Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - May 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (3/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/4)-(3/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/2)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(4/3/7)-(7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-3   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (7/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/8)-(7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/8)-(7/8/3)-(7/8/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (7/8)-(1/8/7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(9/7/10)-(8/5/11/7) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (9/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/10)-(9/7/10/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (9/7/10)-(8/5/11/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (8/5/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/11/7)-(8/5/11/7/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (8/5/11/7)-(8/5/11/7/3)-(8/5/11/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   05/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOT MORE Mar30 Mar01       (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 6.00 9% 10.30    
JANSELLE Dec11 Nov29 Nov14 Sep25 Aug14 (meals lois)LUNA ELEMANIEL 118 20.00    
SHISH KABOB Mar25 Oct14 Sep23 Aug06   (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 1.60 17% 4.70    
ADRIANA ES BONITA Feb22 Feb14 Jan11 Oct11 Sep15 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
HOT TAKE Jul20 Jun20       (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 15% 5.90    
ROMANCE PELUSA Apr05 Mar05 Dec15 Oct27   (gotera juan )TERRAZA GERMAN 109 20.00    
NIKITA Sep06         (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 111 20.00    
ONE MORE SISTER Feb18 Nov30 Aug23 Aug10   (caramori eduar)HOUGHTON D 116 20.00    
SCR  OUT FOR MYSELF Apr08 Mar22 Feb10 Dec10   (gotera juan)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 116 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  ARISTA THE CAT Jan13 Dec30 Dec01 Nov01 Oct17 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 20.00    
 
MNR-2   05/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCREAMING JEREMY Apr05 Mar02 Feb14     (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 12.00    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
DR SILBERMAN         (chapman james)CEDILLO MAURO 113 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of SKITTLE BOMB by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
OVERHAUL         (lobo p)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 0.80 42% 1.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of ROOM FOR ME by HARLINGTON)
SOUTHPOINT Mar31 Mar17 Feb22     (gerich frank)LUNA ELEMANIEL 113 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ABSATOOTLY by MINESHAFT)
CRACK THE MOON Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan19 Jan07 (comi ralph )RAMGEET R 118 10.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of E MOON by MALIBU MOON)
F F READY OR NOT Nov21         (baird michael)PAUCAR E 118 30.00    
  (by MAWTHOOQ out of F F SILENT SONG by SIGNORETTO (FR))
HOPPERNESS Feb17 Jan14 Nov27 Nov11 Oct27 (demczyk v)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of FLEXIBLE ETHICS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  JOHN'S KID Apr22 Apr11 Mar29 Mar25 Mar20 (silva juan )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 3.50 12% 7.60    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of MEMO FROM PAT by GREY MEMO)
 
MNR-3   05/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FULL OF LIFE Apr17 Mar06 Jan17 Jan05 Aug06 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  OFFUTT COLE Jan19 Dec17 Dec08 Oct26 Sep21 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
PITMAN Nov30 Oct11 Sep26 Aug31 Aug03 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
FIFTY PESOS Apr02 Feb07 Dec12 Sep23 Aug27 (silva juan )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 116 4.00 26% 2.80    
NO MORE Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Oct31 Oct17 (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 120 8.00    
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Apr07 Mar26 Mar15 Feb11 Dec06 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.00    
FOREST SELECTION Feb14 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 May20 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 6% 14.90    
OLD FORTY FIVE Mar20 Mar02 Feb21 Feb06 Jan11 (poole c)LUNA ELEMANIEL 115 15.00    
 
MNR-4   05/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR BRITCHES Dec12 Nov27 Nov15 Oct23 Sep25 (hernandez ricard)CCAMAQUE M 123 12.00    
SCR  PETAL (IRE) Oct31 Oct16 Sep13 Aug22 Aug07 (flores)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
CROSSTOWN GIRL Mar23 Feb27 Nov30 Oct23 Sep29 (fiesman robert)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
JUNGLE GODDESS Dec13 Nov27 Nov09 Oct26 Oct10 (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE Mar04 Oct02 Sep21 Aug25 Aug16 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 1.60 34% 2.00    
ORBETTE Feb06 Jan02 Dec08 Nov27 Oct23 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 4.00    
UNDETECTED Oct19 Oct09 Sep13 Aug31 Aug03 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 29% 2.50    
YESTERDAYSPLAN Oct12 Oct02 Aug07 Jul19 Jul05 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 6% 16.90    
 
