Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - May 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.46 $2.46 41%
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-5 $17.76 $5.76 48%
CD-2   TRI (7/8/1)-(7/8/1)-(7/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  8-7-1 $3.76 $0.76 25%
CD-3   TRI (3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-7-2 $22.20 $10.20 85%
CD-7   WIN (6/5/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $21.20 $11.20 112%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SOMBRA DORADA 5 3 31½ 2nk   12½ 14 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 3.00 21% 3.70 3.23 W
5  BOLT ON THE ROCKS 4 2 1nk 1nk   22½ 24 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 125 2.00 43% 1.30 0.90 P
7  ROSE ALABAMA 6 1 42½ 44   45 34¾ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00 7.58  
1  CREATIVE QUALITY 1 4 2nk 32   55 44¾ (foster er)TORRES A 123 4.00 6.48  
2  FUN TO RUN 2 5 55½ 54½   34½ 56¾ (hess b)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 4.73  
4  LOU ANNA 3 6 69 69½   610 615 (mccutchen jaso)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 35.29  
SCR  CAROLINA CANDY               (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/23/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :461       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SPICE RUNNER 5 2 31 2nk   12 12¼ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 32% 2.10 0.38 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SIMPLE SURPRISE by COWBOY CAL)
7  BAYTOWN DREAMER 4 5 53 4¾   22 22¼ (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 114 4.50 37% 1.70 5.21 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of COLERFUL BRIDE by MUNNINGS)
1  SIR VINCENT 1 4 41½ 51¾   54 34½ (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 11% 8.00 4.50 S
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
6  SENSE OF FREEDOM 3 3 2nk 3.2   33 44¾ (seglin e)RIQUELME J 119 15.00 35.16  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of COMPLETE SENSE by STREET SENSE)
2  COMPRESSED 2 1 1nk 1nk   43½ 58¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 7.44  
  (by GREEN FOREST out of FERIA DE FLORES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  CAPTAIN GABE               (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of OLD VALYRIA by OLD FORESTER)
SCR  FLASH THE MAGIC               (gallagher william )MURGIA A 119 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of QUIET PASSAGE by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  GIRL NAMED KNICKI               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 116 8.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of CAUSEFORCOMMOTION by AMERICAIN)
 
CD-3   05/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  INDY MAGIC 3 7 67¼ 68½ 66¼ 41½ 1½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 52% 0.90 2.13 W
7  ASK ARTHUR 7 2 32½ 34½ 34 21 2½ (sims p)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 5% 18.20 1.63 P
2  ONE MOR STORY 2 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 11 32¼ (hill f)MONCADA IRVING 115 4.00 15% 5.60 18.83 S
4  SPRINT OUT PASS 4 3 55¾ 46½ 44¼ 31½ 43¼ (medina robe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 6.00 14.49  
1  BOYS CODE 1 5 45½ 57 54¾ 52 55½ (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 5.21  
5  CATALINA CAT 5 6 77¾ 79 76¼ 64½ 69½ (bahena ismael)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 34.43  
6  WARRIOR WAYNE 6 4 2nk 1nk 2nk 74¾ 712½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 3.77  
 
CD-4   05/23/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:213 :442       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OUTFIELDER 7 5 1½ 11   13 16¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 41% 1.40 0.39 W
  (by TAKE ME OUT (IRE) out of PLUME POPPY by HAGLEY)
9  SKIPPING STARS 9 4 41½ 21   23 26¼ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 ★ 7.91 P
  (by SKIP AWAY out of STARRY ICE by ICE AGE)
1  THEBABESLAYER 1 2 74¼ 85¾   57½ 37¾ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 10.87  
  (by COLLECTED out of CANDY BAY by CANDY RIDE)
6  STRONG 6 7 64 54   46 48½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 59.68  
  (by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY out of SWEET GOLD by GILDED TIME)
2  BAYTOWN ANUBIS 2 1 31½ 42   35 59 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 114 20.00 62.14  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PARTISAN POLITICS by MORE THAN READY)
3  COLLECTING 3 9 107¾ 95¾   69 610½ (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 119 8.00 29.37  
  (by COLLECTED out of HEIDI MARIA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
10  MODERATOR 10 10 97¾ 108¼   1010¾ 711 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 12.08  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PEACE OPPORTUNITY by POINT OF ENTRY)
5  RED SPEEDO 5 6 53½ 64¼   79 812¾ (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 5% 19.00 26.82  
  (by GAME WINNER out of PERFECT REFLECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
4  GRANT'S GRETCHEN 4 8 84¾ 74¾   89¼ 913¼ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 116 3.50 34% 1.90 9.45  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUTTON'S SMILE by PADDY O'PRADO)
8  BREA FROM THREE 8 3 2½ 31   99¼ 1020½ (ennis jo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 39.34  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MISSION FROM ELLE by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
SCR  FUZZY STARE               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of BISTRO MONCUR by LONHRO (AUS))
 
