Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - March 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/8/7)-(4/3/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/8)-(7/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8)-(7/8/2)-(2) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TP-2   WIN (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/2)-(7/8/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/2)-(7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/2)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2)-(2)-(3/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TP-3   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/3/1/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/3/1/6)-(2/3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2)-(3/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2)-(3/10)-(10/7/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TP-4   WIN (3/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/10)-(3/10/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/10)-(3/10/7/8)-(3/10/7/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/10)-(10/7/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/10)-(10/7/11)-(7/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-5   WIN (10/7/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/7/11)-(10/7/6/11/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/11)-(10/7/6/11/3)-(10/7/6/11/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/7/11)-(7/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/7/11)-(7/1/6/5)-(5/10/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-6   WIN (7/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/5)-(5/10/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/5)-(5/10/6/8)-(2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TP-7   WIN (5/10/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/6/8)-(5/10/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/6/8)-(5/10/6/8)-(5/10/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/6/8)-(2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TP-8   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/13/8/11) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/13/8/11)-(2/13/8/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROMISEMEPARADISE         (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00    
2  BLAME IT ON PARIS Aug26 Jul31       (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
3  MORE THAN A DIVA Dec11 Oct22 Sep01     (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 12% 7.70    
4  MISCHIEF LILY Nov12 Oct08 Aug20 Jul23   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
5  WING AND A PLAYER         (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  LUCKY ANA Jan25 Jul19       (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
7  RECEIVE A GIFT         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 ★    
8  WRITTEN CONSENT Feb09 Dec03       (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
9  SHEMADEMEBLUSH Feb08 Dec17 Oct26     (greenhill je)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
 
TP-2   03/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NARROWS BRIDGE Jan14 Jan04 Jun22 Jun09 May11 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 120 20.00 ★    
2  POQUITO ROSE Feb02 Jan19 Dec30 Oct04 Sep22 (radosevich s)MOJICA O 120 3.50 8% 11.50    
3  ANOTATION Jan20 Dec30 Aug19 Jul15 Jun16 (hale jr)LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00    
SCR  HIDDEN FIGURE Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug09 Jul15 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 15.00    
5  MY ROSIE Feb02 Jan13 Dec11 Oct25 Oct04 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 12.00    
6  EIDA'S STORM Oct06 Sep28 Sep20 Sep06 Aug30 (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
7  KANFU Jan20 Dec30 Dec03 Nov11 Oct16 (granitz )RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.50 45% 1.20    
8  ERV'S WENCH Jan20 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Oct18 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
9  KEEP SCROLLING Jan21 Dec11 Oct18 Sep15 Aug31 (walsh d)MCENTEE GRACE 120 12.00    
10  ABOUNDING Dec30 Dec02       (cook k)HUGHES CARLY 120 20.00    
SCR  HELEN MAE'S SONG Sep03 Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 Jun04 (watkins m)FELIX E 120 4.00 7% 14.10    
 
TP-3   03/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALAGA Feb01 Jan20 Dec21 Nov30 Oct10 (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 124 4.50 ★    
2  SEIVER Jan20 Dec21 Nov17 Oct24 Sep08 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  UNDER ONE SKY Jan20 Dec07 Oct27 Sep03 Jul23 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50 ★    
4  RIGHT NOW Feb04 Dec29 Nov24 Oct13 Sep17 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
5  RISING HEAT Feb03 Jan01       (stidham)DE CRUZ 117 8.00    
6  LUMINIST Feb01 Jan12 Nov13 Nov04 Sep30 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  DREAMFUL Jan12 Dec21 Oct20 Sep22 May12 (gre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 4.00 54% 0.90    
8  BALLOT INITIATIVE Feb01 Jul18 Jun30 Jun08 May10 (klopp randy)SANJUR SANTO 124 15.00    
 
TP-4   03/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN EKATI Feb08 Dec30 Dec18 Nov25 Nov11 (nes)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 15.00    
2  TIZ ABBY Feb01 Jan13 Dec21 Nov21 Nov14 (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00    
3  ARLYNE'S CROWN Feb09 Jan05 Nov10 Oct21 Sep05 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 5% 18.90    
4  JERSEY GOLD Feb01 Nov22 Nov01 Oct04 Sep15 (pittman bonn)MORALES JOSHUA 124 15.00    
5  STAR OF SHANGHAI Feb09 Jan25 Jan06 Oct05 Sep05 (walsh d)MCENTEE GRACE 124 15.00    
6  MY DIOR Jan13 Dec22 Oct10 Aug17 Jul12 (reed r)FELIX E 124 20.00    
7  KNELCOCK Feb08 Feb01 Dec22 Dec01 Nov03 (evans m)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 ★    
8  SPLIT DECISION Jan06 Dec03 Nov08 Oct11 Aug31 (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 12.00 ★    
SCR  LOMA VISTA Jan14 Dec28 Nov03 Sep02 Aug04 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.00 67% 0.50    
10  QUEEN IN THE NORTH Feb11 Feb03 Jan06 Sep26 Aug18 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  LUCKY SHORE Feb08 Jan13 Dec22 Dec09 Oct11 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00    
 
