Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-3   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $4.20  
TUP-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TUP-5   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TUP-6   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TUP-7   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
TUP-8   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $5.20  
TUP-9   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.40  
TUP-10   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.10 $2.10  
TUP-11   Win (11/4/2/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-3   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BOOSICAL LADY 5 1 3½ 11½   12½ 14¼ (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.50 1.10  
3  BONITA DIXIE 3 4 2½ 32½   22½ 24¼ (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 128 2.50 4.10  
1  ATHENA THE GODDESS 1 5 54 58   45½ 34¼ (soto antoni)VALENZUELA A 126 5.00 22% 3.50 14.70 S
2  SPRINKLES 2 3 1½ 21½   35 49¾ (matt wendell)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 2.00 34% 1.90 1.00  
4  LEGAL MISCHIEF 4 2 41½ 45   57½ 515¼ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 128 4.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
 
TUP-4   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:214 :441 :562     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOONLITE GRAHAM 4 3 21½ 21½   21½ 1¼ (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 126 2.00 36% 1.80 1.90 W
1  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 1 6 34 34   33 2¼ (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 126 4.00 12.60  
6  DRISKILL 5 1 11½ 11½   11½ 3½ (silv)DA FAUSTO 126 3.00 43% 1.30 1.70 S
3  PHOENICIAN GHOST 2 5 67½ 58   45½ 41¾ (campo stacy)IRONEYES R 121 5.00 5% 19.00 1.20  
7  SMOOTH PAPA 6 2 56½ 48   57 54 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 12.00 33.30  
4  LIMITED OFFER 3 4 45 69   614 612¼ (hop mike)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 8.00 51.90  
SCR  WE MISS GENO               (figueroa juan)CRUZ M 126 10.00    
 
TUP-5   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ARIZONA LINDY 3 1 11 12½   14 14¼ (hone bart)CORBETT W 118 1.20 40% 1.50 0.30 W
6  TIA SUZI 5 3 33½ 33½   24 24¼ (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 2.50 3.90  
5  INZAWAY 4 4 57½ 59   37½ 39 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 118 5.00 5% 19.00 11.80 S
3  SWIVEL HIPS 2 5 45 46½   47½ 411½ (perkins fran)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00 33.10  
1  LIL EFFORT 1 6 68 611½   514½ 519¾ (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 27% 2.70 5.20  
7  KARMA DE VILLE 6 2 21 22½   617 635¾ (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 8.00 31.90  
SCR  SHIRLEY SINGS               (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 118 15.00    
 
TUP-6   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ann Owens Distaff Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
See original race card.
:212 :434 :554     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTSIDE THE LAW 1 3 31½ 1½   11½ 13¼ (campo stacy)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 1.80 35% 1.80 1.70 W
4  BEYOND AWESOME 4 1 1nk 2½   21½ 23¼ (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 1.60 35% 1.90 0.30 P
2  UNRIVALED QUEEN 2 5 44 43½   35 35½ (meraz ram)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 5% 19.00 28.70 S
5  SHARP ATTITUDE 5 2 2nk 31½   45 47¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 7.50  
3  PRINCESS JAYLEEN 3 4 55 57   511½ 519½ (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00 54.30  
 
TUP-7   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Joanne Dye Breeders' Oaks Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DESERT GAL 4 1 1½ 11½   12½ 1¾ (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 120 1.80 33% 2.10 3.50 W
5  TOP REVIEW 5 6 51¼ 32   22½ 2¾ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.00 1.10  
2  CURLIN'S LIL GAL 2 5 3½ 21½   33 34 (eikleberry kevi)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 3.00 34% 1.90 1.70 S
3  ARIZONA REINA 3 3 2½ 42   45 45½ (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 4.00 8.50  
1  WYATT'S IN CHARGE 1 4 64¾ 67   615½ 520½ (mcfarlane l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00 61.60  
6  EZ ARIZONA 6 2 41 52½   512 622 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
 
