Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - March 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/4)-(9/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4)-(9/7/3)-(7/2/3/9/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-2   WIN (9/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/3)-(9/7/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/3)-(9/7/3/8/4)-(9/7/3/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/7/3)-(7/2/3/9/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/7/3)-(7/2/3/9/10)-(4/9/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/2/3/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/9/10)-(7/2/3/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/9/10)-(7/2/3/9/10)-(7/2/3/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/3/9/10)-(4/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/9/10)-(4/9/2/7)-(8/10/9/12/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-4   WIN (4/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/7)-(4/9/2/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/7)-(4/9/2/7/11)-(4/9/2/7/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/2/7)-(8/10/9/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/2/7)-(8/10/9/12/7)-(2/4/9/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-5   WIN (8/10/9/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/9/12/7)-(8/10/9/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/9/12/7)-(8/10/9/12/7)-(8/10/9/12/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/9/12/7)-(2/4/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/9/12/7)-(2/4/9/7)-(2/8/6/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-6   WIN (2/4/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/7)-(2/4/9/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/7)-(2/4/9/6/7)-(2/4/9/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/9/7)-(2/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/9/7)-(2/8/6/4)-(9/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-7   WIN (2/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/4)-(2/8/6/12/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/4)-(2/8/6/12/4)-(2/8/6/12/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/6/4)-(9/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TP-8   WIN (9/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/2)-(9/10/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/10/2)-(9/10/2/5)-(9/10/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL TEMPLE Jan26 Nov13 Nov04 Apr17 Mar19 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 125 2.50 11% 8.30    
SCR  GO ON GIRL Dec11 Dec03 Nov12 Oct20 Aug03 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  CLAIRARIFIC Dec15 Dec01 Oct21 Sep29 Mar27 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 125 4.00 17% 4.80    
4  CRYSTAL SNOW Feb15 Jan12 Nov27 Oct23 Oct07 (cristel j)MOJICA O 125 6.00 8% 11.70    
5  TRAVAILLE         (morey william )LEZCANO ABEL 125 10.00    
6  BIRD SET FREE         (pitts c)CANNON DECLAN 125 12.00    
7  SHEBATOWN Nov26 May22       (reed r)FELIX E 125 10.00    
8  LILY'S HOME Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 Dec15 Nov22 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 118 5.00 35% 1.90    
9  URBAN COWGIRL         (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 118 12.00    
10  NEOLITHIC NATION Feb25 Dec09 Nov05     (lepiane paul)HESS SARA 108 20.00    
 
TP-2   03/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANTPAYTHETOLL Feb09 Jan14 Dec16 Sep14 Aug11 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 120 12.00    
2  UNBRIDLED BEAST Dec29 Dec14 Oct20 Sep29 Aug25 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
3  ORAZIO Feb22 Feb10 Jan25 Dec16 Oct13 (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLANKET OF ROSES Feb18 Feb04 Dec29 Dec11 Oct09 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 120 6.00 ★    
5  TEXAS GANO Feb04 Jan14 Dec15 Oct04 Sep23 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00    
6  BAJAN RUM Feb22 Feb09 Nov03 Sep23 Sep01 (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 113 10.00    
7  BAKENEKO Feb18 Jan01 Sep30 Aug13 Jul30 (d'angel)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 7% 13.60    
8  TEXAS HEDGE Feb23 Feb01 Jan25 Jan07 Dec22 (barrett rod)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 15.00 ★    
9  JOKER ON JACK Feb02 Jan11 Dec03 Oct07 Aug08 (cano mu)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 2.00 67% 0.50    
10  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Feb22 Dec01 Sep14 Aug22 Jul22 (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
 
TP-3   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG BLACK VEIL Feb09 Jan02 Nov30 Nov07 Oct01 (jarvis kath)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 20.00    
2  HIDEKI Feb22 Dec14 Oct17 Sep22 Sep07 (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  MOLLIE KATE Jul15         (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
4  BLEST LIFE Feb08 Jun21 May23 May04 Mar05 (contreras ci)HALDAR J 123 12.00    
5  CONDIMENT GIRL Nov18 Oct21 Sep08 May22 Apr29 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 5.00    
6  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Feb22 Jan26 Oct27 Aug29 Jul19 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00    
7  ONLY TIME Feb23 Feb01 Jan14 Dec28 Dec16 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  CHI TOWN HEAT Feb01 Jan01 Dec02 Oct21 Sep07 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 115 15.00    
9  AWESOME LAWSON Feb16 Jan25 Nov13 Oct27 Aug31 (vesty clark)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 15.00 12% 7.30    
10  TIMELY SECRET Feb15 Jan25 Jan01 Dec03 Nov20 (bright d)RODRIGUEZ A 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  HOT ANNA Feb22 Aug04 Jun29 May20 Apr21 (baker james)MOJICA JR 123 15.00    
 
TP-4   03/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT REVENGE Feb18 Jan05       (dyer john)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
2  LUCKY ANA Jan25 Jul19       (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 5.00 7% 12.90    
3  ANA Feb01 Oct15 Aug17 Jul27   (greenhill jeff)FELIX E 118 20.00    
4  DEE DEE B         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  SUNLIT COVE Feb09         (wilkes r)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
6  IT FACTOR Feb16 Jan01       (anderson l)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
7  FIRST HILL Feb16 Jan13 Oct30     (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 6% 14.40    
8  RED JAG Feb08 Nov30       (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
9  ALWAYS LAUGHING Feb16 Jan18 Dec15 Oct13 Sep17 (morey w)DE CRUZ 120 4.50 32% 2.20    
10  SUMMERTIME ROSE Dec31         (sha)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00    
11  KILMOREY Feb09 Jan05 Dec03     (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 12.00 ★    
12  MO BETTY         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
 
