Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - June 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(8/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(8/4/2/3)-(5/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (8/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/3)-(5/6/4)-(2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(2/3)-(5/7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(5/7/6)-(1/5/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(1/5/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(3/4/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/7/4)-(3/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   06/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LISTEN LINDA LOU May11         (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 15.00    
HONEYBEE STINGS May11 Apr24 Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00    
SEE YA SISTA May15 Mar16 Feb15     (tumblin andrew)VELEZ J 123 10.00    
RIVERANDFAIRMOUNT Aug18 Jul05 Jun22     (romero jo)BRICENO M 114 3.50 9% 9.60    
LADYBUGGIN May15 Apr12 Mar16 Mar08 Feb20 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.60 31% 2.20    
GO RAY         (gorham robert )TORREALBA JG 114 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
TDN-2   06/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAT DADDY May15 Apr15 Mar28 Mar13 Feb28 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
MASAI MAN May18 May04 Apr16 Feb18 Feb07 (dilodovico nicho)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 13% 6.80    
ADHHAR May17 Aug16 Jun30 Feb15 Jan26 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 10.00 11% 8.20    
CUTLER May08 Sep22 Sep05 Aug04 Jul19 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
CHACO SPIRIT May08 Apr12 Mar22 Feb20 Jan30 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00    
ZELIG Jan09 Nov28 Nov07 Oct22 Oct12 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00    
LAUDA SPEED May08 Apr12 Mar23 Feb28 Feb07 (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
MONTAUK COVE May09 Apr15 Mar22 Mar02 Feb07 (brown t)RIVERA R 119 4.50 34% 1.90    
 
TDN-3   06/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAYED TODAY         (waltz brian)GONZALEZ A 118 5.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
CITY SCENE         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 115 8.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
RUFFIN         (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 118 3.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of OHIO GOLD by WILBURN)
SALTMAKESHERSWEET         (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 17.70    
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
VILLIAN         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
HOTTIE SPOTTIE         (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPOTSHOT by BERNARDINI)
 
TDN-4   06/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT May15 Apr25 Apr10 Mar30 Mar08 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 6.00    
STEALTH MODE May25 Apr25 Jul08 Jun22 May27 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
LADY JASPER May24 Apr24 Mar21 Oct29 Sep15 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50 21% 3.70    
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ May16 May06 Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
SCR  SALUTE THE KID May11 Nov30 Nov12     (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 15% 5.80    
WEEKENDING Apr06 Mar27 Mar09 Feb06 Dec27 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.00    
 
TDN-5   06/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICON May20 May09 Apr27 Mar30 Mar06 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50    
HAGLER May17 Apr29 Mar31 Mar17 Feb05 (dilodovico nicho)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
OVER THE HILLS May08 Apr15 Mar27 Mar08 Oct28 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 4.50    
SCR  GEHRIG May08 Apr04 Mar01 Jan18 Dec21 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00    
FLIPPING FISH May23 May08 Apr15 Mar15 Mar05 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
FRONTLINER May08 Mar02 Feb07 Jan18 Dec28 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00 14% 6.40    
OTIS OTIS OTIS May23 May08 Apr14 Mar26 Mar11 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
TDN-6   06/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALE OF THE LYON May24 May06 Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 36% 1.80    
SPUN PRETTY Dec22 Nov28 Sep22 Sep08 Aug31 (calderon ivan)TORREALBA JG 114 4.50    
SHANGHAI ROYALTY May16 Apr27 Apr03 Mar16 Feb15 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
CRYPTONIC CATWALK Oct24 Oct06 Aug10 Jul11 Jun25 (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 7% 13.90    
MISS ELLIE May06 Apr27 Apr10 Mar16 Mar01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
BUSYBEING FABULOUS May16 Apr27 Apr03 Mar08 Feb13 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 2.50    
PATTI LOU May16 Apr27 Apr03 Mar08 Feb13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
TDN-7   06/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE RADIO May23 Apr23 Mar10 Feb18 Feb05 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.60 16% 5.30    
STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 Nov27 Aug23 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 3.00 23% 3.30    
FRANCO (MEX) Dec13 Dec06 Nov23 Oct04 Sep13 (shanyfelt v)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 5.00    
IRISH UNITY May16 May02 Mar27 Feb23 Feb08 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 15.00 14% 6.10    
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Apr16 Mar26 Mar17 Feb22 Feb01 (salcedo r)CORREA L 119 8.00    
OBIWAN May10 Apr16 Mar31 Mar04 Feb12 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.00    
BREEZY MONEY Dec20 Nov28 Oct22 Jul27 Jul01 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 16% 5.40    
 
TDN-8   06/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHACK THE LIFE Nov14 Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Jul19 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 6% 14.40    
RED COMET May29 May16 Apr26 Oct29 Sep26 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 20.00    
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Apr26 Apr08 Mar12 Feb25 Jan08 (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
CYCLONE May16 Apr01 Mar12 Feb20 Jan27 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 25% 3.00    
MAN'S CHOICE May11 Apr25 Apr13 Mar09 Feb21 (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 115 12.00    
TIMESATAPPIN May17 Apr26 Apr05 Mar22 Mar01 (loudin-smith)KEISER CHELSEY 115 5.00 14% 6.00    
LAST COOKIE May17 Jan23 Dec30 Oct19 Aug12 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 110 8.00    
AZTEC May09 Dec28 Dec03 Nov06 Sep04 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.