Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(3/1/2/7)-(5/1/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/7)-(5/1/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/7)-(5/1/8/6)-(5/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/6)-(5/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/6)-(5/1/8/6)-(5/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/8/6)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/6)-(5/3/6)-(10/9/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(10/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(10/9/6)-(2/5/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (10/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/9/6)-(10/9/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/6)-(10/9/3/6/5)-(10/9/3/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/9/6)-(2/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/9/6)-(2/5/6/1)-(5/12/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/1)-(5/12/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/1)-(5/12/9/2)-(3/1/8/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/12/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/12/9/2)-(5/12/9/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/12/9/2)-(5/12/9/2/10)-(5/12/9/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/12/9/2)-(3/1/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/12/9/2)-(3/1/8/9)-(2/3/10/5/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/9)-(3/1/8/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/9)-(3/1/8/9/7)-(3/1/8/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/8/9)-(2/3/10/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/3/10/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/10/5/1)-(2/3/10/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/10/5/1)-(2/3/10/5/1)-(2/3/10/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT-12:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYFUL GHOST Jan06 Dec27 Dec09 Nov25 Oct19 (potts g)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
2  GRAND ROCK Nov18 Oct14 Sep16 Aug25 Jul08 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00    
3  THE GOLDEN ONE Jan06 Dec23 Dec13 Nov25 Oct25 (lopez mar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  JACKSON STRONG Jan06 Dec15 Aug03 Jul12 Jun01 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 2.50 10% 9.00    
5  PRINCELY GOD Jan06 Dec27 Sep01 Aug02 Jul14 (smith robert )ALICEA JEREMY 111 5.00    
SCR  SELECTO Jan14 Dec24 Aug26 Aug10 Jul14 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 20.00    
7  SMASH FACTOR Jan12 Dec13 Oct21 Oct08 Sep24 (smith craig)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 5.00 42% 1.40    
 
TAM-2   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTER MIAMI Jan05 Dec16 Nov24 Aug16 Jul29 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 2.50 10% 9.30    
2  EXPRESS PHAROAH Dec29 Dec01 Oct12 Sep28 Aug30 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 10.00 8% 11.90    
3  NEVER SATISFIED Nov17 Sep29 Aug05 Jul09 Jun03 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
4  ELUSIVE MISCHIEF Jan05 Oct27 Sep23 Jul28 Apr23 (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 8.00    
5  ROGER MCQUEEN Dec20 Nov13 Sep20 Aug30 Aug02 (rivelli )GALLARDO A 120 4.00    
6  GOLDEN JUAN Dec27 Oct06 Sep09 Aug17 Jul26 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.50    
7  SAHM TEQUILA Jan05 Aug27 Jul26 Jul01 Jun04 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   01/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECTACULAR LUCK Jan03 Dec22 Jul15     (dini mike)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
2  SHARPENYOURFAITH Sep15 Jul30       (rivelli )GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
3  JACK KEROUAC Dec22         (nunez mauri)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00    
SCR  SCHIEHALLION         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00    
5  EASTERN EXTENSION (IRE) Nov18 Oct05       (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
6  ZHU DADDY Dec22 Nov22 Oct23 Sep23 Jul19 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  LENA'S JAZZ Dec22 Dec02 Oct14     (barbazoniii le)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
8  FORTINBRAS         (rodriguez da)ARROYO S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MIDNIGHT CHEER         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
 
TAM-4   01/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRIS'S MOTOWN GAL Jan12 Dec24 Jun30 Apr29 Apr01 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.00    
SCR  BONNIE SANDRA Jul01 May14 Apr29 Apr07 Mar24 (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
3  MADEFORSUMMER Oct06 Aug13 Jul16 Jun16 May07 (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 5.00 9% 10.20    
4  BACHELORETTE Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 Oct18 Jan21 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00    
5  NICE BABY Dec29 Dec06 Sep24 Aug26 Jul07 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00 58% 0.70    
6  DEVRA WARRIOR Jan12 Sep19 Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 (romero rafa)ORTIZ A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISS EASY Dec29 Dec16 Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.00    
 
