Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BEL-1   WIN (8/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/7)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/7)-(2/1/4)-(3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/5/1)-(3/4/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(3/4/1/5)-(9/10/1/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-4   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/5)-(9/10/1/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/5)-(9/10/1/11)-(7/9/8/4/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-5   WIN (9/10/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/1/11)-(9/10/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/1/11)-(9/10/1/11)-(9/10/1/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/10/1/11)-(7/9/8/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/1/11)-(7/9/8/4/10)-(3/1/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-6   WIN (7/9/8/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/4/10)-(7/9/8/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/4/10)-(7/9/8/4/10)-(7/9/8/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/8/4/10)-(3/1/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/9/8/4/10)-(3/1/2/5)-(10/7/6/9/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
BEL-7   WIN (3/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/5)-(10/7/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/5)-(10/7/6/9/2)-(6/5/10/3/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
BEL-8   WIN (10/7/6/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/6/9/2)-(10/7/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/6/9/2)-(10/7/6/9/2)-(10/7/6/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/6/9/2)-(6/5/10/3/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
BEL-9   WIN (6/5/10/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/10/3/8)-(6/5/10/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/10/3/8)-(6/5/10/3/8)-(6/5/10/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   07/09/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LONCHURA May28 May11       (chichakly a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of MADOFFWITHTHECASH by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  ASTORIA PARK         (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BLOSSOMED IN TIME by FLOWER ALLEY)
WISE CONVERSATION         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of LUCKY LILLY by GIROLAMO)
NICKY JOLENE Jun15         (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MORE THAN LOVE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  TOUGH LOVE TORRES         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MOMENT OF SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FIND YOUR JOY         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BARREL OF DREAMS by NOT FOR LOVE)
PLAY FREE BIRD Jun23         (contessa gary )ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of STORMY SATURDAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
MISS OMAHA         (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COUSIN CLAIRE by EXCHANGE RATE)
GRAB THE GLORY Jun15         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BRIDGEHAMPTON by BERNARDINI)
 
BEL-2   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLE SUGAR Jun04 Mar30 Feb20 Jan20 Dec29 (giglio g)DAVIS A 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
LIBERTY FLAME Jun04 May11 Apr23 Apr02 Dec15 (begg )HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 2.50 24% 3.20    
SWEET AS SUGAR Apr06 Mar12 Feb12 Jan12 Sep23 (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 6.00    
LA LUISA Sep03 Aug05       (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
JUST A NYQUIST Jun18 May28 May04 Mar26 Mar12 (barrera oscar )ALVARADO R 124 2.50    
SCR  LUNA LOCA Jul02 May20 Apr28 Mar17 Feb19 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.00    
 
BEL-3   07/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE P Jun18 Jun02 May07 Apr13 Mar25 (jones ed)DAVIS A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GAME THEORY Jun16 Jun02 May18 May07 Apr28 (jones ed)DAVIS A 123 20.00    
IDEA GENERATION (IRE) Nov05 Sep01 Jul24     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.60    
CHILI FLAG (FR) May26 Feb25       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 39% 1.50    
SHE'S A MIA Nov13 Oct20 Oct08 Aug12 Jul20 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50    
SWEET DUTCHESS Jun03 Apr23 Apr02 Mar11 Feb11 (mott i)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Jun01 May04 Apr13 Jan22 Jan06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Jun01 May04 Apr02 Mar03 Feb19 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 0.80    
 
BEL-4   07/09/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE BARON Jun15 May27 Apr01 Mar12 Mar04 (paragall)DAVIS A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
BILL OF RIGHTS Jun15         (ferris holl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
LAWFUL Jun15 Apr08 Mar19 Feb19 Jan12 (jacobson david)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 62% 0.60    
KASIMBA Jun18 May21 Apr27     (david a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 13% 6.80    
VESELSKY         (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VARIABLE COST (GB) May27 May11       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
LUNA WARRIOR Jun15 Mar30 Feb19 Dec02 Oct23 (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 124 1.40    
THATSMYBOXER Jun18         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
 
BEL-5   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAME MISCONDUCT         (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DANALAKE by FRIENDS LAKE)
DANGEROUS DRIVER Jun22         (jimenez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of GIGAHERTZ by SOCIETY ROAD)
FIRST TRUMPET         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER         (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HONORED PROMISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  CENTZ         (martin car)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 20.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of FIRST PENNY by TALK IS MONEY)
SCR  DIVINE EMPIRE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
DEVIL'S PLAYGROUND         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SHYSHEISNOT by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  ROCK STAR BOY Jun04         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of GORGEOUS IN RAGS by UNION RAGS)
HAUL         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of WESTERN KITTY by WESTERN FAME)
10  FALFURRIAS         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DANCING TO TOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
11  CHARLIE TOUGH         (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of BETROFF TOUGH by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  SAISIR LE JOUR         (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of HIGH STYLE by KING PELLINORE)
 
