Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Wednesday - March 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(8/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(8/3/4/2)-(6/4/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (8/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/2)-(6/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/2)-(6/4/2/3)-(3/5/8/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-3   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(3/5/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(3/5/8/6)-(9/7/2/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-4   WIN (3/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/6)-(3/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/8/6)-(3/5/8/6)-(3/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/8/6)-(9/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8/6)-(9/7/2/4)-(5/1/7/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-5   WIN (9/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/2/4)-(9/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/2/4)-(9/7/2/4)-(9/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/2/4)-(5/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/7/2/4)-(5/1/7/4)-(10/7/6/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-6   WIN (5/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/4)-(10/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/4)-(10/7/6/8)-(6/2/8/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-7   WIN (10/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/6/8)-(10/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/6/8)-(10/7/6/8)-(10/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/6/8)-(6/2/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/7/6/8)-(6/2/8/3)-(1/8/3/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-8   WIN (6/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/3)-(1/8/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/3)-(1/8/3/7)-(2/4/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-9   WIN (1/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/7)-(2/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TP-10   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOOP Feb13 Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 Oct28 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 6.00    
SCR  KOHARA (IRE) Jan17 Dec20 Oct30 Oct08 Sep17 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 125 4.00    
VINO ROSATO Jan15 Dec06 Oct22 Sep18 Aug26 (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 125 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  QUEEN OF THE DANCE Feb21 Jan30 Jan17 Dec22 Dec06 (nocero c)RODRIGUEZ A 127 4.50    
NO SHOW Feb07 Jan17 Dec21 Nov07 Sep19 (esquivel gus)MONCADA IRVING 120 3.00 27% 2.80    
GOLDEN STORM Feb13 Jan29 Dec21 Oct28 Aug29 (andr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN Jan29 Oct22 Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 125 5.00    
EMERSON'S DREAM Feb15 Dec21 Oct22 Sep11 Aug21 (greenhill jeff)SANJUR SANTO 125 15.00    
 
TP-2   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDURINGHOPE Feb15 Jan22 Feb10     (corrigan )CORREA L 126 5.00    
ACCONA Feb05 Sep11 Aug22 Aug10 Jul15 (shetron phyllis)FELIX E 126 12.00 17% 4.90    
FLICKER (GB) Jan25 Dec04 Oct20 Oct05 Sep14 (beckman wh)RAMOS D 126 2.50 21% 3.70    
VINO CALDO Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 Dec12 Oct29 (cazares)DE CRUZ 126 4.00 18% 4.50    
C J'S BOOMBA Feb03 Dec29 Oct23 Sep25   (cunningham j)SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00    
HOPE OF GLORY Jan26 Nov13       (davis christop)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
RIESENBERG Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 Dec12 Nov14 (cannon st)MACHADO LUAN 126 6.00    
FRANCHUCHIE Jan02 Dec01       (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
TP-3   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDERIAN Feb15 Feb01 Nov24 Nov07 Sep25 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00    
BRILLIANT JOURNEY Jan29 Sep07 Aug03 Jul05 Jun07 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 15.00 19% 4.30    
KNIGHT'S MOVE Feb01 Jan03 Dec12 Nov04 Oct16 (navarrete an)RAMOS D 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
COMMUNICATION MEMO Feb15 Jan04 Dec13 Nov16 Oct06 (hancock d)CORREA L 121 5.00 21% 3.90    
HARVARD Feb08 Dec26 Nov21 Nov03 Aug30 (maker michae)MONCADA IRVING 116 1.60    
CASEYS MEMORY Feb15 Jan29 Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 (johnston d)LANERIE J 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Jan04 Dec13 (jarvis kathy)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 8.00    
SCR  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) Feb22 Jan30 Dec28 Nov16 Oct19 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 4.00    
 
