Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - January 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/2/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/2/3/6)-(7/4/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(1/4/7)-(6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(6/1)-(6/8/2/5/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(6/8/2/5/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(6/8/2/5/1)-(3/1/5/2/4) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/8/2/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/5/1)-(6/8/2/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/5/1)-(6/8/2/5/1)-(6/8/2/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/2/5/1)-(3/1/5/2/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/5/1)-(3/1/5/2/4)-(3/5/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/1/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/2/4)-(3/1/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/2/4)-(3/1/5/2/4)-(3/1/5/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/5/2/4)-(3/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/2/4)-(3/5/7)-(7/3/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(7/3/5)-(7/1/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(7/1/5/3)-(2/5/7/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3/6)-(7/1/5/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/5/3)-(2/5/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (2/5/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/10)-(2/5/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/10)-(2/5/7/10)-(2/5/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN MONGOL Nov04         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
2  GERMANY JAYVO Jan12 Dec04 Nov27     (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 6.00 ★    
3  NIGHTSABER (GB) Dec18 Nov06 Oct08 Sep22   (trites land)OLVER MADISON 110 5.00 ★    
4  FANCY AZTECA Nov20         (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  BOUNTY KILLAH Jan13 Jan07 Dec14     (richards marv)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00    
6  DENIECE OF DEGRACE Jan06 Nov26 Nov04     (nod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 ★    
7  COOKIE CRUMBS Dec11 Nov06 Oct15 Aug21   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 62% 0.60    
 
AQU-2   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ZERTZ Jan13 Nov08 Sep28 Sep14 Jul29 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 44% 1.30    
SCR  SENOR JOBIM Nov06 Sep24 Jul31 Jun03 Apr30 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 ★    
2  LOHENGRIN TWO Jan12 Nov02 Oct24 Aug24 Aug02 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 ★    
SCR  BUSTIN THE RULES Jan14 Jan05 Dec10 Nov18 Jul04 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00 7% 14.20    
4  ALCOOLS Sep17 Aug18 Jul16 Jun19 May19 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.20 22% 3.50    
5  HAGLER Dec18 Dec01 Sep24 Aug03 May26 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
SCR  CANT STOP THIS MAN Jan11 Dec09 Nov23 Nov01 Oct25 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 123 12.00    
7  MARVIN Nov10 Sep23 Aug14 Aug08 Jul22 (tessore bruno)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 5% 18.30    
 
AQU-3   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($82K) 3 F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD MEDAL ANNA Jan03 Nov29 Nov09 Oct24   (velazquez a)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW Jan12         (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 11% 7.90    
3  CRYPTO MAMA Nov06 Oct14 Sep15 Aug17 Jul24 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 ★    
4  DIVINE CROSS Dec04 Oct14       (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 ★    
5  LA VITA SOFIA Dec03 Nov06 Oct01 Aug28   (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
6  SHIDABHUTI Sep17         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 35% 1.80    
 
AQU-4   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAVE MY WAY Jan06 Dec04 Nov07 Oct24 Sep07 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRINCESS PINKY Jan12 Dec02 Oct22 Oct13 Aug17 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 9% 9.80    
3  PONCHO SONG Dec18 Sep15 Aug11 Jun25 Jun03 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
4  EXFILTRATION Dec18 Dec02 Aug04 Feb11 Jan06 (pregman john)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
5  SHAOLIN Nov25 Oct29 Oct07 Sep22 Jul29 (brion ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  RACING COLORS Dec10 Oct27 Sep04 Aug05 Jul02 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  VOICE OF SPRING Dec02 Nov13 Oct13 Aug04 Jul29 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
8  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Jan06 Dec08 Oct20 Sep05 Aug06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
9  STORMI CAT LADY Dec30 Dec18 Nov13 Oct13 Aug04 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00    
 
