Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $44.42 $36.42 455%
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-1 $122.48 $98.48 410%
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-1-3 $89.65 $77.65 647%
CD-2   DD (3/1/5/6)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-5 $66.35 $54.35 453%
CD-3   PK3 (3/1/5/6)-(5/6/2)-(2/9/6/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-5-6 $188.47 $158.47 528%
CD-4   WIN (2/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $13.62 $5.62 70%
    DD (2/9/6/5/4)-(2/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-1 $26.37 $6.37 32%
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(2/9/6/5/4)-(2/1/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-6-1 $39.80 $9.80 33%
CD-5   WIN (8/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $14.30 $6.30 79%
    DD (2/1/5/7)-(8/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-1 $39.99 $23.99 150%
    PK3 (2/9/6/5/4)-(2/1/5/7)-(8/1/6/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00  6-1-1 $140.31 $100.31 251%
    PK4 (5/6/2)-(2/9/6/5/4)-(2/1/5/7)-(8/1/6/5) 240 $0.50 $120  4/5-6-1-1 $259.44 $139.44 116%
    PK5 (3/1/5/6)-(5/6/2)-(2/9/6/5/4)-(2/1/5/7)-(8/1/6/5) 960 $0.50 $480  6-4/5-6-1-1 $11901 $11421 2380%
CD-6   DD (8/1/6/5)-(8/9/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-8 $18.53 $2.53 16%
    PK3 (2/1/5/7)-(8/1/6/5)-(8/9/2/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00  1-1-8 $62.50 $30.50 95%
CD-8   WIN (3/11/9/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $16.10 $6.10 61%
    EXA (3/11/9/2/4)-(3/11/9/2/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-9 $124.30 $84.30 211%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWGIRL CHIC 6 7 7 4   2 1 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 21.21 W
PURPLE AND GOLD 1 4 1½ 11   1 2 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 12% 7.70 0.96 P
TRISTA 3 3 2½ 21   3 3 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118 2.50 65% 0.50 2.44 S
LINDY CAN 2 6 4 3   4 47 (foley greg)MONCADA IRVING 113 6.00 20.26  
DEVASTATING 4 5 65 7   5 510½ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 7.98  
LADY DIXIE 5 8 8 810   710 613 (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.68  
POWERWASHED 7 1 53 56   69 715¾ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 8.59  
DREAM LIFE 8 2 3½ 66   814 825¼ (reed eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00 15.58  
 
CD-2   06/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:113 1:233   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASHMEUP 4 4 3½ 31 1nk 1 1 (casse w)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 30% 2.40 0.67 W
INEXORABLE 3 6 53 42 4 2 2 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 5.27  
OUTLIER 5 3 4 52 31 3 33 (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 5.00 22% 3.60 5.20 S
PIKE PLACE 6 5 6 6 53 55 4 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5.99  
AGENT CREED 1 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 44 511½ (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 10.48  
SWIFT AS I AM 2 1 2½ 2½ 64 6 624¾ (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 8% 12.20 14.39  
SCR  EL REY DORADO               (hartman chri)MONCADA IRVING 113 3.50    
 
CD-3   06/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMELL THE LILIES 6 4 2½ 2½   1nk 1¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.50 17% 4.80 2.11 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of UP AT DAWN by UNCLE MO)
LATE NIGHT TEXT 3 1 1½ 1½   2nk 2¼ (ramsey nolan)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 3.98  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ARRIFANA by CURLIN)
BEST FRIEND 8 8 44 44   32 3¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 10.78  
  (by DR. CATON out of SISTERS CREEK by PENTELICUS)
GO TO GIRL 7 3 65 56   54 42 (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 7.97  
  (by KNICKS GO out of REVEALING QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
KINGSOLVER 4 5 3 3   4 5 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FAMOUS WRITER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
HYLLA 9 9 7 66   6 610 (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.00 23% 3.30 4.58  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MYAWAYA by WICKED STRONG)
RATHER LATE 2 7 88 9   710 715 (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 38% 1.70 11.91  
  (by VOLATILE out of RATHER BEAUTIFUL by MALIBU MOON)
RUBY RUBY 5 6 9 8   810½ 816½ (o'dwyer jeremi)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.93  
  (by MCKINZIE out of IT JUSTHITTHE WIRE by BERNARDINI)
ACTUAL 1 2 54 7   914½ 929¼ (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 5.00 22.19  
  (by MIGHTY out of LEGIT (IRE) by RUNNETT (GB))
 
CD-4   06/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:12 1:361   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNIN HOT 1 5 1 1 1 13 1 (crichton rohan)CURTIS BEN 118 5.00 18% 4.70 5.81 W
BOURBON RESOLVE 6 2 4 43 43 23 2 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 3.32  
DEAN MARTINI 3 6 68 6 56 46 3 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 3.90  
TRIDENT HIT 5 1 33 3 2 34 4 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 17% 4.80 2.19  
CAROLO RAPIDO 4 7 7 76 78 6 5 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 6.09  
MANTA REY 7 3 5 5 6 58 611¼ (casse nor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.25  
GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) 2 4 2 2 3 7 720¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 5.00 28% 2.60 8.34  
 
