Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/5)-(5/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CD-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/1/3)-(4/2/5/6/9) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CD-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/2/5/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/2/5/6/9)-(7/2/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-4   WIN (4/2/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6/9)-(4/2/5/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6/9)-(4/2/5/6/9)-(4/2/5/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6/9)-(7/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/6/9)-(7/2/3/6)-(4/9/1/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-5   WIN (7/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/6)-(4/9/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/6)-(4/9/1/8)-(5/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-6   WIN (4/9/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/8)-(4/9/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/8)-(4/9/1/8)-(4/9/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/1/8)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/1/8)-(5/6/2)-(9/3/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-7   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(9/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(9/3/4/5)-(2/8/6/9/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-8   WIN (9/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/5)-(9/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/5)-(9/3/4/5)-(9/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/4/5)-(2/8/6/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-9   WIN (2/8/6/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/9/3)-(2/8/6/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/9/3)-(2/8/6/9/3)-(2/8/6/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROWNSTONE Apr13 Mar30 Feb24     (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 11% 7.80    
2  MACAW (IRE) Jun12 May11       (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 61% 0.60    
3  PED D'ORO Apr14 Mar06       (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
4  TEMECULA Jun02 Apr21 Mar16     (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 8.00    
5  BOOKIE BRENT Jun07 May18 Apr06     (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  REDEPOSIT Feb08 Dec16 Nov26 Oct20   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  AIR IT OUT Jun02 May11 Mar16 Feb24 Jan20 (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50    
 
CD-2   06/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUGHINALLTHEWAY May09 Apr12 Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 124 4.50 ★    
2  WEST COAST CRUISER Jun06 May21       (jarvis kathy)BECKMAN ALICE 120 12.00    
3  FURIOUS ANGER May30 Mar16 Jan14 Nov17 Oct21 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 2.50    
4  FIRST PLAYER Jun06 Oct09 Sep15 Aug11 Jul23 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  FUNNY UNCLE May30 May12 Apr21 Mar23 Mar08 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
6  SPECIAL DISPATCH May17 Apr24 Mar20 Mar01 Feb03 (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50    
 
CD-3   06/23/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINSTON WOLF May27 May09 Mar13 Feb02 Jan10 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
2  KNOX May09 Feb18 Dec26 Nov12 Sep16 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 124 8.00    
3  MY ROMEO LIMA Jun02 May12 May02 Mar06 Jan04 (brownfield claud)BEJARANO R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  JOINT VENTURE May23 Apr18 Mar07 Jan21 Dec15 (damato phili)TORRES A 124 3.00 ★    
5  DANCE SOME MO Jun02 May05 Apr12 Mar17 Mar08 (van t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
6  LONG CROW May02 Apr12 Feb16 Jan28 Oct11 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 124 8.00    
7  STRIKING SPARKS May22 Apr11 Sep30 Jul29 Jul12 (lobo paul)TORRES A 118 12.00    
 
CD-4   06/23/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMY'S DAILYS         (lynch a)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of MAMA JOYCE by FIRST DUDE)
2  JACK'S PROMISE         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of MALIBU TREASURE by MALIBU MOON)
3  EIGHTY WEST         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GOLD STANDARD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  EL PRESTIGIO         (asmussen )TORRES A 119 5.00 47% 1.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BARTLETT NARROWS by FLATTER)
5  STIGLETS         (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of SUPER CUTE by TEMPLE CITY)
6  BRIE'S IN TOWN         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BRIELLE'S APPEAL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
7  U DEVIL YOU         (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of DELIGHTFUL by BERNARDINI)
8  PERFECT FORCE         (lukas wayn)TORRES A 119 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CUABA by SMOKE GLACKEN)
9  HAWIJA         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. MONEY out of AFAAF by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  FLOODLITES         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of MORE MO FOR ME by UNCLE MO)
 