AQU-5   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KADRI Jan07 Dec03 Nov25 Nov06 Oct26 (cash)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00    
1A  PIRATE RICK Dec30 Dec14 Nov28 Nov12 Nov06 (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  STAGE LEFT Jan01 Nov25 Nov12 Sep30 Aug18 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 6.00 10% 9.50    
3  HAPPY FARM Dec30 Nov26 Sep30 Sep04 Jul20 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  FIRE SWORD Dec09 Oct07 Aug14 Jun17   (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 12.00 7% 13.70    
5  AMUNDSON Jan01 Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 Sep03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 10% 8.90    
6  LOBSTA May22 Apr29 Mar20 Jan08   (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
 
AQU-6   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEF MOTION Dec29 Dec11 Aug26 Jun26   (tessore bruno)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
2  SPOOKY LADY Dec16 Nov17 Sep25 Jul10 Jun18 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 ★    
3  LAOCHI Aug26 Mar11 Jan22 Jan16   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  JUST A NYQUIST Jun16 May21 May04 Apr08 Mar01 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
5  HAIL BRITANNIA         (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 122 15.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  BON ADIEU Dec16         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
7  J D ADVANTAGE         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 12.00 9% 10.30    
8  VIRTUAL BEAUTY Dec16 Dec02       (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00    
 
AQU-7   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUCKPHAT Dec30 Nov26 May12 Apr23 Feb11 (henry nevill)SAMUEL L 123 15.00    
2  SALSA A PARTE Dec15 Nov19 Apr30 Mar27 Feb19 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
3  MY FIRST LOVE Jan13 Dec10 Nov13 Nov01 Oct10 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  PREPOSTEROUS Jan13 Sep22 Aug11 Jul27 Jun25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 ★    
5  KEEN DANCER Jan15 Jan06 Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHADOLAMO Jan13 Dec30 Dec15 Dec04 Nov20 (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 4.50 ★    
7  TOUGH STREET Dec30 Nov11 Oct13 Sep04 Jul23 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 49% 1.00    
 
AQU-8   01/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARRY MIDNIGHT Nov27         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by CONNECT out of STREET SINGER by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  QUEENS MASTERPIECE Nov19         (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUEEN VICTORIA by BOLD LACHEE)
3  LOCKBOX Dec04 Nov08       (d'alessa)DAVIS A 120 12.00 12% 7.40    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BARRIER TO ENTRY by CITY ZIP)
4  LITTLE LINZEE Dec17 Oct30 Oct08 Jul28   (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of GEE LINZ by FROST GIANT)
5  BANTERRA Dec04 Oct30 Oct01 Sep02 Jul27 (asmussen steven)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 14% 6.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SWEET QUEEN by TWIRLING CANDY)
6  SECURITY CODE Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 Sep23 Sep02 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STOPSPENDINGMARIA by MONTBROOK)
7  STONEWALL STAR Dec30 Nov20 Oct17 Sep22 Sep02 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by FLATTER out of JONATA by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
AQU-9   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN LINCOLN Oct01 Sep03 Jul10 Jun25 May28 (romer)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
2  DUST DEVIL Oct15 Sep16 Aug25 Jul23 May28 (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 113 1.80 64% 0.60    
3  TRIGGER PULL Jan05 Dec16 Dec08 Nov22 Oct24 (follett norman)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
SCR  EXCURSION Jan03 Dec21 Dec06 Nov28 Oct31 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  TRUCULENT Dec08 Nov06 Sep30 Aug11 Jun04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 11% 8.20    
6  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Dec18 Oct27 Oct08 Sep16 Aug03 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00    
7  MUSICAL AMERICA Jan12 Dec29 Dec16 Dec04 Nov10 (jones eduar)MARTINEZ R 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  MICROSCOPE Jan07 Dec02 Mar06 Feb11   (qui)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
9  BINGO JOHN Jan12 Oct27 Sep24 May29 May14 (pregman j)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
10  SCOTTY Jan07 Dec04 Nov18 Oct06 Aug31 (diprima )DAVIS A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.