Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - June 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-2   Win (9/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (7/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (3/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-5   Win (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-6   Win (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (9/1/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUND BY TRUTH Jun01 Apr26 Mar23 Jun16 May25 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 5.00    
SCHNUER WILL Jun12 May25 Apr20 Jan02 Nov30 (dunham g)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
ARROGANTE Jun01 May24 May06 Apr20 Mar31 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 117 12.00    
UNION FOLLY Jun01 Apr29 Mar25     (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 6% 14.60    
SIMPLY STATED Jun02 May06 Aug11     (houghton thomas)CORA D 117 2.50 51% 1.00    
COULD BE A COUGAR Apr20 Mar10       (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 117 4.00 7% 14.20    
HELLO GRACIE May31 May17 Apr28 Apr20 Feb24 (johnston rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
STORMY SPELL May25 May04 Mar31 Mar17 Mar01 (zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
 
PEN-2   06/22/2023 5490ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BECKON Jun03 May11 Oct30 Sep16 Aug19 (merryman mi)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 10% 9.50    
SASSY MARTINI Jun16 Jun02 May05 Apr21 Dec01 (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 8% 11.20    
ALWAJD Jun01 May05 Apr20 Apr12 Feb17 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
SCR  TEACHER DRAMA Jun16 May24 May04 Mar17 Mar08 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
GIRL'S ON FIRE May31 May11 Apr27 Mar17 Feb20 (rubley kell)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
SCR  BILLIEANNE May31 May05 Apr24 Apr10 Mar28 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
LAUGH IT OFF May24 May19 Apr19 Mar22 Feb22 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 111 10.00    
ALONG THE WAY May24 May06 Apr19 Mar15 Feb10 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
KLAYTON'S KANDY Jun16 May27 May06 Nov06 Oct20 (salvaggio v)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
PEN-3   06/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMARONTI May26 May04 Mar17 Feb08 Jan18 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
DEVOTED KITTEN Jun14 May12 Mar29 Feb10 Jan25 (moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
ALWAYS FORGIVEN May24 May06 Dec30 Nov04 Sep22 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 118 20.00    
SCR  SOUPER CATCH May18 Apr30 Mar22 Mar12 Feb10 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 1.60    
PURPLE SHIRT Jun15 Jun01 May17 Mar29 Mar17 (harigeorgiou ko)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00    
BAVARIA Mar29 Mar17 Feb24 Feb15 Jan12 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHRIS AND DAVE Jun01 May11 Apr21 Mar29 Mar16 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
MY FRIEND FRANK Sep27 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jul07 (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 2.00 15% 5.60    
LEAVE 'EM LOADED May26 Apr28 Dec21 Nov22 Sep22 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY RIDE Jun10 May12 Apr21 Mar24 Mar11 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
MORGANS COVE Mar10 Feb23 Jan20 Dec21 Nov30 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
WARRIOR'S MISS May25 May12 Apr26     (kulp brandon )INIRIO J 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
OUR GAILYNN B Jul27         (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 4.00    
FINISHING TOUCH Jun02 May06 Apr27 Mar29 Mar10 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00    
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN May11 Apr20 Mar30 Feb18 Jan27 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 3.50 18% 4.40    
SCOREBOARD LILY May18 May06 Mar30 Mar09 Feb01 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
 
PEN-5   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT         (beattie todd )INIRIO J 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
HE IS BAD         (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 12% 7.40    
ABBY'S SPIRIT May05         (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 114 8.00    
LUCKILY LEYTON May19 Mar21 Jan24     (russell t)ROSE J 121 2.50    
HARVEY SPECTER         (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.00 13% 6.60    
BARN SWALLOW Jun14 May26 May11 Apr28 Apr19 (harigeorgiou )VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 12.00    
WINNING CANDY May26         (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-6   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMAGISM May24 May04 Mar31 Mar15 Mar01 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.50    
SCR  PEACEARELLA Dec14 Nov29 Oct19 Sep14 Jul28 (moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 113 8.00    
JACK'S LILLY Jun14 May05 Feb22 Feb10 Jan28 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 8.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  RUN LAURA RUN May31 May05 Feb24 Feb01 Jan11 (king lawren)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
TILTED TIARA May31 Apr26 Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
KAREN'S WAY May24 May12 Apr21 Aug17 Jul07 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 5.00    
QUEEN ROSEMARY Jan19 Dec20 Nov25 Nov08 Oct18 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-7   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS BELL May12 Apr30 Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
TELL ME IM AWESOME May25 May11 Apr27 Mar30 Feb15 (kulp l)ROJAS MARTINA 114 2.50 18% 4.50    
LITTLE MOOJI May19 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 Jan10 (fields kevin)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 8.00    
LALLYBROCH         (carpio erin)INIRIO J 121 15.00 11% 7.70    
MISS MIA LIA May19 May05 Apr20 Mar08 Jan12 (miller a)CORA D 121 12.00    
LILYSGOTACLUE May25 Mar15 Feb10 Dec20   (montford leslie)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00    
SYNDEY GIRL         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 121 10.00 8% 10.90    
TENACIOUS TRAVELER Apr16 Apr02       (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00    
MADI'S TUNE May25         (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.