Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Friday - March 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.90 $7.90 1.90
AQU-2   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 6.60
AQU-3   Win (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $16.80  
AQU-4   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $7.60  
AQU-5   Win (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.90 $3.90  
AQU-6   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.10  
AQU-7   Win (5/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
AQU-8   Win (6/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 0.60
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   03/14/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:154 1:424   1:571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  O P FIRECRACKER 6 2 11 12½ 12½ 13½ 1½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 24% 3.20 2.95 W
5  PORTOS 5 6 53 54¼ 33½ 23½ 2½ (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 21% 3.80 6.60 P
4  BROOKLYN STRONG 3 3 21 32½ 45½ 38½ 35¼ (velazquez daniel)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 3.20  
3  BOLD VICTORY 2 4 66½ 67¼ 67 510 49¼ (kantarmaci ilkay)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.60 26% 2.80 1.50  
1A  BIG RICH 7 7 41½ 44 56½ 410 510¼ (ferraro james )HARKIE K 123 4.50 5.50  
1  ICE TIME 4 5 77 78¾ 79½ 712 611¾ (ferraro w)LUZZI J 123 4.50 5.50  
2  STEADY PROGRESS 1 1 31 22½ 22½ 611 715 (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 20.00 46.00  
 
AQU-2   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:38
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GRAYWING 2 2 31 3½   11 1¾ (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 29% 2.50 5.30 W
3  ELYSIAN MEADOWS 3 4 69 65½   53¾ 2¾ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 4.90  
1  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS 1 3 2nk 2nk   41¼ 31¼ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 5% 19.00 8.00 S
4  FACTUALLY CORRECT 4 1 1nk 1nk   31 41¼ (kantarmaci il)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50 5.40  
6  TEN CENT TOWN 6 6 42½ 41   21 51½ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.00 35% 1.80 3.15  
5  ACOUSTIC AVE 5 5 55 52   64¼ 65½ (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00 1.75  
 
AQU-3   03/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:133 1:272   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CARBON 5 1 3½ 1nk 13½ 13½ 13¼ (samsund)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 6.00 7.40  
7  RAW POWER 7 7 74½ 73¾ 35 23½ 23¼ (sells rachel)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 36% 1.80 1.95 P
2  APRIL ANTICS 2 6 52 31½ 23½ 33½ 35¼ (barrera s)COA J 121 5.00 ★ 8.60 S
6  WAITWAITDONTTELLME 6 2 62½ 63¼ 78 510¼ 414¾ (potts wayne)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 5.00 7.70  
1  CONDIMENT GIRL 1 5 1½ 2nk 45½ 410 521 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 3.50 19% 4.20 5.30  
4  EVERLYS GIRL 4 3 41½ 52¼ 67½ 611¾ 624¾ (chatterpaul na)HARKIE K 123 4.50 9.00  
3  MY ROYAL VOW 3 4 2½ 41¾ 56½ 713¼ 730¾ (barrow paul)LUZZI J 121 8.00 10% 8.60 2.80  
 
AQU-4   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:23 :47 :60     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) 7 5 32 31½   31 1½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 2.80  
1  AMUNDSON 1 6 62¾ 54   43 2½ (toscano j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 2.00 62% 0.60 1.75 P
2  STEWIE 2 4 1½ 11   1½ 32¾ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 11.00  
6  SCARAMANGA (IRE) 6 2 2½ 21   2½ 42¾ (shivmangal lolit)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
3  PERSISTENT DANGER 3 3 77¼ 78   64½ 54¾ (keithan rachael)OLVER MADISON 121 30.00 5% 19.00 71.50  
4  POP COYER 4 1 52½ 67½   75½ 66½ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 ★ 8.10  
5  EXCELLENT TIMING 5 7 42 42½   53 77 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00 2.35  
 
AQU-5   03/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:13     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHORT SHIFT (IRE) 4 1 1½ 1½   15½ 14½ (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 1.60 39% 1.50 0.95 W
7  SHAMAN PRINCESS 5 2 2½ 2½   25½ 24½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00 4.10  
8  MIA NIPOTINA 6 5 67 69½   414½ 310 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 26% 2.80 9.20 S
1  DREAM ON CARA 1 6 57 46½   311½ 410 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 6% 16.10 4.00  
4  EASTERN STAR 3 4 44½ 58   516 514 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 7.70  
2  TROUBLED LUCK 2 3 32½ 34½   618 625¾ (delauro )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 11.70  
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH               (keithan rachae)HARKIE K 123 30.00    
SCR  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE               (miceli michael)LUZZI J 123 10.00    
 
AQU-6   03/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:113     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL 3 5 53½ 53½   2½ 11 (kantarmaci)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.50 1.05  
1A  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 7 3 11 11½   1½ 21 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 1.05  
4  REDDINGTON 4 4 42½ 42½   43 33¼ (barker edwar)RIVERA R 123 3.50 4.90  
7  PRESIDENT Z 6 2 31½ 32½   32½ 45 (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 13.40  
6  MAGNIFICENT MILE 5 7 21 21½   53 57 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 44% 1.30 2.70  
3  MANDATORY 2 1 65 711½   65½ 67 (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 22% 3.60 5.40  
2  LOST IN ROME 1 6 76½ 68½   78 711½ (potts wayne)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
SCR  MARGIN OF AIR               (rice linda)VIVES SOFIA 121 6.00    
 
AQU-7   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LA BANQUERA 6 1 32 21   13½ 15¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.00 29% 2.40 0.40 W
3  JACKSON'S DIXIE 4 6 78¼ 55½   35 25¼ (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 121 8.00 8.20  
1  MOSIENKO 1 5 43½ 43½   45½ 38½ (kantarmaci)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50 14% 6.00 7.30 S
4  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE 5 4 53¾ 66   66½ 49½ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 9% 9.60 25.75  
2  NOLITA 3 7 67¼ 76½   76¾ 59½ (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 26% 2.90 7.80  
1A  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 2 2 2nk 33½   55½ 69¾ (kantarmaci il)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50 7.30  
7  TRUE EMPRESS 8 8 89¾ 811½   810¼ 715 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 10.60  
6  PEAK OF CHIC 7 3 1nk 11   23½ 816¾ (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 10.00 26.00  
 
AQU-8   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ATTORNEY WADE 8 7 42 1nk   11 14 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 28% 2.60 3.30 W
6  COUNTER MOVE 6 1 21 2nk   21 24 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 28% 2.60 0.70 P
7  DEAR CHAIRMAN 7 4 73½ 67   68½ 37¾ (guerrero )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00 12.40  
3  OMAHA PISTOL 3 2 31½ 42½   34 47¾ (englehart jeremia)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 21% 3.80 9.20  
4  ISLAND CHARLIE 4 5 52½ 53½   46 59¾ (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 12.40  
1  MONTAUK MEMOIRS 1 8 815½ 816   817 619½ (barrow paul)LUZZI J 120 20.00 51.75  
5  KINGS AND QUEENS 5 3 11 3½   58 721 (sacco gr)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 11.40  
2  SOLVENCY 2 6 63½ 78   712½ 821¾ (d'alessandro ral)COA J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 27.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.