Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/2/4)-(6/3/5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(3/5)-(4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/5)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(4)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FG-3   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (4)-(2/1/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4)-(2/1/5)-(1/6/3) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
FG-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/6/3)-(2/1/5/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/6/3)-(8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(8/1)-(6/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-6   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/1)-(6/1/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/1)-(6/1/2/3)-(1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-7   WIN (6/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3/7)-(6/1/2/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/2/3)-(1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (1/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/8)-(1/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/8)-(1/6/8)-(1/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORARY GUEST Aug14 Jul23 Jun11 May27 Mar17 (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50    
2  LAKE RUNNER Dec23 Dec04 Jul28 Jul14 Jun11 (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50 ★    
3  MAGICAL STARDUST Dec29 Sep26 Aug16 Apr29 Mar17 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
4  HAPPY SAILS Nov18 Oct21 Oct01 Aug06 Jul21 (silva carlos )MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50 ★    
5  MEG AND CLAIR Dec29 Dec04 Aug21 Jul11 Jun27 (gomez jorge)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.00 6% 16.70    
6  FIBRILLATOR Dec15 Sep06 Aug16 Jun27 Jun05 (dandridge cour)CULP BRIANNE 116 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
FG-2   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER GAME Dec08 Oct26 Sep13 Jun05 May07 (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
2  COUSIN LARRY Nov06 Oct13 Sep17 Aug15 Jul13 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 121 2.50 ★    
3  REWIRE Dec16 Nov18 Oct08     (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 30% 2.30    
4  KEEPCALMCARRYON Dec22 Dec01 Nov06 Oct16 Sep28 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 124 3.00 ★    
5  CARTIER CAT Dec22 Nov19 Oct14 Jul21 Jun23 (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  SOUL COAXING Dec29 Sep17 Jun19 Jun02 Mar17 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
FG-3   01/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PALATIAL TIMES Dec29 Nov17 Oct14 Oct01 Sep23 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50    
SCR  DIRECT ORDER Dec29 Dec17 Nov27 Oct07 Aug25 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 ★    
2  BOOTDADDY JUSTICE Dec17 Dec03 Nov21 Sep29 Sep08 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
3  OTTOTHELEGEND Oct06 Sep17 Jul10 May22 May01 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 ★    
4  SIERRA HOTEL Jan05 Dec17 Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 21% 3.90    
5  SMOKEY HARBOR Dec11 Nov27 Nov16 Oct20 Sep21 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 5.00    
6  DUKE OF CARTHANIA Dec04 Nov13 Jul03 Feb26 Jan08 (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  MAU MAU (BRZ) Dec17 Nov18 Sep27 Sep04 Aug08 (delgado)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  PLEMMONSTON Jan01 Dec11 Nov17 Oct02 Sep16 (leonard i)PARKER L 124 15.00    
 
FG-4   01/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOFT PANTS Dec11 Nov09 Oct03     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 14% 6.20    
2  BOXSTER Jan07 Nov13 Oct02 Aug20 Jul02 (silva carlo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 48% 1.10    
3  Z Z'S PRINCE Dec26 Dec03 Oct07     (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 115 5.00 ★    
4  WOLF HUNTER Jan07 Dec23 Nov27 Nov18 Oct29 (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 120 6.00    
5  MINNESOTA MOON Sep30 Sep07       (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
6  HUNTER'S DRIVE Nov23 Nov16 Oct30 Sep03 Aug19 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 ★    
7  COTE D'IVOIRE Dec26         (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00    
 
FG-5   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOSILVERSPOONSHERE Oct07 Jul09 Jun11 Apr27   (amoss m)LANERIE J 121 1.80 31% 2.30    
SCR  MO BLING Dec08 Nov19 Oct26 Oct05 Aug27 (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 12.00 6% 16.00    
3  KITTENOFTHE COURT Dec08 Nov19 Sep19 Sep06 Aug21 (hargrave kenne)CULP BRIANNE 116 15.00 5% 18.70    
4  ROCKETT MAGIC Dec26 Dec10 Sep19 Aug27 Aug11 (romero )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
SCR  CADILLAC RIDGE Dec08 Nov04 Sep19 Aug20 Jan16 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
6  UNIFIED LOVE Dec29 Dec17 Dec08 Nov26 Nov05 (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00 7% 13.60    
7  CLASSICAL MAGNOLIA Jan01 Dec08 Nov26 Mar04 Feb18 (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00    
8  LEAD ME Dec08 Nov26 Sep10 Jun02 May04 (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
 
