Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - June 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(4/9/6/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(4/9/6/7/5)-(3/7/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-2   WIN (4/9/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/6/7/5)-(4/9/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/6/7/5)-(4/9/6/7/5)-(4/9/6/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/6/7/5)-(3/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/6/7/5)-(3/7/5/6)-(4/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-3   WIN (3/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/6)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/6)-(4/5/2)-(7/9/10/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(7/9/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(7/9/10/6)-(6/7/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-5   WIN (7/9/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/10/6)-(7/9/10/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/10/6)-(7/9/10/8/6)-(7/9/10/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/9/10/6)-(6/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/10/6)-(6/7/1/2)-(6/7/5/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-6   WIN (6/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/5/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/5/2/1)-(3/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-7   WIN (6/7/5/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/2/1)-(6/7/5/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/2/1)-(6/7/5/2/1)-(6/7/5/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/5/2/1)-(3/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/2/1)-(3/4/1)-(10/8/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-8   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(10/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CD-9   WIN (10/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/5/7)-(10/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/5/7)-(10/8/5/7)-(10/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDED May22 Apr04 Dec22 Nov23 Oct26 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50    
2  DARK FURY May09 Apr23 Feb23 Nov01 Sep20 (vanden br)CEDILLO ABEL 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
3  APPEALING ADDIE May29 Apr27 Apr04 Mar01 Jan24 (morse ran)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  SABRINA Jul05 Jun01 Apr18 Dec17   (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 123 1.60    
5  SWEET BEBSI May22 Apr16 Mar20 Feb26 Feb01 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
6  MOMBAYLA May11 Mar07 Aug26 Jul27   (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 123 10.00 9% 10.10    
 
CD-2   06/20/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. MY EYES         (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of YOU CAUGHT MY EYE by FAVORITE CARTEL)
SCR  MR. VAGGIO         (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUNSET PROMISE by BROKEN VOW)
3  SPEAKING IN CURSIV         (hamm timothy)TORRES A 119 20.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of INDIAN CEE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  LONGSHOREMAN Apr24         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.20 28% 2.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LADY PAULINE by MUNNINGS)
5  HAPPY PRINCE May09         (casse mar)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HAPPY MOTORING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  THEBABESLAYER May23         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by COLLECTED out of CANDY BAY by CANDY RIDE)
7  STRONG May23         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 7% 13.20    
  (by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY out of SWEET GOLD by GILDED TIME)
8  BAYTOWN ANUBIS May23 May01 Apr18     (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 119 30.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PARTISAN POLITICS by MORE THAN READY)
9  SIGNATORY MAN (IRE)         (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of IMALWAYSHOTFORYOU by DISCREETLY MINE)
10  DA PRINCE IS RIGHT         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SHE'S RIGHT AGAIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
11  ZEUS'S ECHO         (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of REVEILLE'S ECHO by WAR FRONT)
SCR  FUZZY STARE         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of BISTRO MONCUR by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  I C LIGHT         (casse mar)TORRES A 119 15.00    
  (by CHARLATAN out of BRANDONS DANGER by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
CD-3   06/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANCIENT HISTORY         (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
2  LIAM'S LAGOON May18         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
3  TROUBLE'S ROARING May30 May03 Apr12 Mar02 Jun27 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
4  THE CHALK Nov17 Oct26 Jul28 Jun30   (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
5  VEX May24 Apr12       (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 13% 6.50    
6  ZAPPO Jan18 Dec08 Nov15     (forster gra)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  RAVENS DREAM Sep28 Aug24       (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 26% 2.80    
 
CD-4   06/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING TROILLET May16 Apr29 Feb15 Jan24 Jan03 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
2  SITTIN ON GO May29 May03 Apr06 Mar23 Mar08 (jacobson )TORRES A 118 6.00 8% 12.10    
3  ROUSSETTE May23 Apr10 Feb15 Dec28 Nov20 (roberson den)TORRES A 118 8.00    
4  EASTSIDE COOL May16 Apr11 Mar08 Feb08 Jan24 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  SYNTHESIS Apr04 Mar08 Jan23 Jan04 Aug18 (jacobson dav)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 11% 8.10    
6  HEY BOSS Jun05 May03 Mar15 Feb08 Jan24 (salas marcelino)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
SCR  ICEATUDE Apr05 Mar14 Feb08 Feb01 Jan10 (hartman chri)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00    
 
