Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/6/8)-(1/7/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/8)-(7/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8)-(7/5/1/2)-(12/4/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/2)-(12/4/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/2)-(12/4/8/2)-(5/2/8/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (12/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/4/8/2)-(12/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/4/8/2)-(12/4/8/2)-(12/4/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/4/8/2)-(5/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (12/4/8/2)-(5/2/8/6)-(6/7/8/9/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/8/6)-(6/7/8/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/6)-(6/7/8/9/11)-(6/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/7/8/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/9/11)-(6/7/8/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/9/11)-(6/7/8/9/11)-(6/7/8/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/8/9/11)-(6/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/9/11)-(6/1/2)-(7/5/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-6   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(7/5/2)-(5/4/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/3/2)-(7/5/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Dec02 Nov14 Nov02 Oct20 Oct10 (vecchio car)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 3.50 74% 0.40    
SCR  ONE RED CENT Dec12 Nov21 Oct15 Sep18 Sep07 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
3  EXALTED JOY Dec12 Nov20 Nov06 Oct22 Oct07 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
4  HE'S A SHOOTER Dec11 Oct21 Sep23 Sep02 Aug12 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
5  RANDELLO Dec03 Nov06 Oct22 Oct03 Sep11 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 124 10.00    
6  NIGHT TIME RULER Dec03 Nov14 Nov06 Oct21 Sep24 (brown glenroy)STOKES J 124 4.00 ★    
7  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Dec03 Nov14 Oct24 Oct08 Sep24 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SAILOR'S CHANCE Nov11 Nov05 Oct23 Oct13 Sep28 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   12/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FROZEN Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALICED Nov19 Oct23 Sep26 Aug15 Jul23 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAGIC PALACE Aug15 Jul16 Jun22 Jun03 May23 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  R THREE ANGELS Oct26 Sep23 Aug10 Jul23 Jun19 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
4  KITTEN CALLS Oct29 Sep19 Aug09 Jun17 May17 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 4.50    
5  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Dec03 Nov19 Sep26 Aug13 Jul23 (skerrett jeffrey)STOKES J 124 8.00 22% 3.60    
6  SOMEDAY IS TODAY Nov09 Oct12 Jun22 Nov11 Oct14 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60    
7  NEEDED Nov13 Nov04 Oct21 Oct01 Sep18 (gilmartin bren)DIAZ I 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
MVR-3   12/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FROZEN Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VEGAS BLACK JACK Nov29         (morey wil)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 2.50    
2  POP THE CORK Dec11 Nov14 Oct21 Sep24 Jul02 (hurley l)TOLEDO S 125 10.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  TWICE SHY Dec08 Nov25 Apr01 Mar04   (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00    
4  THISISRIDICULOUS Dec11 Nov20 Jun07 May25 May11 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 125 6.00 10% 9.20    
5  CAROLINA CHEROKEE Dec08         (johnson jennifer)WHITACRE B 125 20.00    
SCR  GOLD ASPEN Nov29 Oct31 Sep21 Jun27 May30 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 125 3.50    
7  INTO THE BLACK Dec09 Sep10 Aug15 Jul24 Jun12 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
8  IT'S LAST CALL Dec02 Oct31 Oct24 Oct09 Sep16 (juarez-mendoz)CEDILLO MAURO 125 15.00 6% 15.20    
9  KLIMTSTER Dec04 Oct28 Oct08 Oct02 Sep18 (aguirre r)DIAZ R 125 20.00    
10  DASH TO FINISH Sep24 Sep03 Aug27 Aug05 Mar24 (reust megan)TAPARA LUIS 125 15.00    
SCR  KLAY B EVEN MONEY Nov18 Nov02 Oct08 Sep21 Aug31 (wilson jr)STOKES J 125 20.00    
12  JEDI'S WAY Nov29 Nov20 Sep28 Sep13   (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 57% 0.80    
 
