Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Wednesday - April 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (2/4/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-3   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-4   Win (9/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-5   Win (8/1/4/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-7   Win (2/12/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINO VELOCE Aug04         (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 45% 1.20    
HONORS LEGACY Feb14 Jan18       (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
SCR  SHETALKSTOANGELS Mar13         (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00    
LOW COUNTRY MAGIC         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
RAZZLE RED Mar10         (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50    
SANCTIFY Mar06 Feb07 Jan18 Dec30   (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
TWO LUCYS Mar28 Dec13       (mckeever andre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 17% 4.90    
 
KEE-2   04/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOBSTER GUN Mar13 Feb16 Jan25 Dec07 Nov17 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
ALL WEST Mar09 Feb01 Jan07 Dec17 Dec02 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
TRENDING UP Mar07 Jan31 Dec28 Nov30 Aug18 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00    
CANDY FOR CARMEL Mar17 Jul21 Jun28 Jun10 May31 (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
KAHALA Mar08 Feb29 Feb03 Dec29 Nov30 (claire alexi)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00    
SCR  MINISTERIAL Feb18 Jun18 Apr20 Feb24 Dec30 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50    
SHORTLIST Mar22 Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 Nov30 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
THE THUNDERER Mar15 Feb17 Dec29 Nov24 Sep23 (molloy thomas)ORTIZ L 120 30.00    
SCR  BOITANO Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
10  CODE RUNNER Jan12 Dec09 Nov09 Oct13 Aug27 (rodriguez hugo)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
11  NICHOLAS JONES Mar21 Feb17 Jan04 Dec16 Oct25 (brownfield claude)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 17% 5.00    
 
KEE-3   04/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEON ICON         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
KARA AND COLLEEN Feb29 Oct13 Sep13 Aug04 May27 (correas ign)LEPAROUX R 126 1.80 52% 0.90    
DYNAMISM Mar15         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
A DOLLAR A DAY Mar07 Feb22 Jan25 Dec30 Nov26 (butcher james)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
FORESEEN Feb18 Nov29 Oct29 Sep07 Jul22 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
STREETWHEREYOULIVE Oct25         (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00    
 
KEE-4   04/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SACKETT         (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
JET SWEEP JOE         (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
BAYTOWN BOO BOO         (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOSTONTONIAN         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.00    
MISTER WOODFORD         (demeritte la)MELENDEZ MARIANO 119 15.00    
FORTHELOVEOFRUN Apr05         (o'donnell marcus)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
CHARLIE TOLU         (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
SCR  DEEPLY HIDDEN         (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
STRUMMIN Apr05         (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  LISTENING         (chapman k)CONNER TYLER 119 20.00    
11  PROBALE TEN         (chapman james)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
12  INTO INSPIRATION         (ramos )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00    
 
KEE-5   04/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I GOTTA BOLT Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 Jan03 Dec15 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.00 11% 8.50    
OUTOFNOTHINGATALL Feb28 Mar12 Feb12 Nov11 Oct09 (toner j)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
DANCING NANCY Mar13 Feb15 Dec31 Nov15 Oct21 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
RAPPING WISH Mar15 Jan31 Dec14     (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00 9% 10.10    
FAST GAL Nov04 Sep28 Aug28 Jul16 Jul02 (hill f)MOJICA JR 124 6.00    
BAYTOWN LOVELY Feb07 Jan03 Dec06 Dec31 Dec14 (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 8.00 5% 18.80    
CRYSTAL SYMPHONY Jan25 Dec13 Aug13 May26   (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00    
BLENHEIM BABY Feb10 Jan03 Nov15     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 50% 1.00    
RUN RUN RABBIT Mar01 Jan27 Dec13 Nov24 Nov01 (fletcher kevin)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00    
 
KEE-6   04/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE' ANS EIGHTY Mar24 Feb04 Jan13 Dec16 May20 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
MRS. RIP Jul01         (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
CRACKALACKING Jun11 May13 Mar25 Mar02 Jan13 (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 124 4.50    
LITTLE SISTER SUE Mar24 Feb18 Dec30 Dec08 Nov23 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 124 4.00    
POPPERINA Mar24 Feb17 Dec17     (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20 56% 0.80    
MARMALADE SKYE Mar14 Feb15 Dec21 Nov10 Oct12 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 124 8.00    
 
KEE-7   04/17/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEYHILL ROAD Mar03 Oct25 Sep10 Aug24 Jul01 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
WHAT SAY THEE Mar03 Jan25 Dec31 Oct21 Sep10 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
ROYAL MENDE Mar23 Feb11 Jan07 Dec17   (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
NOW AND LATER Feb02 Jul01 Jun16 May04 Jan28 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
BOLT FROM ABOVE Mar24 Feb02 Jan05 Aug21 Jun10 (brinkman brett)LANERIE J 123 20.00    
CAROOM Feb25 Feb02 May21 Apr27 Mar01 (catalano m)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
SCR  RAISE HIGH Dec22 Oct13 Aug27     (oliver victoria)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
PIKE PLACE Feb25 Jan15 Oct11 Sep12 Aug04 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
EL AHIJADO Feb28 Jan10 Dec08 Nov08 Oct19 (guerrero sal)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 50.00    
10  PASSING JUDGMENT Feb24 Dec16 Nov09     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
11  HORACE MANN Oct28 Sep04 Jul23 Jun17 Nov13 (damato phili)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
12  PORQUEROLLES Feb15         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  TIVERTON (GB) Mar29 Mar03 Oct19 Sep30   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  ALEMAN Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Dec20 Oct12 (jarvis kath)CORREA L 118 15.00    
SCR  MARQUET MALICE Mar22 Feb28 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 (douaihy miche)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUMPTASTIC Mar02 May14 Apr15 Feb11 Jan14 (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 125 1.80 56% 0.80    
PATRIARCHAL Mar16 Feb13 Jan12     (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
BERNIN HOT Aug31 Aug12 Jul15 May25   (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
KISSTHEMOON Mar16 Feb15 Jan20 Dec23 Nov25 (pessin l)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
SCR  CONTEMPLATION Mar30 Mar01       (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
INDY MAGIC         (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRACTICAL THOUGHT Mar21 Feb17       (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
OLIVIER Feb25 Jan28       (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50 16% 5.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.