CD-5   06/20/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KOHOUTEK         (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
2  IMPERIAL RULER May25 Apr11 Nov30     (foley greg)TORRES A 118 12.00    
3  SINATRA Feb13 Nov01       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
4  FERRIS STAR Apr27         (burchell )BEALMEAR C 118 20.00    
5  CYBERBEAST Aug05         (puhich mike)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00    
6  MELLIFLUOUS May30 May11 Apr20 Mar28 Mar07 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOBSTER May26 Mar23 Aug24 Jun21 May27 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.60 63% 0.60    
8  CAT FAST Feb15 Jan16       (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★    
9  LEAN MUSIC MACHINE Jun01 May08 Apr13 Mar19 Feb16 (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
10  BATTER UP Jun01 May10 Apr12 Mar13 Feb20 (troiani niccol)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   06/20/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESMARK May26 Apr13 Aug31     (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CURVINO Jun01 May02 Mar22 Feb24 Jan26 (miller peter)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  WARLANDER May03 Apr12 Oct06 Sep01 Jul27 (asmussen steven )CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
4  KINETIC CONTROL Apr09 Mar09 Feb01 Nov22 Oct09 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
5  BAYTOWN BRUISER May30 May16 May01 Apr10 May31 (king l)GARCIA MARTIN 124 30.00    
6  SEVEN WONDERS Sep28 Sep01 Jul26 Jun08 May05 (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 124 0.80 40% 1.50    
7  PAPIAMENTO Jan24 Dec06 Nov08 Oct06 Aug24 (beckman d )HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 31% 2.30    
8  BOSS OF ALL BOSSES Mar22 Mar01 Nov28 Oct23 Aug01 (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   06/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'S RANDY May03 Apr06 Mar22 Mar01 Feb16 (morse l)BEJARANO R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  GOD OF WINE Jun06 May10 Apr16 Mar28 Mar08 (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 12.00 6% 15.20    
3  MUCHO MOJO May17 Apr26 Mar29 Feb27 Feb08 (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
4  SCHIFTY'S HALOID May17 Apr17 Mar29 Dec26 Nov13 (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 124 4.50    
5  OUR DREAM RYE'D Apr26 Apr04 Jan24 Dec26 Dec12 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
6  INTERLOCK EMPIRE Apr24 Mar22 Feb07 Jan24 Dec13 (damato philip)JUAREZ NIK 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
7  INFINITE LUCK May22 May03 Mar18 Jan31 Dec06 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
8  CRIMINAL DEFENSE May25 Apr26 Apr16 Mar21 Feb28 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 124 30.00    
9  KING PEANUT May02 Apr18 Mar30 Mar02 Jan17 (bogle fergus)MONCADA IRVING 119 20.00    
 
CD-8   06/20/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK'N A HALO May17 Mar28 Mar06 Jan25 Jan11 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ORIZZONTE May10 Mar01 Jan04 Nov29 Mar21 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
3  ST. ARMANDS KEY May10 Mar22 Feb15 May11 Apr13 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
4  JOHNY'S FIREBALL May10 Mar22 Jan25 Nov29 Aug03 (casse nor)LEPAROUX R 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  MALIBU SPRINGS Nov01 May18 Apr10 Mar20 Feb15 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 20.00    
6  GREEN LIGHT Oct09 Aug24 Aug03 Jun29 May18 (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50    
7  HAPPY HAPPY DAY (ARG) May10         (lobo h)RAMOS D 122 20.00    
SCR  ACCREDIT May17 Jan25 Dec27 Jul06 May02 (matejka pav)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 12.00    
9  CAMARO Z Mar22 Feb22 Dec28 Jun01 Mar02 (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 30.00    
SCR  OH REALLY May01 Mar22 Feb15 Dec06 Dec22 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
SCR  BETTER BET May11 Mar29 Mar01 Nov29 Oct16 (sweezey j)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
SCR  MOOGIE SON May11 Mar23 Feb23 Jan24 Dec27 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
SCR  ECHO LANE May11 Mar30 Mar01 Feb01 Jan04 (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
SCR  MOUNT RUNDLE May18 Apr24 Mar22 Oct18 Aug06 (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 124 8.00    
SCR  AK SAR BEN DERBY May25 Nov23 Oct06 Aug25 Jul22 (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
SCR  ASPENITE May25 Sep08 Jul13 May31 May01 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 20.00    
 
CD-9   06/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MOR STORY May23 May09 Apr30 Apr10   (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 6.00    
2  VERTRAUEN Apr30 Mar23 Feb16 Jan22 Dec29 (diodoro robert)CEDILLO ABEL 123 15.00    
SCR  ILLINI Apr30 Mar22 Feb15 May07 Apr07 (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00    
4  GRAYDARIA Jun01 May10 Mar27 Mar14 Feb21 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 20.00    
5  YOU AIN'T POPPN Apr25 Dec26 Nov17 Oct15 Sep23 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 118 10.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  MO HAIR SAM May18 Apr06 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 (hancock j)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
7  METALHEAD May22 Apr10 Mar19 Feb05 Jan04 (atras rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 30.00 10% 9.40    
8  RULEROFTHEUNIVERSE Feb09 Dec23 Jul14 Jun15   (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  HANDSOME HERB Jun04 Apr06 Mar02 Jan24 Jun30 (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50    
10  AIRBORNE ELITE Jun04 May01 Feb16 Jan26 Dec14 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
11  PRIVATE RESERVE May26 Apr13       (labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.