BEL-6   07/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLYPRINCE Jun15 May14 Apr07 Mar18 Mar03 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
SCR  KINGDOM ON PAWS Jun10 Oct30 Oct06 Sep10 Aug27 (potts wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 123 15.00    
SPETTRO Jun15 May26 Dec09 Nov05 Oct06 (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
MIGHTY ATLAS Jun10 May05 Mar31 Oct27 Sep29 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
STRONG LIGHT Jun24 Jun01 May14 Apr22 Apr16 (young)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 20.00    
NO REGARD Jun04 May19 Apr22 Nov27 Oct21 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
PARATUS Jun15 May26 Mar05 Jan28   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 61% 0.60    
GENERAL'S DUTY May26 Sep25 Jul16 Jun25 May21 (cibelli jane)ORTIZ L 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOST WANTED MAN May20 Apr22 Mar17 Feb08 Nov06 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.50 11% 8.20    
10  FAST GORDON Nov05 Aug25       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BEL-7   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS STONES May21 Apr29       (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 33% 2.00    
TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Jun15 May22 Apr25 Sep05 Aug13 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 12.00 6% 15.10    
YOU'RE MY GIRL Nov04 Oct02 Sep02     (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
MAJESTIC RETURN May14 Apr16 Mar11 Feb11   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
DISRUPTION Dec04 Oct30 Sep22 Jul27   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOWERING GAZE Jun01 Apr21 Apr08 Mar10 Mar01 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00    
I'MHAVINGAMOMENT Jun10 May14 Apr16 Mar17 Feb19 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
FANCY FELINE May21 Apr23 Mar26 Feb25 Jan28 (bond ja)ORTIZ L 122 12.00    
SCR  ATHENA BEACH Jun21 May18 Mar30 Feb23   (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00    
 
BEL-8   07/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUMBERLAND FALLS Jun11 May20 Mar23 Jan29 Dec11 (sweezey kent)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50    
STELLA MARS Jun18 Apr28 Nov17 Oct20 Sep05 (chatterpaul n)SILVERA RUBEN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
MORE MANGO Jun18 May28 May12 Apr27 Mar17 (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
REDZILLA Jun18 May18 May04 Apr01 Mar22 (paragall)DAVIS A 125 30.00    
UP HER SLEEVE Jun11 May18 Apr21 Feb19 Jan28 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00    
KANNON FIRE May28 May30 May06 Apr10   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 4.50 12% 7.60    
EXCEPT TEMPTATION Jun11 May12 Mar11 Oct20 Sep22 (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 14% 6.40    
BRISKY FROLIC Jun22 May28 May04 Apr21 Mar12 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
ALWAYS LAUGHING Jun11 Apr28 Mar09 Feb16 Jan18 (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DONTMESSWITHTESS Jun11 May12 Mar26 Feb24 Jan25 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  DOLCE SERA Jun01 May20 Apr28 Mar31 Feb24 (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
SCR  SA FORADADA Jun01 Jan13 Dec10 Nov11 Aug29 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40    
SCR  MURSAL Jun04 May19 Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00    
 
BEL-9   07/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND AGAIN Jun18 Apr29 Apr01 Mar05 Feb25 (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOB May27 Dec15 Nov11 Aug13 Jun26 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.20    
RUNAWAY ROAD Jun18 Apr08 Feb16     (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SOMAMA BEACH Jun03 May21 Mar18 Feb11 Jan08 (jerkens )DAVIS A 119 50.00    
CHESS SPECTACULAR May26 Apr15 Mar10 Feb12 Nov19 (giangiulio mich)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
BOLD HONOR Jun18 May19 Apr29 Apr01 Feb25 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 47% 1.10    
ERIDROMOS Jun04 Jul31 May28     (lugovich lisa )ALVARADO R 124 20.00    
EQUALIZER Jun15 May26 Apr08 Feb25 Aug15 (metivier ric)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ONE FOR MY BROTHER Jul01 Jun01 Apr26     (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
10  BRASS MONKEY Jun18 Apr21 Apr01 Mar05 Feb12 (klesa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 8.00 9% 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.