Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - April 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (8/4/6/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/5/2)-(8/4/6/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/5/2)-(8/4/6/5/2)-(8/4/6/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/6/5/2)-(6/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/5/2)-(6/4/8)-(3/4/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
EVD-2   WIN (6/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/8)-(6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/8)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/8)-(3/4/5)-(4/2/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(4/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(4/2/6/9)-(7/4/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (4/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/9)-(4/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/9)-(4/2/6/9)-(4/2/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/9)-(7/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/9)-(7/4/6/8)-(1/7/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-5   WIN (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8/5)-(7/4/6/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/6/8)-(1/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/8)-(1/7/4/8)-(2/4/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-6   WIN (1/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/8)-(1/7/4/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/8)-(1/7/4/8/2)-(1/7/4/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/4/8)-(2/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/8)-(2/4/3/5)-(8/7/10/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-7   WIN (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/5)-(8/7/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/5)-(8/7/10/1)-(1/7/11/12/13) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-8   WIN (8/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/10/1)-(8/7/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/10/1)-(8/7/10/1)-(8/7/10/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/10/1)-(1/7/11/12/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-9   WIN (1/7/11/12/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/11/12/13)-(1/7/11/12/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/11/12/13)-(1/7/11/12/13)-(1/7/11/12/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEOLA Dec20 Dec07 Nov08 Sep12 Aug27 (lara jorge)BOREL H 120 20.00    
ORDER UP Jan05 Dec21 Oct14 May26 May08 (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 8.00 5% 18.30    
TRUVY'S BANDIT Feb16 Dec27 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
GOLDENLUTE Mar10 Jan27 Dec20 Nov30 Nov01 (landry ray)ROSIER R 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
SKIPPA Feb22 Jan27 Jan05 Dec20 Nov04 (fuselier jo)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.00 6% 14.70    
SUNSET WAR Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Dec15 Dec01 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00 8% 12.10    
UNCLE BRAD Feb16 Jan20 Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 20.00    
AHIMAAZ Jan13 Jul22 Jun22 Jun04 May14 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
POINT AT YOU Mar15 Feb18 Jan05 Nov15 Oct06 (patt jr)STOKES J 118 12.00    
10  HALF MAGIC Feb18 Jan28 Dec15 Jun22 May11 (west pa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
 
EVD-2   04/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STYLING HOOK Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 Nov15 Feb25 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 1.80    
TYLER'S SENSATION Oct18 Aug05 Jul07 Jun01 Feb16 (delahoussaye br)MCMAHON J 123 20.00    
SCR  ST PIERRE Dec17 Nov15 Oct26 Jun08 May25 (stemmans dona)LOZADA CARLOS 123 20.00    
BELLAMY BROTHER Mar01 Feb02 Jan11 Dec02 Nov22 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 123 3.00 19% 4.40    
QUEENIE'S LEROY Mar21 Mar01 Feb04 Jan12 Dec29 (marechal me)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 4.50    
BIG TAP BABY Mar21 Mar01 Feb04 Jan06 Dec15 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  ZAPAWAY Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Jul30 May06 (lara jorge)QUILES ANTONIO 123 6.00    
INVOLVEDNTERACTION Feb01 Jan11 Dec30 Oct13 Sep22 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 118 10.00 7% 14.20    
 
EVD-3   04/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASTED Jan20 Dec30 Dec08 Nov25 Nov09 (mojica edith)QUILES ANTONIO 120 12.00    
BE A BANDIT Feb24 Feb02 Jan20 Jan04 Dec13 (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 112 15.00    
FOUR PRINCESSES Mar01 Feb09 Jan20 Nov25 Nov04 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
COMMERCIAL FLASH Mar10 Feb29 Feb03 Jan13 Dec13 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 117 1.60 27% 2.70    
DANCE LADY Feb10 Dec27 Nov30 Nov04 Aug05 (cormier houston)STOKES J 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
ISOLATION Mar03 Feb10 Jan15 Dec15 Oct14 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 3.50    
SCR  SIMPLE PLEASURE Mar01 Feb22 Jan20 Dec13 Nov30 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
 
