Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/5/3)-(4/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(4/1/5)-(1/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-5   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/4/2)-(2/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(2/4/6)-(2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(2/3)-(6/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(6/3/2)-(6/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-9   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(6/4/2)-(11/4/2/5/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-10   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(11/4/2/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-11   WIN (11/4/2/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/2/5/8)-(11/4/2/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/2/5/8)-(11/4/2/5/8)-(11/4/2/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENA THE GODDESS Apr08         (soto anto)VALENZUELA A 126 5.00 22% 3.50    
2  SPRINKLES Apr18 Mar21 Mar12 Feb20 Oct28 (matt wende)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  BONITA DIXIE Apr24 Apr09 Mar18 Feb26 Feb07 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 128 2.50    
4  LEGAL MISCHIEF Apr16 Mar26 Apr22 Feb25 Feb04 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 128 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOOSICAL LADY Apr10 Mar26 Apr29 Apr18 Mar27 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.50    
 
TUP-4   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Mar19 Feb29 Feb20 Jan18 Nov21 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 126 4.00    
SCR  WE MISS GENO Apr15 Mar28 Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 (figueroa juan)CRUZ M 126 10.00    
3  PHOENICIAN GHOST Apr16 Apr02 Feb28 May05 Apr22 (campo sta)IRONEYES R 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIMITED OFFER Apr22 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Apr25 (hop mike)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 8.00    
5  MOONLITE GRAHAM Feb20 Dec11 Nov06 Oct15 Sep30 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  DRISKILL Apr02 Mar21 Feb28 Feb05 Jul02 (si)DA FAUSTO 126 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  SMOOTH PAPA Apr15 Apr03 Mar25 Mar13 Feb12 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 12.00    
 
TUP-5   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL EFFORT         (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SHIRLEY SINGS Apr03         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 118 15.00    
3  SWIVEL HIPS Apr16 Mar20 May05 Jan07   (perkins fr)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
4  ARIZONA LINDY Apr16 Apr08 Mar19 Feb15 Nov28 (hone bart)CORBETT W 118 1.20 40% 1.50    
5  INZAWAY Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Feb06 Jan12 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIA SUZI Apr16 Apr08 Mar19 Feb15   (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 2.50    
7  KARMA DE VILLE Mar25 Jul08       (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 8.00    
 
TUP-6   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ann Owens Distaff Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTSIDE THE LAW Apr15 Mar18 Feb01 Jan07 Oct28 (campo stacy)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 1.80 35% 1.80    
  (by MACHO UNO out of AGAINST THE LAW by OFFICER)
2  UNRIVALED QUEEN Apr15 Mar26 Mar11 Feb13 Feb01 (meraz r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EDDINGTON out of ANGIE'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
3  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Apr25 Apr08 Mar11 Feb22 Jan29 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
4  BEYOND AWESOME Apr15 Mar28 Mar18 Feb14 Feb01 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
  (by BOOS out of CAMILLE by ROCKY BAR)
5  SHARP ATTITUDE Apr10 Mar14 Feb23 Apr22 Apr01 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of TICABOO by ROCKY BAR)
 
TUP-7   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Joanne Dye Breeders' Oaks Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WYATT'S IN CHARGE Apr16 Mar26 Feb15     (mcfarlane dan)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JERSEY BUNS by JERSEY TOWN)
2  CURLIN'S LIL GAL Apr08         (eikleberry ke)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of DREAMY GAL by EZ DREAMER)
3  ARIZONA REINA Apr17 Apr08 Mar19 Feb15   (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of HONEY CANDY by DESPERATELY)
4  DESERT GAL Apr17 Apr03       (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 120 1.80 33% 2.10    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)
5  TOP REVIEW Mar28         (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.00    
  (by TOP HIT out of TICABOO by ROCKY BAR)
6  EZ ARIZONA Apr17 Apr08 Mar19     (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of ARIZONA RANGER by U S RANGER)
 
