Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - November 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (6/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/5/8)-(6/9/5/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/5/8)-(6/9/5/2/8)-(6/9/5/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/5/8)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/5/8)-(5/6/2)-(3/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(3/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(3/8/1)-(3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-3   WIN (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/1)-(3/8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/1)-(3/8/1/4)-(3/8/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/1)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1)-(3/6)-(1/7/4/10/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-4   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(1/7/4/10/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(1/7/4/10/8)-(3/1/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-5   WIN (1/7/4/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/10/8)-(1/7/4/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/10/8)-(1/7/4/10/8)-(1/7/4/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/4/10/8)-(3/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/10/8)-(3/1/4)-(4/7/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/7/1/5)-(7/8/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/5)-(7/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(7/8/6/4)-(2/5/4/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-8   WIN (7/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DED-9   WIN (2/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLENTY OF CENTS Oct11 Aug27 Aug04 Jul13 May28 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00    
2  G E H GIANTS WAY Oct20 Aug19 Jun23 May19 Apr20 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 6.00 ★    
3  NINETEEN HUNDRED Oct19 Sep24 Sep03 Aug06 Jun25 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 122 10.00    
4  MOSH PIT Oct11 Apr26 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 (noel dane)ROSIER R 123 12.00    
5  DIRECTIONAL Aug27 Aug07 Jul30 Jul03 Jan13 (villafranc)ALBERT S 123 15.00 5% 18.60    
6  PINCH HITTER Oct14 Sep12 Aug13 Jul31 Jul01 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 3.00 60% 0.70    
7  MALORIE'S BIG BOY Oct11 Jun18 May27 May11 Apr30 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 5.00    
8  HULLINAHURRY Oct20 Aug10 Jul31 Mar26 Feb18 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER Oct18 May10 Apr19 Feb02 Jan19 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.50 14% 6.30    
10  WINGS OF GOLD Oct18 Sep03 Aug20 Jun04 Mar19 (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 122 6.00    
SCR  LOVE A FIGHTER Oct25 Aug27 Jul22     (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00    
SCR  CAPTAINS COVE Oct27 Jul02 Jun22 Jun10 Jun02 (butler ken )DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50    
 
DED-2   11/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN A BIND Jun18 May19 Mar03 Feb09 Jan05 (jackson dw)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 119 10.00    
2  ZOEY'S HIPPIE Oct12 Nov04 Oct12 Aug12 Jun25 (segura kear)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 5.00 5% 18.00    
3  SON CARLOS May22 Feb15 Feb02 Jan12 Aug09 (dunn henry)ALBERT S 119 12.00    
SCR  FREE FROM GUILT Jul23 Jun16 Nov22 Oct15 Aug27 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 10.00    
5  HARDLY ABLE Oct11 Aug10 Jul15 Jun08   (amoss t)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.50 59% 0.70    
6  THE BOYZ PRIORITY Jul01 May28       (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  EMPIRE KID Jul15 Feb04 Jan05     (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.50    
8  HARPES HILL Oct11 Aug10 Jul15 May12 Apr14 (patt jr)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 6.00    
 
DED-3   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCH ME T Aug10 Jun24       (noel dane)ROSIER R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SHEILA TEQUILA by INDEFATIGABLE)
2  GRAND ENCORE Sep11 Aug20 Jun12     (gomez c)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
  (by RULER'S COURT out of SIXTEEN GRAND by FESTIVE)
3  SASSI D Oct18 Sep11 Aug12     (thomas lee)MAGNON H 122 3.50 68% 0.50    
  (by SASSICAIA out of DIANE C by MUTAKDDIM)
4  GRAY DANE Oct18 Sep03 Aug20 Aug10 May04 (senegal dalton )ROMAN KEVIN 123 8.00 ★    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of WHISPERDOWNTHELANE by REAL QUIET)
SCR  NATIVE STAR Oct18         (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 122 6.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of LUZZIANN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
6  DYNAMIC MOON         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SHORT IRON by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  NOW NOW SAINT Aug12 Jun12 May15 Oct26 Sep18 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 12.00    
  (by NOWNOWNOW out of OUR SAINT by ZARBYEV)
8  COZY GEM         (landry r)THORNTON G 122 4.50 7% 13.50    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of COZY GAIN by COZZENE)
9  POPPA MAGIC Aug10 Jul15       (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of REDREAMIT by TAPIT)
10  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Oct18 Jun12 May27 Apr27 Apr07 (fuselier jo)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.50    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of I KNOW BETTER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  APRIORITY AVENGER Oct18 Sep03 Aug10 Jul15 Jun24 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 122 4.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of IRISH AVENGER by IRISH OPEN)
SCR  BEAUDEAN Oct21 Aug10 Jul06 Jun01 May18 (granger randall)STOKES A 122 12.00    
  (by MO TOM out of ZARLA by RUN PRODUCTION)
 
DED-4   11/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN AFLEET Aug19 Aug05 Jun05     (venzor jaili)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 12.00    
2  MAGICAL MARK Sep24 Jul02 May11     (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.00 ★    
3  FROSTY VIEW Sep09 Aug26       (berndt joel)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 70% 0.40    
4  C D'S WILD FIRE Aug05 Jun05       (guzman adan)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 114 10.00    
5  GHOSTLY TIME Aug29 Aug12 Jul03     (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 117 6.00    
6  LOUDERMILK Aug12 Jul04 May21 May03 Apr20 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AWESOME RUTA Sep12 Aug12       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50    
8  STOVALL Oct13 Aug29       (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 117 15.00    
 