TAM-5   01/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE BRAINS Dec24 Nov25 Nov03 Oct05 Aug19 (downing william)SPIETH S 118 15.00    
SCR  DARK AND FITZY Dec24 Dec06 Nov04 Oct12 Sep01 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 122 6.00    
3  INDY LYON Dec15 Aug27 Jun11 May14 Apr07 (crichton rohan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 ★    
4  BROOKLYN STRONG Dec14 Nov10 Oct14 Sep17 May29 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
5  SIR SAFFER Dec15 Aug13 Jul07 May27 Apr29 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 ★    
6  RONSTADT Sep21 Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 May14 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  THE SKIPSTER Dec23 Sep15 Sep02 Jul27 Jul06 (posadas p)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 15.00    
8  BARLEEWON Dec15 Nov25 Oct17 Sep07 Aug11 (delgado )GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
9  JOURNEYMAN Dec07 Nov18 Nov05 Oct29 Aug12 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
10  GROUNDED Dec15 Oct16 Sep26 Aug22 Jul25 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 122 2.50 72% 0.40    
SCR  DESERT RULER Jan10 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct21 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
SCR  EPIC LUCK Jan10 Dec15 Oct16 Oct05 Sep07 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00    
SCR  CUPID'S DUDE Nov04 Oct07 Aug19 Jul16 Jun18 (yanez re)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 15.00    
 
TAM-6   01/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALENDULA Jan07 Dec06 Nov13 Sep20 Aug23 (mendieta alej)VILLA-GOMEZ H 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 Jun23 May25 (arriagada juan)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
3  MUSICAL CAT Dec20 Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 Jul27 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.50    
4  CSILLA Jan06 Dec20 May06 Apr19 Apr05 (de ka)MARIN A 118 12.00    
5  MURUMBI Dec31 Mar22 Feb03 Jan06 Dec11 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.00 19% 4.40    
6  CHICA BOOM Jan03 Nov29 Sep03 Aug24 Jul09 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 18% 4.60    
7  PURE ELEGANCE Jan07 Dec15 Oct16 Oct02 Sep09 (simone micha)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
 
TAM-7   01/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE BARON Dec30 Nov25 Oct22 Aug31 Aug04 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 122 6.00    
2  OWHATALUCKYMANHEIS         (granitz a)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COMMANDER BIZ Dec01 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 (duffy)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 30.00    
4  MOBOT Jan17 Dec31 Dec05 Nov01 Oct16 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 30.00    
5  SOUPERSILVERDOLLAR Dec09 Nov04 Oct13 Mar25 Feb24 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
6  GRAFT May17 Apr23       (nagle sarah)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
7  TIMO Dec16 Oct22 Sep28 Aug24 Jul28 (potts wayne)CASTANON L 122 2.50    
8  RAGMAN Dec23 Oct08 Sep25 Aug26 Jun25 (collins john)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
9  THE BIG CALICO Jan07 Dec16 Nov25 May06 Apr21 (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  KING MIANO Dec30 Dec09 Apr16 Mar11 Feb10 (o'connell kathl)CENTENO E 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  SWIFT DANCER Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 May04 Mar23 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00    
12  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Dec09 Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr02 (paragallo jenn)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 10% 9.40    
 
TAM-8   01/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CRUISER Jan10 Dec23       (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
2  STONE POWER Nov20 Nov01 Oct18 Sep11   (dixon)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 20.00    
3  MISS FABIANA Dec22         (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
4  MACHO GIRL Jan07 Dec23 Dec08     (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 120 6.00    
5  JERSEY FACTOR Jan03 Dec02       (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
6  LUCY THE GOOSE Jan07 Nov09 Oct23 Sep28 Aug19 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 30.00    
7  ANNAMARIA Dec08 Nov10 Oct12     (ortiz jo)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 ★    
8  STYLISH ANNA Jan07 Aug19       (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  GRAND LADY INDY Jan07 Sep16       (cordero antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   01/24/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP EM Dec27 Dec20 Dec03 Oct13 Sep15 (rivera a)FERRER C 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TAKE ME TO JIMMY Nov16 Oct16 Sep07     (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
3  ARTIE'S ANGEL Dec01 Nov10 Oct10 Sep09 Aug06 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 29% 2.40    
4  TOP ENVOY Nov16 Sep04 Aug11     (mann maria )SPANABEL SKYLER 119 30.00    
5  READY TO FLY Dec23 Dec01 Sep04 Jul30 Jul21 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 18.30    
6  PRALINE'S CAT Jan05 Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 Sep16 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
7  GAME CHANGE Jun02 May13 Mar02 Feb01 Dec31 (toner j)CENTENO E 119 4.00    
8  DIAL HIM UP Jan06 Dec22 Dec06 Nov22 Nov11 (mendieta ale)MORELOS E 119 30.00    
9  HENDRICKSON Dec23 Nov18 Oct09 Aug22 Jul15 (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00    
10  JUNIPERO SERRA Dec17 Nov19 Oct29 Sep28 Aug19 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 123 3.50 9% 9.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.