Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - July 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-3   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.40 $4.40 73%
SAR-5   WIN (2/3/11/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $12.60 $2.60 26%
    EXA (2/3/11/8/6)-(2/3/11/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-8 $62.50 $42.50 213%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/16/2025 12540ft TURF RC11 FIRM Jonathan Kiser Memorial Novice Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BLUE CREEK   (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 147 4.50 5.00  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of GRANDMA FRAN by STREET BOSS)
8  CHINA BEACH   (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 156 2.50 34% 2.00 1.55 P
  (by TREASURE BEACH out of STARSHIP FANTASY by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  QUICK MASTER   (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 153 8.00 11.80  
  (by HARD SPUN out of PURA CLASSE by GRAND SLAM)
1  EVIE'S PRINCE   (morris r)PORETZ ERIC 156 3.00 ★ 4.00  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of OWL MOON by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  CARAMELISED (GB)   (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 156 12.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
  (by DANSILI out of CASTER SUGAR by COZZENE)
2  BEAT LE BON (FR)   (fisher r)NEVIN DAN 153 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of FRIDA LA BLONDE by ELUSIVE CITY)
4  SULTAN PIERJI (FR)   (garner thomas)TODD CHARLIE 153 10.00 30.00  
  (by ECTOT out of SULTANE DES BORDES by LAVIRCO)
5  KITTEN AROUND   (brion keri)PROCTER FREDDIE 153 12.00 32% 2.10 10.10  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of BAIL OUT KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  L'AVVOCATO (FR)   (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 153 10.00 9.10  
  (by FRANKEL out of AFTER DAWN by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
 
SAR-2   07/16/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INNATE (IRE)   (antonacc)SANTANA JR 124 15.00 20.00  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LA NATUREL by SILVER FROST)
6  BEER RUN   (ward a)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 41% 1.40 2.05 P
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
1  SNARE   (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 19.60  
  (by VEKOMA out of KERI BELLE by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  CUANDO   (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50 ★ 5.20  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
2  MAKI MONARCHY   (beckman whi)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUSHI EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  DONTWORRYBOUTNOTHN   (ward a)ESPINOZA V 119 3.50 22% 3.60 5.40  
  (by MUNNINGS out of GUILTY VERDICT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  IRRELEVANT   (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 2.60  
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of KNOW IT ALL ANNA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  THE CLOSER   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of CANA by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
 
SAR-3   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3 ALL PT- 2:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AERO STAR   (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 66% 0.50 4.20 W
2  THREE B'S   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 0.95  
6  TAPWRITS TEMPER   (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 5% 19.00 21.20 S
1  MILES AND MILES   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 11% 8.50 4.10  
5  JUST CLARITY   (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 8.40  
4  SMILENSAYCHEESE   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 5.60  
 
SAR-4   07/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IRON DOME   (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 1.60 ★ 0.80  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPEIGHTFUL AFFAIR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  KAZ OIL CHANGER   (synnefias dim)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 21% 3.70 4.70 P
  (by NAME CHANGER out of OIL PAINTING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  UNDISPUTED   (antonucc)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 42% 1.40 3.45 S
  (by AUTHENTIC out of THIN DISGUISE by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  STATE OF READINESS   (baker charlton)LUZZI J 124 8.00 7% 14.10 12.50  
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of PRETTY COZZY by BROKEN VOW)
7  SOLO DANCING   (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 14.80  
  (by SOLOMINI out of DANCING ONTHEMOON by MALIBU MOON)
8  SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD   (ferraro antho)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 8.10  
  (by BIG BROWN out of ASPREE by FREUD)
SCR  ANMOLO   (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of PHYSICAL DELIVERY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  HELLO BEAUTY   (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MAXIMOVA by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
 
