Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Friday - December 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/6)-(7/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/6)-(7/3/4/6)-(9/4/5/10/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/6)-(9/4/5/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/6)-(9/4/5/10/2)-(4/7/5/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-3   WIN (9/4/5/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/10/2)-(9/4/5/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/10/2)-(9/4/5/10/2)-(9/4/5/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/5/10/2)-(4/7/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/4/5/10/2)-(4/7/5/8)-(9/3/5/1/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/8)-(9/3/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/8)-(9/3/5/1/8)-(3/4/7/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/3/5/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/1/8)-(9/3/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/1/8)-(9/3/5/1/8)-(9/3/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/5/1/8)-(3/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5/1/8)-(3/4/7/6)-(5/3/1/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/6)-(5/3/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/6)-(5/3/1/9)-(7/1/8/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/3/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/9)-(5/3/1/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/9)-(5/3/1/4/9)-(5/3/1/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/1/9)-(7/1/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EPICUREAN Nov21 Nov12 Oct28 Jul03 Jun03 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
2  MISS FUSSY PANTS Nov21 Nov05 Oct18 Sep01 Jun26 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  TIZZY JOJO Dec04 Nov06 Oct17 Oct10 Sep03 (eggleston tim)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
4  LUBU Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 Oct05 Sep13 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 10.00    
5  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Dec12 Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 May24 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00    
6  PRINCESS HALIME Dec03 Nov05 Oct20 Aug06 Jul16 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 10.00 14% 6.20    
7  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Nov21 Nov04 Oct02 Sep04 Aug20 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
8  LOADED ONCE MORE Nov21 Oct28 Oct07 Sep29 Aug25 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
 
MVR-2   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXY'S COUNTRY HIT Dec10 Nov13 Oct26     (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 122 2.50    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of BILLBOARD HIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  ELECTRIC MELODY Oct26         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 122 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  JOSEFINA         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of CALABRISELLA by CURLIN)
SCR  SUNNY LION         (cline c)PEREZ E 122 12.00 19% 4.20    
  (by DOLPHUS out of ROCKY PARADE by PARADING)
5  RAZZBERRY RIPPLE Dec10 Nov26       (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of RAZZLEDAZZLE ME by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
6  SHANGHAI DELIGHT Dec10 Oct26       (rone mike)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of TURNER'S HALL by FOREST WILDCAT)
7  UBETCHAMISTER Dec10         (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by VEKOMA out of ROXANNE O by ROCK HARD TEN)
8  A THOUSAND PRAYERS Dec10 Nov26 Nov13     (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
 
MVR-3   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUST FUND ROBBER Dec03 Nov25 Nov13 Oct27 Oct16 (lopez e)VEGA L 124 15.00    
2  BOOYAH Oct06 Sep08 Jul07 Jun10 May21 (urieta johanna)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  YOUNG ELVIS Nov27 Nov20 Oct21     (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 20.00    
4  SAGE RUNNER Dec10 Nov26 Nov07 Oct23 Oct10 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 10% 8.80    
5  MANSION PARTY Dec10 Nov26 Nov07 Oct23 Oct05 (short thomas)PEREZ A 123 4.00 8% 12.10    
6  THIS KATZ FOR REAL Sep27 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
7  DOMI Dec10 Nov20 Jun27 Jun08 Apr24 (szczepan)MARTINEZ A 124 20.00    
8  MAKE THE BED Dec09 Dec03 Nov26 Oct29 Sep18 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00    
9  MSHINDI Nov20 Nov07 Oct23 Oct07 Sep16 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
10  TEAM TRAVIS Dec10 Nov11 Oct09 Sep25 Sep12 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 7% 12.90    
 
