Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(6/2/1)-(7/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(7/1/3)-(1/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(1/6/3)-(6/8/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(6/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(6/8/1)-(6/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/1)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1)-(6/3/2)-(5/2/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/2/1/4)-(6/8/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/4)-(6/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/2)-(6/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/2)-(6/8/3/2)-(6/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/14/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE TIME Feb14 Jan31 Jan16 Dec12 Nov15 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 4.50    
1A  BIG RICH Feb21 Feb07 Jan11 Dec29 Nov22 (ferraro jame)HARKIE K 123 4.50    
2  STEADY PROGRESS Feb14 Jan26 Jan18 Jan01 Dec12 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 20.00    
3  BOLD VICTORY Feb27 Feb13 Feb01 Jan03 Nov24 (kantarmaci ilka)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.60 26% 2.80    
4  BROOKLYN STRONG Feb14 Jan19 Dec20 Nov25 Nov13 (velazquez dani)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
5  PORTOS Feb28 Feb01 Jan16 Jan01 Dec12 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
6  O P FIRECRACKER Feb27 Dec12 Nov15 Oct26 Sep28 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-2   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Feb08 Jan11 Jun16 May12 Apr14 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRAYWING Mar02 Jan30 Jan11 Dec15 Nov15 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 29% 2.50    
3  ELYSIAN MEADOWS Aug25 Aug15 Jul15 Jun09 Apr27 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50    
4  FACTUALLY CORRECT Feb14 Dec14 Oct27 Sep19 Aug08 (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50    
5  ACOUSTIC AVE Feb14 Jan16 Dec15 Nov30 Oct18 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00    
6  TEN CENT TOWN May17 Mar29 Feb16 Jan13 Dec16 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.00 35% 1.80    
 
AQU-3   03/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONDIMENT GIRL Feb22 Jan05 Dec14 Nov07 Oct10 (potts wayne)ROBLES O 116 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  APRIL ANTICS Mar07 Jan19 Jan05 Nov22 Oct10 (barrera oscar )COA J 121 5.00 ★    
3  MY ROYAL VOW Feb22 Jan05 Nov26 Nov18 Oct09 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 121 8.00 10% 8.60    
4  EVERLYS GIRL Feb22 Jan31 Jan25 Jan12 Dec08 (chatterpaul )HARKIE K 123 4.50    
5  CARBON Mar07 Feb13 Jan23 Jan12 Jan02 (samsu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 6.00    
6  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Feb15 Jan31 Jan03 Nov13 Oct21 (potts wayne)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 5.00    
7  RAW POWER Feb22 Jan31 Jan05 Dec14 Nov26 (sells rachel)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
AQU-4   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMUNDSON Feb21 Jul27 Jul06 May05 Apr11 (toscano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 2.00 62% 0.60    
2  STEWIE Jan30 Nov05 Oct04 Sep10 Aug28 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
3  PERSISTENT DANGER Feb23 Feb09 Jan12 May07 Apr29 (keithan racha)OLVER MADISON 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  POP COYER Feb08 Dec15 Nov05 Oct16 Sep16 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 ★    
5  EXCELLENT TIMING Jan30 Dec15 Oct18 Sep21 Jun27 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
6  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Mar02 Jan10 Dec08 Nov23 Oct11 (shivmangal lol)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Feb14 Jan30 Dec06 Nov24 Nov01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80    
 
AQU-5   03/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM ON CARA Feb09 Jan16 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 6% 16.10    
2  TROUBLED LUCK Feb27 Feb02 Jan16 Nov25 Nov04 (delaur)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00    
SCR  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Feb22 Jan01 Dec01 Jul05 May26 (miceli michael)LUZZI J 123 10.00    
4  EASTERN STAR Feb27 Jan31 Jan12 May11 Apr13 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Mar01 Feb02 Jan18 Dec14 Dec08 (keithan rach)HARKIE K 123 30.00    
6  SHORT SHIFT (IRE) Feb27 Feb02 Jan16 Dec08 Nov03 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 1.60 39% 1.50    
7  SHAMAN PRINCESS Feb02 Jan16 Nov20 Sep20 Aug30 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00    
8  MIA NIPOTINA Mar01 Feb07 Jan16 Dec29 Nov25 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 26% 2.80    
 
AQU-6   03/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Jan30 Dec29 Nov30 Aug17 Jul25 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.50    
1A  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Mar07 Jan24 Dec13 Nov23 Nov08 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
2  LOST IN ROME Feb23 Jan24 Oct13 Sep15 Aug21 (potts wayne)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MANDATORY Jun08 May09 Mar29 Mar09 Feb16 (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 22% 3.60    
4  REDDINGTON Feb08 Jan12 Dec06 Nov09 Sep21 (barker edw)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
SCR  MARGIN OF AIR Mar07 Dec12 Nov15 Oct18 Sep21 (rice linda)VIVES SOFIA 121 6.00    
6  MAGNIFICENT MILE Feb09 Jan24 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  PRESIDENT Z Jan19 Nov20 Nov02 Feb09 Jan13 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00    
 
AQU-7   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSIENKO Jan30 Jan10 Dec12 Nov07 Oct06 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
1A  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Feb09 Jan19 Jan10 Nov21 Mar30 (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50    
2  NOLITA Feb09 Jan04 Dec07 Oct24 Sep27 (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 26% 2.90    
3  JACKSON'S DIXIE Feb27 Jan10 Jan01 Dec14 Nov21 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 121 8.00    
4  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Feb09 Nov21 Sep19 Aug18 Jul22 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 9% 9.60    
5  LA BANQUERA Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Jul25 Jun09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.00 29% 2.40    
6  PEAK OF CHIC Feb14 Dec28 Dec06 Jan11 Dec08 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 10.00    
7  TRUE EMPRESS Feb09 Jan10 Nov05 Sep17 Aug28 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
 
AQU-8   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK MEMOIRS Feb08         (barrow paul)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ILLGIVEYOUWATTEVER by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
2  SOLVENCY         (d'alessandro r)COA J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of NEW YEAR'S WISH by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
3  OMAHA PISTOL Jan25 Sep02       (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of GUN CLUB by TRAPPE SHOT)
4  ISLAND CHARLIE Feb01 Jan04       (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LITTLE BRAVE by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
5  KINGS AND QUEENS         (sacco )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of DEEP CONNECTION by SKY MESA)
6  COUNTER MOVE Feb08         (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 28% 2.60    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of GYPSY ANGEL by SILVER TRAIN)
7  DEAR CHAIRMAN Feb22 Jan25 Dec15 Nov25   (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of AUNT CHIPPY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  ATTORNEY WADE Jan11         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HIGH PITCH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.