MNR-5   05/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE SPEECH Apr23 Jan11 Dec08 Oct04 Aug30 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 0.80 29% 2.50    
BOO BE RIGHT Feb27 Feb09 Jan16 Dec12 Nov29 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 123 10.00    
SCR  ENZOEXPRESS Dec12 Nov29 Nov16 Nov08 Oct24 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 20.00    
WHISKEY SUNRISE Apr04 Mar21 Feb21 Jan23 Dec12 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 15.00 7% 13.50    
EPIC WEST Dec04 Nov22 Nov09 Oct11 Sep18 (meals lois)VEGA L 123 50.00    
PROFESSIONAL Jan18 Jan03 Dec28 Dec12 Nov08 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 4.50    
BOATSWAIN Dec27 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 10% 8.80    
ZAINO BOYZ Dec05 Nov19 Oct28 Oct05 Sep01 (demczyk vir)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 6.00 29% 2.50    
 
MNR-6   05/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INGERSOLL Mar06 Feb16 Jan12 Dec02 Nov17 (vickers richa)CEDILLO MAURO 115 12.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  AMERICAN BOUND May10 May03 Apr18 Mar05 Jan14 (cuttin)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 10.00 10% 8.70    
CONFIDENT N ELITE Feb19 Jan28 Jan20 Dec31 Nov26 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
GOLQUIST Mar04 Jan28 Dec04 Oct20 Oct01 (comi ra)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
EDUARD Dec07 Nov23 Oct19 Sep05 Aug23 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 120 8.00    
REJOICE Apr15 Mar23       (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 1.00    
XIT NOW Nov14 Oct16 Sep14 Aug13 Jul23 (bernardini jay )VEGA L 116 15.00    
 
MNR-7   05/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLONEL MIKE Apr04 Oct19 Oct09 Sep13 Aug21 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 30.00    
SAVAGE NATION Apr03 Mar13 Jan26 Jan10 Dec07 (hetrick k)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 12.00    
ARAZI LIKE MOVE Feb22 Feb01 Jan16 Dec28 Dec04 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
TOO LEGIT Mar13 Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
HIDING THE BRICK Mar30 Feb23 Feb03 Jan02 Dec14 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 10.00    
AW ITE Dec01 Nov07 Oct30 Oct17 Sep26 (inman l)HOUGHTON D 120 8.00    
AWESOME MINER Dec07 Nov21 Nov14 Oct04 Aug30 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
GOTTAGETITBACK Mar22 Mar01 Feb15 Jan19 Dec28 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
AUGER Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 Feb01 Jan16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
10  CATES SWOOSH Nov21 Oct30 Oct19 Oct09 Sep12 (boyd l)LUNA ELEMANIEL 115 8.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  LONTANI Jan05 Dec14 Nov30 Oct27 Oct11 (valdez moises)VEGA L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ARTIE MY BOY Apr04 Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 Dec14 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 15.00    
 
MNR-8   05/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTOR STORY Dec30 Dec13 Apr28 Mar14   (bayley ra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 12.00    
BEND THE KNEE Mar29 Mar13 Feb27 Feb01 Dec13 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 1.80    
CYBERBURG Feb27 Feb07 Dec14 Nov30 Nov08 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 20.00    
CATLIKE Jan19 Jan03 Dec20 Dec05 Oct23 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 20.00    
ONE SMART COOKIE Feb09 Jan18 Dec16 Nov24 Oct13 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
GOLDEN ACCOUNT Feb15 Jan27 Jan18 Dec31 Dec10 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
BLUEGRASS CANDY Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 Jul26 Jul06 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 5% 18.00    
WESTLODGE INTRIGUE Mar29 Mar13 Feb12 Jan11 Dec13 (robillard juli)HOUGHTON D 120 4.50 43% 1.30    
BELLA BASORA Apr15 Nov02 Oct16 Sep20 Aug24 (gotera juan )TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00    
SCR  LEADING INDICATOR Mar13 Feb27 Feb07 Jan19 Jan03 (welsh r)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
11  CHARM WEAVER Mar23 Jan13 Dec02 Nov03 Oct12 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 3.00 9% 10.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.