Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-9   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-10   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-11   Win (11/4/2/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATHENA THE GODDESS Apr08         (soto antoni)VALENZUELA A 126 5.00 22% 3.50    
SPRINKLES Apr18 Mar21 Mar12 Feb20 Oct28 (matt wendell)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 2.00 34% 1.90    
BONITA DIXIE Apr24 Apr09 Mar18 Feb26 Feb07 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 128 2.50    
LEGAL MISCHIEF Apr16 Mar26 Apr22 Feb25 Feb04 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 128 4.00 5% 19.00    
BOOSICAL LADY Apr10 Mar26 Apr29 Apr18 Mar27 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.50    
 
TUP-4   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Mar19 Feb29 Feb20 Jan18 Nov21 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 126 4.00    
SCR  WE MISS GENO Apr15 Mar28 Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 (figueroa juan)CRUZ M 126 10.00    
PHOENICIAN GHOST Apr16 Apr02 Feb28 May05 Apr22 (campo stacy)IRONEYES R 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
LIMITED OFFER Apr22 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Apr25 (hop mike)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 8.00    
MOONLITE GRAHAM Feb20 Dec11 Nov06 Oct15 Sep30 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
DRISKILL Apr02 Mar21 Feb28 Feb05 Jul02 (silv)DA FAUSTO 126 3.00 43% 1.30    
SMOOTH PAPA Apr15 Apr03 Mar25 Mar13 Feb12 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 12.00    
 
TUP-5   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL EFFORT         (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SHIRLEY SINGS Apr03         (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 118 15.00    
SWIVEL HIPS Apr16 Mar20 May05 Jan07   (perkins fran)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
ARIZONA LINDY Apr16 Apr08 Mar19 Feb15 Nov28 (hone bart)CORBETT W 118 1.20 40% 1.50    
INZAWAY Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Feb06 Jan12 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
TIA SUZI Apr16 Apr08 Mar19 Feb15   (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 2.50    
KARMA DE VILLE Mar25 Jul08       (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 8.00    
 
TUP-6   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ann Owens Distaff Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTSIDE THE LAW Apr15 Mar18 Feb01 Jan07 Oct28 (campo stacy)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 1.80 35% 1.80    
UNRIVALED QUEEN Apr15 Mar26 Mar11 Feb13 Feb01 (meraz ram)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS JAYLEEN Apr25 Apr08 Mar11 Feb22 Jan29 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00    
BEYOND AWESOME Apr15 Mar28 Mar18 Feb14 Feb01 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
SHARP ATTITUDE Apr10 Mar14 Feb23 Apr22 Apr01 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
 
TUP-7   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Joanne Dye Breeders' Oaks Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 6:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WYATT'S IN CHARGE Apr16 Mar26 Feb15     (mcfarlane l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00    
CURLIN'S LIL GAL Apr08         (eikleberry kevi)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
ARIZONA REINA Apr17 Apr08 Mar19 Feb15   (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
DESERT GAL Apr17 Apr03       (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 120 1.80 33% 2.10    
TOP REVIEW Mar28         (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.00    
EZ ARIZONA Apr17 Apr08 Mar19     (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   05/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Dwight Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA JEREMY Apr15 Mar21 Apr22 Apr15 Mar25 (laufenberg joyce)CORBETT W 120 4.00    
FIRST CALL Apr17 Mar27 Sep10 Aug20 Jul09 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 75% 0.30    
MARICOPA COUNTY Apr16 Apr03 Mar12 Apr22 Mar06 (grissom w)MAWING A 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
MR NAVIGATOR Mar25 Mar13 Sep01 Aug05 Jul16 (silva jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.00    
OUTOFQUEMADO Apr23 Apr09 Mar26 Mar12 Sep25 (rollins michael)ENRIQUEZ D 120 12.00    
MR LOVE MUFFIN Apr18 Mar28 Mar05 Feb14 Apr22 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 4.50    
 
TUP-9   05/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gene Fleming Breeders' Derby Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 7:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA DAVIN Apr18 Apr07 Mar18 Feb15 Jan05 (hernandez miguel)REYES R 120 8.00    
BIYOMBO Apr29 Apr04 Mar26 Feb15 Dec12 (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
MOON SHINE TIME Apr18 Apr02 Mar12 Feb15   (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
CAUTION CARDINAL Apr18 Mar18 Feb15 Jan05 Nov20 (story chad)MAWING A 124 4.00    
U CAN DO U Apr04 Mar18 Feb15 Nov28 Aug26 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 124 1.20    
DON JUAN BUBBA Apr18 Apr04 Mar18 Feb15 Sep11 (eikleberr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
 
TUP-10   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lyman Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAYBRAY Apr15 Feb22 Aug26 Jul31 Jul15 (martinez a)REYES R 120 20.00    
RENEW Apr15 Apr04 Mar19 Apr22 Apr05 (kato akifumi)CORBETT W 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
RES IPSA LOQUITUR Apr15 Dec28 Dec13 Nov19 Nov04 (campo stacy)IRONEYES R 120 6.00    
LOBDELL LAKE Apr02         (grissom w)MAWING A 122 5.00 25% 2.90    
ARIZONA ANDREW Apr15 Mar28 May20 Apr22 Mar25 (hernandez miguel )CRUZ M 124 8.00    
KATAR Apr15 Feb14 Sep11 Jun17 May02 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 0.60 52% 0.90    
BIG JACK Apr15 Mar19 Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 (martinez a)ENRIQUEZ D 120 12.00    
MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF Jan29 Oct18 Apr11 Mar18   (barrio sergio)PENA BRYAN 120 15.00    
 
TUP-11   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWN PROSECUTOR Mar26 Apr26 Apr03     (campo stacy)IRONEYES R 119 5.00    
CHICKEN WING Apr02 Mar12       (story chad)CORBETT W 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
PARETO'S PRINCIPLE Apr18 Apr02       (esquibel mar)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 15.00    
SET POINT         (laufenberg )VALENZUELA A 118 10.00 22% 3.50    
HATAGASAL Apr04 Mar28       (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 15.00 9% 10.40    
ARIZONA SUMMER Apr09 Mar18 Feb15     (alvarez sergio)AGUILAR DANIEL 118 20.00    
HUSTO Apr09 Mar26 Mar18 Feb29 Feb12 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 6.00    
GONZAGA BAY Apr18 Mar28 Apr15     (eikleberry k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JOE DID IT Mar26 Mar18 Feb29 Mar13 Feb19 (o'brien danny)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
10  ARIZONA MADE Apr15 Apr02 May06     (campo stacy)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
11  CHARLIE'S MAN Apr09 Mar18 Feb19 Nov14 Sep15 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50 27% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.