CD-5   05/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FRIAR LAURENCE 5 1 42¼ 4¾   2nk 11¾ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 2.00  
4  MAJOR BLUE 4 2 22 2nk   1nk 21¾ (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.16 P
7  FURIOUS ANGER 6 4 53¾ 62¼   52½ 32¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 10.00 5.33  
3  CHIRINGO 3 5 32 3.2   3½ 44¾ (shirer matt )GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 39% 1.60 1.75  
1  HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 1 3 12 1nk   41½ 56½ (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 22% 3.50 4.12  
2  SCAT FREE 2 6 63¾ 51¾   63½ 67¾ (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 14.41  
SCR  HAPPY AMERICAN               (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
 
CD-6   05/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:104 1:221   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TOUR PLAYER 2 4 52 53¼ 1½ 12 12¾ (baffert bob)GEROUX FLORENT 124 5.00 2.37  
6  OPTICAL 5 3 31 31½ 41½ 33 22¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 7% 12.60 4.92 P
3  MAP TO THE STARS 3 1 1nk 1nk 3½ 22 35¼ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 55% 0.80 3.58 S
1  SHOPPER'S REVENGE 1 5 41½ 41¾ 52½ 54½ 45½ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 3.48  
8  GAMBLERS TAIL 6 6 64 63¼ 64½ 66½ 57 (ortiz joh)LEPAROUX R 126 4.50 3.11  
4  GOOD MONEY 4 2 2nk 2nk 2½ 43½ 67¼ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
SCR  FOOTPRINT               (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00    
SCR  PALM TREE               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 3.00    
SCR  SHOW OF FORCE               (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00    
 
CD-7   05/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:212 :44 :554     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARRODSBURG 1 4 2nk 1½   11 1nk (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 121 5.00 10% 9.40 9.60 W
8  CAT ON TIME 8 8 85 63   43 2nk (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 1.41  
7  DEER DISTRICT 7 3 62½ 73¼   53½ 31 (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 121 12.00 12.73  
9  BOHEMIAN BO 9 1 1nk 2½   21 42½ (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 116 6.00 9.63  
2  BANNED FOR LIFE 2 5 31 31   32 53 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 7% 13.40 5.28  
5  TWO EAGLES RIVER 5 9 95½ 85¼   74½ 63½ (blair jor)TORRES A 121 5.00 27% 2.70 10.47  
6  ATTACHE 6 2 52 42   64½ 76¾ (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 35% 1.90 3.45  
3  CONDEMN 3 7 41½ 53   84¾ 89 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 21.34  
4  NABOKOV 4 6 73½ 98¾   912¾ 921½ (moger jr)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 5% 19.00 43.98  
 
CD-8   05/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:212 :44 :552     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BLING 7 2 85 84½   3.2 13¼ (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.50 31% 2.20 5.38 DQ↓10
3  RUN FOR THE HILLS 3 8 96½ 96   63¼ 23¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 9.87  
2  PAYNT YA LATER 2 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 33¾ (moger jr)BEJARANO R 123 8.00 5% 19.00 2.33 P
6  CROWN IMPERIAL 6 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 43¾ (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00 29% 2.40 2.25 S
4  JILL JITTERBUG 4 5 64 62½   52¼ 55¼ (walsh ryan)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 62.59  
10  LAURA'S CHARM 10 3 74 74   74¾ 67¾ (kerrick la)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 51.56  
5  LITTLE PRANKSTER 5 9 107½ 106½   96¼ 79 (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 18% 4.70 9.26  
1  MOONLIT LADY 1 6 42 52   85¼ 810½ (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 13.03  
8  SANDY BOTTOM 8 7 31 31   106¼ 913½ (mccarthy michael)CURTIS BEN 121 10.00 9.17  
9  ASTERNIA 9 10 52½ 41½   41¾ 1015 (morse ran)TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 17.24  
 
CD-9   05/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:123 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CAROLO RAPIDO 6 2 42½ 41½ 3.2 12½ 12¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 9% 9.50 2.23 W
2  METATRON'S MUSE 2 5 31½ 31 51¼ 22½ 22¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 2.67  
5  GASOLINE 5 7 54 53½ 41¼ 33 33½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.50 11.21  
7  HUGE BIGLY 7 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 44½ 49½ (shorter a)TORRES A 118 6.00 6.86  
3  WINSTON WOLF 3 6 76 86¼ 76¾ 69½ 512¾ (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.01  
8  ROUSSETTE 8 3 2nk 2nk 1nk 56½ 613 (roberson den)MONCADA IRVING 113 15.00 5% 19.00 9.27  
1  COPPERMASTER 1 4 64½ 66 810¾ 812 717 (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 22.76  
4  FIRST STRIKE 4 8 87 76¼ 63¾ 79½ 820¼ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 59% 0.70 3.72  
SCR  COUPERIN               (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.