Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - April 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(2/4/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(2/4/7/11)-(2/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
KEE-2   WIN (2/4/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/11)-(2/4/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/11)-(2/4/7/11)-(2/4/7/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/11)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/11)-(2/3/4)-(9/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
KEE-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(9/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(9/2/3)-(8/1/4/6/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
KEE-4   WIN (9/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/3)-(9/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/2/3)-(9/2/3/5)-(9/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/2/3)-(8/1/4/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/2/3)-(8/1/4/6/3)-(5/1/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
KEE-5   WIN (8/1/4/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/6/3)-(8/1/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/6/3)-(8/1/4/6/3)-(8/1/4/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/4/6/3)-(5/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/6/3)-(5/1/2)-(2/12/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(2/12/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(2/12/8/3)-(1/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
KEE-7   WIN (2/12/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/12/8/3)-(2/12/8/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/12/8/3)-(2/12/8/3/1)-(2/12/8/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/12/8/3)-(1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
KEE-8   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO VELOCE Aug04         (puhich mik)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 45% 1.20    
  (by KHOZAN out of CALL ME BABA by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  HONORS LEGACY Feb14 Jan18       (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of TARLOW by STORMIN FEVER)
SCR  SHETALKSTOANGELS Mar13         (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  LOW COUNTRY MAGIC         (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MARSH HARBOUR by MALIBU MOON)
5  RAZZLE RED Mar10         (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of EMPERESSE by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  SANCTIFY Mar06 Feb07 Jan18 Dec30   (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of LIQUORICE MARILYN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  TWO LUCYS Mar28 Dec13       (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BETHAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
KEE-2   04/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOBSTER GUN Mar13 Feb16 Jan25 Dec07 Nov17 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
2  ALL WEST Mar09 Feb01 Jan07 Dec17 Dec02 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
3  TRENDING UP Mar07 Jan31 Dec28 Nov30 Aug18 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00    
4  CANDY FOR CARMEL Mar17 Jul21 Jun28 Jun10 May31 (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
5  KAHALA Mar08 Feb29 Feb03 Dec29 Nov30 (claire ale)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00    
SCR  MINISTERIAL Feb18 Jun18 Apr20 Feb24 Dec30 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50    
7  SHORTLIST Mar22 Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 Nov30 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
8  THE THUNDERER Mar15 Feb17 Dec29 Nov24 Sep23 (molloy thomas)ORTIZ L 120 30.00    
SCR  BOITANO Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
10  CODE RUNNER Jan12 Dec09 Nov09 Oct13 Aug27 (rodriguez hug)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
11  NICHOLAS JONES Mar21 Feb17 Jan04 Dec16 Oct25 (brownfield claud)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 17% 5.00    
 
KEE-3   04/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEON ICON         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of MADEMOISELLE COCO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  KARA AND COLLEEN Feb29 Oct13 Sep13 Aug04 May27 (correas i)LEPAROUX R 126 1.80 52% 0.90    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of Y'ALL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  DYNAMISM Mar15         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AFLEETING LADY by AFLEET ALEX)
4  A DOLLAR A DAY Mar07 Feb22 Jan25 Dec30 Nov26 (butcher jame)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLAME out of MILLION DOLLAR DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
5  FORESEEN Feb18 Nov29 Oct29 Sep07 Jul22 (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of IMPRECATION by FIRST DEFENCE)
6  STREETWHEREYOULIVE Oct25         (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MY ROYALTY by STREET SENSE)
 
KEE-4   04/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SACKETT         (mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CURLIN'S APPLE by CURLIN)
2  JET SWEEP JOE         (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by FROSTED out of SISTER BLUES by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  BAYTOWN BOO BOO         (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of PROFOUND LEGACY by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  BOSTONTONIAN         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of FALCONESS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
5  MISTER WOODFORD         (demeritte )MELENDEZ MARIANO 119 15.00 ★    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of RUEFULLY by BERNSTEIN)
6  FORTHELOVEOFRUN Apr05         (o'donnell marcus)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FORTHELOVEOFPETE by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  CHARLIE TOLU         (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
SCR  DEEPLY HIDDEN         (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of LORETTE by YES IT'S TRUE)
9  STRUMMIN Apr05         (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.50 45% 1.20    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of QUEEN OF THE PARTY by KANTHAROS)
SCR  LISTENING         (chapman james )CONNER TYLER 119 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ENCHANTED JASMINE by WAR CHANT)
11  PROBALE TEN         (chapman jam)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LIFE AT TEN by MALIBU MOON)
12  INTO INSPIRATION         (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIAL HONOR by HONOR CODE)
 
