Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - May 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(4/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(4/1/5)-(7/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(7/4)-(7/5/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-3   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/4)-(7/5/2/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(7/5/2/6)-(6/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/6)-(6/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/6)-(6/4/8)-(6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/8)-(6/4/8/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/4/8)-(6/4/8/5)-(6/4/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/8)-(6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/8)-(6/5)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/5)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(1/5/2)-(2/9/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(2/9/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/8)-(2/9/8/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/9/8)-(2/9/8/7)-(2/9/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   05/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACRELLETTA Dec07 Oct25 Oct19 Sep22 Sep15 (rojas e)FLORES E 122 8.00    
2  HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO Apr09 Mar18 Mar01 Dec03 Oct13 (davis sc)MARTINEZ A 116 3.50    
3  SHEER ALICE (GB) Oct18 Oct04 Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 115 12.00 22% 3.50    
4  BREEZY CONNECTION May07 Mar16 Jan26 Jan06 Dec29 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  MONEY AND HONEY Mar23 Feb25 Jan07     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 1.40 25% 3.00    
6  SALLY'S MUSTANG Dec27 Nov08 Oct08 Sep20 Sep10 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
 
PID-2   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUMI Jul26 Jun23 Jun08     (rice kevin)AYALA J 113 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by FLASHBACK out of MISS FOREESTA by GRAND SLAM)
2  KOTYLOS Oct18 Sep07 Aug09 Jul19   (russell )GALLARDO A 118 5.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CAMBIATA by CONCERTO)
3  BAD AS JOHN         (morrell r)FOX CHRIS 118 10.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of TURKOCRAFT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
4  JOSH'S HONOR Oct18 Sep27 Aug22 Jul09   (rogers michael)SPIETH S 118 1.80 33% 2.10    
  (by WEIGELIA out of HONOR ACHIEVED by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  ON AN ISLAND Mar31 Feb24 Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 118 4.00 15% 5.70    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
6  COLONEL POPPY Mar31 Oct25 Oct17 Sep07 Jul19 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 118 2.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GRAYBROOKE by GRAYDAR)
 
PID-3   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WORBOTHOR Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep14 Sep05 (radosevich shell)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
2  FOX ROX Aug10 Jul21 Jul04 Jun13 Apr13 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 3.50    
3  HE'S ON THE FLY Mar31 Aug01 Jul13 Jun13 Jun02 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
4  EXTRA MEDIUM Sep20 Aug31 Aug15 Jul14 Jun18 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  SPICY SHOT Oct24 Oct13 Sep13 Jun15 May30 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 3.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Mar30 Jan18 Dec17 Oct26 Oct13 (radosevich sh)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 13% 7.00    
7  BOOMIN GOOSE Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 Jun29 (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 122 5.00 41% 1.50    
 
PID-4   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Apr26 Mar20 Mar06 Feb13 Nov17 (maddox a)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
2  MILITARY DRILL Apr08 Mar11 Feb12 Jan15 Oct25 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
3  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Dec20 Nov28 Nov10 Oct10 Aug30 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
4  FIELDER Apr16 Mar23 Feb24 Jan31 Jan11 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00    
5  SAMURAI LEGACY Oct06 Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 3.00 19% 4.10    
6  HEATHER'S GOLD Nov20 Nov05 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 (rogers michael)FLORES E 122 3.50 9% 10.10    
7  GREAT BLAKE Apr19 Sep12 Aug29 Jul13 Jun21 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 4.50 33% 2.00    
 
PID-5   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIMI'S GOLD Dec06 Nov01 Oct21     (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of FIELDS OF GOLD by ACTIVIST)
2  LT. LYDIA Jul26 Jun08       (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 12.00    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of WE ALL HAVE DREAMS by SHACKLEFORD)
3  ANA L Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 Jul11   (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 118 8.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of DELIGHTFUL MELODY by TAPIT)
4  HEAVENLY HASH Mar18 Feb15 Oct05 Sep19   (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 111 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BUGLE ANN by BIRDSTONE)
5  RUSTY MY BROTHER Apr20         (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 ★    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of ESTAPRIMO by PRIMAL STORM)
6  ZIP CODE ENVY Mar26 Feb25 Oct05 Sep05 Aug16 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of KNOX COUNTY ZIP by CITY ZIP)
7  IRON LOTUS May05 Apr23 Feb09 Jan06 Dec17 (bayeh e)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 5.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of VIPERA by UNKNOWN)
8  JAZZ TIME GIRL Feb26 Jun30 Apr22     (trombett)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 6% 15.10    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of DARING KATHY by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
PID-6   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPSOLUTION Apr15 Feb19 Feb08 Jan13 Dec22 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
2  AMERICAN UNION Jan18 Dec28 Dec15 Nov22 Oct22 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
3  HIGH HEAT Apr25 Mar15 Feb15 Jan20 Jan12 (sells rachel)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 ★    
4  GRAINGER COUNTY Mar31 Dec15 Nov19 Oct22 Sep18 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 4.50 ★    
5  FUEL THE BERN Nov20 Oct26 Oct03 Sep19 Sep12 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 9% 10.60    
6  ENJOY THE MUSIC Feb23 Feb09 Jan14 Dec14 Nov18 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 67% 0.50    
7  QUARTERMASTER Oct03 Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 4.00    
8  LONTANI Jan05 Dec14 Nov30 Oct27 Oct11 (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
 
PID-7   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURT AND SPARK Sep21 Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 41% 1.50    
2  GENERAL WINSTON Sep07 Aug25 Jul28 Jun22 May18 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 12.00 16% 5.30    
3  IGNITED Jun11 May14       (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
4  DAWGMENTALITY Apr15 Mar15 Oct25 Oct04 Sep07 (potts g)WALKER M 116 6.00    
5  GET EVEN Apr21 Feb22 Jan29 Jan21 Jan08 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
6  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) Oct20 Sep26 Aug01 Jul21 Jun27 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 115 3.00 ★    
7  CELTIC SEA Nov04 Oct16 Oct09 Aug17 Jul30 (cooney susan )MORALES PABLO 122 12.00    
8  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Oct19 Oct11 Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 6.00    
 
PID-8   05/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OSBIN Oct12 Aug09 Jul18 May02   (maddox a)JIMENEZ S 122 20.00    
2  CATCH ON EMOTIONAL Apr01 Mar17       (skawinsk)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  BRADITUDE Nov06 Oct20 Oct13 Sep20 Sep08 (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 15.00    
4  CITY TRIPPER Oct24 Sep22 Sep06 Aug23   (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 116 8.00    
5  UNCLE REMI Oct30 Oct21 Oct09 Sep24 Sep11 (smith lawrenc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
6  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Apr08 Feb18 Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 116 4.50    
7  UNCLE JOCK Apr21 Sep20 Aug22 Jul17 Jun28 (potts g)ALLEN D 116 8.00 ★    
8  NORTHERN SPY Mar17 Jan11       (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND May07 Apr07 Mar16 Mar04 Feb18 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 116 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.