Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/6/2)-(3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/3/4)-(1/6/2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(3)-(4/6/5) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
FG-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/1/5/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/1/5/2/4)-(3/1/5/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3)-(4/6/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(4/6/5)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(7/3/5/2)-(3/5/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (7/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2/4)-(7/3/5/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/5/2)-(3/5/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/8)-(3/5/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/8)-(3/5/2/8/6)-(3/5/2/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-7   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-8   WIN (10/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/7)-(10/7/3/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/7)-(10/7/3/6/1)-(10/7/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7)-(1/6/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FG-9   WIN (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIGGZAPPA         (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50    
2  SHE'S MY LOUIE V. Jan25 Dec30 Nov17     (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 4.00 ★    
3  CHROME RACER Jan16 Mar10 Jan22     (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.00 13% 6.70    
4  SUNDAY HOUSE         (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 125 8.00 ★    
5  ONE MORE LAUGH Jan16 Dec22 Oct18 Sep26 Jan23 (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 120 1.60 52% 0.90    
SCR  BLAME NELLIE Feb19 Jan30 Jan15     (roussel j)GRAHAM J 125 6.00 10% 9.50    
 
FG-2   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO BLING Dec08 Nov19 Oct26 Oct05 Aug27 (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  ANITA'S VISION Dec08 Sep06 Aug01 Jun21 Feb03 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 14% 6.30    
3  UNIFIED LOVE Jan19 Dec29 Dec17 Dec08 Nov26 (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 121 2.50 ★    
4  KITTENOFTHE COURT Jan19 Dec08 Nov19 Sep19 Sep06 (hargrave kenne)CULP BRIANNE 116 5.00 ★    
5  TRINITY HOPE Dec22 Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 Sep26 (duhon o)LANERIE J 121 6.00    
6  CZAR'S BALLERINA Jan29 Dec22 Nov03 Sep25 Aug24 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
FG-3   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNINVITED GUEST Jan15 Nov24 Oct19 Sep30 Aug05 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 ★    
1A  MY ROMEO LIMA Dec17 Nov27 Oct26 Aug28 Jul09 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00    
2  JOB SECURITY Nov24         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00 ★    
3  OPEN ROAD Jan07 Nov04 Oct01 Jul29 Jun19 (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 121 0.40 71% 0.40    
4  RUSSIAN TANK Feb03 Jan16 Oct25 Sep06 Jul20 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 20.00 ★    
5  TRAFALGAR Jun12 May07 Feb19 Jan22   (stall m)LANERIE J 121 2.00 ★    
 
FG-4   02/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKEY HARBOR Jan19 Dec11 Nov27 Nov16 Oct20 (camejo jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00    
2  BOOTDADDY JUSTICE Jan19 Dec17 Dec03 Nov21 Sep29 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
3  DIRECT ORDER Jan28 Dec29 Dec17 Nov27 Oct07 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00    
4  TIZ LIGHT THE WAY Jan15 Dec03 Aug19 Jul15 Jun08 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Jan26 Dec17 May25 Apr29 Apr07 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 15.00 17% 4.80    
6  MAU MAU (BRZ) Dec17 Nov18 Sep27 Sep04 Aug08 (delgado jo)URDANETA J 121 3.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  COUNTER OFFER Jan05 Nov27 Oct28 Oct15 Oct04 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 6% 14.80    
8  ONE TIME GEM Jan15 Aug19 Jul09 May19 Apr29 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 ★    
 
FG-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAHAAL Dec22 Nov17 Oct19 Aug16 Jul21 (ortiz john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
2  HOLIDAY DIAMOND Jan20 Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 Oct26 (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 125 4.00 8% 11.90    
3  KINGOFBROKENHEARTS Dec22 Nov19 Aug30 Jul16 Jun27 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 12% 7.20    
4  HUFFS TAZ A BOO Dec28 Mar02 Feb19 Jan15   (sam w)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00 ★    
5  BIG SCULLY Jan08 Dec17 Jul03 May31 May08 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 122 3.50 9% 9.90    
6  TWO B Jan08 Dec22 Dec01 Aug09 Jul02 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
7  GOLD PUNCH Dec15 Nov24 Mar24 Mar13 Feb20 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
 
