Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Friday - February 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
AQU-2   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.70 $4.70  
AQU-3   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
AQU-4   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 1.70
AQU-5   Win (2/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $18.20  
AQU-6   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $8.40  
AQU-7   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.90 $5.90  
AQU-8   Win (2/7/4/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $15.20  
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   02/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:131     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOP LIFTING 1 1 1½ 12   14 17¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 62% 0.60 0.75 W
2  SHIRL'S DELIGHT 2 3 43½ 33   24 27¼ (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 4.40  
5  MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE 4 4 32 43½   39 317 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.60 2.15  
3  WIMBERLY 3 2 2½ 22   411½ 429½ (green j)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 7% 12.90 6.40  
SCR  WAKE UP LAUREN               (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
 
AQU-2   02/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:14 1:263   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ADELEKE 3 2 11 11 1nk 13 15¼ (dunn felissa)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 30% 2.30 1.35 W
2  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN 2 3 32 31 2nk 23 25¼ (miceli michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 2.30  
5  FLOGE 4 4 42 42 36 39 310 (potts wayne)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00 5.60  
1  WHISTLER'S STYLE 1 5 59 58½ 58¾ 414½ 415½ (giangiul)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
6  GOLDCREST 5 1 21 21 48½ 524½ 564¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 36% 1.80 3.25  
SCR  WILLFUL DESIRE               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00    
 
AQU-3   02/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:142     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AMERICA'S HONOR 2 2 21 2½   1½ 16¼ (sacco d)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 59% 0.70 0.65 W
1  SMOKEY PLACES 1 1 11 1½   2½ 26¼ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 7.90  
4  NICO'S DERBY RUN 4 3 52½ 54   34 36½ (barker r)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 3.00  
5  BRODERICK 5 4 42 32½   45 412¼ (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50 13% 6.80 5.90  
3  LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA 3 5 32 43½   57 512¼ (arriaga antonio)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
SCR  KING'S SPIRIT               (sacco d)LUZZI J 120 5.00    
 
AQU-4   02/21/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:144 1:42   1:564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BIG RICH 3 4 42½ 34 35½ 34½ 1hd (ferraro w)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 21% 3.70 2.85 W
2  SOLO EMPIRE 1 1 11 11½ 1nk 12 2hd (begg bentl)LUZZI J 123 12.00 6.00  
3  BROWN DON'T STOP 2 2 21 21½ 2nk 22 33¾ (bernardini jua)HARKIE K 123 3.50 29% 2.40 0.90 S
6  NEPTUNE BEACH 4 3 32½ 44 48½ 416½ 416¾ (rodriguez r)CEDENO CAROL 123 20.00 14.90  
7  OLLIE CAN DANCE 5 5 53½ 58½ 515 528½ 534½ (ibrahim emron)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 25% 3.00 3.85  
SCR  D DAY SKY               (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60    
SCR  TAPARINO               (antonucc)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50    
 
AQU-5   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:004     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SEE YOU LOOKIN 1 5 31½ 41¼   11½ 14 (sacco d)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 8.10  
4  WHENLOVETAKESOVER 4 4 21 11   21½ 24 (quick j)OLVER MADISON 123 10.00 5% 19.00 11.40 P
2  ZEEBEAR 2 2 43 21   32½ 34¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 53% 0.90 3.00 S
6  PINEAPPLE MAN 6 7 78½ 66¼   57 45¼ (nevin michelle)LUZZI J 123 3.50 12% 7.40 4.60  
3  PERFECT FLIGHT 3 6 55 51¾   43½ 55¾ (shivmangal lolita)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.50 12% 7.10 2.35  
7  KING MOONRACER 7 3 68 76¾   69½ 614 (potts wayne)MARTINEZ R 123 20.00 39.50  
5  ALEAH ALEAH 5 1 11 31   710 729¾ (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 2.90  
 
AQU-6   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:231 :471 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DOT'S DOLLAR 5 1 12½ 15½   15 13½ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.50 3.20  
5  TETSU 3 5 54½ 46½   35 23½ (dutrow e)LUZZI J 121 3.00 3.00  
4  AMUNDSON 2 3 22½ 25½   25 33½ (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50 51% 1.00 3.35 S
2  ABADIN 1 4 32½ 58   59 46½ (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 5% 19.00 1.80  
6  MISTER J T 4 2 43 36½   48 57½ (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 23% 3.30 7.10  
SCR  COURAGEOOUS OH LA               (dixon k)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00    
SCR  STEWIE               (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
 
AQU-7   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:233 :473 :594     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CRAZY MASON 2 5 512 59   55 12½ (sacco d)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 23% 3.30 1.95 W
5  TOXIC GRAY 4 1 1½ 1½   11 22½ (miceli m)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.00 1.90  
4  SPUN AND WON 3 2 32 31½   31 32½ (dutrow e)LUZZI J 121 8.00 26.75  
6  VICTORY WAY 5 3 2½ 2½   21 42¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.80 23% 3.40 1.75  
1  SCOOT DADDY 1 4 42 41½   43½ 59½ (abreu fernando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 14% 6.20 7.40  
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE               (goberdhan chandr)CHANDRA PREM 111 20.00    
 
AQU-8   02/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:141     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MO FOR THE KING 6 3 12 15   1½ 11½ (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 6.60  
9  GRAND CASH 9 2 43 45½   3½ 21½ (bhigroog chetra)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 7% 13.30 2.75 P
4  TIOTE 4 5 32½ 25   2½ 32 (cox h)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 17% 4.90 7.20 S
1  HAVE A CIGAR 1 9 912½ 919½   59 46 (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 4.80  
2  TOTAL SILENCE 2 8 53½ 56½   44½ 510¼ (gargan dan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 36% 1.80 4.70  
5  ALZERO 5 6 63½ 612½   612 610¾ (bond james)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 27.50  
3  KISMEHOLDMETHRLME 3 7 810½ 718   714 714 (arriaga antonio)OLVER MADISON 120 30.00 43.25  
7  RECURRING REVENUE 7 4 22 35   818 823¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 20% 4.10 3.25  
8  FIRST PITCH 8 10 1019 1025½   925 930½ (jimenez l)CEDENO CAROL 120 30.00 77.75  
10  STATE PARK 10 1 78½ 818½   1025½ 1033½ (lauer michael)LUZZI J 120 30.00 41.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.