TP-4   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARM TEAM Nov24 Feb17 Jan06 Oct29 Sep15 (arnold r)LANERIE J 125 8.00    
HOLD THE PHONE Feb15 Dec13 Sep25 Dec15 Oct03 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 125 30.00    
ARMY HERO Feb13 Dec07 Nov10 Oct05   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 3.00 47% 1.10    
TAVERN TIME Nov07 Oct06       (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 2.50    
FAYETTE SPIRIT Feb05 Dec21 Nov24 Oct10 Sep07 (medina rober)MONCADA IRVING 120 2.00 15% 5.60    
DU MONDE Dec07 Nov02 Sep22 Aug25 Jul28 (hill f)LEBRON VICTOR 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
TAPTHEDRUM Feb15 Jun07 May02 Mar19   (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 125 20.00    
THE DOVER SPECTER Oct10 Sep01 Jul22 Jun20 Apr13 (danner kelsey)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 5.00 15% 5.90    
 
TP-5   03/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($84K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE ME TO CHURCH (IRE) Feb01 Oct31 Oct03 Aug30   (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 123 4.00    
TAGLIATELLE Dec06 Nov03 Sep28 Aug19 Jul13 (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 123 12.00 14% 6.40    
SHARDS Feb01 Dec20 Apr07 Mar23 Nov03 (danner kelse)RAMOS D 123 2.50    
GIANT TEDDY Jan23 Dec15 Nov15 Oct13 Sep29 (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 123 8.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE Jan23 Nov22 Oct16 Aug23 Aug03 (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 6.00    
LINZER Feb07 Jan10 Dec13 Oct17 Aug31 (sharp joe)MONCADA IRVING 118 10.00    
ALL JOKES ASIDE Feb01 Dec27 Dec19 Nov16 Oct22 (meah anna)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 123 10.00 17% 5.10    
SCOOT DADDY Feb21 Jan16 Dec12 Oct19 Sep22 (wes)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 15.00    
LET'S GO MARK Jan31 Jan03 Dec14 Sep23 Sep07 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  FOXTROTANNA Dec21 Nov15 Oct05 Sep05 Aug11 (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 20.00    
 
TP-6   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISH CAREFULLY Feb05 Dec14 Feb17 Dec23 Dec09 (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 126 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MITOLE out of FORGIVENESS by MEADOWLAKE)
DAIRAGO (FR) Feb05 Nov23 Oct26 Sep28   (hess b)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 126 4.00    
  (by CITY LIGHT out of POLARIZED by MEDICEAN)
SWEET FREEDOM Dec21 Oct24 Sep29 Aug25 Jul05 (medina rober)MONCADA IRVING 121 2.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ALL AMERICAN GAL by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SHALLUS Nov22 Nov13 Oct14 Sep18 Aug29 (labra rogelio)FELIX E 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of STRIKE FREE by CONCERN)
STEPPIN SILVER Feb05 Dec07       (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of POLYANTHA ROSE by TIZNOW)
AMERICAN ONLY Sep28 Aug31 Aug11 May28 Apr20 (o'n)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
OBELISK Jan15         (harty eoin)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BETTER LUCKY by GHOSTZAPPER)
GHOST NATION Dec21 Nov24 Sep22 Aug20   (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 126 8.00    
  (by TAPIT out of GLORYZAPPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
TP-7   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE IS LISA Feb06 Jan15 Jan03 Dec07 Oct18 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
THISPOINTINTIME Oct13 Sep18 Sep04 Aug17 Aug08 (morelos mateo)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00    
SCIENCE (IRE) Feb07 Jan12 Dec14 Nov10 Oct20 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
SCR  CAPPY HOUR Feb14 Jan30 Jan02 Dec05 Oct09 (adams nanc)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 20.00    
KYGO (GER) Feb15 Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 Sep04 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50    
IOYA AGAIN Feb01 Jan18 Oct23 Aug17 Jul18 (van thoma)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
RANSOMWARE Feb05 Jan25 Jan02 Oct16 Sep30 (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.00 12% 7.50    
JURA Jan18 Jan03 Dec11 Oct10 Sep19 (baez se)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  METATRON'S MUSE Feb01 Jan01 Nov29 Oct30 Sep14 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
10  SOUND THE CHARGE Feb13 Jan30 Dec05 Oct23 Oct22 (pino michael )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 1.60 64% 0.60    
 
