Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - July 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (7/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/1)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/1)-(5/2/4)-(2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SAR-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/3)-(2/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SAR-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(2/5/4)-(2/3/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SAR-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(2/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(2/3/7/5)-(5/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-5   WIN (2/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/5)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/5)-(5/2/6)-(4/7/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-6   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(2/3/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-7   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6)-(2/3/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6)-(2/3/5/8)-(7/4/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SAR-8   WIN (2/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/8)-(7/4/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SAR-9   WIN (7/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/3)-(7/4/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/3)-(7/4/5/8/3)-(7/4/5/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/23/2025 12540ft TURF RC14 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO'S COUNTING Jul04 Sep07 Jun20 Aug31 Aug18 (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 8.00 7% 13.20    
  (by VANCOUVER out of COUNTER MEASURE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
2  ZARAK THE BRAVE (FR) Aug14         (garner thomas)DWAN EVAN 158 15.00    
  (by ZARAK out of TEMPO ROYALE by BORIS DE DEAUVILLE)
3  JIMMY P Oct19 Aug14 Jun20 Aug23 Mar25 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 156 3.50    
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
4  HOWYABUD (IRE) Oct15 Sep15 Aug03     (murphy cyri)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 8.00 7% 13.10    
  (by MILAN out of YOUNGBOROGAL by ANSHAN (GB))
5  PROVEN INNOCENT Jun04 Sep14 Oct15 Sep15 Aug31 (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 152 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by BLAME out of MEGHAN'S JOY by A.P. INDY)
6  HISTORIC HEART (IRE) Jul19 Jul01 Jul20 May14   (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 150 10.00    
  (by FRACAS out of IRISH QUESTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  AWAKENED Jun04 Jun20 Aug23 Aug02 Oct15 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 152 2.00 39% 1.50    
  (by CURLIN out of DAYDREAMING by A.P. INDY)
8  KITTEN AROUND Jul16 Jul18 Jun11 Apr06 Aug26 (brion keri)PROCTER FREDDIE 142 20.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of BAIL OUT KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
SAR-2   07/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEIGH THE RISKS Feb22 Jan19 Nov16 Oct10 Jul07 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40    
2  PATRICIA ANN Jan05 Nov29 May04 Mar28 Feb24 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 18% 4.40    
3  SULTRY LASS Jul06 Jun13 May18 Feb07 Dec27 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
4  BRAGANZA Nov03 Sep20 May27 Apr26 Nov18 (abreu ferna)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
5  ZADORSKY May30 Apr25 Jan20 Dec19 Nov03 (beckman whit)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  TOUGH STREET Feb23 Dec29 Oct13 Jul26 Jun09 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00    
 
SAR-3   07/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOOD SKATE Jun06 May09 Apr03 Feb27 Jun08 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.50    
2  GASOLINE Jun11 May23 May03 Apr11 Feb24 (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 38% 1.70    
3  O P FIRECRACKER Jul06 May23 Apr27 Mar14 Feb27 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00 5% 17.70    
4  EMPTY TOMB Jun22 Apr25 Apr05 Jan03 Sep19 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 ★    
5  SUERTE Jun15 May25 May10 Feb13 Jan23 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
6  MANTA REY Jun11 Apr11 Mar22 Mar09 Jan23 (casse no)SANTANA JR 125 4.00    
SCR  BAD LARRY Jul03 Jun21 Jun08 May25 May08 (jones eduardo )CHANDRA PREM 113 30.00    
 
SAR-4   07/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUAZARAH Jun15 May10 Apr23 Mar22 Feb13 (trites a)SANTANA JR 124 10.00    
2  GARDINER Jun12 May18 Nov22 Nov01 Oct17 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  TRUST ISSUES Jun12 May11 Apr16 Feb15 Dec28 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 ★    
4  ROAR READY May23 Apr25 Mar09 Feb08 Jan15 (barboza vic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ZIPPY MARK May03 Apr19 Mar28 Mar07   (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 17% 4.70    
SCR  CONNIVING Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 Apr19 Mar21 (keithan)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 20.00    
7  REMI'S MOON Jul06 Jun04 Sep28     (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
8  SOCIAL HOUR Jun19 May23 Mar21 Jan11 Nov07 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
 
