Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - July 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(7/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(7/8/5/3)-(10/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (7/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/3)-(7/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/3)-(7/8/5/3)-(7/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/3)-(10/8/4)-(2/7/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-3   WIN (10/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/4)-(10/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/8/4)-(10/8/4)-(10/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (10/8/4)-(2/7/3/4)-(3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/12/5/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/12/5/9/11)-(9/8/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/12/5/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/12/5/9/11)-(3/12/5/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/12/5/9/11)-(3/12/5/9/11)-(3/12/5/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/12/5/9/11)-(9/8/4/2)-(4/11/3/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
BTP-7   WIN (9/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/2)-(9/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/2)-(9/8/4/2)-(9/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/4/2)-(4/11/3/9)-(2/8/3/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/11/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/11/3/9)-(4/11/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/11/3/9)-(4/11/3/9)-(4/11/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/11/3/9)-(2/8/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-9   WIN (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS SOVELIA Jun14 May31 May19 Apr26 Mar16 (quezada in)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00    
GOGO GEISHA Jun14 May22 Sep09 Aug18   (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 120 8.00    
MS. T REX         (paye jose)MARCANO Y 118 3.50 15% 5.90    
FRANGO ELECTRICO Jun22 Jun01 May04 Apr18 Mar30 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
LIAM'S LASS Mar22 Mar01 Jan12     (reed r)MCKEE J 123 3.00 13% 6.50    
TABOO HOO Jun16 May25 Apr28 Mar29 Mar10 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 118 4.00    
 
BTP-2   07/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY A DREAM Jun21 May26 May06 Apr15 Mar25 (salcedo r)CORREA L 121 8.00    
WILDCAT DREAM Jun15 May31 Apr12 Mar23 Mar07 (salcedo ramo)TAPARA BRANDON 121 20.00    
ENDLESS Jun10 May26 May12 Apr05 Mar18 (adams l)HESS SARA 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CARLY'S FLIGHT Jun17 Jun08 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 30.00    
MY GOOD FORTUNE May23 Dec08 Nov18 Oct26 Aug15 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 16% 5.20    
MAMBO KITTEN Jun15 May27 May06 Apr11 Mar23 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.50    
QUIERO MAS Jun16 May11 Apr23 Feb25 Jan28 (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
FRAGRANT May29 May08 Dec11 Oct18 Sep25 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
BTP-3   07/06/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY ROSIE Jun14 May11 Apr27 Mar18 Mar02 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 12.00    
HOWIZEE Jun21 Nov15 Oct19 Sep09 Aug19 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
BLUE LILY May24 Jan06 Dec03 Sep13 Jul19 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 4.50    
MIMAJOON Apr25 Mar16 Feb16 Jan09 Dec01 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00 17% 4.90    
MEDWAY QUEEN Jun29 Apr19 Apr06 Feb28 Feb03 (silva carlos )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
GRANITE CANDY Jun18 May24 May10 Mar04 Jun16 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 8.00    
SCR  OPTIMIZME Jun16 Jun01 Jan05 Dec14 Oct24 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 117 6.00    
CALTHA Jun03 Apr15 Mar30 Mar14 Feb14 (bates l)BUSH V 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  ROSE RING Jun15 May24 May02 Mar29 Feb21 (zircher rob)JIMENEZ J 120 20.00 7% 12.40    
10  SOFIA STRONG Jun21 May24 May02 Mar04 Feb08 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
BTP-4   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HICKORY BILL Jun21 Jun04 May23 May07 Apr30 (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 125 15.00    
THE POINT ROAD Jun17 May31 May06 Apr30 Apr05 (bush s)BUSH V 125 3.50 42% 1.40    
COUNT MY DREAMS Jun10 May20 Mar23 Mar11   (quezada inoce)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
FORT STROOPE Oct11 Aug24       (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
LIGHTNING CASHES May21 May04 Mar23 Mar09 Jan19 (lopez elias)REYES ANGEL 120 4.50    
FLOYD G Jun21 Jun07 May06 Apr19 Feb17 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 125 4.00    
GUS GUS Jun23 Jun15 Jun07 May17 Mar16 (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
BTP-5   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCOLATE RABBIT Jun14 May26 Dec06 Nov22 Oct14 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 120 3.50    
PECKS NOT BAD Jun14 Feb15 Jan16 Dec01 Nov12 (barker w)MCKEE J 120 4.00 14% 6.00    
CONDEMNATION Jun10 Feb01 Jan05 Dec06 Nov07 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
HEIDI'S SINATRA May25 May06 Apr29 Apr11 Mar21 (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
TEQUILA FLATS May25 May17 May06 Mar20 Feb15 (ramos fra)CORREA L 120 4.50    
WHISKEY HELPS Jun02 May17 Apr06 Mar22 Mar06 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
 