MVR-4   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEVICHE Nov19 Oct21 Aug15 Jul30 Jul10 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00    
2  MISS SHADY Nov27 Nov10 Jul15 Jun24 Jun12 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 5.00    
3  CLEOMENES Dec07 Nov17 Oct24 Sep12 Aug24 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
4  RENO TOUCH Dec10 Nov19 Sep26 Aug13 Jul11 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 126 4.50 43% 1.30    
5  FIRST KITTEN Nov12 Oct29 Oct17 Sep22 Aug25 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 13% 6.60    
6  QUARANTINA Nov19 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 Aug21 (casalinova ti)SIMPSON JASON 126 15.00    
7  HONEY BELLA Sep03 Aug18 Jul30 Jun18 Apr10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 14% 6.30    
8  SPECIAL BEACH Sep30 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul24 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   12/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTHAM GRAY Dec09 Nov10 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 (ccamaque)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
2  LADY GIULIANA Nov27 Nov05 Oct01 Jul04 Jun13 (skerre)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00    
3  HEBRIDES Oct22 Oct14 Sep28 Sep18 Sep02 (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
4  KAPADOKYA Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50    
5  SHES HOT TO TROT Nov24 Nov10 Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
6  LANDY Dec03 Nov24 Nov10 Oct28 Oct15 (cambray a)HERNANDEZ H 123 20.00    
7  PINK PARTY PANTS Nov20 Nov04 Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
8  YEHAWMEMAW Dec09 Nov11 Oct22 Oct04 Sep13 (short thomas)STOKES J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  ALTER THE STARS Nov27 Oct22 Oct07 Sep25 Sep12 (tumblin andre)TOLEDO S 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
10  OFFTHEROADAGAIN Dec09 Nov20 Nov10 Oct22 Oct14 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY VALLEY Dec09 Nov05 Oct03 Sep12 Jul22 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
2  COLLECT GOLD Nov06 Feb14 Jan15 Dec14   (radosevich justin)STOKES J 123 15.00    
3  FLAME FOR REAL Nov21 Oct21 Oct07 Sep17 Aug10 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 123 3.00 33% 2.10    
4  BANANA PUDDING Nov21 Nov06 Oct01 Sep09 Aug13 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 123 1.60 26% 2.90    
5  STICK AROUND Nov21 Sep23 Aug10 Jul22 Jun18 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
6  LESOTHO Sep23 Sep06 Aug21 Aug02 Jul03 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  KANT ELOPE Feb23 Dec21       (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
 
MVR-7   12/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYING FOR KEEPS Dec09 Nov06 Jul25 Jul04 Jun05 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 17% 4.70    
2  C V SHACKLES Oct26 Oct02 Sep07 Aug24 Jul28 (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 124 3.50    
3  ORFANO Oct23 Oct03 Dec30 Nov27 Oct25 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
4  IRONCLAD ALIBI Nov21 Nov06 Oct11 Aug19 Aug05 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 123 5.00 ★    
5  REIGNING DREAM Nov25 Nov11 Oct26 Oct09 May18 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  MAN'S CHOICE Dec09 Nov06 Oct23 Sep14 Aug30 (castillo jabdi)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
7  PRESSLEY RIDGE May30 Apr24 Mar18 Feb29 Feb08 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 20.00    
8  SHAKE THE FROST Nov21 Oct26 Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
9  DOUBLE AGENT Nov21 Oct29 Sep26 Aug31 Aug02 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ILIKETHAT Dec10         (poole m)AVILES YAN 125 1.80 33% 2.10    
2  STRIKE PLATE Dec10 Nov26 Nov11 Oct26 Sep26 (langley joshu)ZONETT KEYNER 123 5.00    
3  FORT GRANDE Dec10 Nov11 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 (szczepanski )AYALA J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SEEKING FREEDOM Dec10 Jan18 Jan02 Dec18 Nov30 (faulkner c)STOKES J 123 20.00    
5  KENNEDY'S CAMELOT Dec10 Oct26 Sep19 Aug15 Jul19 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
6  GUESS AGAIN Oct26 Oct09 Aug15 Jul31 Jun26 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 3.50    
7  ROLL ON MAX Dec10 Nov11 Oct26 Sep04 Jul31 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
8  SWAYBACK MOBIL Dec10 Nov11 Oct26 Oct07 Sep16 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.