Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-6   Win (7/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (3/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-9   Win (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-10   Win (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-11   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-6   03/29/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBHOUSE SAINT Mar06 Feb12 Jan24 Jan11 Dec26 (woolley )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
SILLY NOTION Feb22 Jan31 Dec27 Nov30 Nov14 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00    
LILA'S LUCKY LADY Mar14 Mar04 Feb21 Feb07 Jan24 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 9% 10.40    
CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) Mar14 Feb16 Feb01 Nov14 Aug28 (williams matt)CORBETT W 122 5.00 10% 9.20    
GOLD INCLUDED Feb26 Feb06 Jan24 Dec28 Dec14 (bullene michael)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00    
MS SALLY Mar04 Jan18 Jan03 Nov30 Sep12 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00    
METAROSE Mar04 Feb20 Jan31 Jan14 Jan04 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 34% 1.90    
 
TUP-7   03/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLENDALE Mar11 Feb17 Jan15 Dec26 Dec04 (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.80    
NAPOLEONIC CODE Mar18 Nov05 Sep30 Sep10   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
JOHN'S KID Mar25 Mar20 Mar07 Jan14 Dec20 (silv)DA FAUSTO 121 3.50 8% 11.90    
CHARLIE'S MAN Mar06 Feb14 Jan28 Dec10 Nov12 (alvarez ser)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 17% 5.10    
KNOCKOUT GUY Mar06 Feb16 Jan31 Dec20 Nov25 (fearon johnatho)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
DIXON TUFF Mar18         (matt l)ZUNINO L 121 10.00    
 
TUP-8   03/29/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POLITICAL RIOT Mar07 Feb21 Feb05 Jan25 Jan02 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.50    
MOONLITE GRAHAM Feb25 Feb09 Dec14 Nov21 Nov05 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
CASHANOVA Feb08 Jan09 Dec14 Nov12 Sep08 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  START A RUNNIN Feb22 Jan25 Jan05 Dec10 Apr19 (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 6.00    
SCR  ZUMURUDEE Feb28 Feb02 Jan09 Dec14 Nov08 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
KALINE Jan05 Oct07 Aug28 Aug19 Aug04 (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 12.00    
CIBERTRUCK Mar07 Feb10 Jan07 May07 Apr14 (stevens satchell)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
OUR DANDY'S BOY Mar01 Dec10 Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 122 20.00    
CLUB MESQUITE Mar07 Feb16 Feb08 Jan19 Dec19 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 7% 13.00    
 
TUP-9   03/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMBERLAKE GAGE Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 Jan30 Oct15 (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 21% 3.90    
BELLS AND WHISTLES Jan17 Jan02 Dec21 Oct28 Oct21 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 12% 7.10    
DODROPIN Mar04 Feb09 Jun24 Jun17 Jun04 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 8.00    
BIG BLUE NOTE Mar04 Feb21 Feb09 Jan18 Jan04 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
BOUNTY OF GOLD Feb09 Jun11 May19 May07 Apr20 (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 31% 2.30    
MISCHIEF MAMA Feb26 Feb18 Feb06 Jan17 Nov23 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
MISS AGGIE BLING Mar04 Feb19 Feb08 Jan18 Jan03 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 6% 14.90    
MADIGAN SQUEEZE Feb09 Nov14 Sep17 Sep03 Apr08 (wolf ashlee)DEONAUTH P 124 6.00    
 
TUP-10   03/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY JADE Mar05 Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 Dec19 (leon priscilla)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 12.00    
PARTY POLICE Mar05 Feb14 Feb01 Jan09 Nov29 (kere)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00    
YOUONLYLIVETWICE Mar14 Mar05 Feb11 Jan17 Jan04 (silva-martinez )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
NO PEOPLE Mar14 Feb21 Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 9% 10.70    
BLUE LUNA WHO Feb28 Feb05 Jan24 Dec05 Nov14 (silva n)ANAYA V 122 6.00    
JAZZY EINSTEIN Mar05 Feb25 Feb09 Jan26 Jan04 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00    
PLUMA Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 Nov14 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
GOLDEN HALO Mar14 Feb27 Feb04 Jan23 Dec09 (brinkerhoff v)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
 
TUP-11   03/29/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APART OF MY CHARM Mar04 Feb11 Jan24 Jan11 Dec15 (fales matt)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.50    
IN THE RED Mar11 Jan28 Dec15 Sep07 Jul30 (pierce mich)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
INDY'S STAR Mar14 Feb08 Jan04 Dec19 Nov07 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 6.00    
LOOKIN SO LUCKY Mar08 Feb22 Feb11 Jan28 Aug14 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50    
IF YOU WANT IT Mar08 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov30 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
WAIT A SEC Jan30 Jan10 Nov23 Nov07 Sep30 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 12.00    
DIRT FLIRT Feb22 Jan28 Jan09 Dec14 Nov14 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  MIRACLE OF HOPE Jan20 Jan02 Dec14 Nov23 Nov05 (kere)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.