TP-5   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHENT Feb10 Dec28 Oct09 Oct03 Sep11 (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 122 15.00    
2  HUNTERTOWN Feb11 Jan19 Nov04 Sep29 May11 (hernandez rey)MCKEE J 122 20.00    
3  STORM DADDY Feb11 Dec09       (elliott m)BERMUDEZ E 118 30.00    
4  UNCLE HEADLEY Feb10 Jan19 Dec22 Sep03 Jun27 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 15.00    
5  GETTIN PAID Jan19 Nov17       (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
6  GOLD LUCK Feb10 Dec28 Nov26 Oct08 Sep18 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 12.00    
7  NOTARIO Feb04 Oct11       (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  HALF A CHANCE Jul14 Jun05       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 112 3.00 32% 2.10    
9  CHISELER Jan19 Dec28 Nov05 Oct08 Sep17 (foley greg)RAMOS D 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
10  BRAZEN BOY Feb03 Dec29 Nov24 Oct30   (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
11  TEAM LEADER Jan19 Dec29 Oct15 Sep22 Jul30 (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
12  MISTER SHARPIE Feb10 Jul10       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 10.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  SPEED WARNING Jan21 Dec16 Nov18     (stidham)DE CRUZ 118 10.00    
 
TP-6   03/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLEE O Jan05 Dec14 Oct03 Aug27 Jun04 (waltz brian)FELIX E 123 15.00    
2  DOCS SEVEN Feb08 Jan12 Sep29 Sep09 Aug22 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50 49% 1.00    
3  CHIQUITA MOSCA Feb16 Jan26 Dec14 Nov20 Oct30 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 117 15.00    
4  MY MY MUNNY Feb08 Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Nov17 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 123 5.00 17% 4.80    
5  GIVERNY Jun17 May15 Feb03     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
6  FAST GISELLE Feb18 Jan28 Dec22 Nov28   (galindo-torres )ACHARD ALEX 123 3.50 ★    
7  TEN RINGS Feb08 Dec29 Aug07 Jul03   (wong jonath)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEL ARIA Feb16 Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 Oct24 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00    
9  FAST AND FLIRTY Jan28 Nov06 Oct07 Apr10 Feb20 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 6% 15.70    
 
TP-7   03/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELIEVING (IRE) Feb09 Nov03 Sep16 Jul29 Jun17 (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 6.00    
2  PROTOMAGIC Feb15 Feb01 Jan05 Sep19 Aug31 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 123 4.00 41% 1.40    
3  MAGIC LEMONS Feb25 Feb15 Jan26 Mar26 Mar18 (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 123 30.00    
4  ALMADRINA (GB) Feb16 Jan20 Dec15 Dec01 Sep22 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  DIALED INNA Feb01 Dec21 Dec03 Nov08 Oct20 (watkins )RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00    
6  SILVER SEA Feb15 Jan26 Jan11 Dec03 Oct29 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 123 8.00 11% 8.20    
7  DEEP DISH Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 Nov23 Oct24 (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 12.00    
8  QUICKY DESIRE Aug23 Jul13 Jun28 May16   (lobo h)RAMOS D 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
9  WEEKEND FUN Feb16 Dec01 Oct15 Aug28 Aug11 (leitch )DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
10  JOY ENAMORADA Jan13 Dec15 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 (duvall william)ELLIOTT JANE 123 30.00    
11  MERRY OF SOUL Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 Oct11 Aug24 (thomas mark)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00    
12  ABITIBI Feb23 Feb01 Jan05 Dec21 Dec03 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 126 2.00 ★    
 
TP-8   03/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO DIVINE Feb08 Dec03 Nov12 Oct16   (hamilto)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  CONDONE Feb08 Jan01       (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 5% 18.30    
  (by JUSTIFY out of JACARANDA by CONGRATS)
3  LUNA MOTH Feb22 Jan25 Dec29 Nov26   (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of PALADIN BAY by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
SCR  CHELSEA PIER Feb15         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by ARROGATE out of KIND OF MAGIC by GALILEO (ARG))
5  CALL ME TONI Feb08 Jan11 Dec11     (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.00 ★    
  (by TONALIST out of BROKEN MARRIAGE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  RUDIMENTARY DRINK Feb02         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE (GB) out of GINGER BEER by MILWAUKEE BREW)
7  PIDEME OTRA Feb15 Dec07       (mckeever andrew)HEARD TYLER 120 30.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of RACE TO URGA by BERNSTEIN)
8  ACCIDENTAL ICON Feb15 Dec11 Nov04     (walsh br)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LOVE STYLE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
9  MISS LIZZY Feb08 Jan05 Dec07     (o'neill doug)LEZCANO ABEL 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CARADINI by BERNARDINI)
10  TIME TO RACE Jan11 Dec14 Sep23     (nih)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by RACE DAY out of TIME FOR HARLAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
11  DIXIE SUPREME         (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CODETTA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
12  BAMBEROOSKI Feb23 Jan25 Dec15     (foster eric)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of FREE AS A BIRD (GB) by ROBELLINO)
SCR  ALLYMISSLOVE Feb11         (brisset rodol)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of KNOCKATRINA by LANGFUHR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.