LA LIMA Jan24 Dec14 Nov28 Nov20 Nov07 (ippolito mar)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
LADY JEAN Jan24 Dec21 Nov27 Nov03 Oct20 (patterson k)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-8   02/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELTIC REVIVAL Jan26 Jan12 Sep28 Sep14 Aug18 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
DIVINE PROMISE Jan26 Dec14 Nov30 Nov02 Oct08 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00    
LUCKY BREEZE Jan29 Jan12 Dec20 Dec13 Nov21 (arce josue)RIVERA D 122 15.00    
SCR  SIMPLE JUSTICE Jan12 Sep21 Sep07 Jul26 Jul12 (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 122 50.00    
MY SWEET SUMMER Jan12 Dec29 Dec15 Nov22 Nov13 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 8.00 15% 5.80    
CURLIN'S DOVE Jan26 Dec29 Dec15 Nov16 Oct26 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
TRECHMO GIRL Dec21 Dec01 Nov08 Oct25 Oct09 (kravets )DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LADYNESS Jan11 Dec21 Dec01 Nov03 Sep30 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
DUSTED Jan18 Dec28 Dec14 Nov29 Nov10 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00    
10  EMPRESS PALPATINE Jan12 Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 Sep18 (martin)SMITH DANIEL 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.