Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - September 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(1/8/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(1/8/5/6)-(9/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-2   WIN (1/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/5/6)-(9/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/6)-(9/6/3)-(5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-3   WIN (9/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/3)-(9/6/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/6/3)-(9/6/8/3)-(9/6/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/6/3)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/6/3)-(5/6)-(1/5/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-4   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(1/5/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(1/5/4/7)-(2/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-5   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/7)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/7)-(2/1/6)-(6/4/10/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-6   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(6/4/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(6/4/10/11)-(2/8/6/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (6/4/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/10/11)-(6/4/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/10/11)-(6/4/10/11)-(6/4/10/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/10/11)-(2/8/6/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/10/11)-(2/8/6/3/5)-(8/9/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-8   WIN (2/8/6/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/3/5)-(2/8/6/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/3/5)-(2/8/6/3/5)-(2/8/6/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/6/3/5)-(8/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-9   WIN (8/9/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/6/4)-(8/9/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/6/4)-(8/9/6/4)-(8/9/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARISTOCRATIC Jun17 May05 Apr20 Mar25 Mar04 (allen ferris)ASHTON GAVIN 122 4.00    
2  ROYAL SPY Aug04 Jul14 Jul02 May28 May04 (albert l)BOYCE FOREST 122 5.00    
3  SAN COSTANTINO Aug10 Jun26 Apr22 Apr01 Mar15 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
4  FREE SQUARE Aug05 Jun24 May12 Mar26 Mar05 (gaudet lacey)CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00 11% 8.10    
5  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Jul16 Jul08 Jun23 May25 May05 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 122 2.00    
6  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Aug19 Aug04 Jul02 Jun25 Jun17 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 20.00    
SCR  NAKED AND FAMOUS Aug03 Jul20 May29 May12 Mar11 (de ho)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
 
CNL-2   09/01/2023 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VANA BRIGHT Aug05         (boucher lilit)KARAMANOS A 118 5.00 46% 1.20    
2  TIME GOES FAST Aug18 Aug05 Jul09 May27 May04 (juarez cal)SANCHEZ J 124 8.00    
3  RIA FORMOSA Aug10 Jul22 Jul02 Jun09 May13 (lucas ant)CARRASCO R 124 20.00    
4  REAL MIKEY Aug17 Jul21 Jun30     (lusk r)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
5  SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES Jun23 May28 Apr14 Nov04   (falcone r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 2.50 12% 7.00    
6  SHADES OF BLUE Jul14 Mar04 Feb15 Sep26 Aug25 (fulmer al)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  REES Aug17 Aug02 Nov12 Oct22 Oct06 (howard c)ROSADO JOHAN 124 4.50    
8  KOBE'S SMILE Aug03 Jul20 Jun24 May27 May12 (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 118 3.00 17% 4.70    
 
CNL-3   09/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERLAN Aug19 Aug03 Jul14 Jun30 Jun18 (cascalla)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 12.00    
2  NO ME DIGAS Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun17 (davis samue)CASIQUE URBARDO 122 30.00    
3  BALI'S SHADE Aug17 Jul12 Jun28 Jun02 May13 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUINCANNON Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 May11 (cooney su)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00    
5  ASSERT DOMINANCE Aug19 Aug03 Jul16 Jul07 Jun17 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 122 20.00    
6  SUMO (ARG) Mar17 Jan29 Jan15 Dec16 Nov27 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  SPRITZER Aug18 Aug03 Jul20 Feb08 Jan19 (hester l)GALLARDO A 122 20.00    
8  ASHAAB Jul29 Jun16 May27 Dec30 Dec06 (escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 122 6.00 ★    
9  CHARGING AERO May13 Apr21 Mar15 Jan29 Jan01 (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 122 1.00 40% 1.50    
 
CNL-4   09/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAPPIN JOSIE Aug05 Jun26 Jun02 May11 Mar18 (de ho)CARRASCO R 118 5.00    
2  BENEATH THE STARS Aug06 Jun16 Mar24 Mar12 Feb20 (gaudet lacey)CEDENO CAROL 123 12.00    
3  BRAGANZA Jul21 Jun03 Apr27 Feb23 Jan01 (kenneally edd)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 2.00    
4  MILAGROSA SURENA (ARG)         (vera miguel)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
5  INTREPID DAYDREAM Jul15 Jun16 Oct19 Sep30 Sep08 (capuano ga)SANCHEZ J 123 1.60 32% 2.10    
6  JOKE SISI (CHI) Jun30 Jun03       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
CNL-5   09/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCCI Aug17 Jul16 May28 May07 Feb23 (moore mi)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  ONE MORE FACTOR Aug25 Aug06 Jul16 Apr27 Apr07 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 30.00    
3  MY BOY BLUE Aug11 Jul20 May28 Apr30 Mar26 (kurtinecz )SANCHEZ J 124 4.50    
4  SLIPPIN JIMMY Jul22 May25 Sep23 Sep07 Jul20 (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
5  CHARMED (GB) Aug11 Jul17 Apr29 Mar12 Jan19 (zook w)LEON A 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
6  LOVE YOU MUCH Aug06 May28 Aug23 Jul27 Jul03 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00    
7  INDEFATIGABLE Aug24 Jul22 Jul05 May31 May07 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
8  E J'S REVENGE Aug18 Aug11 Jul13 May29 Apr29 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 30.00    
9  UNCLE ANDREW Aug20 Jul15 Jun05 May23 Dec14 (lawrence )CARRASCO R 122 12.00    
 