DED-5   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Oct18 Jul28 Jul13 Jun09 May26 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50 39% 1.50    
2  KINLEE'S SONG Oct18 Jun21 Jun05 Mar11 Feb12 (kanhai josep)MAGNON H 119 15.00    
SCR  HEATHER'S REQUEST Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Aug20 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00    
4  MR ELVIN Oct18 Jul28 Jun29 Jun09 May10 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 9% 10.60    
5  PAYOFF CYCLE Oct18 Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 May11 (demouchet ricky)POMPELL L 118 12.00    
6  XANTHUS WRATH Oct13 Sep11 Aug29 Jan14 Nov02 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00    
7  SABER STORM Oct11 Jul22 Jun15 May10 Apr27 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  SMART ANALYSIS Oct19 Jun30 Jun10 Jan11 Nov19 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SILVER CHALICE Aug29 Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 May10 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50    
10  SHADY GRADY Oct13 Sep10 Aug29 Jul31 Jul01 (romero geral)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00 6% 15.50    
11  DOUBLE PRIORITY Oct28 Sep10 Aug12 Jul01 Jun18 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
SCR  BYATHREAD Oct28 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 May20 (landry jac)ALBERT S 118 15.00    
 
DED-6   11/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER N LAI Dec28 Dec19 Oct27 Sep03 Jul11 (toups brent)MAGNON H 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  APPLEWOOD Oct27 Oct06 Aug10 Jul06 Jun10 (matthieu ronald )FUSILIER C 123 4.50    
3  MR. FOUR SEVENS Oct27 Oct06 Sep04 Aug14 Jul01 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
4  INCORRIGIBLE Oct13 Jul31 Feb04 Dec22 May30 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 10.00 14% 6.10    
5  WHISKEY'S GONE Oct27 Jul31 Oct05 Sep03 Jan28 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
SCR  HERZEN Nov01 Oct18 Sep23 Sep04 Jul28 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 8.00    
7  HARDCORE FOLKLORE Oct28 Jul22 Jun19 May22 Feb25 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 123 5.00    
8  BIRTHDAY PARTY Oct27 Dec28 Oct22 Jul20 Jul08 (west henry)STOKES A 123 20.00    
 
DED-7   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LAURA Sep04 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun02 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
2  COZZOLANI Oct14 Aug12 Jul06 May15 Apr12 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 20.00    
3  BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Oct14 Jul07 May18 May05 Mar04 (toups brent)POMPELL L 116 8.00    
4  AKASI Aug20 Apr10 Mar28 Mar13 Feb02 (troiani)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
5  WATERS OF MEROM Oct19 Aug04 May02 Mar17 Feb03 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50 7% 12.80    
6  LIL ALLIE DANCER Nov02 Oct06 Aug14 Jul30 Jul01 (garcia jose )EDISON JOCELYN 111 8.00    
7  KENYA STRIKE Aug12 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May14 (romero geral)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 4.50 21% 3.70    
8  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE Sep12 Aug20 Jun10 May20 Jan28 (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00    
9  FASTED Oct20 Oct07 Jul03 Apr28 Apr13 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
 
DED-8   11/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY MO Aug04 Jun23 Jun11 May19 May03 (delhomme j)MARQUEZ L 116 3.50    
2  GOD'S GOLD Oct20 Sep12 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 (martin b)ROSIER R 119 20.00    
3  BURNING LEAVES Sep04 Aug26 Aug06 Jul12 Jun28 (berndt joel)MELANCON JANSEN 118 8.00    
4  BAY BE GONE Sep11 Jul17 Jul04 May28 Apr29 (garza joaquin)LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MONGOLIAN BEE Oct25 Oct13 Aug17 Aug02 Jul20 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 6.00    
6  HEIR TO GREATNESS Jan28 Jan13 Oct19 Sep01 Jul24 (broberg karl)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 5% 18.60    
7  UP N GONE Oct14 Jul21 Jul06 Jun03 May10 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 5.00 33% 2.00    
8  KNIGHT COMMANDER Sep18 Jul02 Jun11 May19 Nov26 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 6.00 33% 2.00    
9  CLASSIC BET Oct14 Sep25 Sep03 Aug12 Jul09 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50    
 
DED-9   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNIE'S MAGIC Jun19 May27 May14 Mar23 Feb23 (melancon d)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
2  TWISTED BRADE Oct12 Aug29 Aug13 Jul24 Jan27 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
3  DON'T BLINK TWICE Oct19 Aug28 Jul23 Jun11 May07 (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
4  OLD SCHOOL FLASH Jun17 May21 Apr30 Mar30 Mar19 (villafranco mart)BIRZER E 122 4.00 6% 15.40    
5  SERENA'S SERENADE         (knudsen kent)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 9% 10.40    
6  SENSE OF HEART Oct06 Jun01 Apr28 Feb25 Jan20 (noel dane)POMPELL L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHARMING KAT Aug21 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 (senegal j)ROSIER R 120 10.00    
8  GLORIOUS GEARS Jul13 Oct12 Aug26     (mason s)SALAZAR TERESA 115 20.00    
SCR  LA LOLA Jul01 Jun22 May20 May03 Aug13 (giangro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
10  ABBEY CAKES Oct12 Aug20 Aug07 Jul24 Apr15 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 122 4.50    
SCR  GRACE'S VISION Oct19 Feb20 Jan14 Dec21 Dec08 (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 10.00    
SCR  THAT IS AWESOME Oct25 Jul13 Jul04 Jun11 Jan21 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.