FG-6   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR ROOM Jan14 Nov09 Oct16 Sep22   (lejzerowicz joe)MELANCON G 125 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
2  SUPREMELY Dec19 Nov25 Oct22 Sep15 Jun09 (foley greg)LANERIE J 125 4.00 7% 12.40    
  (by MASTERY out of SUPREME MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  TRUMPTASTIC Jan14         (tomlinson )HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 48% 1.10    
  (by RACE DAY out of TWENTY IN ONE by INVASOR (ARG))
4  UNAFFILIATED         (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 125 12.00    
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
5  OVERANALYTICAL Jan14 Dec18 Jan17     (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 5.00 16% 5.30    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of BOLD KITTEN by JACINTO)
6  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Jan14 Dec19 Nov19 Oct11 Sep28 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 125 4.00 ★    
  (by FROSTED out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  KISLOVODSK Feb02 Jan08 Dec18 Dec04 Nov25 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 8.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of STATISTICS by MUSKET MAN)
8  TIM TAL Jan14 Jun24 May15 Apr09 Mar05 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 5% 17.20    
  (by FAST ANNA out of CRYPTO RISING STAR by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
 
FG-7   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KATHAAN Jan19 Nov25 Oct30 Oct09   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  ONE TIME MO Dec22 Nov06 Oct01 Apr28   (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 3.50    
SCR  CLARA PEETERS (GB) Mar26 Mar12 Feb13     (hartman chris)LANERIE J 120 3.50 9% 10.40    
SCR  POSTNUP Apr24 Mar12 Feb13     (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  LADY JEOPARDY Jan12 Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 Jul02 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 ★    
SCR  SOFT TOUCH Jan13 Dec08 Oct07 Sep06 Aug16 (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  GET ON THE BUS Oct27 Oct02 Sep04 Aug27   (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
7  TROBAIRITZ Dec31 Sep14 Jul27 May14 Apr09 (pessin neil )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50    
8  HANNAH'S HAVEN Jan12 Dec16 Nov04 Sep25 Aug20 (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 20.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN MAFIA Jan13 Dec16 Oct23 Sep24 Sep01 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
SCR  O'BABE Jan14 Dec14       (scherer gary)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00    
 
FG-8   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMENT Jan11 Dec17 Nov12 Oct28 Sep26 (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  RIGHTANDJUST Jan26 Dec26 Nov05 Aug29 Aug06 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
3  BRITAIN'S KITTEN Dec31 Dec11 Nov16 Oct12 Aug26 (williamson bria)COHEN DAVID 122 3.50 ★    
4  AWE SHACKLE Jan16 Sep04 Jun06 May15 Jan29 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
5  SONNEMAN Sep28 Sep01 Jul16 Jun16 Apr30 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
6  SEARCH ENGINE Dec11 Nov04 Sep30 Aug20 Jul02 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 ★    
7  OMAHA RED Jan16 Dec22 Nov06 Oct15 Sep29 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
8  AMERICAN HERO Jan21 Dec17 Sep30 Sep05 Aug22 (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
9  BEAVER HAT Jan14 Dec26 Jun05 Apr15 Mar13 (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 120 12.00    
10  TREASURY Jan14 Dec17 Nov24 Oct20 Aug27 (forster t)PARKER L 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
 
FG-9   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE ALLIANCE Jan07 Dec08 Nov26 Mar20 Mar03 (cuccia j)ALBERT S 117 5.00 20% 3.90    
2  CHIEFWEAVE Jan22 Jan06 Sep24 Sep05 Aug13 (wilson shane)PARKER L 122 12.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  DEMON HUNTER Jan22 Jan01 Dec08 Nov26 Jul23 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  ROCK STAR ALEX Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep24 Sep11 (dandridge cou)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
5  HALF A DOODLE Jan22 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep24 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00    
6  PROBLEM CHILD Dec23 Nov19 Oct21 Aug19   (alonzo howa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 114 6.00 14% 6.20    
7  EDDIE'S HUMOR Jan22 Jan07 Nov24 Mar05 Feb04 (ducoing j)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  R T'S D'ORO Feb01 Nov19 Oct05 Aug17 May19 (sam thom)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
9  SNEAKY ALLIE KAT Jan22 Jan01 Dec08 Jun30 Jun10 (peterson jessie )RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.