CD-5   06/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GETTYSBURG ADDRESS May04 Apr06 Mar08 Jan28 Jan01 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
2  HAILSTORM Jun01 May04 Apr14 Mar08 Jun01 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
3  STORMS HOME May26 May05 Apr14     (asmussen )TORRES A 118 8.00 11% 8.20    
4  KNICKS STORM Apr20 Apr06 Mar01 Dec20 Nov25 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50    
5  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Apr27 Apr06 Feb25 Jan27 Dec16 (martin car)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
6  BANJO CHRIS Jun05 Mar01 Feb16     (wismer g)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  WANTS N NEEDS Apr26 Mar30       (morse l)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
CD-6   06/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKEND FLAME         (gowan willia)MONCADA IRVING 108 20.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  PLAIN AND SIMPLE May26         (hancock a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
3  KALL KARL May11         (garcia genar)TORRES A 118 12.00    
4  JON'S STREET BAND         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  TIE BREAKER LENNIE Jun05 Mar13 Feb29 Dec24   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00    
SCR  VIGANO Mar23 Mar01 Jan27 Nov22 Nov01 (zito nichola)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 4.50    
7  TWIRLING TROILLET Jun13 May26 Apr05 Mar23 Feb23 (king l)RIQUELME J 118 6.00    
SCR  PHENOMENAL DREAM Jun07 May11 Apr20 Mar28 Feb09 (shorter a)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  CHULLIGAN May30 May11 Oct16 Sep04 Jun23 (shirer matt )GEROUX FLORENT 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
10  PUCKSTER May18 Feb29 Oct29     (troiani n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   06/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERLOTTI Jun09 Apr14 Nov18 Nov04 Sep09 (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 20.00    
2  DUAL MONARCHY May25 May01 Apr11 Feb23 Jan27 (atras rob)TORRES A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  EXTRA HALO Jun11 Dec20 Nov18 Oct03 Aug19 (granitz an)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 ★    
4  FLAT ON May26 Sep04 Jul08 May29 Apr30 (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50    
5  SHOW TIME May11 May27 Apr09 Mar17 Dec17 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  PINFIRE May30 Jan12 Dec09 Nov04 Sep14 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
7  TIVERTON (GB) May31 May25 May02 May01 Mar29 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
8  EAST FROM WEST Jun08 May08 Apr13 Mar08 Jan31 (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 20.00    
 
CD-8   06/23/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENDAL GRACE Jun11 Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 Jan10 (acevedo isr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 15.00    
2  SARA MIA May26 Mar10 Jan21 Dec14 Oct29 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
3  PANAMA RED (IRE) Oct25 Mar17 Feb04     (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 25% 2.90    
4  QUALY May26 Mar31 Mar03 Jan01 Nov19 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 11% 8.50    
5  LAURA'S CHARM May26 Apr30 Feb08 Dec14 Nov16 (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KRISPY RICE May29 Mar20 Feb21 Jan04 Nov29 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
7  ALTERED SHOT May23 Dec07 Nov16 Sep30 Aug06 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
SCR  SPEEDY TRAVELER Apr27 Mar02 Feb03 Dec31   (bauer philip)TORRES A 121 3.00    
9  ALL I WANT IS YOU Apr20 Mar09 Oct22 Sep22 Aug18 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  PISTOL May26 Apr30 Apr06 Sep21 Aug26 (van thomas)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
SCR  CHARRIERE May17 Mar23 Feb03 Dec22 Nov08 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
SCR  WILLOW BEND May23 Jan11 Nov22 Oct14 Jul22 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
SCR  NAY V BELLE May25 Apr21 Mar09 Feb18   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 2.50    
 
CD-9   06/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR TOPPER May27         (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SILVER WAVE by STAR DABBLER)
2  CARNITINE May19 Apr06       (kenneally eddi)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TAURINE by FLATTER)
3  TAPIT'S TALE Mar16         (correas )SANTANA JR 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of VERVE'S TALE by TALE OF EKATI)
SCR  STRONSINO Jun02 Apr27 Mar30 Feb24   (asmussen )TORRES A 118 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of TEAM SPORT by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
5  IN SPEIGHT OF WHAT         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of VICTORY ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
6  PADIDDLE Jun02         (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of BELLE CHAUSSEE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  HAIZUM May09         (matz micha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of WIND RACER by CURLIN)
8  CULPRIT May04 Jul23 Jun22     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HENNY JENNEY by HENNY HUGHES)
9  BOURBON SOCIETY Apr06 Mar16 Jan13 Dec17   (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 6% 16.20    
  (by BERNARDINI out of GIGGLIN' GAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
10  TORNADO ROAD May02 Apr13 Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 (lukas wayn)TORRES A 118 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CHECKUPFROMZNECKUP by DIXIE UNION)
11  D'ORO LEMON May27         (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 125 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LEMONS FOREVER by LEMON DROP KID)
12  IN WRITING Mar23         (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of WRITTEN REQUEST by ARCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.