Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - May 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(3/1)-(6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6)-(1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6)-(1/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(3/2/4)-(5/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(5/1/4)-(2/3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRISTMAS MAGIC Oct05 Sep02 Jul13 Jun24 Jun10 (cook k)MCKEE J 125 3.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  ABOUNDING Apr28 Mar18 Mar02 Dec30 Dec02 (cook k)MCKEE J 125 3.50    
2  HERO OF THE BEST Mar17 Feb10 Oct07 Aug17 Jun29 (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 125 2.00    
3  HIGH MEADOWS Feb02 Jan13 Dec07 Nov17 Nov01 (morelos mate)TAPARA BRANDON 125 4.00    
4  SOME WOULD SAY Apr28 Apr10 Nov08 Oct18 Sep26 (lopez a)REYES R 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
5  WILLYMAR Apr15 Mar30 Feb27 Feb14 Jan19 (rangel arnulfo)AYALA ISAIAS 125 5.00 17% 5.00    
 
BTP-2   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT DAME Apr13 Mar29 Feb15 Jan14 Dec31 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 118 1.80 20% 4.00    
2  ANCIENT BROWN Apr28 Apr15 Mar18 Dec30 Nov24 (hobson doug)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.50    
3  SEAWARD Apr23 Apr13 Mar26 Feb15 Jan14 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 3.50 39% 1.60    
4  PRESCIENCE Mar29 Mar07 Jan30 Dec29 Dec15 (thompson eri)MORALES JOSHUA 116 3.00    
5  PELLETIER Mar17 Feb10 Jan28 Dec31 Dec15 (livers ch)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
BTP-3   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PI YO PRINCESS Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec08 Sep19 (fletcher kev)MARCANO Y 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  EIDA'S STORM Apr27 Mar17 Mar02 Oct06 Sep28 (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00    
3  FORGLO Apr19 Mar11 Feb03 Jan14 Jan04 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  DANCE THE DAY AWAY Feb23 Feb10 Jan04 Dec08 Sep28 (wong jonathan)REYES R 123 3.00    
5  C V THUNDER Apr27 Feb15 Jan21 Dec31 Dec11 (hernandez ja)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 4.50    
 
BTP-4   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FALCONS FURY Apr11 Mar21 Feb23 Jan24 Jan09 (skeens jeremy)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00    
2  ONE LAST HAND Apr29 Apr20 Mar10 Feb11 Jan28 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 121 4.50    
3  OUT WORK'N Feb18 Jan06 Dec30 Dec08 Nov25 (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  BLANKET OF ROSES Apr27 Mar09 Feb18 Feb04 Dec29 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 3.50    
5  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Dec16 Nov05 Oct01 Aug22 Jul20 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 121 2.00    
6  COYOTE ROAD Apr11 Mar08 Aug25 Aug06 Jun18 (hernandez rey)REYES FRANK 121 4.00 62% 0.60    
 
BTP-5   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Apr26 Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 Nov20 (danner do)CORREA L 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  TENAKEE Feb18 Jan28 Nov09 Sep20 Sep07 (alessi james)HESS SARA 116 8.00    
3  KNOT WILD Feb14 Jan21 Jan07 Dec11 Nov22 (sandy s)MCKEE J 121 4.50    
4  COMPETITIVE FIRE Oct06 Sep20 Sep06 Aug19 Jul21 (tomlinson ron)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 14% 6.10    
5  SUPORB Mar17 Jan21 Jan07 Dec11 Nov16 (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 121 3.00    
6  MY ANGELICA Apr27 Jan21 Jan07 Dec29 Dec13 (pinzon maria)ROMERO GREGORY 121 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-6   05/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUNNING BABY Jan25 Dec10 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 (fernandez ed)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00    
2  EL PEJE Oct25 Oct05 Sep27 Sep06 Aug26 (pinzon maria)ROMERO GREGORY 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Mar30 Oct04 Aug22 Jul28 Jun28 (cannon steve)OUZTS W 123 1.80 32% 2.10    
4  LOCK ON Apr04 Mar20 Aug09 Jul26 Jun24 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 14% 6.10    
5  FEELING IT Mar16 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 Oct13 (sherman just)MARCANO Y 118 4.50    
6  CHIEF HOWCOME Apr15 Mar16 Feb16 Jan05 Dec07 (delong ben)MAYTA J 123 3.50    
 
BTP-7   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST BIKINI Apr13 Feb25 Mar19     (reed r)FELIX E 125 3.00 9% 10.60    
  (by BLAME out of BIKINI BEAUTY by BERNARDINI)
2  GAMBI Mar15 Feb15 Dec29 Dec03 Nov06 (alessi james)HESS SARA 114 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of FLATTER ME MORE by FLATTER)
3  SLENDER BETSY Mar04 Feb11 Feb03 Dec30 Dec02 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 125 15.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of CALI'S FINALE by SCIPION)
4  WEST COASTER Apr19         (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 5.00 5% 18.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of TOCCO by SMART STRIKE)
5  QUALITY Mar08 Jul02 Apr10 Feb26 Jan15 (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 125 3.50 57% 0.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TREASURE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  ROCK THE NILE Apr07 Mar02       (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 2.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  STRAIGHT TO GO Apr05 Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Nov09 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 125 12.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of FLARING by TWO STEP SALSA)
 
BTP-8   05/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Daryl Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BALI Feb21         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 116 15.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of PRETTY GRITTY by MERCER MILL)
2  MEDIA DARLING Apr06 Feb16 Dec30 Dec19   (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DARK DARLING by READY'S IMAGE)
3  FAIR AND SQUARE Aug13 Jul22 Jun29 Jun01   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 3.50 10% 9.40    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
4  TROJAN TALE Feb16 Nov30 Oct29 Oct10   (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 116 4.50 8% 10.90    
  (by OUTWORK out of KEWT TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  PAINT THE TOWN Apr24 Mar30 Feb16 Sep06   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 120 5.00 7% 13.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of WAY TO FLY by BOWMAN'S BAND)
6  WETZEL Apr06 Nov30 Nov01 Oct10   (cline c)PEREZ E 118 4.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FEISTY TOMBOY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Apr06 Oct29 Aug18 Jul12 Jun01 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 15.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of STARTIN SOMETHING by MUSICAL DREAMER)
SCR  TIER ONE Apr25 Mar09 Feb21 Jan26 Jan19 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 20.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.