MVR-4   12/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FROZEN Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOCHER Nov07 Oct23 Oct03 Mar06 Feb21 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
2  TAMMY'S TOY Dec03 Nov07 Oct19 Oct08 Sep18 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 24% 3.20    
3  LOTSA MATCHA Dec03 Nov06 Oct21 Oct03 Sep18 (gonzal)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
SCR  JODHPUR Dec03 Nov07 Oct08 Sep26 Sep05 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50    
5  ROLLIN MY WAY Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 Sep11 Aug16 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 125 1.80 27% 2.70    
6  WHISKEY HELPS Dec03 Nov07 Aug08 Jul19 Jun27 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  LINO'S KID Nov21 Oct23 Sep26 Aug16 Jul19 (galloway khadeem)PEREZ E 124 4.00    
8  ONE STEP ASIDE Dec03 Nov07 Oct23 Oct03 Sep12 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 15% 5.80    
 
MVR-5   12/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FROZEN Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY LIGHTS Nov27 Nov04 Oct02 Jul09 Jun12 (gorham m)PEREZ E 123 6.00    
SCR  LADLE Oct05 Sep20 Sep11 Aug23 Aug07 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 123 12.00    
3  WELLOILEDCAT Jun10 May29 May20 May06 Jan11 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 124 30.00    
4  SPICY TUNA Jul12 Jun14 May24 May04 Apr25 (tomlinson rona)GONZALEZ A 123 20.00    
5  SUMMER HOLIDAY Nov14 Oct24 Sep26 Sep01 Aug09 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
6  QUICK RECOVERY Dec04 Nov19 Nov02 Oct12 Sep27 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 125 3.50 61% 0.70    
7  LIL TEMPTATION Dec06 Oct16 Sep28 Mar14 Feb07 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 10% 9.00    
8  TOVIA Dec03 Nov20 Nov10 Sep11 Aug24 (ccamaque)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 8% 11.40    
9  MALI BALI Nov27 Oct02 Sep12 Sep03 Aug22 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MORNING HOLIDAY Dec09 Oct26 Oct04 Sep01   (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00    
11  ROSEBUD RYDE Nov25 Nov13 Oct15 Sep18 Sep03 (dixon jr)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  YOUR TROPHY GIRL Dec04 Nov10 Oct16 Sep23   (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 125 12.00    
 
MVR-6   12/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FROZEN Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCITEMENT Dec04 Nov14 Oct26 Aug30 Aug10 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  CLASS ACTOR Nov26 Nov12 Oct30 Oct09 Sep16 (castillo jabd)ZONETT KEYNER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAST COOKIE Dec10 Nov25 Nov11 Nov04 Oct22 (urieta johan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
SCR  BILL OF RIGHTS Nov27 Nov12 Oct24 Sep29 Aug03 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
5  P MONEY Nov16 Oct05 Sep14 Aug18 Jul13 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00    
6  BLUE MAX Dec04 Nov14 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
7  RED HEAD KID Dec11 Nov18 Oct30 Oct08 Sep17 (ga)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   12/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FROZEN Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARLAY CHARLIE Dec09 Nov26 Nov06 Feb28 Feb07 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
2  KISS VALENTINA Nov04 Aug22 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BUCKEYE ROSE Dec04 Apr11 Feb24 Dec27 Nov24 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 ★    
4  AZ WE SPEAK Nov19 Nov04 Oct08 Sep02 Aug10 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60    
5  COWGIRL SARA Dec05 Nov05 Oct19 Oct02   (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 125 5.00 31% 2.20    
6  HERE COMES DOLLY Nov19 Nov04 Sep03 Jan09 Dec07 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
7  COMPUTE THIS Dec04 Nov04 Sep03 Aug12 Mar27 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-8   12/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FROZEN Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SUZIE Q Nov27 Nov05 Sep11 Aug21 Jul29 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00    
2  REDWINEANDWHISKEY Oct22 Aug26 Aug01 Jun22 Sep25 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FRAC AMOUR Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 Sep23 Sep10 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
4  WINE AND WAVES Dec03 Oct22 Oct10 Sep23 Sep02 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 125 6.00 29% 2.50    
5  VEGAS LOVE Oct22 Sep25 Aug23     (morey wil)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
6  JUDY ELAINE Oct05 Sep19 Aug05 Jul02 May02 (brown h)AVILES YAN 123 12.00    
7  YOU CAN'T WIN Dec08 Aug01 Jun12 May30 Apr25 (haynes ernest )HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 7% 13.30    
8  GRACIE DANCE Nov27 Nov05 Oct21 Sep11 Aug21 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.