Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - February 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (7/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/8)-(7/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/8)-(7/1/3/8)-(7/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/8)-(6/2/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/8)-(6/2/5/8)-(2/3/10/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/8)-(2/3/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/8)-(2/3/10/6)-(2/6/8/7/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/3/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/10/6)-(2/3/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/10/6)-(2/3/10/6)-(2/3/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/10/6)-(2/6/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/10/6)-(2/6/8/7/9)-(1/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/6/8/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/7/9)-(2/6/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/7/9)-(2/6/8/7/9)-(2/6/8/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/8/7/9)-(1/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/7/9)-(1/7/2)-(2/8/3/9/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
PEN-5   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(2/8/3/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(2/8/3/9/6)-(2/7/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-6   WIN (2/8/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/9/6)-(2/8/3/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/9/6)-(2/8/3/9/6)-(2/8/3/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/3/9/6)-(2/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/9/6)-(2/7/4)-(7/1/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-7   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-8   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   02/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINQUE AMORE Nov28 Sep14 Jul27 Jun28 May26 (caban carlo)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 3.50 27% 2.60    
PARISIAN VIBE Dec14 Dec05 Nov13 Oct20 Sep21 (ramirez sil)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00    
BAHAMA PEARL Dec27 Nov22 Nov07 Oct25 Sep27 (soto- martine)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 3.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  SHATTER ME Jan26 Dec29 Nov15 Oct27 Sep22 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00    
FRANKLY MY DEAR Jan24 Dec27 Nov28 Nov13 Oct11 (martinez alex)OCASIO M 124 15.00    
BRYCE'S PHILLY Nov01 Oct17 Oct09 Apr08 Mar23 (martin)SMITH DANIEL 119 30.00    
WICKED STREET Nov20 Nov11 Oct18 Sep15 Aug25 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
DAILY BRIEFING Jan18 Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct27 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   02/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC PATH         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 122 5.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of FAREENA by POINT GIVEN)
EDDIE FELSON Dec27 Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 Sep08 (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
AURORA KUMA Jan25 Nov10 Aug25 Aug05   (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RUMBAUA by BERNSTEIN)
FINAL OPPORTUNITY Dec27 Oct28 Oct11     (lawrence jame)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLE DELTA by DOUBLE HONOR)
EAST AURORA Dec27 Dec07 Nov24 Nov10   (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ANANDI by ANABAA)
PRETORIAN GOLD Dec14 Nov24       (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BLACK COCO by CAPE TOWN)
CHANNEL KING         (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of K QUEEN by K ONE KING)
SUGAR'S LAST HOPE         (sinnefia paulin)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of SPUN SUGAR by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
PEN-3   02/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANDULU QUEEN Jul29 Jul08 Jun15 Apr22 Mar18 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 119 10.00    
CRYSTAL THE PISTOL Jan19 Dec14 Nov30 Nov11 Jul16 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
BIONIC KAT Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 124 2.50 25% 3.10    
CLASSICALCROSSOVER Dec14 Nov17 Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
CHIMING IN Dec28 Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 Sep22 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 50.00    
LADY GABRIELLE Jan03 Nov17 Jun11 Nov10 Oct08 (linder loui)INIRIO J 124 5.00 7% 13.50    
HARD TO CATCH Nov01 Sep16 Aug13     (fields ke)VARGAS L 124 12.00    
SCR  MAGGIE K         (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 8.00    
SCR  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Jan24 Dec28 Nov29 Nov01 Oct10 (wadams j)LLOYD W 124 15.00    
10  DISCREETLIN JONES May19 Apr26 Mar30 Mar10 Jan17 (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
PEN-4   02/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO COMMON CENT Dec27         (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of AFFAIR DABBLER by STAR DABBLER)
RILEY G Dec23 Nov02 Oct07 Oct08   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.40 43% 1.30    
  (by FLATTER out of WICKED RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
MIDNIGHT WONDER Dec20 Nov23 Oct18 Sep03   (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 5.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LELA by WILLIAMSTOWN)
KEEP IT SEXY Dec23 Nov21 Oct26 Sep03 Aug18 (noble james)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of OELECTRA by GULCH)
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Jul26 Jun16 Feb08 Jan20 Dec21 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 124 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MARY BERNICE by BERNARDINI)
BAHITI Jan25         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TOTAL WAR by WAR PASS)
CAST YOUR NET Dec20 Dec05 Oct18 Sep20 Aug26 (crane clovis)CORA D 124 6.00 7% 13.10    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of LAUR NET by STRONG HOPE)
CONCEPTUALIZE Dec23 Nov23 Oct19 Mar25   (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 10% 9.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of IMAGINE A STAR by CAN THE MAN)
CHERISHED WISH Aug26 Jul19       (lawrence james)AGUILAR JEAN 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of LOAN GUARANTEE by MALIBU MOON)
 
