Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Far Hills
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FH-1   WIN (7/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/8/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FH-2   WIN (3/5/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6/2)-(3/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/6/2)-(3/8/1/2)-(2/1/6/4/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
FH-3   WIN (3/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/1/2)-(2/1/6/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1/2)-(2/1/6/4/10)-(5/7/1/3/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
FH-4   WIN (2/1/6/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4/10)-(2/1/6/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4/10)-(2/1/6/4/10)-(2/1/6/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/6/4/10)-(5/7/1/3/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/4/10)-(5/7/1/3/8)-(13/8/5/14/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
FH-5   WIN (5/7/1/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/3/8)-(5/7/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/3/8)-(5/7/1/3/8)-(5/7/1/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/1/3/8)-(13/8/5/14/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FH-6   WIN (13/8/5/14/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/8/5/14/1)-(13/8/5/14/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/8/5/14/1)-(13/8/5/14/1)-(13/8/5/14/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FH-1   10/19/2024 11220ft TURF RC11 FIRM Harry Purse ($50K) 4 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIGGERTHANBIGTIME (IRE)         (foley barry)O'HANLON PADDY 150 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAMACHO out of BREEDJ by ACCLAMATION)
2  SMART UNCLE Sep01 Aug13 Oct13 Jul28 Jun11 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 150 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMART TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
3  LITTLE TRILBY (GB) Aug28         (hendriks ric)KENNEDY W 156 4.00    
  (by GOLDEN HORN out of MIDDLE CREEK by POET'S VOICE)
4  SULTAN PIERJI (FR)         (garner thom)HENDRIKS PARKER 153 6.00    
  (by ECTOT out of SULTANE DES BORDES by LAVIRCO)
5  HIDDEN PATH Sep19 Aug28 Mar30 Oct08 Sep07 (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 153 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOTS O' LEX by KITALPHA)
6  SOUTHPAW MIKE Sep05 Aug01 Jul11 Mar30 Jul29 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 153 15.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PATRIOT MISS by QUIET AMERICAN)
7  CLIFTON DOWN (IRE) Sep05 Jul11 Apr06 Nov12   (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 153 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of STAR OF BRISTOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  KYOGO (IRE) Nov12         (hendriks r)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 156 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
FH-2   10/19/2024 11220ft TURF RC11 FIRM McDynamo Maiden Sweepstakes Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONSHINE TIME (IRE) Sep05 Aug01 Jul11     (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 154 10.00 13% 6.60    
  (by SHOLOKHOV out of DENWOMAN by WITNESS BOX)
2  RUCKER ROAD (IRE)         (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 154 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALINAS out of PARTY BELLE by SILVER PATRIARCH)
3  MINELLA JUKE (IRE)         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 154 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by JUKEBOX JURY out of EMMYLOU DU BERLAIS by KADALKO)
4  MARCEL MAGIC (IRE)         (neilson kat)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 15.00    
  (by MARCEL out of ANNAROE by BENEFICIAL)
5  MEMENTO (FR) Sep05 Mar30       (kingsley ar)GALLIGAN GERARD 154 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by MORPHEUS out of ALBIDA by DANSILI (GB))
6  HARRENHAL (IRE)         (hendriks ric)KENNEDY W 154 6.00 5% 18.30    
  (by DOYEN out of CRYSTAL MIST by DALAKHANI)
7  PEBBLY POUR TOI (IRE) Sep05         (fout dou)BESWICK HARRISON 154 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  BOX OFFICE WARRIOR Jul27 Jul15 Jul03 Jun02 May20 (mckenna todd)O'HANLON PADDY 154 20.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of BOX OFFICE QUEEN by PULPIT)
9  MR GOWER (IRE)         (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 154 15.00    
  (by IMPERIAL MONARCH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  NATHAN DETROIT Jul14 Feb24 Jan01 Dec15 Nov06 (morris r)DWAN EVAN 154 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GRACIE SQUARE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
FH-3   10/19/2024 11220ft TURF RC11 FIRM Peapack Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT TEMPO (FR) Sep08 Aug11 Apr08     (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 159 2.00 6% 16.30    
  (by AUTHORIZED out of TEMPO ROYALE by BORIS DE DEAUVILLE)
2  HAINT BLUE (FR) Sep05 Aug12 Jul14 Jun09 Apr26 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 145 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DONE TALKING out of QUEEN MOON by LAWMAN (FR))
3  EXCULPATE Sep05 Aug12 Jul11 Sep03 Aug12 (kingsley arc)WATTERS GRAHAM 155 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by BLAME out of GREAT MILLS HIGH by STUDENT COUNCIL)
4  KICKING MYSELF (IRE) May14         (garner thoma)MCDERMOTT SEAN 141 20.00    
  (by DOYEN out of AT THAT TIME by KALANISI (IRE))
5  CLARA BELLE Sep05 Feb08 Jan18 Jan06 Dec08 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 145 10.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ENCORE BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
6  BELLE WISH (IRE)         (young leslie)O'HANLON PADDY 143 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  EASY SQUEEZE (FR) Apr06         (fout doug)HENDRIKS PARKER 147 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  GOLD CHARM (IRE) Sep05 Aug11 Jul14     (murphy cyr)BESWICK HARRISON 153 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by GOLDEN HORN out of DEVERON by COZZENE)
 
