Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - June 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (12/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/3/8/6)-(12/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/3/8/6)-(12/3/8/6)-(12/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/3/8/6)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (12/3/8/6)-(2/3/1)-(1/7/13/5/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(1/7/13/5/14)-(6/2/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-3   WIN (1/7/13/5/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/13/5/14)-(1/7/13/5/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/13/5/14)-(1/7/13/5/14)-(1/7/13/5/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/7/13/5/14)-(6/2/1)-(3/5/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-4   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(3/5/2)-(7/4/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(7/4/2/6)-(6/3/2/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (7/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/6)-(6/3/2/4/8)-(8/9/7/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/3/2/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/4/8)-(6/3/2/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/4/8)-(6/3/2/4/8)-(6/3/2/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/2/4/8)-(8/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/6)-(8/9/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/6)-(8/9/7/6)-(8/9/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   06/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HABITUS (GB) May20 Apr01 Mar11 Feb10 Jan18 (shifflett ch)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 5.00    
SCR  GUNLEATHER AL Oct18         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
3  ATTEST Jun09 Mar23       (knippenberg )MARCANO Y 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  BUDDHA BOY Jun21 May27 May19 May12 Apr27 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 119 30.00    
SCR  THE POINT ROAD Jun17 May31 May06 Apr30 Apr05 (bush s)BUSH V 125 15.00    
6  RAGING WHIRLWIND May31 May06 Apr19 Apr08 Mar24 (chain pearl)LEBRON VICTOR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COTE D'IVOIRE Jun09 May26 Feb23 Jan19 Dec26 (margolis stephe)MOJICA JR 119 8.00    
8  BROWN LIQUOR MAN         (shirer a)CANUTO THIAGO 119 8.00 23% 3.30    
9  GOOD SOUL Jun09 May20 Apr27 Feb10 Jan20 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 119 10.00    
SCR  NEAP TIDE Jun09 May25       (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 2.50    
SCR  SOME R BLESSED Mar23 Aug19       (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 12.00    
12  SMART DRESSER Jun15 May12 Apr21 Mar17 Feb24 (hamm timo)CORREA L 119 4.50 30% 2.40    
13  MONEY POINT Jun09 Sep21 Sep07     (dalton michell)COLON H 125 30.00    
SCR  GRASSROOTS Jun09 May27 May12 Apr28 Mar11 (adams l)REYES R 125 20.00    
SCR  DISCOUNT DENNIS Jun15 May19 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 (wittek karyn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 20.00    
 
BTP-2   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRICELESS PICTURE Jun08 May17 Mar15 Jan01 Dec11 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Aug13 Aug02 Jul14 Jun17   (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 117 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  YOU NAME IT Jun07 Dec12 Nov28 Nov12 Oct12 (gorham ro)CORREA L 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
4  MISS ELIANA Jan12 Dec16 Oct05 Jul12   (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 8.00    
5  PRONTO CHARLI Jun09 May17 May04 Mar30 Mar08 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00    
6  STORM OF NINETEEN Jan23 Dec27 Dec08 Nov23   (gorostieta )LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.00    
 
BTP-3   06/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHA         (drury jr)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by BLAME out of EXTENT by PULPIT)
2  TRANQUIL TIMES         (fernandez ke)MARCANO Y 120 8.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of YOUMAKEMENERVOUS by TEN MOST WANTED)
SCR  TAPIT'S RUBY         (correas i)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 4.00    
  (by TAPIT out of RUBYWOOD by WOODMAN)
4  QUEEN OF ATLANTIS Jun07 Jul19 Jun28     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 30.00    
  (by ADVERTISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  PINK SOLITAIRE         (kendall elis)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00 11% 7.80    
  (by EXCAPER out of JULIE'S MEMORY by ETESAAL)
SCR  HAZANNE Jun01 Apr01 Feb27 Jan13 Dec29 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 2.50    
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  GOOD TURN Jun14 May04       (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 125 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TOURNER by HARD SPUN)
SCR  WILMA Jun14         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of REVELSTOKE by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
9  PARTY NEVER ENDS Jun13 May22       (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ALL NIGHT PARTY by GERI)
10  MYSTIFY (GB) May29 Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 Jan08 (barkley ja)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  CALL ME PENNY Oct28 Sep05 Aug02 Jun14 Feb06 (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 15.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX Jun27 Jun07 Mar30 Mar15 Feb15 (jarvis kathy)HESS SARA 114 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PINOT by INTO MISCHIEF)
13  GRACE CANDY Jun08 Mar02 Feb03 Jan20 Dec05 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LILLY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
14  SLY WINK         (thomas mark)MCKEE J 119 15.00 6% 14.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of COED CUTIE by PRIVATE SCHOOL)
 