EVD-4   04/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD EXAGGERATION Mar01 Feb08 Nov30 Nov21 Oct12 (tillis e)STOKES J 123 20.00    
BITSY PERFECTMATCH Jan28 Dec15 May28 May14 Apr15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
ONE LINE RULER Mar14 Dec27 Dec09 Nov11 Oct14 (castille carro)THORNTON G 115 15.00    
MISS LONELYHEARTS Mar16 Feb22 Dec19 Nov22 Oct19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 2.00 25% 2.90    
CLASSICAL MAGNOLIA Feb08 Jan15 Dec10 Apr08 Mar18 (lee don)FUSILIER C 120 4.00    
JILLY'S WEST Mar15 Feb16 Jan18 Dec27 Oct14 (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
MEGANS MILLIONS Feb15 Feb03 Jan04 Dec06 Nov25 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 120 20.00    
SCR  COUNTRY ANGEL Mar01         (woodley j)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
HART'S PRETTY GIRL Feb15 Dec27 Dec08 Nov18 Oct11 (landry allen)MAGNON H 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-5   04/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPARKLE CITY Mar20 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 (zeno benjamin)STOKES J 120 20.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of WINBRANDLEX by YANKEE VICTOR)
A LIL PSYCHOTIC Feb25 Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 Nov25 (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DREAMBOAT ANNIE by FREUD)
HARD EXIT Mar07 Feb16       (noel dane)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CAFETIERE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
PLAYMATE Mar10 Feb29 Feb18 Feb01 Oct28 (duhon paul)FUSILIER C 123 4.50 8% 11.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
CAPELLA RED Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06 Dec14 (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of CAPELLA DANCER by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
PURRING         (husak gary)ALBERT S 118 10.00 7% 12.90    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of FOREVER POPULAR by DYNAFORMER)
TAYLORS MAGIC Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 Nov10 Sep13 (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of MS MAGIC by MAGICIAN (IRE))
TAP IRON FIST Mar21 Feb09 Jan19 Dec09 Oct19 (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 8.00 6% 14.70    
  (by IRON FIST out of AYALA STRAND by TIZNOW)
AWESOME BECCA Mar13         (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 118 12.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of PILLOW CASE by DROSSELMEYER)
10  ASPEN LINK Nov01         (thomas lee)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of DINNER AT ARLENE'S by FORESTRY)
 
EVD-6   04/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSNMOTION Mar01 Feb08 Jan07 Dec10 Aug12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
PORTO DEL ACE Feb15 Dec27 Nov08 Aug11 Jul29 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 118 12.00    
MACEE Mar13 Feb25 Jan25 Jan05 Dec10 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 15.00    
R T'S GEM Mar20 Feb29 Feb03 Jan04 Dec20 (sam w)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
WORLD OF HURT Jan06 Dec09 Oct28 Aug03 Jul06 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 10.00    
SMART IZZY Mar20 Feb29 Feb08 Jan07 Dec10 (hatcher nat)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 20.00    
ENTITLEMENT Mar01 Jan07 Dec15 Jul06 Apr26 (david b)BARRERA J 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
TRIPLE FOUR Mar17 Apr15       (dodson clifford)FUSILIER C 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Feb15 Jan20 Jan04 Dec06 Nov09 (toups brent)LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00    
10  SABERFIGHT Mar09 Feb23 Jan25 Dec06 Nov17 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 118 15.00    
 
