Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Far Hills
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FH-1   WIN (7/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.20 $1.20 15%
    EXA (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $13.80 $1.80 15%
    TRI (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-5-2 $21.05 $9.05 75%
FH-2   WIN (3/5/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $10.60 $0.60 6%
    EXA (3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-1 $29.70 $9.70 49%
    TRI (3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-1-5 $45.20 $15.20 51%
    SFT (3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 120 $0.10 $12.00  3-1-5-2 $36.91 $24.91 208%
FH-3   WIN (3/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $10.40 $2.40 30%
FH-5   EXA (5/7/1/3/8)-(5/7/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-8 $22.20 $2.20 11%

Simulator Race results

 
FH-1   10/19/2024 11220ft TURF RC11 FIRM Harry Purse ($50K) 4 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
4:021         4:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLIFTON DOWN (IRE) 7 4 4 25 21 1nk 1 (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 153 3.00 50% 1.00 3.60 W
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of STAR OF BRISTOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
HIDDEN PATH 5 815 813 812½ 7 32 2 (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 153 2.00 29% 2.50 3.70 P
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOTS O' LEX by KITALPHA)
SMART UNCLE 2 511½ 511½ 610½ 54 6 3 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 150 8.00 5% 19.00 2.10 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMART TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
SOUTHPAW MIKE 6 714 612 510 6 4 4 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 153 15.00 7.30  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PATRIOT MISS by QUIET AMERICAN)
BIGGERTHANBIGTIME (IRE) 1 17 17 15 11 2nk 512¾ (foley barry)O'HANLON PADDY 150 20.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
  (by CAMACHO out of BREEDJ by ACCLAMATION)
LITTLE TRILBY (GB) 3 3 27 3 32 5 615 (hendriks ric)KENNEDY W 156 4.00 6.30  
  (by GOLDEN HORN out of MIDDLE CREEK by POET'S VOICE)
SULTAN PIERJI (FR) 4 612½ 712½ 712 8 714½ 725¼ (garner thom)HENDRIKS PARKER 153 6.00 13.70  
  (by ECTOT out of SULTANE DES BORDES by LAVIRCO)
KYOGO (IRE) 8 27 3 4 4 817½ 880½ (hendriks r)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 156 10.00 11.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
FH-2   10/19/2024 11220ft TURF RC11 FIRM McDynamo Maiden Sweepstakes Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
4:031         4:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINELLA JUKE (IRE) 3 33 3 3 33 4 1½ (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 154 2.00 31% 2.20 4.30 W
  (by JUKEBOX JURY out of EMMYLOU DU BERLAIS by KADALKO)
MOONSHINE TIME (IRE) 1 6 54 6 45 21 2½ (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 154 10.00 13% 6.60 4.00 P
  (by SHOLOKHOV out of DENWOMAN by WITNESS BOX)
MEMENTO (FR) 5 12 12 12 12 11 3 (kingsley ar)GALLIGAN GERARD 154 4.00 30% 2.40 3.60 S
  (by MORPHEUS out of ALBIDA by DANSILI (GB))
RUCKER ROAD (IRE) 2 44 4 4 5 5 411 (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 154 8.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
  (by MALINAS out of PARTY BELLE by SILVER PATRIARCH)
MARCEL MAGIC (IRE) 4 8 87 87 6 618½ 5100 (neilson kat)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 15.00 18.80  
  (by MARCEL out of ANNAROE by BENEFICIAL)
BOX OFFICE WARRIOR 8 77 76 7 7 719½ 6100 (mckenna todd)O'HANLON PADDY 154 20.00 7.60  
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of BOX OFFICE QUEEN by PULPIT)
MR GOWER (IRE) 9 98 98 98 810½ 820½ 7100 (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 154 15.00 25.50  
  (by IMPERIAL MONARCH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
HARRENHAL (IRE) 6 22 22 22 22 32 8100 (hendriks ric)KENNEDY W 154 6.00 5% 18.30 6.00  
  (by DOYEN out of CRYSTAL MIST by DALAKHANI)
PEBBLY POUR TOI (IRE) 7 5 65 55 9100 9100 9100 (fout dou)BESWICK HARRISON 154 15.00 15.20  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  NATHAN DETROIT               (morris r)DWAN EVAN 154 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GRACIE SQUARE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
FH-3   10/19/2024 11220ft TURF RC11 FIRM Peapack Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:11
See original race card.
4:00         4:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD CHARM (IRE) 8 816½ 821 719 621½ 514½ 1 (murphy cyri)GALLIGAN GERARD 153 3.00 29% 2.40 4.20 W
  (by GOLDEN HORN out of DEVERON by COZZENE)
BELLE WISH (IRE) 6 2 21 22 2 23 2 (young leslie)O'HANLON PADDY 143 8.00 17.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
RIGHT TEMPO (FR) 1 714½ 720 617 724½ 615½ 3 (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 159 2.00 6% 16.30 2.50 S
  (by AUTHORIZED out of TEMPO ROYALE by BORIS DE DEAUVILLE)
KICKING MYSELF (IRE) 4 410½ 416 516 521½ 716½ 412½ (garner thoma)MCDERMOTT SEAN 141 20.00 16.30  
  (by DOYEN out of AT THAT TIME by KALANISI (IRE))
EASY SQUEEZE (FR) 7 512 516 314 315 414 525¼ (fout doug)HENDRIKS PARKER 147 6.00 5.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
HAINT BLUE (FR) 2 613½ 618 415 415½ 313 626 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 145 15.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
  (by DONE TALKING out of QUEEN MOON by LAWMAN (FR))
EXCULPATE 3 1 11 12 1 13 7100 (kingsley arc)WATTERS GRAHAM 155 4.00 40% 1.50 4.00  
  (by BLAME out of GREAT MILLS HIGH by STUDENT COUNCIL)
CLARA BELLE 5 3 313 8100 8100 8100 8100 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 145 10.00 5.60  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ENCORE BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
FH-4   10/19/2024 13200ft TURF RC11 FIRM Foxbrook Champion Hurdle Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
4:513         4:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING COUNTRY (IRE) 5 44 54 33 22 1nk 1 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 153 4.00 8.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FRANKLY NATIVE by BE MY NATIVE)
ABAAN 2 108 10 8 43 55 2 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 159 3.00 30% 2.40 2.30 P
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of ANCHORAGE by TAPIT)
KIYOMORI 7 21 21 12 12 44 39 (wyatt j)DWAN EVAN 153 20.00 37.30  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of THE GREY EXPRESS by KING'S THEATRE)
10  SET POINT (IRE) 10 86 8 65 5 33 4 (elliot gordo)KENNEDY W 156 8.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
LIGHTNING ROD 3 98 75 55 8 66 510¾ (george lair)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 15.00 18.10  
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of KATARA by PULPIT)
SAINT RIQUIER (FR) 4 7 9 10 7 78 619 (williams ian)TODD CHARLIE 156 6.00 5% 19.00 3.20  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
OLD TOM MORRIS (IRE) 8 34 4 7 6 2nk 7100 (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 150 10.00 12.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
EVIE'S PRINCE 1 6 65 9 911½ 810 8100 (morris neil )O'HANLON PADDY 156 10.00 29% 2.50 16.30  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of OWL MOON by GHOSTZAPPER)
JIMMY DAN 6 11 11 22 32 911 9100 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 159 6.00 16% 5.30 4.40  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CORONETTE by EMPIRE MAKER)
DOESN'T STING (GB) 9 5 33 44 1018½ 10100 10100 (fisher john)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 15.00 26.90  
  (by SCORPION out of LA BOMBONERA by QUALITY ROAD)
 