CNL-6   09/01/2023 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOP SHOT (IRE) Jul20 Jun17 Sep29 Sep01 Jul31 (voss elizabet)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  NO ONE TO BLAME Aug12 Jun25       (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 1.50 38% 1.70    
3  EPIC LUCK Aug07 Jul19 Jun21 Jun07 Nov22 (ashby lyn)CARRASCO R 124 8.00    
4  FEBRUARY SON Aug12 Jul11 Jun20 May29 May19 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 122 15.00    
5  GIRL DAD Aug04 Mar25 Nov05 Oct14 Sep10 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 122 10.00    
6  SCANNO Aug11 Oct02 Sep06 Aug16 Jul19 (bourke liam)ROCCO S 122 20.00 13% 6.70    
7  CARRONADE Aug12 Aug02 Jul14 Jun23 May31 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 124 2.00    
 
CNL-7   09/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A TALE Aug02 Apr30 Apr12     (gilliam karen )CASTANON L 118 12.00    
2  WALT WHITMAN (IRE) Aug17 Jul22 Jun09 May18 Apr21 (nunez ma)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 6.00    
3  OFFICER STONE Aug11 Jul15 Jun09 May19 Apr27 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00    
4  DARK AND FITZY Aug19 Aug04 Mar18 Feb15 Dec28 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 122 4.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  ADIOS GARY Jul14 Jun17 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 (caramori caio)ROCCO S 122 6.00    
6  FREESTANDING Aug11 Jul14 Jul02 Jun09 May25 (russell )GALLARDO A 118 3.00 31% 2.30    
7  KING OF SONG Aug16 Aug03 Jun02 May19 Feb10 (brinkman bret)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 12.00    
SCR  SPURS UP May20 Apr23 Sep06 Jul18 May29 (mccutchen jaso)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
9  EVENLY DIVIDED Aug04 Jun10 Nov19 Sep06 Jul18 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 118 10.00    
10  COVERT KAT Aug03 Jul08 Jun09 May19 Feb10 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 5.00 15% 5.80    
11  BEST DEFENSE Aug19 Jul14 Jun16 Apr16 Mar19 (wasiluk peter)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00 9% 10.40    
 
CNL-8   09/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSION READY Aug25         (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 119 12.00    
2  DUSTIN THE DIAMOND Jul27         (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
3  KING'S RIVER Aug06         (albert l)BOYCE FOREST 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MELODY WIN Aug25 Jul27       (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00    
5  IMPERIAL THUNDER Jun16 May11 Apr26     (neilson sanna)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  STARLIFTER Aug19         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
7  GRAND KINGDOM Aug05 Jul27       (munoz carlos)RUIZ JORGE 119 15.00    
8  PIRATE RADIO Aug03 Jul15       (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 16% 5.20    
9  HONG KONG BOY Aug10         (wasiluk peter )GOLIBRZUCH S 119 30.00    
10  MASTEROFHISCRAFT Aug03         (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
SCR  MALINOIS Aug06 Jul16 Jun22     (boniface kevin)ROSADO JOHAN 119 12.00    
 
CNL-9   09/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Aug05 Jul21 Jun09     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 8.00    
SCR  BAND LEADER Aug19 Aug05 Sep07     (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
3  CODE NAME Jul23         (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 20.00    
4  ROCK WITH YOU Feb20 Jan08 Dec18 Nov23 Aug31 (payne beale)RUIZ JORGE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RAMBUNCTIOUS RIDE Aug19         (soldo elaine)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00    
6  EL BAILADOR Aug02 Jan08 Dec11 Nov12 Oct02 (vigil ja)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 15.00 21% 3.70    
7  SENSE OF GOLDEN Aug19         (cascallares nest)RIQUELME J 124 30.00    
8  RENNIE Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Oct30 Oct02 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
9  MORE THAN FIVE Aug03 Mar26 Feb25 Feb02 Dec26 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
10  KAMIKAZE FOX Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Aug23 Aug08 (morgan c)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SALUTE         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 118 10.00    
SCR  CURLING ROSE Aug18 Jul21 Jun30     (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 115 12.00    
SCR  SHAMELESS APPEAL Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 Jun03 Mar23 (soldo elaine)GOLIBRZUCH S 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.