Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - September 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (6/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/8)-(6/2/3/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/8)-(6/2/3/10/8)-(6/2/3/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/3/8)-(2/7/8/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/8)-(2/7/8/5/3)-(9/2/10/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/7/8/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/5/3)-(2/7/8/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/5/3)-(2/7/8/5/3)-(2/7/8/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/8/5/3)-(9/2/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/5/3)-(9/2/10/5)-(3/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/2/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/10/5)-(9/2/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/10/5)-(9/2/10/5)-(9/2/10/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/10/5)-(3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/10/5)-(3/8/2)-(2/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/2)-(3/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/2)-(3/8/2)-(3/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/2)-(2/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2)-(2/6/9)-(3/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/9)-(2/6/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/9)-(2/6/9)-(2/6/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/9)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9)-(3/5/6)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   09/01/2023 5490ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINDING MILLIE Jul21 May10 Mar28 Feb27 Jan17 (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 12.00    
FILLMORE EAST Aug16 Aug09 Jul21 Nov22 Sep21 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
COMPLETE Aug16 Jul14 Jun21 May31 Apr24 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 9% 10.40    
BECKON Aug16 Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 Jun03 (synnefias p)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00    
DRIVEN BY SPEED Aug16 Jun21 Jun16 May31 May14 (milian carlos )ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
KLAYTON'S KANDY Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 Jun16 May27 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
BLIND SIGHT Aug17 Aug05 Jul15 Jul05 Jun17 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
FLOATING BY Jul21 Jul08 May27 May20 Apr29 (stahlin john)FLORES E 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
GIRL'S ON FIRE Aug09 Jun22 May31 May11 Apr27 (rubley ke)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
10  WITH THIS VOW Jul20 Jun16 Feb07 Oct30 Oct02 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 2.00    
SCR  BONITA LASSIE Aug24 Aug09 Jul21 Jun21 Jun01 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
 
PEN-2   09/01/2023 5490ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENDERSON Aug23 May31 Mar04 Nov05 Oct21 (rubley ke)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00    
ICANDOTHAT Aug23 Jul14 Jun18 Jun02 Nov05 (mcdermott)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
STORMY FIRE Aug19 Jul30 Jul11 Jun21 Jun05 (demario charl)ROJAS MARTINA 113 6.00 7% 14.00    
FIFTH ELEMENT Aug23 Jun29 May26 Mar08 Feb01 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 4.50    
TERRIBLEIGH         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 7% 13.20    
FACTUM LOVE STYLE Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 Jul01 Jun21 (nicholson jun)TORRES WESLEY 124 8.00    
CERTAIN JUSTICE Aug02         (albright r)BAKER J 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
HE'S SO FUNNY Jul28         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 15% 5.50    
MARY'S LITTLE MAN Jun14 May26       (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
10  TWIST OF FAITH Jul19 Jul06 Jun17 Jul10 Jun22 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
SCR  BOOK RUNNER Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 Jun29 May26 (salinas jose)CORA D 120 12.00    
SCR  DR. DARBY Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Sep27 Sep13 (huertas nirka)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00    
 
PEN-3   09/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANADERO Aug02 Jul12 Jul03 Jun20 Jun06 (santaella-cal)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 30.00    
CRAZY KATER Aug02 Jul12 Jun15 Jun05 Nov07 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul07 Jun20 (santaella-c)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 12.00    
PURPLE SHIRT Aug08 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun15 (harige)SMITH DANIEL 110 20.00    
KASIM Aug23 Jul05 Mar11 Feb17 Jan22 (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  UNCLE YUDI Aug02 Jun14 May19 May10 Apr26 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
MINE TO HOLD Aug02 Jul07 Jun20 Jun02 May05 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00    
PRATT Aug08 Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 May24 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00    
JO JO KATZ Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 Jun20 May24 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
10  SAMARONTI Aug08 Aug02 Jul07 Jun22 May26 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  OVER AND THUNDER Aug09 Jul07 Apr26 Mar15 Feb22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00    
SCR  THE METHOD Jul28 Jul16 Jun16 May27 Mar27 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   09/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISHNU Aug08 Jul14 Jun21 May17 Apr21 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
LAST MINUTE MARIO Aug17 Jul28 Jun09 May10 Apr19 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
ARISTOCAT Aug08 Jul27 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
A T M AWESOME Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 Jun01 May11 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
HOLD THE IRISH Aug08 Jul12 Jun14 May11 Apr27 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
SCR  SHOWER THE PEOPLE Aug16 Jul28 Nov08 Sep15 Aug25 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 30.00    
SANTO Aug09 Jul07 Jun15 May18 Apr01 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60    
KRACHENWAGEN Aug05 Feb15 Jan22 Nov29 Oct28 (mcmahon demelza)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 21% 3.80    
 
PEN-5   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Aug18 Aug02 Jul06 Jun15 May18 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
MEET ME AT MUNDIS Jul01 May18 Mar10 Dec27 May19 (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 113 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  AGGRANDIZE Aug12 Jun27 Jun13 Jun06 Apr26 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 120 10.00    
SCR  GRAND WISER Aug10 Jul12 Jun29 Jun01 May12 (maymo jorge)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00    
EAGLES CRY Aug18 Jul20 Jun29 Jun13 May17 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00    
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Aug16 Jun18 May14 Apr13 Mar18 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 29% 2.50    
HORN OF PLENTY Jul31 May21 May17 May09 Apr24 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00    
YES IT'S ROO Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 May17 Apr19 (albright amy)CORA D 120 15.00    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 May31 Mar24 (jacobson da)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  NOBLE GASTON Aug16 Jun26 May02 Apr13 Feb25 (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 113 4.00    
 
PEN-6   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
E T'S SUPER STAR Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 Jun20 May24 (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00    
CHARGING LION Aug16 Jul14 Jun21 May26 May06 (mcclellan c)CORA D 124 3.00    
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Aug16 Jul12 Jun20 May31 Apr27 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
COAST TO COAST Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 Jun09 May26 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00    
ROCKET BLAST Aug16 Jul12 Jun21 May06 Mar16 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00 25% 3.10    
JETTIN OUT Jul28 Mar16 Dec02 Nov11 Oct26 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50 10% 8.80    
 
PEN-7   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHWOODS Sep16 Aug31       (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
RAY OF LIGHT Jun30 May31 May11 Dec06 Oct14 (bracho sherene)FLORES E 124 15.00    
PRALINESALLSHOOKUP         (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
BANJO Aug09 Jul13 Jun30     (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 1.50 32% 2.10    
Z MYSTIQUE         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00    
ICY COLD Aug09 May11 Apr12 Mar16 Feb16 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.