BTP-4   06/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN RED RUN         (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MAGGIE'S PLEASURE by EAVESDROPPER)
2  TOUGH CAT         (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 3.00 12% 7.30    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of BARN CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  MR. REDLEGS Jun16         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 4.50    
  (by CORFU out of IVORY TREASURE by SIR IVOR)
4  RADIO SILENT         (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
5  VERNON'S BEST Jun16         (andrade h)CORREA L 119 6.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
6  RED CHILI PEPPER Jun20 Jun03       (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOSSY by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
 
BTP-5   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAKER'S MAN May31 Apr23 Apr08 Mar19 Mar04 (lauer michael)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.50    
SCR  ALTERNATE NIGHTS Jun14 Nov17 Nov02 Sep29 Sep08 (lauer michael)MOJICA JR 121 4.50    
2  AGENT COOPER May05 Apr19 Aug31 Jul20 Jul05 (hamm timo)CORREA L 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUST CHITU Jun07 Jan02 Nov19 Nov03 Oct24 (wilson david )CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
4  BRONX Jun16 May19 Apr29 Mar05 Feb12 (adams l)REYES R 121 3.50    
5  DUDLEY Jun14 May19 May06 Apr27 Apr04 (salcedo ramo)TAPARA BRANDON 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  CHIEF MYSTIQUE Jun10 May31 May14 Apr27 Apr16 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 118 5.00    
 
BTP-6   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMI ANN May26 Apr21 Mar03 Feb03 Nov09 (barrett grant)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00    
2  ERV'S WENCH Jun09 May17 Apr28 Apr11 Mar02 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.50 15% 5.50    
3  WHISKEY SIS Jun15 May31 May17 Mar23 Feb25 (nocero carmino)BUSH V 121 8.00    
4  CAJUN DELIGHT Jun14 Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 Sep08 (skeens jeremy)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  MELANCHOLY BLUES Mar05 Feb17 Feb01 Jan20 Dec28 (tsirigotis ja)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00    
6  FOOT RUB LOVE Jun21 Jun08 May12 May04 Apr23 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  BOURBON SOCIAL May31 Mar01 Feb16 Jan17 Dec06 (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
BTP-7   06/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 GOOD Cincinnatian Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRETS UNTOLD Jun14 Jun01 May06 Oct06 Aug31 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 116 5.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG (JPN) out of LEAH'S SECRET by TIGER RIDGE)
1A  GO GIRL Jun22 May31 May06 Apr06 Nov12 (hamm timo)CORREA L 116 5.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
1X  BETTER HALF Jun07 May11 Apr05 Nov30 Oct29 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 116 5.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MINI MOM by PARENTS' REWARD)
2  LEMON MOUSSE Jun02 May11 Apr05 Mar20 Mar02 (gorham m)DIAZ R 116 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
3  NEAR PERFECT Jun02 Apr27 Mar23 Feb16 Dec30 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by MOBIL out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
4  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE May25 Mar02 Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 15.00 15% 5.90    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
5  KETTLE KISS May31 May06 Nov15 Nov01 Sep29 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 116 8.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of ABIDING LOVE by OLMODAVOR)
6  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Jun02 May10 Dec03 Oct06 Jul28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of KIMCHI by LANGFUHR)
7  FACTISIMFLASHY Jun17 Jun02 May25 May11 Mar23 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 4.50    
  (by CORFU out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  CANELA FINA Jun19 Jun01 May11 Apr24 Feb06 (dubie k)PILARES P 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
9  EMERALD EYES Jun09 May24 May11 Apr24   (salcedo ramon)COLON H 116 20.00    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
 
BTP-8   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST FALL Jun10 Feb15 Jan21 Dec31 Oct10 (hernandez javi)COLON H 119 5.00    
2  HASTY STRIKE May12 Apr28 Mar23     (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
3  ALL ABOUT CROGE Jun15 May18 May07 Apr23 Mar26 (hernandez jav)CANUTO THIAGO 117 10.00    
SCR  MISS FOXANN Jun14 May31 May18 Aug19 Jul02 (chavez manue)CRUZ JUAN 118 12.00    
5  A. P. AVATAR Jun17 Jun03 May26 May08 Jan21 (pinzon maria)MARCANO Y 114 15.00    
6  FINGERS May19 Feb22       (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 117 8.00 5% 17.30    
7  FAST FELIX May24 Sep07 Aug10 Jun19 May22 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 123 4.00 11% 8.00    
8  TRIPLE ELVIS Jun15 May13 Mar30 Dec31 Oct29 (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
9  DEVILS RED Jun15 May13 Apr26 Jan05 Oct21 (haehn r)OUZTS W 117 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.