FH-4   10/19/2024 13200ft TURF RC11 FIRM Foxbrook Champion Hurdle Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVIE'S PRINCE Sep19 Aug28 Aug01 Sep04 May07 (morris neil )O'HANLON PADDY 156 10.00 29% 2.50    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of OWL MOON by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  ABAAN Aug14 Jul21 Mar30 Sep08 Aug11 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 159 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of ANCHORAGE by TAPIT)
3  LIGHTNING ROD Aug28 Mar30 Nov05 Oct22 Aug17 (george lair)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 15.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of KATARA by PULPIT)
4  SAINT RIQUIER (FR)         (williams ian)TODD CHARLIE 156 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) Sep19 Aug14 Jul21 Oct22 Sep15 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 153 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FRANKLY NATIVE by BE MY NATIVE)
6  JIMMY DAN Aug12 Jul18 Nov13 Oct24 Sep04 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 159 6.00 16% 5.30    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CORONETTE by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  KIYOMORI Aug14 Sep08 Jul22 Nov05 Oct07 (wyatt todd)BESWICK HARRISON 153 20.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of THE GREY EXPRESS by KING'S THEATRE)
8  OLD TOM MORRIS (IRE)         (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 150 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  DOESN'T STING (GB)         (fisher john)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 15.00    
  (by SCORPION out of LA BOMBONERA by QUALITY ROAD)
10  SET POINT (IRE) May02         (elliot gordo)KENNEDY W 156 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
 
FH-5   10/19/2024 13860ft TURF RC14 FIRM American Grand National Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  L'IMPERATOR (FR) Sep19 Sep07 Jul21 Jun20 Mar30 (kingsley ar)GALLIGAN GERARD 156 15.00 19% 4.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA JOIE by MONTJEU (IRE))
2  FRONTLINE CITIZEN (IRE) May13         (beecher mark)DWAN EVAN 156 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FOREIGN CITIZEN by PRESENTING (GB))
3  NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) Aug23 Jul19 Oct15 Sep15   (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 156 8.00 7% 13.70    
  (by VINNIE ROE out of WELL WATER by ILLINOIS STORM)
4  SEBASTOPOL (IRE)         (fisher john)HENDRIKS PARKER 156 6.00    
  (by FAME AND GLORY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  SNAP DECISION Sep14 Oct15 Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 156 1.60 31% 2.30    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SALUTE by UNBRIDLED)
6  MERRY MAKER (IRE) Sep14 Aug23 Aug02 Nov05 Oct22 (kingsley arc)MCDERMOTT SEAN 156 10.00    
  (by MALINAS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  JIMMY P Aug14 Jun20 Aug23 Mar25 Oct22 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 156 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
8  GALVIN (IRE)         (elliot gordo)KENNEDY W 156 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  HIGH DEFINITION (IRE) Jun09         (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 156 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of PALACE by CITY ZIP)
 
FH-6   10/19/2024 10560ft TURF RC11 FIRM John Forbes Memorial Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOPIC CHANGER Oct05 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 Mar25 (maker michae)CARROLL DECLAN 140 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of BLANK SLATE by GIO PONTI)
2  AWESOME MAN Jun10 May19 Dec16 Nov24 Sep25 (wyatt todd)BESWICK HARRISON 144 30.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of AWESOME MARCHESA by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  FAMILIAR DREAMS (GB) Sep11         (elliot gordo)KENNEDY W 145 20.00    
  (by POSTPONED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  GILDED AGE Aug04 May27 May04 Mar20 Mar14 (d'angelo jose )COTTO L 144 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ANGELA RENEE by BERNARDINI)
5  BRITISH ROYALTY Sep15 Aug23 Aug11 Jul19 Oct29 (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 148 12.00 15% 5.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of QUEEN MARTHA by RAHY)
6  LORD FLINTSHIRE Aug24 Jun07 May04 Nov16 Oct13 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 144 15.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of RUGULALEE by RAHY)
7  THE ADDISON POUR Aug17 Jul14 Jun15 May17 Apr21 (brion keri)WATTERS GRAHAM 144 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of GRASER by MOTIVATOR)
8  CALIFORNIA FROLIC Sep08 Aug16 Jun15 May25 Mar31 (avila )LEIVA EDUARDO 148 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of CURLIN'S FROLIC by CURLIN)
9  TOO FRIENDLY (GB) Aug14         (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 144 20.00    
  (by CAMELOT out of CHATLINE by LINES OF POWER)
10  WINNING SPIRIT (GER) Aug21 Jun15       (clement chri)O'HANLON PADDY 148 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  CURBSTONE Sep26 Aug21 Jun23 May09 Mar30 (morley thoma)DALTON BERNARD 144 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ARCHSTONE by ARCH)
SCR  TIDE OF THE SEA Sep28 Sep05 Jul16 Jan11 Nov11 (sharp joe)SHARP JOE 148 8.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ROUTINE by EMPIRE MAKER)
13  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) Sep11 Aug21 Jun06 May18 Apr20 (motion gr)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 1.60 38% 1.60    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FANCY by JUSTIFY)
14  DEAN MARTINI Sep28 Aug22 Jul21 Jun09 Apr28 (eurton peter)MCDERMOTT SEAN 148 10.00 5% 17.60    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SOUNDWAVE by FRIENDS LAKE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.