Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - December 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (8/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/7)-(7/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/7)-(7/1/3/2)-(7/5/3/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-2   WIN (7/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/2)-(7/5/3/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/2)-(7/5/3/6/2)-(3/6/7/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-3   WIN (7/5/3/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/6/2)-(7/5/3/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/6/2)-(7/5/3/6/2)-(7/5/3/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/3/6/2)-(3/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/6/2)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/9/8/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-4   WIN (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/9/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/9/8/2)-(8/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (3/6/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/8/2)-(3/6/9/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/8/2)-(3/6/9/8/2)-(3/6/9/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/9/8/2)-(8/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9/8/2)-(8/2/6)-(2/9/1/7/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-6   WIN (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/6)-(8/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/6)-(8/2/6/1)-(8/2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/6)-(2/9/1/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6)-(2/9/1/7/3)-(6/3/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-7   WIN (2/9/1/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/7/3)-(2/9/1/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/7/3)-(2/9/1/7/3)-(2/9/1/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/1/7/3)-(6/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/9/1/7/3)-(6/3/1)-(6/7/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-8   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/9)-(6/7/1/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL TOGETHER Nov25 Nov08 Oct11 Sep11 Aug19 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 3.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  FLYING IN HOT Dec07 Aug27 Aug12 Jun18   (morrell cynt)DEL-CID MARLON 118 15.00    
3  MY UNCLE BILLY Dec07 Nov21 Nov08 Jul15 May11 (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 122 12.00 10% 9.30    
4  DABOOGEYMAN Dec13 Sep14 Sep02 Jul08 May05 (hewitt michael)ROMAN KEVIN 123 4.50    
5  MUSTBELIEVE Dec07 Nov08 Oct27 Jul21 Jul04 (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 6.00    
6  CALL ME FIREY Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 Aug03 Jul13 (dison m)POMPELL L 122 5.00    
7  TAPIT TWICE Dec07 Nov08 Oct11 Sep02 Aug19 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 7% 14.30    
8  KAT'S SOLDIER Dec07 Nov08 Oct11 Jul28 Jun22 (bernard john)STOKES A 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
DED-2   12/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR ELI Nov24 Aug27 Aug04 Oct01 Sep18 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 4.00 15% 5.70    
2  I SEE CLEARLY NOW Dec08 Sep02 Jul15 Jun18 May28 (hibdon)RUIZ GARCIA 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  OVERTAXED Dec14 Nov11 Aug04 Jul21 Jun04 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50 11% 8.40    
4  KINGSWOOD Oct25 Aug21 Jul07 Jun23 Jun10 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00    
5  MIND ON MY MONEY Dec01 Oct20 Aug27 Jul09 Jun23 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 116 8.00    
6  TIZHOTNDUSTY Nov24 Oct19 Sep18 Sep03 Jul22 (gonzalez is)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00    
7  HURTS SO BAD Nov22 Oct19 Aug13 Jul26 Jul06 (arnett g)VARGAS P 119 5.00 51% 1.00    
8  MORO MAFIA Dec08 Nov11 Oct18 Sep10 Jul03 (richard chris)STOKES J 118 2.50    
 
DED-3   12/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORIOUS GEARS Dec06 Nov09 Jul13 Oct12 Aug26 (mason shane)FUSILIER C 123 12.00    
2  CUPIE CUTIE Dec02 Nov16 Jul29 Feb15 Aug25 (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  RE RE'S RAINBOW Jan27 Dec29       (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
4  TOP CON Oct27 Aug03 Jul14 Jun16   (meche shane)LEDET THEODRICK 122 15.00    
5  WHEELS LIKE NALA Nov16 Oct19 Sep05 Aug21 Aug06 (de al)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00 14% 6.00    
6  SPARKLE CITY Dec13 Nov18 Oct27 Aug28 Aug12 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  GYPSY JACKPOT Dec02 Nov16 Oct25 Aug10 Jul20 (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
8  JIVIN ASTRO Jul29 Jun11 May13 Jan14 Nov03 (lara jorge)DEL-CID MARLON 118 15.00    
9  SWEET REVIVAL (GB) Nov16         (chatters bena)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
10  BLUERIDGEBALLERINA Dec02 Oct27 Aug05 Apr12 Feb11 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00    
 
DED-4   12/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYDEALOFTHEDAY Oct19 Jul27 Jun29 Apr20 Mar11 (constantine caro)ROSIER R 116 6.00    
2  BATTLE OF WITS Nov29 Aug27 Jul20 Jun15 May18 (modica oscar)DEL-CID MARLON 114 15.00    
3  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Nov25 Nov08 Oct12 Aug28 Jul17 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
4  PINTLALA Oct28 Aug21 Aug08 Jul05 Jun25 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 6.00    
5  PIPPA'S PROSPECT Nov25 Oct21 Sep25 Sep10 Aug20 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 8.00    
6  STOP SHOP N DROP Nov08 Oct28 Oct14 Jul28 Jul01 (castille ricke)THORNTON G 116 4.50 14% 6.20    
7  T R'S FIRST Nov08 Oct07 Oct01 Sep11 Aug14 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 116 3.50 6% 14.80    
8  A P HUMOR Jun30 Jun10 Jun01 May19 May03 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-5   12/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEATHER'S REQUEST Nov25 Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 114 15.00    
2  IT'S A BIRD Nov25 Oct19 May12 Jan21 Dec17 (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  JAMAICAN ME Oct28 Sep10 Aug10 Jul07 Jun10 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  PLAY MASTER Nov25 Jul13 Jun09 May21 May06 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00    
5  XANTHUS WRATH Dec08 Nov09 Oct13 Sep11 Aug29 (melancon don)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00    
6  MR ELVIN Nov25 Nov09 Oct18 Jul28 Jun29 (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 119 5.00 13% 6.80    
7  PINK HIGGINS Nov25 Aug12 Jun24 Jun04 May20 (dunn ray)STOKES J 118 20.00    
8  MIDNIGHT CROWN Dec07 Nov21 Nov04 Oct11 Aug05 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
9  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Nov11 Oct06 Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 (richard russell )STOKES A 119 4.00 12% 7.70    
10  INSPECTOR ED Nov24 Oct11 Sep12 Sep03 Aug13 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 8.00    
 
