Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - April 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/1)-(2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/1)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(2/7/6)-(7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/2)-(2/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/7)-(2/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/7)-(2/8/7)-(2/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/7)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7)-(1/5/4/6)-(5/3/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/6)-(5/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/6)-(5/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/6)-(5/3/1/6)-(5/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   04/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD MAN WINTER Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
2  NUMBER ONE DILLON Nov15 Oct24 Oct11 Sep05 Aug24 (huertas )DAVIS A 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  YOUR AWESOME BOSS Nov22 Nov09 Jul26 Jul11 Jun13 (morales samu)HARKIE K 122 8.00 16% 5.10    
4  HIGH HEAT Mar15 Feb15 Jan20 Jan12 Dec09 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 3.00    
5  HARRISON KNOWS Nov15 Oct31 Oct19 Oct11 Sep05 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 6.00    
SCR  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Apr10 Mar15 Feb13 Jan25 Jan02 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 117 12.00    
 
FL-2   04/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Sep05 Aug13 Jul20 Jun20 Jun01 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 2.00 65% 0.50    
2  BANKERS DAUGHTER Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 Jan28 Jan15 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50    
SCR  TRIVIA Nov16 Oct26 Oct17 Sep26 Aug31 (breed a)GOMEZ O 122 4.00 ★    
4  DRAW OFF Nov14 Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 Aug29 (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 11% 8.50    
5  IN GOOD TROUBLE Mar25 Mar08 Jan27 Dec11 Nov19 (dun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 5.00    
6  HONORABLE LILLY Feb18 Jan13 Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 6.00    
 
FL-3   04/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIN LEGS Oct31 Feb25 Jan22     (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 4.00 8% 11.40    
2  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Dec11 Nov19 Nov03 Oct09 Sep24 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 ★    
3  GOING GOING GONE Nov07 Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Jul06 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
4  EASY PLAY Mar17 Feb20 Jan29 Jan15 Jun20 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00    
5  SMALL PEBBLES Dec17 Nov20 Oct24 Aug22   (dixon k)ALVARADO R 117 8.00    
6  TIMED OUT Apr14 Mar12 Feb19 Apr09 Feb25 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.20 68% 0.50    
 
FL-4   04/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOWSPELLEDBACKWARD Nov09 Oct03 Aug23 Aug09 Aug02 (sparling wayne )DIAZ J 124 20.00    
2  JOHN'S SECRET Nov30 Nov07 Oct25 Oct12 Aug22 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  ICE'S IRONICDANCER Nov07 Oct25 Oct12 Sep27 Sep05 (sells ra)DAVIS A 119 15.00    
4  HOLIDAY NECKLACE Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 Oct12 Sep23 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 119 20.00    
5  SUEBEE Nov15 Nov01       (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 10.00 ★    
6  AKELA Mar30 Jan18 Dec07 Nov06   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 5.00 12% 7.60    
7  BOXED IN AND BORED Jan01 Dec08 Nov22 Nov09 Oct24 (englehart ch)HARKIE K 124 1.50 23% 3.40    
8  ALARRA Sep20 Jul26 Jun29 Jun08 May10 (clarke dylan)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00    
 
FL-5   04/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNIFICENT MAGS Nov23 Nov09 Oct26 Oct10 Sep28 (sparling e)GOMEZ O 122 12.00    
1A  TRACI'S GIRL Nov09 Oct26 Oct10 Sep28 Sep14 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
2  FLATTERY'S MUSIC Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 Sep14 Jul18 (sabine mic)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  IDAKA Apr06 Mar17 Jan12 Nov17 Oct08 (barker edwar)HARKIE K 122 5.00    
4  ICE COLD GOLD Apr06 Feb09 Jan20 Nov17 Nov10 (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 ★    
5  PALS ALLY Nov15 Nov07 Oct04 Sep20 Sep12 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 15.00    
6  LADY YELLEN Oct26 Oct11 Sep19 Sep07 Aug15 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00 ★    
7  ROZ Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 Sep24 Sep04 (ficarell)DAVIS A 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
FL-6   04/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RULER OF THE NIGHT Sep26 Aug17       (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 2.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SALT WATER REIGN by SALT LAKE)
2  FINAL DISCO         (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00 25% 3.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of JACKIE'S DISCO by MO MON)
SCR  PAY THE TIZ         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of USRAH by TIZNOW)
SCR  FOUR QUARTZ Mar03 Feb18 Dec18     (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 122 15.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of ROSE QUARTZ by ROCK HARD TEN)
5  FRANKIE KNOWS BEST Jan27 Jan14 Dec18 Nov08   (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of LAZEKA by BELONG TO ME)
6  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Apr05 Sep05 Aug22     (ferraro )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SHEZASTONECOLDINGO by LONHRO (AUS))
7  SUNSHINE GIRL Apr05 Mar19 Mar01 Feb17 Jan29 (ficarella brooke)PEREZ E 122 4.50 9% 9.70    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of SARASOTA SUNRISE by THUNDER GULCH)
8  SUPER SLIDE Mar24 Dec18 Nov19 Oct30 Sep02 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of DROSELMEYR'S SMILE by DROSSELMEYER)
 
FL-7   04/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Nov08 Oct30 Oct01 Sep04 Aug13 (dixon k)DIAZ J 114 3.00 14% 6.10    
2  HARDLY WORKING Nov21 Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 20.00    
3  MISTER LARRY Oct27 Oct15 Aug29 Aug02 Jun22 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 20.00    
4  GOT THE GOLD Apr01 Mar18 Feb19 Jan13 Dec29 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
5  BOBBY RIDE Mar19 Aug23 Jul26     (grusmark)DAVIS A 119 8.00 14% 6.40    
6  JET SPEED Mar18 Mar03 Feb09 Dec31 Dec16 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  TREVOR BARDETTE Apr01 Feb26 Feb12 Jan21 Jan12 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
8  PERSISTENT DANGER Feb23 Feb05 Jan13 Dec29 Dec11 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
SCR  ARE YOU HAPPY Dec17 Nov26 Nov12 Oct06 Sep08 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
10  HANGOUT Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 Sep13 Aug30 (mas)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 10.00    
 
FL-8   04/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUES CITY Nov23 Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 (dominguez car)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  DR. LLOYD Nov23 Nov14 Oct31 Sep27 Sep05 (dominguez ca)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
2  HOLY COWBOY Nov16 Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 (breed a)GOMEZ O 122 15.00    
3  SMOKIN' ALONE Nov23 Nov08 Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 (sabine mic)DE EMANUEL 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  MAGNIFICENT CHROME Apr15 Mar30 Feb02 Jan19 Aug14 (lyn)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 ★    
5  TOWN JAK Feb23 Jan19 Jan04 Nov22 Nov14 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 35% 1.80    
6  NO LIME Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 20.00 6% 17.10    
7  HOORAY FOR HARVEY Dec13 Nov04 Oct11 Sep23 Sep08 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 15.00    
8  TENENCY Nov23 Sep23 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 122 20.00    
9  DEVIOUS BANKER Feb15 Feb02 Jan13 Nov21 Oct31 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.