FH-5   10/19/2024 13860ft TURF RC14 FIRM American Grand National Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
5:024         5:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAP DECISION 5 3 56 21 2½ 1nk 1¼ (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 156 1.60 31% 2.30 2.90 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of SALUTE by UNBRIDLED)
GALVIN (IRE) 8 21 2 32 3 2nk 2¼ (elliot gordo)KENNEDY W 156 8.00 5% 19.00 2.30 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
HIGH DEFINITION (IRE) 9 54 6 55 4 3.2 3½ (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 156 15.00 16.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of PALACE by CITY ZIP)
L'IMPERATOR (FR) 1 8 8 88 5 4 4 (kingsley ar)GALLIGAN GERARD 156 15.00 19% 4.30 16.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA JOIE by MONTJEU (IRE))
NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) 3 65 3 66 75 8 5 (mckenna todd)O'HANLON PADDY 156 8.00 7% 13.70 8.00  
  (by VINNIE ROE out of WELL WATER by ILLINOIS STORM)
SEBASTOPOL (IRE) 4 42 43 43 6 5 6 (fisher john)HENDRIKS PARKER 156 6.00 10.20  
  (by FAME AND GLORY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
JIMMY P 7 76 7 77 87 6 75 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 156 4.00 21% 3.80 4.90  
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
FRONTLINE CITIZEN (IRE) 2 11 1 11 1½ 7 8 (beecher mark)DWAN EVAN 156 30.00 15.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FOREIGN CITIZEN by PRESENTING (GB))
MERRY MAKER (IRE) 6 910½ 911¼ 911 917 9 953¾ (kingsley arc)MCDERMOTT SEAN 156 10.00 7.50  
  (by MALINAS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.