KEE-5   04/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOTTA BOLT Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 Jan03 Dec15 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.00 11% 8.50    
2  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL Feb28 Mar12 Feb12 Nov11 Oct09 (toner j)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
3  DANCING NANCY Mar13 Feb15 Dec31 Nov15 Oct21 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  RAPPING WISH Mar15 Jan31 Dec14     (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00 9% 10.10    
5  FAST GAL Nov04 Sep28 Aug28 Jul16 Jul02 (hill f)MOJICA JR 124 6.00    
6  BAYTOWN LOVELY Feb07 Jan03 Dec06 Dec31 Dec14 (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 8.00 5% 18.80    
7  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY Jan25 Dec13 Aug13 May26   (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00    
8  BLENHEIM BABY Feb10 Jan03 Nov15     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 50% 1.00    
9  RUN RUN RABBIT Mar01 Jan27 Dec13 Nov24 Nov01 (fletcher kevin)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00    
 
KEE-6   04/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DE' ANS EIGHTY Mar24 Feb04 Jan13 Dec16 May20 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
2  MRS. RIP Jul01         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CRACKALACKING Jun11 May13 Mar25 Mar02 Jan13 (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 124 4.50    
4  LITTLE SISTER SUE Mar24 Feb18 Dec30 Dec08 Nov23 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 124 4.00    
5  POPPERINA Mar24 Feb17 Dec17     (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20 56% 0.80    
6  MARMALADE SKYE Mar14 Feb15 Dec21 Nov10 Oct12 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 124 8.00    
 
KEE-7   04/17/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEYHILL ROAD Mar03 Oct25 Sep10 Aug24 Jul01 (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 ★    
2  WHAT SAY THEE Mar03 Jan25 Dec31 Oct21 Sep10 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  ROYAL MENDE Mar23 Feb11 Jan07 Dec17   (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NOW AND LATER Feb02 Jul01 Jun16 May04 Jan28 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
5  BOLT FROM ABOVE Mar24 Feb02 Jan05 Aug21 Jun10 (brinkman brett)LANERIE J 123 20.00    
6  CAROOM Feb25 Feb02 May21 Apr27 Mar01 (catalano m)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
SCR  RAISE HIGH Dec22 Oct13 Aug27     (oliver victori)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
8  PIKE PLACE Feb25 Jan15 Oct11 Sep12 Aug04 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  EL AHIJADO Feb28 Jan10 Dec08 Nov08 Oct19 (guerrero sal)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 50.00    
10  PASSING JUDGMENT Feb24 Dec16 Nov09     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
11  HORACE MANN Oct28 Sep04 Jul23 Jun17 Nov13 (damato phi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
12  PORQUEROLLES Feb15         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  TIVERTON (GB) Mar29 Mar03 Oct19 Sep30   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  ALEMAN Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Dec20 Oct12 (jarvis ka)CORREA L 118 15.00    
SCR  MARQUET MALICE Mar22 Feb28 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 (douaihy mic)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUMPTASTIC Mar02 May14 Apr15 Feb11 Jan14 (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 125 1.80 56% 0.80    
2  PATRIARCHAL Mar16 Feb13 Jan12     (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
3  BERNIN HOT Aug31 Aug12 Jul15 May25   (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
4  KISSTHEMOON Mar16 Feb15 Jan20 Dec23 Nov25 (pessin neil)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
SCR  CONTEMPLATION Mar30 Mar01       (stidham mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
6  INDY MAGIC         (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRACTICAL THOUGHT Mar21 Feb17       (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
8  OLIVIER Feb25 Jan28       (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.