Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - May 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/1/6)-(4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-5   WIN (8/4/14/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/14/7)-(8/4/14/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/14/7)-(8/4/14/7/5)-(8/4/14/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(2/1/6)-(3/7/4/13) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(3/7/4/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/7/4/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/13)-(3/7/4/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/13)-(3/7/4/13)-(3/7/4/13) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHYNAUGHTY Jan10 Nov28 Oct25 Oct06 Aug10 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.00 61% 0.60    
2  SAVESOMEFORME May09 Apr03 Jan09 Nov30 Nov15 (bates l)BUSH V 123 3.00    
SCR  ROCKY CHANNEL Jan09 Dec20 Dec20 Nov12 Oct26 (cline robert )SOSA LAUREANO 123 4.50    
4  NANA ROZE May09 Nov08 Oct04 Aug23 Aug09 (morelos mate)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.00    
5  STATE OF GRACE Mar27 Mar19 Feb20 Jan06 Nov30 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   05/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIVE MOONSHINE Apr13 Mar24 Mar16 Feb25 Nov17 (chain pear)BATISTA X 125 5.00    
2  OVER MY LIMIT May02 Apr25 Mar07 Feb09 Jan25 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  EL CERRITO Mar13 Feb10 Jan25 Jan10 Dec07 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 125 1.80 49% 1.10    
4  ENDOW May02 Nov27 Sep28     (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 119 3.00    
5  REVENGE TOUR May03 Mar21 Feb14 Jan25 Jan04 (grubbs jamie)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
BTP-3   05/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3 ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOW MINE         (parker hill)MURGIA A 123 8.00 13% 6.60    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SNOWIE HILL by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
2  MISSION CONTROL May04 Apr01 Mar09     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by PAYNTER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
3  GOT ZIP May04 Aug15 Aug02     (fletcher kevin)HESS SARA 118 3.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of PLASTIQUE by CITY ZIP)
4  JUBILEE BEN PLAYIN May04 Apr25       (bogart robe)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 6.00    
  (by THE PLAYER out of JUBILEE PARTNER by PARTNER'S HERO)
5  ENTICED BY CHANCE Apr25         (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.50    
  (by ENTICED out of THIRD CHANCE by KAFWAIN)
6  COUSIN JOE May04 Mar06 Aug26 Aug15 Aug02 (bogart rob)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
 
BTP-4   05/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OPIE'S GIRL Apr08 Mar20 Oct30 Sep27   (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 5.00    
2  MINESTRESS Apr25 Mar01 Dec30     (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 2.00    
3  ARTISTIC LANEY May15 Apr13 Mar06 Feb08 Jan09 (fernandez e)BLANCHE RISHAWN 116 3.00 8% 11.50    
4  TIERNEY Nov30 Oct10 Sep21 Sep04   (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 121 3.50 63% 0.60    
5  OFFICE CHATTER Oct12 Sep08 Jul24 Jun24   (hamm timothy)MCKEE J 121 4.00    
 
BTP-5   05/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN LEXI Mar28 Mar07 Feb09 Jan24 Jan10 (short thomas)MURGIA A 117 15.00    
SCR  SPICY TUNA May04 Apr25 Mar29 Feb29 Jan14 (tomlinson e)BUSH V 117 15.00    
SCR  OH POLLYANNA Mar29 Mar15 Feb15 Jan24 Dec23 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 123 6.00    
4  PERFECTLY WICKED Apr11 Mar22 Feb24 Jan12 Dec13 (fletcher kevi)LEBRON VICTOR 117 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  SONHO DE VERAO May03 Jan25 Dec06     (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 117 15.00 ★    
SCR  MAIRSILS FIRST Apr28 Apr06 Mar16 Feb03   (austin steven)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
7  SWIGERT Oct12 Oct05 Sep21 Aug29 Aug16 (caramori eduardo)MCKEE J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BLUE GUITAR May11 Apr11 Mar27 Mar07 Feb23 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  HONEYTOWN Mar06 Feb02 Jan17 Dec27 Dec15 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 123 12.00    
10  VOGELSANG May02 Mar16 Feb03 Oct05 Sep08 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50    
SCR  LUCKY LESSON Mar16 Nov17 Oct09 Sep25 Jun08 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 117 12.00    
12  SOUL HEIR May04 Apr14 Mar27 Mar06 Feb15 (grubbs jamie)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 5.00    
SCR  SPLIT DECISION Mar01 Feb15 Jan24 Jan03 Nov10 (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 30.00    
14  APRIL'S DIAMANTE Apr28 Mar31 Feb04 Sep29 Aug24 (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 10.00 21% 3.70    
15  KERLO'S CAUSE May15 Mar01 Jan26 Dec23 Nov27 (short thomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 20.00    
SCR  SHOT GIRL Sep25 Sep13 May23     (corrigan jim)MURGIA A 117 10.00    
 
BTP-6   05/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ELIANA Oct06 Sep28 Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 4.50    
2  HERE'S THE SPIDER Nov25 Oct28 Oct09 Aug26   (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 117 1.60 40% 1.50    
3  CHICA CHULA May02 Mar22 Feb24 Feb10 Jan25 (calvo kelsie)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00    
4  BRIEF ENCOUNTER Apr22 Aug12 Jul22 Jun15   (hamm timoth)OLIVEROS CHARLE 117 8.00 19% 4.30    
5  SWEET MOBILTEE Apr11 Mar27 Mar11 Feb21 Feb07 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  BETTER HALF Jan08 Dec21 Nov28 Oct06 Sep22 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00    
 
BTP-7   05/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALCYON DAYS May04 Mar20 Feb22 Feb09 Jan18 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50 7% 14.30    
2  BEATRICE KIDDO Feb29 Feb02       (reed r)COLON H 125 2.50 63% 0.60    
3  VOSTRA May12 May02 Oct04 Sep13 Sep02 (jones s)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50    
SCR  I BE GONE May03 Apr04 Mar01 Dec08   (austin steven)MURGIA A 119 5.00    
5  LINDSY'S SHADOW Apr26 Mar20 Dec19     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 4.00    
6  SUBTLE SENORITA Apr28 Mar29 Mar15 Feb25 Feb07 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-8   05/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODY'S FLY May11 Apr27 Oct17 Oct04 Sep19 (jones s)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00    
2  ISA LEI Apr25 Feb07 Jan05 Dec20 Nov17 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 112 8.00    
3  SPECIAL A May03 Jul22 Jul01 Jun15 May11 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  RAL COPPERHEADROAD May10 Jan11 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 (bush s)BUSH V 121 12.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  FROOME (IRE) May04 Mar14 Feb17 Jan25 Jan11 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
SCR  MYTHOMANIA Jan31 Dec09 Sep23 Aug02 Jun09 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 121 12.00    
7  STRIKING SPARKS Apr11 Sep30 Jul29 Jul12   (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 117 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  FORT LOWELL Mar27 Mar09 Feb17 Jan27 Sep20 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 123 20.00    
SCR  STEP ON IT Apr27 Mar27 Feb23 Jan25 Dec28 (bush s)HESS SARA 118 15.00    
10  STRIKE PRICE May10 Mar27 Mar14 Feb28 Aug09 (schuette sher)PANAIJO JORGE 123 20.00    
SCR  TIGER PAW (IRE) Feb08 Jan24 Jan06 Dec01 Sep13 (meah ann)RODRIGUEZ A 123 3.50    
SCR  ROYAL DECADENCE May09 Mar29 Feb29 Jul31 Jul09 (alvarez ner)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 10.00    
13  DIAL HIM UP Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 Mar03 Jan24 (mendieta alej)PANAIJO JORGE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.