SAR-5   07/16/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SPIRIT OF NEW YORK   (rice adam)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 9% 9.80 5.30 W
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of UNBROKEN SPIRIT by CANDY RIDE)
8  DILIELLO   (david carlos)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.10 P
  (by GIFT BOX out of A CUT AHEAD by TIZ WONDERFUL)
10  CRISTOBAL   (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 6.40  
  (by KANTHAROS out of CAN'T EXPLAIN by NOT FOR LOVE)
9  FUNNY FACTOR   (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 50.25  
  (by THE FACTOR out of PAS DE DEUCE by CURLIN)
6  TIM AND SAM   (de h)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
  (by MO TOWN out of BUDDY'S MEMORY by LEMON DROP KID)
2  ILLMATIC   (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 25% 3.10 6.80  
  (by KANTHAROS out of GRANNY'S KAT by SANCTUARY (GB))
5  THREE THIRTEEN   (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 4.50 13.40  
  (by UNIFIED out of CLOUDKISSED by NYQUIST)
12  JAXER   (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 12.20  
  (by SLUMBER out of LOST TICKET by MORE THAN READY)
3  SUPER DAVE   (ward a)ESPINOZA V 119 3.00 24% 3.30 1.85  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of TESORINA by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
7  WAMO   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.50  
  (by YAUPON out of SEEKING HER GLORY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  DIAMOND CHILD   (giddings melanie)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of BOSS BARNEY'S BABE by STREET BOSS)
SCR  ESSENTIALLY FAST   (contes)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of STORM CROSSING by TIZNOW)
SCR  JOE G TWENTYTHREE   (miceli mic)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
  (by ENGAGE out of STOLEN HEART by ECTON PARK)
SCR  KING OF FOG   (william)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 10.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of ANALYZEYURSPENDING by OVERANALYZE)
 
SAR-6   07/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SASSY PRINCESS   (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 125 1.60 33% 2.00 1.45 W
3  STARLIGHT DANCER   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00 7% 13.10 4.10 P
1  TEMPLE CITY TABOO   (arriaga antoni)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 22% 3.50 5.80 S
10  SILENT MELODY   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00 11% 7.90 4.60  
7  SAILAWAY   (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00 20.40  
2  RUNWAY LIGHTS   (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 125 12.00 27.25  
4  THAT'S FUNNY   (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 25.75  
5  HIGHER FORCE   (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 6% 16.20 9.80  
6  TIMIA   (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00 33.75  
9  POLITICAL SPIN   (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 125 20.00 30.75  
SCR  LADY RIVER LILY   (seyler dou)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
SCR  MARGAUX TREASURE   (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 125 4.00    
SCR  RIVER TAY (IRE)   (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 125 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S COMPLICATED   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
 
SAR-7   07/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TAP INTO THIS   (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 3.35  
  (by TAPIT out of SUPERIORITYCOMPLEX by HARD SPUN)
4  BARB   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.90 P
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
1  DURATION   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 37% 1.70 2.55 S
  (by MITOLE out of SMILE MORE by TIZNOW)
6  PRIVATE FLIGHT   (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 13.10  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LAUGHING MATTERS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  MAINSTREAM   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.80 ★ 1.10  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LESLEY MAY by TAPIT)
SCR  LUZ DE GUIA   (zito nicholas )LUZZI J 119 30.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of KATHY'S CLOWN by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  TIME PASSES   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of COMPLETED by VERRAZANO)
 
SAR-8   07/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GILMORE   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00 2.75  
9  MY NOBLE KNIGHT   (amoss m)ORTIZ L 125 6.00 12% 7.40 5.70 P
1  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY   (dunn felissa)VELAZQUEZ R 125 4.50 2.75  
5  ALTERNATE REALITY   (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 28% 2.50 4.00  
7  CHELONIAN   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50 22% 3.50 12.50  
4  SYSTEMIC CHANGE   (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 125 8.00 6% 15.50 6.80  
3  CATCH THE SMOKE   (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 125 10.00 16.90  
2  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF   (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 125 12.00 15.50  
SCR  WELAKA   (danner kelsey)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00    
 
SAR-9   07/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Suzie O'Cain Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOMMY'S TURN   (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 36% 1.80 2.50 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HARD TO STAY NOTGO by MORE THAN READY)
9  DISCO STAR   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 6.50  
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SKY GAZER by SKY MESA)
6  BOSTON'S PHINEST   (brown r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 5% 18.60 15.60 S
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of ALL IN TIME by CURLIN)
8  SHE'S OUR TIZ   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 ★ 21.40  
  (by MUNNINGS out of TIZSOMETHINGROYAL by TIZWAY)
1  GRACE AND GRIT   (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 20.20  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SHERIFFA by POSSE)
3  TRAIL OF GOLD   (donk david)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 4.80  
  (by SOLOMINI out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
7  MARVELOUS MADISON   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 6.00  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SHEA DARBY by STREET SENSE)
5  CHARLOTTE'S HEART   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 20% 3.90 3.45  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of ACHALAYA by BELLAMY ROAD)
10  CARMEN'S CANDY JAR   (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 12.00 14% 6.00 10.60  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NO MO SHOPPING by UNCLE MO)
SCR  BLOSSOMING ERUDITE   (david c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of BLOSSOMED IN TIME by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  KAY CUP   (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 1.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of GYPSY JO by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.