FG-6   01/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOLLOPING Jun23 May18 Apr14 Mar12 Feb12 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
2  LADY EMILY Oct09 Sep01 Jul30 Jul08 Jun12 (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
3  WAYWARDNESS Dec22 Nov18 Oct14 Sep25 Aug29 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
4  LIVY B Oct14 Jul24 Jul13 Jun22 Feb21 (leonard i)PARKER L 120 10.00    
SCR  AIN'T BROKE Dec22 Nov27 Oct15 Mar09 Feb10 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  FREE LOVE Dec22 Nov27 Jun03 May12   (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
7  FORDLAND Feb28 Feb12 Jan23     (margolis st)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 10.00    
8  KATHAAN Nov25 Oct30 Oct09     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  MY ALIBI Sep25 Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  COLONEL ABY B Nov08 Oct13 Aug29 Aug06 Jun30 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
SCR  HAT TIP Oct10 Aug08 Jul08 May12 Apr20 (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 120 12.00    
SCR  MONEY WELL SPENT Nov25 Sep10 Jul20 Jun24 Mar20 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 117 6.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  GIRL'S ON FIRE Nov19 Oct12 Sep16 Aug17 Jul28 (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 10.00    
SCR  MADAM HENNY Dec08 Jul18 Jun26 May31 May07 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  MARINA'S GOLD Dec22 Dec03 Oct24 Sep30 Sep03 (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 115 4.00    
 
FG-7   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE PALACE Dec22 Nov27       (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
  (by PALACE out of ROSES PLUS by VALUE PLUS)
2  PARKER EVA Nov27 Jun13 May28 Feb24 Jan28 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 13% 7.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of HEART OF PARADISE by MORE THAN READY)
3  PLEASE BE KIND Dec22 Nov09 Sep28 Sep17 Aug07 (mcgee paul)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.00 9% 9.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of INCLUDE ME OUT by INCLUDE)
4  I AM UP Mar10 Feb19 Jan23     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of CALI THIRTY SEVEN by ESKENDEREYA)
5  LADY HUXLEY         (ortiz alexand)GRAHAM J 124 12.00    
  (by TOURIST out of HUXLEY WINNER by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  CATWINGS Jun23 May19 Apr23 Mar09   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by CUPID out of CATTICUS by ATTICUS)
7  PERFECTION SAVER Nov16         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 ★    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  CHEEKY         (lovell michelle)PARKER L 124 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PIONEER DAYS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
FG-8   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADES OF TRUTH Dec30 Nov19 Oct20 Aug27 Aug06 (devereux j)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  BLONDIE LOX BABE Jun18 Apr13 Mar20 Mar01 Feb06 (flugence henry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SILK SHAKER Dec29 Nov27 Aug11 Mar18 Feb26 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
4  POINT OF VICTORY Dec29 Dec04 Nov19 Oct27 Sep20 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 10.00    
SCR  STELLA'S SURPRISE Dec17 Dec03 Jun23 May28   (richard r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 30.00 5% 17.90    
6  A. K. A. GRAMS Dec09 Sep06 Aug06 Jul09 Jun24 (landry ra)LANERIE J 121 5.00 18% 4.50    
7  NEW YEAR'S PARTY Dec29 Dec04 Nov19 Sep20 Aug29 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00    
8  STORIED TRIP Sep19 Sep06 Aug21 Jul31 Jun17 (hirdes john)MURRAY M 121 10.00 12% 7.40    
9  FOR REAL ALICE Dec29 Dec04 Nov09 Oct06 Aug11 (pitzer fl)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50    
10  HALFGLAMOROUS Dec29 Nov19 Jul12 May21 Mar27 (jeansonne j)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 15.00    
11  PEACEFUL VISION Dec29 Sep13 Jul30 Jul13 Jun19 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 6.00    
12  THEBOYZGALAXY Dec29 Dec04 Sep13 May30 Mar09 (dandridge c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.