DED-6   12/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERRAZANO FIRST Dec08 Jul05 Jun28 May09 Apr24 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 10.00 ★    
2  INCORRIGIBLE Nov09 Oct13 Jul31 Feb04 Dec22 (gibson jona)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.50 31% 2.20    
3  TRAELEE Aug11 Jul08 Jun23 May26 Apr28 (segura kearney)STOKES A 123 15.00    
4  MORE LIKE IT Dec06 Nov11 Oct19 Aug12 Jul22 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 123 15.00    
SCR  TAPIT'S SPIRIT Dec08 Nov04 Jul30 Jun17 May27 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 8.00    
6  APPLEWOOD Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 Oct27 Oct06 (matthieu ron)MAGNON H 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FOREVAMO Dec14 Dec02 Sep28 Aug21 Jul31 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00    
8  PAYDAY TOO Oct27 Sep10 Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  KINLEE'S SONG Nov09 Oct18 Jun21 Jun05 Mar11 (kanhai joseph)STOKES J 120 20.00    
10  TEMPRANO Nov18 Nov01 Oct19 Jul30 Jun19 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00    
 
DED-7   12/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLE SUNDAY Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 Sep09 Jul30 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 5.00 10% 9.40    
2  TENSAS BERTIE Nov29 Oct28 Jun03 May19 Apr15 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  JUST A WIN Dec06 Nov17 Nov08 Oct27 Sep05 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON May26 May08 Feb17 Jan21 Jan04 (antwine michael)NEGRON LUIS 119 4.00    
5  SHE'S TAKIN OVER Dec09 Oct27 Sep09 Aug12 Jul10 (johnson henry )THORNTON G 119 8.00    
6  CAJUN TWO STEP Dec09 Nov10 Oct14 Aug12 Jul06 (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00    
7  BLESS D'SOUTH Nov24 Nov08 Oct27 Aug20 Jul04 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 10.00 9% 9.60    
8  BOSTON LUCILLE Nov24 Oct27 Jul20 Jun17 May11 (roberts roy)FUSILIER C 119 20.00    
9  MARDI GRAS ALARM Nov29 Nov16 Oct14 Jul27 Jul06 (bryant geor)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00 11% 8.40    
10  ELIZABETH RENEE Nov19 Oct05 Aug27 Aug12 Jul23 (chevis a)ROSIER R 119 20.00    
11  MYLIES STAR Dec10 Nov24 Oct27 Oct12 Aug14 (dussette alvin)POMPELL L 119 20.00    
 
DED-8   12/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRON IN THE FIRE Mar01 Feb10 Jan20 Dec29 Nov17 (landry r)THORNTON G 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ITWASTHISBIG Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Sep16 Sep03 (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 118 10.00    
3  UXMAL Dec06 Nov21 Oct25 Oct11 Sep25 (guillory he)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 2.50 18% 4.70    
4  BRITE OUTLOOK Jul01 May25 Apr27 Apr07 Mar09 (chatters benard)ROSIER R 118 8.00    
5  EVER A REBEL Nov21 Oct14 Aug12 Jul21 Jun18 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 5.00 ★    
6  RITHM NIC Nov04 Feb24 Dec31 Dec14 Nov12 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 1.60 57% 0.80    
7  FAHAN Nov22 Nov10 Jul01 May27 May12 (noel dane)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
 
DED-9   12/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WONDER RUN Nov25 Nov11 Nov01 Sep04 Jun18 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 8.00 12% 7.60    
2  SALADO Jul24 Jun25 May21 May01 Apr01 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 119 15.00    
3  FULL POWER Dec07 Nov10 Apr14 Mar15 Feb23 (derousselle p)VARGAS P 116 6.00    
SCR  SHARK HARBOR Jul24 Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 May22 (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  TRIPPER JOHN Jul14 Jun18 May28 May06 Jan20 (lorefice matt)ROMAN KEVIN 116 10.00    
6  GERARD Nov30 Oct19 Sep18 Aug21 Jul03 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  HAIL STATE Dec09 Nov25 Nov17 Oct19 Sep12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  WRATH Dec02 Nov08 Oct28 Sep08 Aug19 (ecoffey gilbe)BACON W 114 15.00    
9  GOLD MERRITT Sep02 Aug13 Jun19 May30 May07 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 116 5.00 ★    
10  MY MAN LOUIE Nov30 Nov03 Jun30 Jun03 May12 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 116 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.