TUP-8   05/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Dwight Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIZONA JEREMY Apr15 Mar21 Apr22 Apr15 Mar25 (laufenberg joyc)CORBETT W 120 4.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of GLASSFORD HILL by BENTON CREEK)
2  FIRST CALL Apr17 Mar27 Sep10 Aug20 Jul09 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 75% 0.30    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of MYSTERY ME by BWANA CHARLIE)
3  MARICOPA COUNTY Apr16 Apr03 Mar12 Apr22 Mar06 (grissom roberta )MAWING A 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TRIBAL RULE out of BEAR'S TIGERETTE by TIGER TRAP)
4  MR NAVIGATOR Mar25 Mar13 Sep01 Aug05 Jul16 (silva jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.00 ★    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of JUNGLE GIRL by FOREST CAMP)
5  OUTOFQUEMADO Apr23 Apr09 Mar26 Mar12 Sep25 (rollins michae)ENRIQUEZ D 120 12.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of NO BABY by OH TANNER)
6  MR LOVE MUFFIN Apr18 Mar28 Mar05 Feb14 Apr22 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 4.50    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CASHMERE MUFFIN by PURE PRIZE)
 
TUP-9   05/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gene Fleming Breeders' Derby Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIZONA DAVIN Apr18 Apr07 Mar18 Feb15 Jan05 (hernandez migu)REYES R 120 8.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SWISSARELLA by SWISS YODELER)
2  BIYOMBO Apr29 Apr04 Mar26 Feb15 Dec12 (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MS MUMBA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  MOON SHINE TIME Apr18 Apr02 Mar12 Feb15   (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of POCKETFUL by TOP HIT)
4  CAUTION CARDINAL Apr18 Mar18 Feb15 Jan05 Nov20 (story chad)MAWING A 124 4.00    
  (by STANFORD out of MS. CAUTION by MR. GREELEY)
5  U CAN DO U Apr04 Mar18 Feb15 Nov28 Aug26 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 1.20    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SAINT'S CROWN by TIZNOW)
6  DON JUAN BUBBA Apr18 Apr04 Mar18 Feb15 Sep11 (eiklebe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
  (by BOCEPHUS out of COMPLIMENTARY by PORTO VARAS)
 
TUP-10   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lyman Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAYBRAY Apr15 Feb22 Aug26 Jul31 Jul15 (martinez a)REYES R 120 20.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of ITSAYATESTHING by SARATOGA SIX)
2  RENEW Apr15 Apr04 Mar19 Apr22 Apr05 (kato akifumi)CORBETT W 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOP HIT out of DARING DRACO by ROCKY BAR)
3  RES IPSA LOQUITUR Apr15 Dec28 Dec13 Nov19 Nov04 (campo sta)IRONEYES R 120 6.00 ★    
  (by VERRAZANO out of KATE'S POSSE by POSSE)
4  LOBDELL LAKE Apr02         (grissom roberta )MAWING A 122 5.00 25% 2.90    
  (by TAMARANDO out of PRISTEEN QUEEN by DILIGENCE)
5  ARIZONA ANDREW Apr15 Mar28 May20 Apr22 Mar25 (hernandez migue)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)
6  KATAR Apr15 Feb14 Sep11 Jun17 May02 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 0.60 52% 0.90    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of OPENSHAFT by MINESHAFT)
7  BIG JACK Apr15 Mar19 Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 (martinez a)ENRIQUEZ D 120 12.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of BROOKTON by TRUST N LUCK)
8  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF Jan29 Oct18 Apr11 Mar18   (barrio sergio)PENA BRYAN 120 15.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SKYE MEMO by MEMO (CHI))
 
TUP-11   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN PROSECUTOR Mar26 Apr26 Apr03     (campo sta)IRONEYES R 119 5.00    
2  CHICKEN WING Apr02 Mar12       (story chad)CORBETT W 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
3  PARETO'S PRINCIPLE Apr18 Apr02       (esquibel m)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 15.00    
4  SET POINT (IRE)         (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 118 10.00 22% 3.50    
5  HATAGASAL Apr04 Mar28       (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 15.00 9% 10.40    
6  ARIZONA SUMMER Apr09 Mar18 Feb15     (alvarez serg)AGUILAR DANIEL 118 20.00    
7  HUSTO Apr09 Mar26 Mar18 Feb29 Feb12 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 6.00    
8  GONZAGA BAY Apr18 Mar28 Apr15     (eikleberry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JOE DID IT Mar26 Mar18 Feb29 Mar13 Feb19 (o'brien dan)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
10  ARIZONA MADE Apr15 Apr02 May06     (campo stacy)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
11  CHARLIE'S MAN Apr09 Mar18 Feb19 Nov14 Sep15 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.