Handicappers' Racing Form

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Far Hills
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FH-1   Win (7/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FH-2   Win (3/5/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FH-3   Win (3/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FH-4   Win (2/1/6/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FH-5   Win (5/7/1/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FH-6   Win (13/8/5/14/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FH-1   10/19/2024 11220ft TURF RC11 FIRM Harry Purse ($50K) 4 ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIGGERTHANBIGTIME         (foley barry)O'HANLON PADDY 150 20.00 5% 19.00    
SMART UNCLE Sep01 Aug13 Oct13 Jul28 Jun11 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 150 8.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE TRILBY (GB) Aug28         (hendriks richa)KENNEDY W 156 4.00    
SULTAN PIERJI         (garner thomas)HENDRIKS PARKER 153 6.00    
HIDDEN PATH Sep19 Aug28 Mar30 Oct08 Sep07 (hendriks ric)BESWICK HARRISON 153 2.00 29% 2.50    
SOUTHPAW MIKE Sep05 Aug01 Jul11 Mar30 Jul29 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 153 15.00    
CLIFTON DOWN (IRE) Sep05 Jul11 Apr06 Nov12   (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 153 3.00 50% 1.00    
KYOGO (IRE) Nov12         (hendriks ric)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 156 10.00    
 
FH-2   10/19/2024 11220ft TURF RC11 FIRM McDynamo Maiden Sweepstakes Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSHINE TIME (IRE) Sep05 Aug01 Jul11     (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 154 10.00 13% 6.60    
RUCKER ROAD         (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 154 8.00 5% 19.00    
MINELLA JUKE         (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 154 2.00 31% 2.20    
MARCEL MAGIC         (neilson kathy)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 15.00    
MEMENTO (FR) Sep05 Mar30       (kingsley arch)GALLIGAN GERARD 154 4.00 30% 2.40    
HARRENHAL         (hendriks richa)KENNEDY W 154 6.00 5% 18.30    
PEBBLY POUR TOI (IRE) Sep05         (fout dougl)BESWICK HARRISON 154 15.00    
BOX OFFICE WARRIOR Jul27 Jul15 Jul03 Jun02 May20 (mckenna todd)O'HANLON PADDY 154 20.00    
MR GOWER         (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 154 15.00    
SCR  NATHAN DETROIT Jul14 Feb24 Jan01 Dec15 Nov06 (morris r)DWAN EVAN 154 8.00    
 
FH-3   10/19/2024 11220ft TURF RC11 FIRM Peapack Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT TEMPO (FR) Sep08 Aug11 Apr08     (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 159 2.00 6% 16.30    
HAINT BLUE (FR) Sep05 Aug12 Jul14 Jun09 Apr26 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 145 15.00 5% 19.00    
EXCULPATE Sep05 Aug12 Jul11 Sep03 Aug12 (kingsley archi)WATTERS GRAHAM 155 4.00 40% 1.50    
KICKING MYSELF (IRE) May14         (garner thomas)MCDERMOTT SEAN 141 20.00    
CLARA BELLE Sep05 Feb08 Jan18 Jan06 Dec08 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 145 10.00    
BELLE WISH         (young f)O'HANLON PADDY 143 8.00    
EASY SQUEEZE (FR) Apr06         (fout dougla)HENDRIKS PARKER 147 6.00    
GOLD CHARM (IRE) Sep05 Aug11 Jul14     (murphy cyril)BESWICK HARRISON 153 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
FH-4   10/19/2024 13200ft TURF RC11 FIRM Foxbrook Champion Hurdle Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVIE'S PRINCE Sep19 Aug28 Aug01 Sep04 May07 (morris r)O'HANLON PADDY 156 10.00 29% 2.50    
ABAAN Aug14 Jul21 Mar30 Sep08 Aug11 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 159 3.00 30% 2.40    
LIGHTNING ROD Aug28 Mar30 Nov05 Oct22 Aug17 (george laird)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 15.00    
SAINT RIQUIER         (williams ian)TODD CHARLIE 156 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOING COUNTRY (IRE) Sep19 Aug14 Jul21 Oct22 Sep15 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 153 4.00    
JIMMY DAN Aug12 Jul18 Nov13 Oct24 Sep04 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 159 6.00 16% 5.30    
KIYOMORI Aug14 Sep08 Jul22 Nov05 Oct07 (wyatt j)BESWICK HARRISON 153 20.00    
OLD TOM MORRIS         (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 150 10.00    
DOESN'T STING (GB)         (fisher r)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 15.00    
10  SET POINT May02         (elliot gordon)KENNEDY W 156 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FH-5   10/19/2024 13860ft TURF RC14 FIRM American Grand National Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
L'IMPERATOR (FR) Sep19 Sep07 Jul21 Jun20 Mar30 (kingsley arch)GALLIGAN GERARD 156 15.00 19% 4.30    
FRONTLINE CITIZEN (IRE) May13         (beecher mark)DWAN EVAN 156 30.00    
NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) Aug23 Jul19 Oct15 Sep15   (mckenna todd)BESWICK HARRISON 156 8.00 7% 13.70    
SEBASTOPOL         (fisher r)HENDRIKS PARKER 156 6.00    
SNAP DECISION Sep14 Oct15 Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 156 1.60 31% 2.30    
MERRY MAKER (IRE) Sep14 Aug23 Aug02 Nov05 Oct22 (kingsley archi)MCDERMOTT SEAN 156 10.00    
JIMMY P Aug14 Jun20 Aug23 Mar25 Oct22 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 156 4.00 21% 3.80    
GALVIN         (elliot gordon)KENNEDY W 156 8.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH DEFINITION (IRE) Jun09         (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 156 15.00    
 
FH-6   10/19/2024 10560ft TURF RC11 FIRM John Forbes Memorial Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOPIC CHANGER Oct05 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 Mar25 (maker michael )CARROLL DECLAN 140 30.00 5% 19.00    
AWESOME MAN Jun10 May19 Dec16 Nov24 Sep25 (wyatt j)BESWICK HARRISON 144 30.00    
SCR  FAMILIAR DREAMS (GB) Sep11         (elliot gordon)KENNEDY W 145 20.00    
GILDED AGE Aug04 May27 May04 Mar20 Mar14 (d'angelo fr)COTTO L 144 20.00    
BRITISH ROYALTY Sep15 Aug23 Aug11 Jul19 Oct29 (neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 148 12.00 15% 5.50    
LORD FLINTSHIRE Aug24 Jun07 May04 Nov16 Oct13 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 144 15.00    
THE ADDISON POUR Aug17 Jul14 Jun15 May17 Apr21 (brion keri)WATTERS GRAHAM 144 12.00    
CALIFORNIA FROLIC Sep08 Aug16 Jun15 May25 Mar31 (avila ju)LEIVA EDUARDO 148 5.00 19% 4.20    
TOO FRIENDLY (GB) Aug14         (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 144 20.00    
10  WINNING SPIRIT (GER) Aug21 Jun15       (clement christ)O'HANLON PADDY 148 20.00    
11  CURBSTONE Sep26 Aug21 Jun23 May09 Mar30 (morley thomas)DALTON BERNARD 144 15.00    
SCR  TIDE OF THE SEA Sep28 Sep05 Jul16 Jan11 Nov11 (sharp joe)SHARP JOE 148 8.00    
13  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) Sep11 Aug21 Jun06 May18 Apr20 (motion grah)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 1.60 38% 1.60    
14  DEAN MARTINI Sep28 Aug22 Jul21 Jun09 Apr28 (eurton peter)MCDERMOTT SEAN 148 10.00 5% 17.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.