CD-5   06/11/2025 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:252 :501 1:153 1:391 2:022 2:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG AGO (GB) 1 1½ 11 11 1 1 1 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00 34% 2.00 6.15 W
IN TIME (FR) 7 42 4 4 4 2 2 (clement miguel)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 3.93  
PARISH LANE 4 2½ 21 21 2 34 36 (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 3.72  
HERE'S THE SPIDER 5 75 7 7 7 67 46 (fernandez edw)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 26.85  
PARTIR (FR) 8 5 64 6 54 46 5 (mott riley)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 39% 1.60 1.28  
JANEY CREED 6 6 54 54 6 56 67 (hughes g)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 21.33  
SANCTIFY 3 3 32 3 3 78 712 (holsapple )HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 7.68  
ITSALLABOUTMEBABY 2 86 87 8 811 816 832 (reed eri)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00 40.14  
 
CD-6   06/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:091     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSAGE EAST (IRE) 7 1 11 1   1 1 (mcmahon hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.00 63% 0.60 0.98 W
BRUNCH WITH AMY 4 4 21 4   2 2 (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 6.40  
CAROLINA SMOKESHOW 2 2 5 5   3 3 (beckman d )HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.10 S
BOURBON SERENGETI 8 8 31 2   47 48 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 11% 8.20 2.13  
BEACH BUNNY 3 7 8 8   610½ 5 (habeeb donald )MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 22.90  
TENNESSEEHONEYBEE 6 6 43 3   5 612½ (sweezey kent)CURTIS BEN 123 15.00 15.49  
MISS SUSAN B 1 5 6 76   712½ 713¼ (labra rogelio)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00 5% 19.00 17.36  
CRUSHED ICE 5 3 7 6   814 822 (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 123 15.00 30.78  
SCR  PALMETTO FURY               (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 118 3.00    
 
CD-7   06/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:213 :443 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BYE BYE MILES 4 2 2nk 1nk   13 1 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.50 10.13  
SHAN 8 1 8 8   33 2 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 2.32  
BERMUDA BLITZ 7 7 7 7   5 3 (casse mar)TORRES A 118 5.00 14% 6.20 6.30 S
JOEJOE GO 2 4 32 4   4 4 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 22% 3.60 2.37  
CHARBONNAY 5 8 6 5   6 5 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00 10.08  
PUTTING EAGLE 1 5 5 64   7 6 (von donn)ROCCO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00 26.27  
THRILLA 3 3 1nk 2nk   23 710½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 36% 1.70 4.29  
WACO 6 6 4 31   8 813 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 12.58  
 
CD-8   06/11/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:221 :443 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAE TOWN 2 2 3 3   2 11 (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 115 8.00 12% 7.00 7.05 W
ROJO RITA 9 1 1½ 1½   1 21 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 108 3.50 13% 6.50 5.13 P
INNOVATOR 1 6 73 74   4 31 (lukas wayn)TORRES A 118 5.00 14.13  
TROUBLESHOOTING 3 3 52 52   53 4 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 26% 2.80 2.57  
10  SEND CASH 10 4 2½ 2½   32 5 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00 9.53  
11  UNIVERSAL SOUND 11 10 11 11   65 6 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 123 5.00 18% 4.70 8.20  
LET'S GO MARK 4 5 6 6   75 7 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 9% 9.70 7.38  
THEISMANN 7 9 9 10   8 8 (eurton peter)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 20.00 24.86  
FROSTY INDULGENCE 6 12 12 1210¼   11 9 (davis christop)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 52.35  
DARK VINTAGE (IRE) 8 8 10 9   10 10 (block chris)CURTIS BEN 123 15.00 17.59  
12  BRIE'S IN TOWN 12 11 4 4   9 11 (ennis john)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 39.17  
INITIALIZE 5 7 8 8   12 1213¾ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00 7.30  
 
CD-9   06/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:113 1:354   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN CAT 1 3 4 3 31 1 11 (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 61% 0.60 2.02 W
GILMORE 2 4 6 5 53 3 21 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 2.57  
DANCE SOME MO 7 2 11 1½ 2½ 4 3 (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.03 S
MY NOBLE KNIGHT 4 1 21 2½ 1½ 2 44 (amoss m)LANERIE J 123 4.50 7% 13.50 3.09  
SYSTEMIC CHANGE 3 7 7 7 6 53 5 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 12.00 6% 15.30 20.00  
AZOI 6 5 5 6 7 67 69 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 24.82  
GASOLINE 5 6 31 4 4 7 719½ (david a)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 4.29  
SCR  RUNWITHHEART               (holsapple hutch)BOWEN ROCCO 120 8.00    
SCR  SWISS SLANG               (orantes r)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.