TUP-8   05/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Dwight Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:25     1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MR NAVIGATOR 4 2 43 41¾ 2nk 2nk 1¼ (silva jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.00 ★ 1.60  
2  FIRST CALL 2 1 12½ 11½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 75% 0.30 1.70 P
1  ARIZONA JEREMY 1 5 64¾ 63¼ 41¾ 32½ 34¼ (laufenberg joyce)CORBETT W 120 4.00 7.80  
6  MR LOVE MUFFIN 6 4 33 31½ 3.2 43½ 44½ (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 4.50 2.00  
3  MARICOPA COUNTY 3 6 54½ 53¼ 55¾ 57½ 58 (grissom w)MAWING A 120 5.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
5  OUTOFQUEMADO 5 3 22½ 21½ 67¾ 613½ 614¼ (rollins michael)ENRIQUEZ D 120 12.00 45.40  
 
TUP-9   05/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gene Fleming Breeders' Derby Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 7:40
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:111 1:382   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAUTION CARDINAL 4 6 56 56½ 54 34 1hd (story chad)MAWING A 124 4.00 3.20  
5  U CAN DO U 5 2 21 2½ 11½ 13½ 2hd (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 124 1.20 0.40  
2  BIYOMBO 2 1 33 34 42½ 23½ 31½ (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 30.50 S
6  DON JUAN BUBBA 6 5 44½ 45 32½ 46½ 44¾ (eikleberr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.50 44% 1.30 6.60  
1  ARIZONA DAVIN 1 4 66 67½ 65½ 67½ 57½ (hernandez miguel)REYES R 120 8.00 13.50  
3  MOON SHINE TIME 3 3 11 1½ 21½ 56½ 67¾ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 5.00 16% 5.40 8.80  
 
TUP-10   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lyman Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:213 :434 :553     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KATAR 6 2 21½ 2nk   14½ 111¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 0.60 52% 0.90 0.05 W
5  ARIZONA ANDREW 5 4 41¾ 44½   46 211¼ (hernandez miguel )CRUZ M 124 8.00 42.80  
4  LOBDELL LAKE 4 6 53¼ 56   77¼ 312¼ (grissom w)MAWING A 122 5.00 25% 2.90 9.20 S
7  BIG JACK 7 3 65¾ 77   56½ 413 (martinez a)ENRIQUEZ D 120 12.00 50.20  
3  RES IPSA LOQUITUR 3 5 31½ 33   34½ 513¾ (campo stacy)IRONEYES R 120 6.00 ★ 12.10  
2  RENEW 2 7 87¾ 811   89¾ 614¼ (kato akifumi)CORBETT W 120 8.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
1  BRAYBRAY 1 8 75¾ 66½   66¾ 715 (martinez a)REYES R 120 20.00 55.30  
8  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF 8 1 11½ 1nk   24½ 824¾ (barrio sergio)PENA BRYAN 120 15.00 52.90  
 
TUP-11   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:213 :444 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CHARLIE'S MAN 10 5 63¾ 42½   21 11¼ (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50 27% 2.80 1.20 W
8  GONZAGA BAY 8 2 11 11½   11 21¼ (eikleberry k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.90 P
1  CROWN PROSECUTOR 1 9 1013½ 915½   810¾ 36¾ (campo stacy)IRONEYES R 119 5.00 25.40  
2  CHICKEN WING 2 4 41¼ 21½   33½ 47¾ (story chad)CORBETT W 124 6.00 10% 9.20 2.50  
4  SET POINT 4 3 21 32   43½ 57¾ (laufenberg )VALENZUELA A 118 10.00 22% 3.50 14.00  
3  PARETO'S PRINCIPLE 3 10 810¼ 813   68¾ 69 (esquibel mar)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 15.00 24.70  
10  ARIZONA MADE 9 6 53¾ 55   58½ 710¼ (campo stacy)CRUZ M 124 3.50 10.60  
5  HATAGASAL 5 1 31 67½   710¾ 812½ (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 15.00 9% 10.40 29.20  
7  HUSTO 7 8 74¼ 710   912¼ 916¾ (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 6.00 6.50  
6  ARIZONA SUMMER 6 7 910½ 1016   1014¼ 1017¼ (alvarez sergio)AGUILAR DANIEL 118 20.00 ######  
SCR  JOE DID IT               (o'brien danny)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.