Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - May 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(4/1/2)-(1/2/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(1/2/7)-(3/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (3/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/6)-(2/10/11/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/6)-(2/10/11/3)-(7/9/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/10/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/11/3)-(2/10/11/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/11/3)-(2/10/11/9/3)-(2/10/11/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/11/3)-(7/9/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/9/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/3)-(7/9/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/3)-(7/9/6/8/3)-(7/9/6/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   05/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOLEY MATRIMONY Nov14 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 2.50    
UNCLE VIC Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Sep06 (dean vict)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
LARZ Feb08 Jan10 Dec22 Dec08 Nov17 (o'callahan carl)VIVES SOFIA 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
MAX FOSTER Mar27 Feb13 Jan25 Jan02 Dec10 (englehart je)HARKIE K 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
STORMY NEW YORK Oct31 Oct03 Sep06 Aug08 Jul25 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
BANCO MEDICI Oct04 Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 Jul04 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 122 3.50    
 
FL-2   05/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDEMPTION ROAD Jan18 Oct30 Sep25 Jun19 Nov09 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
TATER AND TOT Mar25 Jan06 Nov06 Jan07 Dec17 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50    
RILEY BEE Nov20 Nov06 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 (lopez arca)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
GONNA BE DANCING Nov20 Oct24 Sep20 Aug29 Aug01 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 124 3.50    
B C GLORY DAYS Nov20 Nov07 Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 6.00 27% 2.60    
SHE SPEAKS WELL Dec27 Nov20 Nov06 Oct23 Oct10 (maver eduard)BERRIOS C 124 8.00    
 
FL-3   05/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Nov15 Oct16 Sep20 Sep04 Aug16 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
THE INSTITUTE Mar29 Feb16 Jan18 Dec30 Nov22 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
TRA LAD Dec30 Nov22 Nov01 Oct17 Sep25 (o'callahan carl)VIVES SOFIA 124 3.50    
FLYING EMPEROR Oct16 Aug16 Jul12 Jun13 May29 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
WARRIORS REVENGE Mar08 Feb04 Jan01 Mar12 Feb10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
 
FL-4   05/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3 F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE SHE'S SHADOW Nov06 Aug30       (englehart je)HARKIE K 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ELUDING by KRIS S.)
SCR  AIN'T NO LADY         (englehar)DAVIS A 122 2.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BUTTERFLY SOUL by HENNY HUGHES)
FIND YOUR JOY Feb24 Jan18 Aug02 Jul09   (mor)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BARREL OF DREAMS by NOT FOR LOVE)
WORLD BANK Nov20 Nov06       (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DONYA by ANABAA)
MAGGIE'S SONG Apr19 Feb04       (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 122 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of STORMY PLAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
IMALOTTALADY         (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 10.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of CRAZY CATLADY by FREUD)
SCR  DISCO PRINCESS         (lecesse michae)COA J 122 10.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of FREEDOM'S FLAME by FIRST SAMURAI)
HILLBILLY LADY         (lecesse mi)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of LAVENDER HILL by LANGFUHR)
 
FL-5   05/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A THOUSAND PLANS Sep25 Sep01 Aug21     (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 3.50    
BLUE EYED WARRIOR Mar29 Feb18 Dec28 Oct28   (gid)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MYBRONXBABY Aug01         (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
BUSTIN TIME Apr14 Mar17 Feb18 Feb09 Oct28 (davis robb)RIVERA R 122 6.00    
DORTH'S SOL DANCER Mar03 Jan18 Nov20 Oct10 Sep21 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
KAZ' ROSE Apr18 Jan10 Oct29 Aug23   (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 5.00    
 
FL-6   05/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE KENDRIC Nov22 Nov06 Oct16     (breed ronald)HARKIE K 124 3.50    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of GONNA BE LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
GOLD TEMPLAR Nov21 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 124 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TRUSS by FRIENDS LAKE)
BARFLY Mar23 Feb21 Feb02 Jan07 Dec24 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of MOTHERLOAD HIPSTER by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
RESTRIKE Mar20         (garber owen)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 10% 9.20    
  (by KLIMT out of AFLEET LEXI by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  KEIGS Mar01 Feb11       (ferraro anth)COA J 120 6.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ECLIPTICALSROSETTE by STORM WOLF)
UPTOMYKNEESINIT Apr11 Mar07 Feb17 Jan07 Dec02 (bartlett william )CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CALDWELL by MALIBU MOON)
SHARP PLAY BOY Nov22 Nov01 Oct03 Sep21 Sep06 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of LARA by JUMP START)
THEWIPERSONTHEBUS Dec21 Nov22 Nov13 Oct25 Oct11 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of PIECES OF SILVER by SILVER DEPUTY)
 
FL-7   05/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS A WARRIOR Mar10 Jan28 Dec15 Nov18 Sep24 (david carl)RIVERA R 120 3.50    
UNCLE GEORGE Mar21 Mar01 Feb10 Feb04 Jan01 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 36% 1.70    
POP COYER Nov22 Oct16 Oct02 Sep04 Aug07 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF MOGUL May13 Apr02       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
SCR  BENCH PRESS Aug24 Jul19 Jun21 May31 May05 (o'callahan carl)VIVES SOFIA 124 20.00    
VAUNTED Apr18 Mar28 Jan14 Dec07 Nov10 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00    
MACDONOUGH Feb20 Jan15 Oct25 Sep21 Sep05 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 15.00    
AL'S FROSTED Jan18 Nov22 Oct16 Sep04 Aug05 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00    
COOL IN BLUE Mar23 Feb24 Feb14 Dec30 Dec01 (brooks geral)AYALA J 120 6.00    
10  BUSTIN AWAY Jul28         (ferraro anth)COA J 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
11  ENTICING PROSPECT Sep27         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 10.00 14% 6.30    
 
FL-8   05/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THALBERG Mar29 Mar16 Mar07 Feb07 Jan11 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 12.00    
1A  MILITARY DRILL Feb10 Jan31 Jan17 Oct28 Oct19 (brooks gerald)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00    
FORWARD MOTION Feb23 Dec01 Oct09 Sep20 Aug28 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.00    
INVALUABLE WILL Nov22 Nov14 Oct09 Sep20 Aug14 (breed a)ROHENA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUSTIN PIETRE Mar23 Mar02 Jan25 Dec10 Nov21 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Jan18 Dec17 Nov06 Oct18 Oct04 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 15.00    
SUTTON BREEZE Mar21 Feb07 Jan12 Dec08 Nov21 (o'callahan carl)VIVES SOFIA 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
DROSEL DIEM Nov21 Nov06 Oct25 Oct09 Sep05 (sabine mich)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50 36% 1.80    
KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Sep26 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 5.00    
ALMENDRO Nov21 Oct25 Oct03 Sep05 Aug08 (ubbink s)DAVIS A 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.