TP-8   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEBOWSKI Feb13 Jan20 Dec22 Nov09 May16 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 3.50    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BECKY'S BEST by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SOUND CAUSE Feb01 Jan04 Nov30 Oct25 Aug29 (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of QUEEN OF SCAT by KING OF SCAT)
LAST CHANCE LUIS Feb07 Dec13 Oct27     (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of I WAS LOOKING UP by EMPIRE MAKER)
BAKER HAYFIELD Feb15 Dec20 Nov30 Nov01   (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SKYLAR'S PASS by THE FACTOR)
COILED Dec20 Oct05       (del)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LAQUESTA by LEMON DROP KID)
BRUSHFIRE Feb01         (maker michae)MONCADA IRVING 115 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ETERNAL PEACE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  SHINIGAMI Feb23 Jan25 Dec01 Nov15 Oct27 (esquive)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
  (by PRIME ATTRACTION out of DOCUMENTED by SIGNATURE RED)
SILVER ORE Jan25 Dec28       (cowans william)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00 8% 11.40    
  (by FROSTED out of DERBY EVE by TIZNOW)
 
TP-9   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALM TREE Feb01 Dec14 Oct03 Sep05 Dec09 (walsh brenda)MONCADA IRVING 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
RACHMAN Feb15 Jan25 Nov13 Oct28 Oct03 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.50    
BERNIN TUNE Feb08 Dec28 Nov02 Oct09 Sep01 (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 6.00 9% 10.70    
MANABI Sep09 Aug03       (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS PHAROAH Jan26 Dec21 Oct07 Sep19 Aug15 (waltz brian)CEDILLO ABEL 125 10.00    
ASK ARTHUR Jan26 Dec21 Oct04 Sep14 Aug17 (wismer )DE CRUZ 125 8.00    
SPECIAL JUSTICE Feb08 Dec27 Oct09 Sep17 Jun27 (molloy thomas)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 8.00 5% 17.20    
ASKARI Jan29 Aug30 Jul22 Jun17   (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 3.50 16% 5.30    
NOBLE GENTLEMAN Feb08 Jan25 Jan05 Nov17 Oct24 (labra rog)CORREA L 125 12.00    
 
TP-10   03/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DECATUR STREET Feb21 Jan31 Jan03 Dec27 Mar29 (cazares jose)RAMOS D 125 4.00    
MIYAGI Feb02 Jan03 Dec14 Nov19 Oct07 (gutierrez fa)MONCADA IRVING 120 4.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  VSOP Oct31 Sep29 Sep04     (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 6.00    
EGYPTIAN QUEST Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Dec08 Nov09 (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 5.00 18% 4.60    
PLUNDER Feb12 Jan24 Dec12 Oct20 Sep17 (woj)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
UPTOWN TOM Feb22 Jan23 Jan03 Dec20 Nov14 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TANEYCOMO Feb12 Nov11 Sep16 Jul30 May16 (paye jose)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 30.00    
SCR  MY RIGHT HAND Jan19 Dec15       (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 125 20.00    
TIE BREAKER LENNIE Feb21 Jan24 Jan01 Dec05 Nov06 (meraz antoni)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 15.00    
10  NO REMATCH Dec13 Oct05 Sep11 Aug01   (eggleston )VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 20.00    
11  ODORICO Feb22 Feb12       (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 125 20.00    
12  SEA THE SKIES Jan01 Dec11 Oct24 Sep06 Mar25 (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 125 12.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF EXPOSED Feb07 Jan26 Dec15 May24 Apr29 (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.