Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - November 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(6/3/7)-(1/6/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(1/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(1/6/9/5)-(2/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/9/5)-(2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/9/5)-(2/6/4)-(3/10/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(3/10/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(3/10/7/5)-(6/9/1/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/10/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/7/5)-(3/10/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/7/5)-(3/10/7/5/6)-(3/10/7/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/10/7/5)-(6/9/1/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/10/7/5)-(6/9/1/2/5)-(5/7/2/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/9/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/2/5)-(6/9/1/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/2/5)-(6/9/1/2/5)-(6/9/1/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/1/2/5)-(5/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/1/2/5)-(5/7/2/6)-(4/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/6)-(4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE STEP ASIDE Oct23 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00    
2  DANCE MOVES Sep28 Aug31 Aug02 Oct21 Aug11 (haehn terry)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 12.00    
3  JODHPUR Oct08 Sep26 Sep05 Feb15 Sep05 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
4  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Oct23 Sep28 Aug31 Aug02 Oct30 (corriveau j)NUNEZ Y 124 6.00 5% 17.60    
5  RADIO SILENT Oct21 Sep26 Sep04 Jun26 Jun01 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
6  SMOOCHER Oct23 Oct03 Mar06 Feb21 Dec30 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
 
MVR-2   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL BANDIDO Oct28 Oct01 Sep18 Aug27 Aug07 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 6.00    
SCR  ON HIS TOES Oct28 Oct03 Aug27 Jul17 May15 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 8.00    
3  CAPTURE MI Oct28 Oct01 Sep18 Sep05 Aug13 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
4  THE EQUINEST Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Aug27 Apr24 (bailey ri)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 8.00    
5  DESTINO Oct20 Sep18 Aug19 May21 May07 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50    
6  CHAMPAGNE MIKE Oct30 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Aug11 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
7  GRAND DEAL Oct22 Oct01 Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 124 10.00 9% 10.00    
 
MVR-3   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Oct08 Sep18 Aug28 Jul23 Jul04 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
2  OHIO STRONG Oct08 May09 Mar25 Mar06 Feb06 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 124 10.00    
3  SHOWTIME BOY Oct03 Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 (galloway kha)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 6.00    
4  TAMMY'S TOY Oct19 Oct08 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 (brown gle)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
5  WHISKEY HELPS Aug08 Jul19 Jun27 May31 May15 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  GLOBAL HYSTERIA Oct21 Sep26 Sep16 Aug19 Jul17 (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
7  STORMED OUT Sep11 Aug16 Jul19 Jun27 May31 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00    
SCR  COUNTRY RUCKUS Oct17 Oct08 Sep25 Aug07 Dec26 (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 124 4.00    
9  AFLEET O ME Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 Jun05 (flores)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 11% 8.40    
 
MVR-4   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THISTLE QUEEN Sep06         (antonuik je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50    
  (by MOBIL out of SINFUL DELIGHT by BLAME)
2  COWGIRLTAKEMEAWAY         (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by FORT LARNED out of BLESSINGSOFLIBERTY by CONSTITUTION)
3  BIONIC SAINT Oct23 Oct08       (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 122 15.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
SCR  EBONY'S SECRET Aug06 Jul01       (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of SCARLET GIRL by LOFT (GER))
5  GABADOST Oct08 Sep24       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 4.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of THIRST FOR TRUTH by STAY THIRSTY)
6  KOZY NIGHT         (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
  (by TENKOZ out of WOODYS NIGHT WATCH by MONDAVI)
SCR  DANCEHALL JUSTICE Jul04 Jun07       (west m)BRACHO A 122 3.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of CROSS COUNTRY by DIVINE PARK)
 
MVR-5   11/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWE SUMSUNFUN Oct07 Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 Sep23 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 20.00    
2  SIR MASON Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Mar26 Mar04 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 122 12.00    
3  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Oct14 Sep26 Sep02 Aug19 Jul15 (huffman can)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  THIRTYEIGHT WISHES Oct07 Sep16 Mar08 Jan04 Nov29 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 122 4.00    
5  MOON OVER DUBAI Oct23 Oct16 Oct06 Sep25 Sep11 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAPTAIN'S FLAG Oct24 Oct10 Sep22 Sep15 Sep01 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00 ★    
7  MSHINDI Oct23 Oct07 Sep16 Jan25 Jan11 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SAGE RUNNER Oct23 Oct10 Sep23 Sep16 Aug05 (v)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 20.00    
9  MANSION PARTY Oct23 Oct05 Sep11 Aug16 Aug01 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 12.00    
10  GRAND BEY Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Sep13 Aug29 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  TEAM TRAVIS Oct09 Sep25 Sep12 Aug23 Jun19 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50    
12  MEXITEXAFORNIA Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 Aug15 Jul24 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 122 15.00    
 
MVR-6   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY CAJUN LADY Sep20 Aug18 Aug03 Jun01 May17 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 9% 9.80    
2  WRITTEN CONSENT Oct13 Sep20 Sep01 Aug18 Jul07 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BLUEBIRD SING Oct19 Sep19 Sep02 Aug14 Jul18 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
4  UNESCORTED Oct09 Sep23 Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 126 12.00    
5  KERLO'S CAUSE Oct19 Oct04 Sep20 Aug22 Aug07 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEET BABY RAY Aug26 Jul23 Jun25 Mar22 Jan31 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  PEARLINTHEROUGH Oct19 Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 20.00    
8  REMEMBER ME Oct04 Sep01 Aug17 Jul24 Jul06 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00    
9  SAVE THE FLAG Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 Aug13 (zook w)WHITACRE B 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
10  LONG BLACK VEIL Oct19 Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 Jul20 (jarvis)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLESTON Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 Feb24 Feb03 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 122 2.50    
2  VERBIER (IRE) Oct19 Sep26 Sep03 Aug31 Aug06 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 10% 9.00    
3  GUT INSTINCT Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Aug01 Jul16 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 124 3.50    
SCR  MR PUK Oct16 Sep19 Aug22 May05   (ortiz a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00    
5  ERNIE'S MARTINI Oct22 Sep24 Sep03 Aug12 Jan15 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 36% 1.80    
6  POKER PARTNER Oct15 Sep05 Aug19 Jul11 Jun22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 122 20.00 10% 9.10    
7  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Jul25 Jun13 May21 May07 Mar26 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 15.00 14% 6.20    
8  CLOAK AND DAGGER Sep16 Aug01 Jul16 Jun24 Jun12 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
9  AURA OF GOLD Oct19 Sep05 Jul11 Jun22 May21 (madrigal)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL ENSIGN Oct23 Oct08 Sep24 Sep12 Aug22 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
  (by MOBIL out of PERSONAL NOTEBOOK by MINER'S MARK)
SCR  LIL BIT         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CAVALLERIA by LANGFUHR)
SCR  MO SWIFT         (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00    
  (by DRILL out of MO SMART by UNCLE MO)
4  WAVES OF LIBERTY Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 Jul04 Jun20 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
5  SHARP LADY Aug06         (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of STRUMMING by CURE THE BLUES)
6  I BELONG FIRST Oct10         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 122 8.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
7  WATCH ME DADDY         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAGSHIP out of PLEASE DADDY by THE DADDY)
8  MIDNIGHT GODDESS Oct23 Sep24 Sep06     (andrade hu)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 3.50    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.