EVD-7   04/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lafayette Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREWMANIA Mar15 Feb16 Dec08 Nov15 Oct07 (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of COWGIRL LASS by THE BIG BEAST)
THE DONEGAL CLAN Feb10 Jan18 Dec23 Dec08 Nov15 (noel dane)MCMAHON J 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of AUNTJENN by UNCLE MO)
DOUBLEDIAMOND DEAL Mar07 Feb24 Feb01     (melancon donald)FUSILIER C 119 8.00 12% 7.60    
  (by EL DEAL out of LEU GARDENS by MARIA'S MON)
SCAT FREE Mar15 Feb16 Jan19 Dec22 Oct20 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of SCAT SISTER by SCAT DADDY)
GONE ELVIS Dec22 Nov10 Sep09 Jul28 Jul04 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUNNYSIDE GAL by SUNGOLD)
SWEET SODDY J Mar15 Feb24 Jan27 Jan06 Dec30 (ginter raymond)THORNTON G 122 4.50    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SWEET RHAPSODY by BRING THE HEAT)
GARFISH Mar08 Feb08       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 5.00    
  (by YANKEE GENTLEMAN out of SCARLET TRIBUTE by GOLD TRIBUTE)
 
EVD-8   04/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Evangeline Mile Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHINE GUN MAN Mar02 Feb03 Nov23 Oct13 Sep02 (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SIEGE GUN by CONGRATS)
HYPERBOLIST Dec08 Jun02 May05 Apr08 Feb28 (noel dane)POMPELL L 115 12.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LOOKINFORCHANGE by GILDED TIME)
SCR  EYEING CLOVER Mar14 Jul08 May29 Apr01 Mar04 (cox h)THORNTON G 115 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of FLORAL PARK by FOREST WILDCAT)
MONAASIB Jan13 Dec10 Nov03 Sep09 Aug13 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 115 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BARAGAH by AWESOME AGAIN)
DOUBLE CROWN Mar29 Mar16 Mar02 Feb17 Jan28 (ginter raymond )MCMAHON J 122 4.50    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
CHROME BABY Feb24 Feb03 Dec15 Nov14 Oct12 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 115 20.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of STAR SUPER by SUPER SAVER)
KUPUNA Jan27 Nov26 Aug13 Jun30 May27 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 115 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by HARD SPUN out of HANALEI HAILEY by MALIBU MOON)
FIVE STAR GENERAL Jan20 Dec23 Nov03 Sep30 Aug13 (forster g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of PARTY OF INTEREST by BERNARDINI)
SCR  STRONG EAGLE Jan19 Dec08 Nov03 Oct13 Aug11 (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of THE LAST JOURNEY by GOOD JOURNEY)
10  WILDATLANTICSTORM Feb04 Dec20 Nov28 Sep30 Dec17 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00 14% 6.40    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of IMSORTASPECIAL by BIG BROWN)
SCR  FRENCH COMPOSER Feb15 Jan12 Dec16 Oct25 Oct11 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 115 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of CLAIR DE LUNE by REGAL CLASSIC)
 
EVD-9   04/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAOTIC JACK Mar16 Feb15 Dec21 Dec02 Oct28 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 1.80 38% 1.70    
REGINALD AURELIUS Feb24 Feb08 Dec08 Nov22 Jul29 (averett ronnie)ROSIER R 123 6.00    
SKY DINSKI Feb24 Jan14 Nov24 Nov04 Mar09 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 123 5.00    
SCR  C F HENRY Jan13 Dec16 Nov29 Oct13   (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
TOP PRIORITY Feb22 Feb08 Dec31 Nov17 Oct21 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 118 20.00    
HARPES HILL Jan11 Dec15 Nov09 Oct11 Aug10 (patt roland )BARRERA J 123 4.50    
FLAT OUT RUNNER Dec01 Oct21       (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 20.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW Dec16 Jul17 Jun26 May14 Mar23 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
SABERMAN Jan05 Dec08 Nov18 Aug05 Jul22 (romero terry)DEL-CID MARLON 118 20.00    
10  CHECKULATER Nov22 Jul13 May26 May10 Apr14 (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 15.00    
11  HANDSOME HAROLD Mar16 Feb25 Jan04 Dec09 Nov17 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 15.00 10% 8.60    
12  PAL'S ALARM Feb02 Dec07 Nov04 Oct12 Jun24 (breaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
13  HYMN FOR CARLOS Feb16 Dec09 Nov17 Oct21 Oct06 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THA ILLEST DEAL Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 Nov22 (fuselier jo)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.