TP-5   03/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT RISING         (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of JET BLACK MAGIC by HOLD ME BACK)
2  BOONE'S PATH Jan25 Dec31 Dec11 Nov19 Oct28 (young r)FELIX E 126 15.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INDIAN CARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  CAPTAIN HANK         (wil)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 10.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ANDROEAH by ARCH)
4  BRAILLE Feb11 Jun18 May15 Apr02   (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TEXTING by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  WILEY T Dec28         (ruvalcaba juan)AYALA ISAIAS 126 30.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of HOME ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
6  SON OF THUNDER Jan25 Dec11       (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 126 10.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CHATTERTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  PANCAKE HOUSE Jan25 Nov30 Nov13 Oct22 May21 (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of PANCAKE by CORINTHIAN)
8  MANCHESTER Feb16 Jan26       (engler jeff)MOJICA JR 126 12.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CAVALIA by KIRIDASHI)
9  THE THUNDERER Feb11 Dec31 Oct09 Aug21 Feb25 (delacour a)CORRALES GERARDO 126 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of DELIGHTFUL by BERNARDINI)
10  GAMER Feb11         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
11  KANSAS COMET Feb11 May21 Apr16     (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of EASY FEELING by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
TP-6   03/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ILLIOGAMI Nov24 May06 Apr09     (arnold ge)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.00 11% 7.70    
2  FAIR GAME Jan14 Dec22 Nov19 Sep13 Aug12 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00    
3  QUERIDINHA LECA Dec28 Dec11 Oct31 Sep22 Aug30 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00    
4  FANCY MARTINI Jan21 Nov25 Oct20 Sep05 Jul16 (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 10.00    
5  BALI BELLE Feb02 Jan05 Dec07 Oct17 Oct07 (rodrigu)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 6% 16.90    
6  VEZPA (BRZ) Feb02 Dec22 Dec08 Oct23 Sep22 (lobo h)RAMOS D 124 3.00 11% 8.00    
7  RAVELLA Jan18 Dec15 Oct28     (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 127 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  NEW ROO Feb01 Dec28 Nov19 Aug21 Jun29 (dru)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 6.00 7% 13.70    
 
TP-7   03/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUFFIN Jan25 Oct22 Sep25     (lobo h)RAMOS D 117 15.00    
2  CAPITAL ALLOCATION (GB) Dec21 Oct25 Oct02 Sep09 Jul19 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 30.00    
3  MUSIC AMORE Dec31 Dec10 Oct14 Sep03 Aug06 (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
4  SWEET LADY IVANKA Nov25 Nov10 Oct15 Sep17 Aug07 (mcpeek kennet)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00    
5  CLASSIC COYNE Feb01 Jan01 Sep10 Aug24 Jul08 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 27% 2.60    
6  ROSIA BAY Jan28 Dec15 Sep18 Jun17 Apr22 (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
7  GLACKEN'S CAUSE Aug02 Jun18 May31 Apr08 Mar22 (wallace kevin)CANUTO THIAGO 124 30.00    
8  FRENCH CUFFS Aug29 Aug04 Jul06 Jun22 May30 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 124 12.00 9% 10.80    
9  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI Feb15 Jan07 Dec31 Dec11 Nov16 (gonzalez rei)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 30.00    
10  JUBILEE BRIDGE Feb01 Jan04 Oct13 Sep18   (stidham)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
11  BATYAH Dec26 Nov19 Sep06 Jul17   (delacour a)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00    
12  STORY HOUR Jan18 Dec29 Nov24 Feb13 Jan09 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00    
SCR  DE JORIA Feb16 Dec10 Oct29 Sep22   (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  HASHTAG WINNER Feb16 Jan04 Dec02 Oct11 Sep25 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
 
TP-8   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUNNING DOE         (ortiz j)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WINNING DOE by RUNNING STAG)
2  DARING DO Jan18         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MORE'N LIKELY by BLAME)
3  CLIMB TO GLORY Feb11         (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAHVELOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  RAPPING WISH         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of I LOVE YOU by SEVILLE (GER))
5  BEACH WALKN         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHINA GROVE by CITY ZIP)
6  HARTFUL HOPE         (oliver victoria)MOJICA JR 120 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SHE'S STYLISH by POSSE)
7  SPENCER'S SPARKLE         (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of JOONBI by POLLARD'S VISION)
8  EXHIBIT HALL Jan01 Nov23       (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TENSAS HARBOR by PRIVATE VOW)
9  PETERPAM Dec01 Oct30       (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of VICARIOUS WON by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  WILD ACCLAIM Jan18 Dec21       (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by FLATTER out of PRODICIOUS FACTS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  ROCK THE NILE         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 10.00 ★    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
12  NEVER TELL PATTI         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRINCESSOF THE NYL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
13  MIDNIGHT MEGHAN Feb15         (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 4.00 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of WISH TO OPINE by PURIM)
SCR  ACTIVE LANE         (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of KENNY LANE by FORESTRY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.