SAR-5   07/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EQUUS Jul10 Jul03 Jun19 May02 Apr18 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 12.00    
SCR  TRADE SECRET Jul03 Jun13 May25 May09 Apr04 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 12.00    
2  TALKIN IN CURSIVE Jul10 Jun21 Jun01 May25 Apr16 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
3  PROBLEMATICA Jul10 Jun27 May10 Feb01 Jan01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 20% 3.90    
4  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Jul13 Jun27 May15 May01 Apr18 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00    
5  TONED UP Jul03 Jun21 May15 Mar28 Mar02 (martin c)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  APRIL ANTICS Jun13 Apr04 Mar14 Mar07 Jan19 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00    
7  OPEN SOUL AUTISM May02 Apr10 Dec18 Dec01 Nov16 (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
8  CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE Jun25 Jun11 Nov26 Oct29 Oct15 (gutierrez l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00    
 
SAR-6   07/23/2025 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COSTA TERRA Jun15 Jun06 Apr26 Apr04 Feb23 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
SCR  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Jun15 Jun07 Apr24 Mar29 Mar14 (kantarmaci ilkay)RIDER TBA 125 3.50    
2  CATCH A WAVE Jun28 Jul04 May27 Apr26 Mar10 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 32% 2.20    
3  FREEDOM'S WAY Jun08 Apr17 Mar22 Feb22 May31 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
4  NOTED Jun19 May09 Apr08 Jun23 May04 (rodriguez gus)ORTIZ JR 125 12.00    
5  CRYSTAL QUEST Jun28 May17 Mar30 Oct06 Aug24 (trombetta mich)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 1.80 33% 2.10    
6  VESTING (IRE) Jun22 Mar28 Mar02 Jan05 Oct03 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00 13% 6.80    
7  RUNGIUS Jun28 May16 Apr03 Mar08 May05 (levine b)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
SCR  MUTAAWID Jun28 Jun08 Apr17 Mar02 Feb01 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50    
SCR  FILM STAR Jun05 May04 Apr12 Jan25 Dec21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.60    
 
SAR-7   07/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CATCHPHRASE Jun29 Jun12 May18 Apr03 Mar01 (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  MOONLIT WEEKEND May25 May01 Apr03 Mar01 Jan12 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
2  LOOKS FIRST Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 May09 May01 (samsunda)SANTANA JR 124 10.00    
3  BEIRA Jun21 May02 Apr11 Mar09 Feb22 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50    
4  DAISY DUKE Jun21 Jun04 Apr25 Mar14 Feb28 (moquett ronal)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  FARM HOUSE Jun14 May16 Mar28 Feb28 Jan30 (lalman dennis)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
6  PAM PAM Apr11 Mar15 Feb27 Jan23 Jan12 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 7% 13.60    
7  DESPO'S DREAM Jul10 Jun12 May23 May09 May01 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  ELEGANT Jul06 Jun12 May15 Apr16 Jun13 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
 
SAR-8   07/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL CLASS Jun13 May09 Apr19 Mar22 Jan25 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE Jun26 May01 Feb01 Dec01 Oct04 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
2  THE BIG CALHOUNA Jun26 Apr19 Mar23 Feb15 Nov29 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 1.00    
2B  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Jun27 Apr18 Mar22 Feb01 Dec12 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.00 42% 1.40    
3  PRINCESS MADISON Jul06 Sep15 Aug23 Jul19 Jun08 (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 35% 1.90    
4  CARESS Apr25 Mar22 Jun29 May12 Apr14 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
5  C'EST CHEESE Jan31 Nov24 Oct04 Jan10 Nov29 (beckman whi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLOWERS FOR ME Nov17 Oct27 Sep30 Aug17 Jul19 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00    
7  MIDTOWN LIGHTS Jan19 Dec27 Nov10 Oct21 Oct06 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
8  GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS Jun25 Jan05 Nov30 Oct22 Sep17 (grusmar)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-9   07/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLISS STREET Jul05 Jun01       (cash j)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of BLISS TO YOU by FREUD)
2  KLIMT MASTER Jun28 Jun19 May23 May09 Mar30 (jones eduar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 50.00    
  (by KLIMT out of NIGHTENGALE MISS by HIGH COTTON)
3  LIBERTY RISING May26 May04 Oct26 Sep21   (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIBERTY FUZE by MASS MEDIA)
4  THE COMMISH Jun28 Jul31       (brion keri)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of NOTHINGBUTASMILE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
5  ROUT         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TRUE HISTORY by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  ASKINGFORAFRIEND Jun19 Dec08       (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EMOTIONAL WORDS by CURLIN)
7  KING PUCK Jun19 Sep13 Jul20 Jun22   (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.60 63% 0.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ANDRASTE by PULPIT)
8  GUILTY         (barrow p)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of SAFFLOWER by UNCLE ABBIE)
9  LIGHT FANTASTIC Jun19         (pugh pe)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 5.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPOKEN NOT BROKEN by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  CHRIS'S SONG Jun27 Nov02       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50    
  (by FLATTER out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  LONG POUR         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of PURSUING JUSTICE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.