Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - May 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (2/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/4)-(8/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4/6)-(8/1/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (8/1/4)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4)-(7/3/5)-(10/9/6/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(10/9/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (10/9/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/6/5)-(10/9/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/9/6/5)-(10/9/6/5)-(10/9/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (10/9/6/5)-(4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/9)-(3/5/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/9)-(3/5/9)-(3/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9)-(1/7/2)-(2/3/1/4/6) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-7   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(2/3/1/4/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (2/3/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4/6)-(2/3/1/4/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4/6)-(2/3/1/4/6)-(2/3/1/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   05/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R B'S BIG MOMENT Apr03 Mar16 Feb23 Feb04 Jan12 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 116 2.50    
MADY ROSE Apr11 Mar30 Aug02 Jul11 Jun25 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
MISS LINDYSUE Apr22 Mar26 Feb27 Feb12 Jan25 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 13% 6.40    
TRACE ESTATE Dec04 Nov15 Oct09 Sep18 Sep03 (ewell sr)LEON A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
RED ROSEBUSH Nov27 Nov12 Oct18 Sep18 Aug31 (cluley denn)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 11% 7.90    
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Apr11 Feb22 Feb05 Jan22 Jan09 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 8.00    
NOGRATZ Apr22 Dec27 Dec03 Nov19 Oct22 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 30.00    
MAY MAYS CASTLE Apr21 Nov18 Oct18 Sep09 Jul28 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
 
MNR-2   05/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFUTT COLE Nov01 Oct22 Aug27 Aug07 Jul23 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
QUARKY Apr23 Apr02 Feb26 Feb12 Dec02 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
RIVER ANT Nov26 Nov06 Oct22 Sep17 Sep05 (cluley denn)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 8.00    
ROYAL CRUSADER Nov15 Nov01 Oct01 Aug11 Jul21 (clouston edward)LEON A 123 8.00 6% 15.80    
EQUAL JUSTICE Oct23 Oct08 Sep20 Aug27 Jul07 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50    
I'M A COOL MAN Nov08 Oct30 Sep19 Aug30 Aug21 (cain crystal)BAYS BROOKE 113 5.00    
PERFECT PICTURE Dec10 Nov19 Aug29 Aug13 Jul19 (reed r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
UNYIELDING Oct23 Sep27 Sep03 Aug08 Jul10 (davidovich jamen)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
MNR-3   05/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONYA'S MAGIC Dec03 Nov12 Oct17 Oct04 Sep11 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
SCR  REINE SECRET Mar28 Feb21 Jan25 Dec13 Dec06 (babcock m)HO WESLEY 120 4.50    
SILVER STICK STAIR Dec05 Oct01 Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 6.00 9% 9.60    
ROMANTIC JEWEL Apr21 Apr13 Apr03 Feb19 Jul10 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 3.50    
WATERLOO SUNSET Dec14 Nov13 Oct25 Oct16 Sep25 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRANDIOSELY Mar23 Feb21 Jan27 Jan12 Dec02 (jones )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
HIDDEN IDENTITY Apr23 Dec10 Nov20 Nov12 Oct16 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
MNR-4   05/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRON BERTIE Apr09 Mar25 Feb26 Feb19 Jan30 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
UNCAPTURED FAITH Mar27 Mar06 Feb14 Jan31 Jun14 (wade justin)LEON A 120 15.00    
BANDEENA Apr02 Feb27 Feb07 Feb01 Jan13 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 5.00    
SCR  PEACE FIRE Mar30 Mar09 Feb21 Jan26 Jan14 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 12.00    
HUMMIN' THE FUNK Nov14 Oct31 Sep25 Sep10 Aug15 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
JAMMERS REVENGE Aug02 Jul12       (reed r)NEGRON LUIS 120 12.00 16% 5.30    
BUSKER ALLIE Feb27 Feb19 Feb07 Jan13 Dec01 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 5.00    
SCR  CAGUA Apr10 Mar17 Feb26 Feb13 Feb05 (bernardini p)RIVERA R 120 8.00    
WATERWORKS Apr19 Mar30 Mar13 Feb18 Jan17 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
10  NEVER TELL PATTI May18 Apr01 Mar02     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
MNR-5   05/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARPE BELLUM Mar12 Feb27 Feb15 Jan30 Dec17 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
TAPINTOYOURBEER Dec21 Nov24 Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 (gotera car)LEON A 120 8.00    
FAST FALL Jan04 Dec11 Oct26 Sep27 Sep10 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50    
STOMPING MOON Apr09 Mar15 Feb23 Feb01 Jan12 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 1.20 59% 0.70    
CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Dec29 Nov24 Nov12 Sep30 Sep16 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 120 15.00    
COUTH Dec20 Oct18 Oct01 Sep17 Aug20 (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
 
MNR-6   05/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LARIMAR Mar20 Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jun28 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 6.00    
SCR  CURIOSITY KILLS Apr10 Mar17 Feb24 Feb13 Jan30 (bernardini jay )LEON A 120 20.00    
SWEET QUEEN BEE Dec06 Nov14 Oct18 Sep18 Aug29 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 4.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  CONTENT (IRE) Dec12 Nov14 Nov03 Oct18 Oct04 (clouston edward)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00    
LATER DAYS Mar11 Feb22 Feb14 Dec10 Oct21 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  MISS MOON PIE Mar13 Feb10 Jan26 Dec20 Dec06 (joy ke)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
LOADED ONCE MORE Mar27 Jun21 May22 May09 May02 (bernardini p)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
DANSEUR D'ORO Mar16 Jan25 Dec27 Dec06 Sep24 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
MO CO GOLD Dec02 Nov10 Oct25 Oct01 Sep02 (cady khalil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-7   05/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO LOVE FOR JUBA Apr12 Mar22 Mar09 Feb22 Feb01 (sigler g)NEGRON LUIS 120 1.40 61% 0.60    
INDIAN EMPIRE Dec20 Nov08 Oct25 Oct02 Sep21 (johnson je)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
STEALTH MISSION Apr21 Mar05 Feb20 Jan30 Oct29 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00    
ROYAL PAIN Apr20 Mar27 Feb17 Jan25 Dec08 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 120 3.00    
PLAY CHICKEN Apr23 Mar21 Mar12 Feb23 Feb16 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 8.00    
RED FLAG ALERT Feb28 Dec28 Dec08 Nov10 Oct15 (viands gregory)VEGA L 120 4.00    
HURRY ON OUT Mar13 Feb09 Jan04 Dec07 Oct13 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 120 6.00 6% 16.30    
 
MNR-8   05/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER DONNA G Apr23 Dec10 Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00 12% 7.40    
SHALL RETURN Mar30 Mar15 Jan06 Dec30 Dec20 (bernardini p)RIVERA R 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
WAY TO FIRE Apr21 Dec14 Dec03 Oct23 Jun20 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00 22% 3.60    
HERE COMES LOVIE Apr21 Nov29 Sep24 Sep10 Jul14 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 9% 10.30    
TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Nov10 Oct26 Oct19 Aug03 Jul23 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 8.00    
YESTERDAYSPLAN Dec06 Nov12 Oct17 Sep24 Sep11 (logston chr)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
MEDWAY QUEEN Apr06 Oct15 Sep06 Aug13 Jul26 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 123 2.50    
LAUGH IT OFF Apr21 Nov07 Oct04 Aug21 Jul19 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
ANCIENT BROWN Dec06 Nov12 Oct03 Sep16 Aug23 (mcgaffic gregor)VEGA L 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.