The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $4.20 -6.00
TUP-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
TUP-5   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
TUP-6   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
TUP-7   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
TUP-8   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $5.20 -4.00
TUP-9   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.40 -6.00
TUP-10   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.10 $2.10 -3.90
TUP-11   Win (11/4/2/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -5.60

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOSICAL LADY 5 1 3½ 1   1 1 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.50 1.10  
BONITA DIXIE 3 4 2½ 3   2 2 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 128 2.50 4.10  
ATHENA THE GODDESS 1 5 54 58   4 3 (soto antoni)VALENZUELA A 126 5.00 22% 3.50 14.70 S
SPRINKLES 2 3 1½ 2   35 4 (matt wendell)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 2.00 34% 1.90 1.00  
LEGAL MISCHIEF 4 2 4 45   5 515¼ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 128 4.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
 
TUP-4   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:214 :441 :562     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONLITE GRAHAM 4 3 2 2   2 1¼ (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 126 2.00 36% 1.80 1.90 W
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 1 6 34 34   33 2¼ (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 126 4.00 12.60  
DRISKILL 5 1 1 1   1 3½ (silv)DA FAUSTO 126 3.00 43% 1.30 1.70 S
PHOENICIAN GHOST 2 5 6 58   4 4 (campo stacy)IRONEYES R 121 5.00 5% 19.00 1.20  
SMOOTH PAPA 6 2 5 48   57 54 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 12.00 33.30  
LIMITED OFFER 3 4 45 69   614 612¼ (hop mike)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 8.00 51.90  
SCR  WE MISS GENO               (figueroa juan)CRUZ M 126 10.00    
 
TUP-5   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA LINDY 3 1 11 1   14 1 (hone bart)CORBETT W 118 1.20 40% 1.50 0.30 W
TIA SUZI 5 3 3 3   24 2 (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 2.50 3.90  
INZAWAY 4 4 5 59   3 39 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 118 5.00 5% 19.00 11.80 S
SWIVEL HIPS 2 5 45 4   4 411½ (perkins fran)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00 33.10  
LIL EFFORT 1 6 68 611½   514½ 519¾ (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 27% 2.70 5.20  
KARMA DE VILLE 6 2 21 2   617 635¾ (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 8.00 31.90  
SCR  SHIRLEY SINGS               (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 118 15.00    
 
TUP-6   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Ann Owens Distaff Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
See original race card.
:212 :434 :554     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTSIDE THE LAW 1 3 3 1½   1 1 (campo stacy)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 1.80 35% 1.80 1.70 W
BEYOND AWESOME 4 1 1nk 2½   2 2 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 1.60 35% 1.90 0.30 P
UNRIVALED QUEEN 2 5 44 4   35 3 (meraz ram)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 5% 19.00 28.70 S
SHARP ATTITUDE 5 2 2nk 3   45 4 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 7.50  
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 3 4 55 57   511½ 519½ (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00 54.30  
 
TUP-7   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Joanne Dye Breeders' Oaks Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT GAL 4 1 1½ 1   1 1¾ (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 120 1.80 33% 2.10 3.50 W
TOP REVIEW 5 6 5 32   2 2¾ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.00 1.10  
CURLIN'S LIL GAL 2 5 3½ 2   33 34 (eikleberry kevi)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 3.00 34% 1.90 1.70 S
ARIZONA REINA 3 3 2½ 42   45 4 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 4.00 8.50  
WYATT'S IN CHARGE 1 4 6 67   615½ 520½ (mcfarlane l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00 61.60  
EZ ARIZONA 6 2 41 5   512 622 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
 
TUP-8   05/02/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Dwight Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:25     1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR NAVIGATOR 4 2 43 4 2nk 2nk 1¼ (silva jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.00 1.60  
FIRST CALL 2 1 1 1 1nk 1nk 2¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 75% 0.30 1.70 P
ARIZONA JEREMY 1 5 6 6 4 3 3 (laufenberg joyce)CORBETT W 120 4.00 7.80  
MR LOVE MUFFIN 6 4 33 3 3.2 4 4 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 4.50 2.00  
MARICOPA COUNTY 3 6 5 5 5 5 58 (grissom w)MAWING A 120 5.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
OUTOFQUEMADO 5 3 2 2 6 613½ 614¼ (rollins michael)ENRIQUEZ D 120 12.00 45.40  
 
TUP-9   05/02/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Gene Fleming Breeders' Derby Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 7:40
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:111 1:382   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUTION CARDINAL 4 6 56 5 54 34 1hd (story chad)MAWING A 124 4.00 3.20  
U CAN DO U 5 2 21 2½ 1 1 2hd (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 124 1.20 0.40  
BIYOMBO 2 1 33 34 4 2 3 (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 30.50 S
DON JUAN BUBBA 6 5 4 45 3 4 4 (eikleberr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.50 44% 1.30 6.60  
ARIZONA DAVIN 1 4 66 6 6 6 5 (hernandez miguel)REYES R 120 8.00 13.50  
MOON SHINE TIME 3 3 11 1½ 2 5 6 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 5.00 16% 5.40 8.80  
 
TUP-10   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Lyman Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:213 :434 :553     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATAR 6 2 2 2nk   1 111¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 0.60 52% 0.90 0.05 W
ARIZONA ANDREW 5 4 4 4   46 211¼ (hernandez miguel )CRUZ M 124 8.00 42.80  
LOBDELL LAKE 4 6 5 56   7 312¼ (grissom w)MAWING A 122 5.00 25% 2.90 9.20 S
BIG JACK 7 3 6 77   5 413 (martinez a)ENRIQUEZ D 120 12.00 50.20  
RES IPSA LOQUITUR 3 5 3 33   3 513¾ (campo stacy)IRONEYES R 120 6.00 12.10  
RENEW 2 7 8 811   8 614¼ (kato akifumi)CORBETT W 120 8.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
BRAYBRAY 1 8 7 6   6 715 (martinez a)REYES R 120 20.00 55.30  
MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF 8 1 1 1nk   2 824¾ (barrio sergio)PENA BRYAN 120 15.00 52.90  
 
TUP-11   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:213 :444 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CHARLIE'S MAN 10 5 6 4   21 1 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50 27% 2.80 1.20 W
GONZAGA BAY 8 2 11 1   11 2 (eikleberry k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.90 P
CROWN PROSECUTOR 1 9 1013½ 915½   810¾ 3 (campo stacy)IRONEYES R 119 5.00 25.40  
CHICKEN WING 2 4 4 2   3 4 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 6.00 10% 9.20 2.50  
SET POINT 4 3 21 32   4 5 (laufenberg )VALENZUELA A 118 10.00 22% 3.50 14.00  
PARETO'S PRINCIPLE 3 10 810¼ 813   6 69 (esquibel mar)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 15.00 24.70  
10  ARIZONA MADE 9 6 5 55   5 710¼ (campo stacy)CRUZ M 124 3.50 10.60  
HATAGASAL 5 1 31 6   710¾ 812½ (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 15.00 9% 10.40 29.20  
HUSTO 7 8 7 710   912¼ 916¾ (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 6.00 6.50  
ARIZONA SUMMER 6 7 910½ 1016   1014¼ 1017¼ (alvarez sergio)AGUILAR DANIEL 118 20.00 ######  
SCR  JOE DID IT               (o'brien danny)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.