PEN-5   02/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAZINGA D Jan19 Dec14 Oct13     (beattie m)CORA D 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of BAZINGA B by LION HEARTED)
CAMULUS         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 8% 10.80    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of PARTICIPATE by INCLUDE)
SCR  DONEGAL DANNY Jul14 Jun03 May13 Jan27 Dec29 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 124 2.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MOST INSPIRING by GIO PONTI)
AMERICAN SYMPHONY Jun06         (schoenthal ph)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of KINDLE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
ROCK ANNA ROLL Jan19 Apr28 Mar31 Mar17 Feb10 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  NOT TODAY GOVERNOR         (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of MOUNTAIN VOW by BROKEN VOW)
BOOK RUNNER Jan19 Nov24 Nov03 Sep15 Aug23 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHE'S HOT STUFF by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
PEN-6   02/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIMELY SECRET Jan11 Dec03 Oct01 Jul22 Jun04 (hetrick kri)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
LOVELY LIZA Dec29 Dec03 Nov17 Oct29 Oct05 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
TEXAS TANGIE Jan11 Nov17 Feb07 Dec14 Oct24 (kreiser c)CORA D 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
PEACE OUT Nov17 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug05 (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00    
HIDDEN CACHE Dec20 Nov29 Nov10 Oct11 Aug21 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 15.00    
FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Dec22 Nov17 Nov01 Oct09 Sep19 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
LEVISA Dec30 Nov18 Oct15 Sep07 Jan16 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
KAZ MUSIC Dec08 Nov17 Oct25 Sep21 Aug31 (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
NAIL POLISH Jan25 Dec28 Dec08 Oct27 Oct11 (mcclella)DAVIS A 120 6.00 8% 11.30    
10  ROSES ARE FREE Dec07 Nov10 Oct13 Sep21 Aug24 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
 
PEN-7   02/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAJOR THOMAS May26 May10 Dec07 Oct21 Feb01 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
MAGIC SPIN Dec27 Nov30 Nov02 Sep20 Aug23 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
MEAN MACHINE Nov30 Nov02 Jul07 Jun09 May04 (dimitriou h)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
FIELDSTONE Jan15 Nov15 Oct05 Aug04 Jul15 (hetrick krista )BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  LEMON CREEK LOUIE Jan10 Dec13 Sep04 Aug27 Jul23 (moore )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 12.00    
TOWN'S WARRIOR Jan19 Dec10 Oct22 Oct07 Sep24 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
HOUGHTON SHUFFLE Dec15 Nov24       (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 29% 2.40    
DARK TIMBER Jan08 Dec18 Dec05 Nov04 Oct18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00    
 
PEN-8   02/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTTON BREEZE Jan12 Dec08 Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
PYLON Jan30 Jan10 Dec19 Dec11 Nov27 (caban carlo)RAMOS C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOST IN NEWYORK Jan12 Dec07 Nov17 Jul06 Jun17 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50    
SCR  DALTON Jan02 Aug22 Jul17 Jul05 Jun20 (betancourt eli)CORREA JULIO 120 3.50    
SCR  STARLITE WALKER Jan25 Jan10 Nov21 Nov07 Oct10 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00    
KEEPING IT COUNTRY Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Sep07 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.50    
JUMPMASTER Jan12 Dec22 Dec07 Nov03 Aug23 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.