Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/4/2/1)-(3/5/4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/3/5)-(5/2/4/6/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/6/7/5)-(2/3/6/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/2/4/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/2/4/6/1)-(3/4/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-3   WIN (5/2/4/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/6/1)-(5/2/4/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/6/1)-(5/2/4/6/1)-(5/2/4/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/4/6/1)-(3/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/6/1)-(3/4/5)-(5/2/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2/6)-(3/4/5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(5/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(5/2/6/3)-(7/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/3)-(7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/3)-(7/2/1)-(3/1/6/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1/3/4)-(7/2/1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(3/1/6/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(3/1/6/7/8)-(4/9) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/1/6/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/7/8)-(3/1/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/7/8)-(3/1/6/7/8)-(3/1/6/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/6/7/8)-(4/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/9)-(4/9/3/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/9)-(4/9/3/7/1)-(4/9/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATTI LOU Feb13 Jan23 Jan04 Dec19   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 ★    
2  BUSYBEING FABULOUS Feb13 Jan24 Dec27 Aug25 Jul26 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 6% 15.70    
3  BACOPA BAY Jun30 May12       (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 1.80 53% 0.90    
4  EXACTITUDE Feb13 Jan23 Dec27 Jun03 Apr28 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 ★    
5  SHADY BABY Feb13 Jan24 Jan04 Dec19 Nov16 (wilson david)AYALA J 124 4.00 11% 8.40    
6  REYS PINA COLADA Feb16 Jan18 Dec12 Nov23 May09 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
SCR  ALL THE BEST Feb13 Jan04 Dec19 Aug04 Jul05 (trevino s)BRICENO M 119 12.00    
 
MVR-2   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORSESE Feb20 Jan30 Dec27 Dec15 Nov19 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00    
2  STRIKE A BEAT Feb07 Jan19 Jan02 Dec07 Nov19 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 47% 1.20    
3  EXONERATED PREZ Feb20 Feb01 Jan19 Jan02 Dec01 (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 11% 7.70    
4  NOT A GAME Feb20 Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 Nov21 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 4.00    
5  GATTO MARRONE Feb20 Feb01 Jan02 Dec11 Nov28 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  REINSURE Feb20 Feb01 Jan19 Jan02 Dec01 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★    
7  OVER THE HILLS Oct28 Sep23 Aug05 Jul07 Jun04 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-3   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLIVIA'S JOY Feb24 Jan04 Dec14 Oct11 Sep21 (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
2  RECIPROCAL Jun01         (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 3.00 12% 7.70    
3  TIME FOR CUPID Feb20 Feb06 Dec30 Dec15 Nov11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
4  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Feb10 Feb01 Jan13 Jan01 Dec15 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 7% 13.30    
5  LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jul15   (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  ASHWICKEN Feb20 Jan31 Jan12 Dec21 Dec05 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 126 5.00 5% 17.80    
7  ESPECIAL Jan24         (reed r)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00    
 
MVR-4   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE CRAZY RIDE Feb21 Feb09 Jan17 Dec30 Dec12 (brown glenro)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
2  CHISELED JUSTICE Dec14 Nov22 Sep21 Aug30 Jun03 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 ★    
3  BEAT THE DEALER Feb20 Dec20 Dec06 Nov15 Oct31 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 1.60 50% 1.00    
4  DOUGS MORNING PICK Jan28 Dec12 Nov10 Oct24 Oct03 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  BLUE MONARCH Feb02 Jan11 Dec20 Nov28 Nov10 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIDE RISING Feb13 Jan28 Dec29 Dec06 Jun11 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 2.50 ★    
7  PLATE IT UP Feb21 Feb09 Feb02 Jan28 Jan11 (gonzalez )BRICENO M 119 15.00    
 
MVR-5   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEST YOUR FAITH Jan30 Dec21 Dec05 Nov28 Nov16 (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
2  NOGRATZ Aug26 Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 May30 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 24% 3.10    
3  I MATTER Feb22 Feb06 Jan12 Dec28 Nov23 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 126 5.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  ADRIANA ES BONITA Feb22 Feb14 Jan11 Oct11 Sep15 (cordero-lope)MARCANO Y 121 8.00 ★    
5  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Feb22 Feb06 Dec15 Oct11 Sep07 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 126 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  SOULSTONE Feb22 Feb06 Jan09 Dec15 Nov30 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 16% 5.30    
7  FULL TIME STRUTIN Feb20 Feb08 Jan13 Dec28 Nov30 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 20.00    
8  FRANCIA (PER) Feb22 Jan30 Jan09 Jul27 Jun18 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 10.00    
 
MVR-6   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Jan28 Jan05 Dec21 Dec05 Nov22 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 6% 14.80    
2  DIVA POWER Feb16 Jan16 Dec30 Nov29 Nov15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  BOOGIE BOOGEE Feb16 Jan28 Jan05 Dec13 Nov23 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 ★    
4  PENNY SHOTS Feb16 Jan28 Dec30 Dec13 Nov29 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 124 5.00 ★    
5  BISCAYNE BAY Feb16 Jan28 Dec05 Sep26 Sep07 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
6  UPTOWN MILLIE Feb15 Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 Nov08 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 126 15.00    
7  RAINBOW SHIP Feb16 Jan16 Dec30 Jun28 Jun01 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 1.60 48% 1.10    
 
MVR-7   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COYOTE ROAD Aug25 Aug06 Jun18 May14 Apr23 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  WHISKEY SUNRISE Feb21 Jan23 Dec12 Dec04 Nov21 (vickers rich)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
3  CENTSOFWANDER Feb21 Jan17 Aug16 Jul06 Jun16 (huffman candace )RIVERA R 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  FORTY STRIPES Feb21 Feb02 Aug07 Jul09 Jun19 (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
5  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM Jan17 Dec13 Nov23 Nov08 May17 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00    
6  WAR NOVEL Feb08 Jul07 Jun10 May21 May08 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 11% 8.30    
7  CHROMED IMPULSE Feb22 Jan23 Dec21 Jun13 May17 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 15.00 9% 9.70    
8  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Nov27 Aug23 Jul14 Jun29   (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 8.00 7% 14.20    
9  GOLD HERITAGE Feb08 Dec22 Dec13 Nov03 Oct19 (fadlovich me)AYALA J 124 3.50    
 
MVR-8   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONNIE'S BEST Feb20 Jan16 Dec30 Dec15   (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 122 20.00 ★    
  (by PALACE out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  INCREDIBLE MARINI Feb20 Jan26 Jan11     (bogart rober)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 20.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of JUSTINCREDIBLE by MARINO MARINI)
3  LADYBUGGIN Feb20 Sep20       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 ★    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ODE TO SAMI by LION HEART)
4  LARRY'S ANGEL Jan16         (cowans willia)BRACHO A 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of THE WAR DEPARTMENT by LOST SOLDIER)
5  MY PINK BUNNY TALE Jan16         (cline c)YARANGA Y 122 12.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of MY PINK EASTERBABY by STRAIGHT MAN)
6  OHIO LADY Feb15 Jan16       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of IMPATIENT LADY by PLEASANT TAP)
7  PRONTO CHARLI Feb20 Jan16       (cline c)PAUCAR E 122 5.00 ★    
  (by PROTONICO out of INDIANISTA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Oct05 Sep01 Aug01     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 15.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NOCTURNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Feb20 Jan16 Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by TAPITURE out of SEEYOUINTHETOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.