BTP-6   07/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD REVELSTOKE Jun05 May15 Mar24 Feb18 Feb04 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 4.50    
SIMON PETER Mar17 Feb11 Aug09 Jul12 May11 (bergin tom)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
BRILLIANT JOURNEY Jun02 May18 Nov07 Sep29 Sep16 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
TIGER PAW (IRE) May31 May14 Apr28 Mar25 Feb02 (meah m)MARCANO Y 110 8.00    
FIRST SONG Jun14 May31 Nov23 Oct24 Sep22 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00 6% 15.20    
FALCONS FURY Jun22 Apr11 Mar21 Feb23 Jan24 (skeens jeremy)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
MCGRAW Jun02 Oct25 Oct03 Sep16 Aug30 (bush s)BUSH V 120 12.00    
SUBURBAN PRINCE Jun07 May13 Feb18 Jan21 Dec30 (o'neill doug)MCKEE J 115 3.50    
AZURE SKY Jun24 Jun06 May20 Apr16 Mar25 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAVEN MOON Jun02 Oct29 Aug13 Jun02 May24 (hobson doug)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 20.00    
11  CODE VIOLATION May31 May20 Apr28 Mar28 Mar06 (pitts helen)LEBRON VICTOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  FUTURE VICTORY Jun16 May31 May18 Apr01 Mar17 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  EDEN PARADISE Jun23 Jun09 May20 May12 Apr28 (james gerald)REYES R 120 8.00    
SCR  COUNT FROST Jun09 May25 Dec16 Dec03 Nov02 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
SCR  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Mar15 Feb19 Jan04 Oct07 Aug07 (caramori caio)MCENTEE GRACE 120 10.00    
SCR  MANY ROSES Jun17 May27 May06 Apr11 Mar25 (axmaker cody )CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
 
BTP-7   07/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERPA Jun17 May20 May06     (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of NORTHERN EXCURSION by CORONADO'S QUEST)
LEAD ACTOR Jun17 May20 May06 Apr28 Apr01 (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of IMPOSING GRACE by EMPIRE MAKER)
CARNACK ON TOUR Jun10 Apr19 Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 (douglass dev)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00    
  (by CARNACKS CHOICE out of CARLY ON TOUR by TOUR D'OR)
UTOPIAN TREASURE Jun17 Jun08 May27 May06 Apr19 (morelos m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 8.00 19% 4.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SEEKING ATLANTIS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
RIDGERUNNER Jun17 May20 May04     (scott anthony)LEBRON VICTOR 125 20.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of HARD LIFE by ROCK HARD TEN)
ALY STONE Jun17 Jun03 Mar07 Feb15   (holton rebecc)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 20.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of GINGER STONE by ELITE SQUADRON)
SCR  KING ZAM Jun18 May26 Apr16     (james gerald)REYES R 119 4.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SHE'S OUR ANGEL by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
TENPAK Jun22 May20 May06 Apr23 Mar26 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 120 2.50 19% 4.40    
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of SILVERLITE J C by AIRDRIE APACHE)
STIRDATPOT Apr29 Jun19       (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 125 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by TRINNIBERG out of CHALLENGE ACCEPTED by VIBANK)
 
BTP-8   07/06/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORETASTIC Jun16         (arnold george)GILLIGAN JACK 119 3.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of AWESOMETASTIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
VALERIE BLUE         (engler jeff)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAPTANA by TAPIT)
YEHAWMEMAW         (short thomas)MARCANO Y 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LUCKY SWITCH by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
TONIC AND GIN Jun15         (jazdzewski jon)MCKEE J 119 2.50 67% 0.50    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of REINITA by DOMINUS)
SCR  TIERNEY         (hamm timo)CORREA L 119 8.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MINI MOM by PARENTS' REWARD)
YAMMY YAMMY BELLA         (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 6.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of GREAT MORNING by GALILEO)
SCR  CE CE CINCO         (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BACKSIDE BELLE by STAY THIRSTY)
BELLA VALENTINA Jun08 May11       (orantes r)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of SO REFINED by TAPIZAR)
STEPHANIESWARRIOR Jun08         (capps steve )CALLEJA ANDRES 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ANCIENT GODDESS by IFFRAAJ)
10  JUDY ELAINE Jun16         (brown h)CRUZ JUAN 119 30.00    
  (by KLIMT out of TIPPLING WAYS by SCAT DADDY)
11  LUCK BE MY LADY         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 5.00 9% 10.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of NASQ by MALIBU MOON)
 
BTP-9   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Jun10 May27 Apr16 Mar18 Feb09 (wells duane)OUZTS W 123 5.00    
BEACH KITTEN Jun16 May18 May02 Feb25 Feb01 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.50 54% 0.80    
ABIGAIL G Jun22 Jun10 Sep12 Aug24 Jul14 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  SISTER JUSTICE Jun17 Jun10 Nov21 Nov08 Oct18 (thompson dani)LEBRON VICTOR 123 20.00    
SCR  SCAPITURE Jun16 May20 May04 Feb23 Jan13 (wells duane)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 12.00    
NOT A ROLE MODEL Jun22 Jun10 Jun03 May25 May15 (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
GRANADICA May20 May04 Feb20 Jan13 Dec21 (sandy s)MCKEE J 123 3.50    
YOUDEVILYOUCECILIA Jun17 May25 May12 Apr06 Mar18 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 4.50 11% 7.90    
OCEAN HONEY Jun14 Jun03 May20 Apr16 Mar30 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.