Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Monday - April 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-7   Win (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (5/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   04/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Mar07 Jan28 Jan07 Dec13 Nov28 (troiani niccolo)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
GRAY MAGICIAN Mar11 Feb27 Feb08 Jan30 Dec20 (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00    
TIGER DAD Mar11 Jan28 Jan10 Nov26 Nov04 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 17% 4.80    
ANNIE'S BOY Feb25 Feb04 Apr21 Mar11 Feb04 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00    
DEPARTURE Mar20 Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 Jun04 (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 3.50 19% 4.20    
ARHAM         (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
TUP-3   04/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SANSOME Mar18 Feb22 Oct08 Sep23 Sep09 (palma milton)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
SHADYFIED Mar12 Sep12 Aug15 Jul23 Jun25 (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00    
KEENEYE GEORGE Mar25 Feb28 Dec18 Nov24 Aug27 (barr)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50    
ARMAVEER Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Dec16 Nov12 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
PHILIPIE FAST Mar06 Feb21 Feb01 Jan17 Jan02 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 124 2.00 12% 7.10    
ABRIERWIN Mar12 Feb21 Jan23 Dec27 Dec14 (lavanway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00    
 
TUP-4   04/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRY TO CAPTURE Mar04 Feb13 Jan26 Jan10 Dec19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
DIAMOND BLITZ Mar13 Feb19 Jan29 Jan06 Dec09 (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
LAST RENEGADE Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Jan28 Jan10 (evans justin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
MARK YE WELL Mar18 Feb19 Feb04 Jan23 Jan07 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
FREESTONE Mar08 Feb13 Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 124 8.00    
FASCINATED Mar08 Feb27 Jan25 Dec15 Oct02 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00    
 
TUP-5   04/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN Mar19 Feb22 Feb07 Sep26 Sep12 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
MI REYNA Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 Jan19 Oct29 (palma milton)CORBETT W 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
RAGING LADY Mar21 Mar12 Feb27 Feb09 Feb01 (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00    
EVEN PANDURA Mar19 Feb22 Jan31 Jan14 Dec27 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 14% 6.30    
MISTY MATT Mar19 Mar01 Feb16 Jan24 Dec21 (matt wendell )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 1.60    
RED VENUS Mar19 Feb26 Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50    
 
TUP-6   04/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEARENOTBADPEOPLE Mar20 Feb27 Feb19 Jan31 Jan19 (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 64% 0.60    
BARNFIELD Mar15 Feb27 Feb15 Jan24 Jan07 (person a)ZUNINO L 122 2.50    
SCR  CHAMPS SUCCESS Mar07 Jan11 May16 Apr26 Apr11 (moreno carl)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
MR LOVE MUFFIN Mar07 Feb18 Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 (mccartney jack)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
ETU BABOU Mar01 Jan23 Jan14 Dec17 Dec01 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
BEL RAGAZZO Mar07 Feb21 Feb01 Jan11 Dec14 (kere)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50    
MONGOL ALTAI Mar15 Feb04 Jan14 Dec21 Nov28 (asprino alfredo)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 8% 11.50    
 
TUP-7   04/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLINGA Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 Dec10 Jan02 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
NICE ICE Nov25 Nov12 Sep24 Sep04 Jan17 (brea)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00 15% 5.50    
CANTERBURY GOLD Mar26 Mar06 Feb14 Jan14 Dec19 (birdwell tena)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00    
MY EXPRESSION Mar21 Mar12 Feb19 Jan23 Dec26 (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
CHICKS DIG MUNNY Mar12 Feb27 Feb09 Jan23 Dec21 (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 15.00    
EARLYNTHEMORN Mar26 Mar12 Feb21 Feb14 Jan30 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00    
LE TUB Mar21 Feb19 Feb09 Jan19 Jan02 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 4.50 40% 1.50    
STRADARI Mar21 Mar06 Feb18 Feb01 Jan04 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-8   04/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTSA SKY Jan28 Jan14 Nov07     (perkins f)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 20.00    
MISTER MAFIOSO Mar07 Feb26 Feb07 Jan18 Jan05 (baze robert)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 12% 7.20    
MR. DISRESPECTFUL         (peery debbie)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 5.00    
COME ON AMP         (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 6.00    
THE GOLDEN EGG Mar18 Feb26 Feb07 Jan05   (essex charles)VERGARA P 121 2.00 55% 0.80    
BIG WAY         (bratcher ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 8.00    
CROWN PROSECUTOR         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00    
ALCAZABA (IRE) Sep17 Aug21 Jul01 Jun09   (bonn randy)VALENZUELA A 121 3.50 11% 7.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.