Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-2   EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-3 $62.58 $50.58 422%
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-3-4 $69.55 $66.55 2218%
CD-6   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.22 $1.22 20%
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-7 $33.88 $15.88 88%
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-7-4 $60.90 $51.90 577%
    SFT (1/7/4)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 18 $0.10 $1.80  1-7-4-3 $40.70 $38.90 2161%
CD-8   WIN (8/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $17.46 $9.46 118%
    DD (8/1)-(8/5/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-2 $12.60 $4.60 58%
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(8/1)-(8/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-8-2 $28.70 $16.70 139%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:093     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORN FLAWLESS 6 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 1¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 6.00 3.83  
GUANARE 2 2 31 3.2   1nk 2¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 4.00 3.43  
MIACOMET 1 5 2½ 1nk   32 34 (shirer ma)TORRES A 118 3.50 2.90  
JUNIOR BUG 4 4 54 4   4 4 (martinez ral)TORRES A 118 8.00 36% 1.70 5.81  
OVIATT CLASS 3 6 6 6   6 5 (damato philip)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 8% 11.90 9.57  
CREATE TROUBLE 5 3 43 5   56 610¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 17% 4.90 2.54  
SCR  SHOW TIME               (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 2.50    
 
CD-2   05/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:102 1:224   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZMARKUS 6 5 2nk 21 21 1 1 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 2.00 52% 0.90 1.22 W
ACKNOWLEDGE 3 1 52 3 3 32 2 (hess b)LANERIE J 118 5.00 20% 4.00 16.67 P
BRAVE BLEND 4 3 1nk 11 11 2 3 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.37 S
IRON SHARPENS IRON 2 2 4 42 4 4 4 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 2.08  
ULTIMATE STRIKE 5 6 31 52 5 5 515½ (santamaria carlo)CURTIS BEN 124 4.00 3.86  
TANGO MIKE MIKE 1 4 64 6 69 6 619¼ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 11.66  
 
CD-3   05/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMY Z 5 3 2½ 1nk   1 1 (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00 16% 5.20 0.49 W
SWEET STAR 4 7 7 5   2 2 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00 59.83  
APPEALING ADDIE 7 6 5 4   43 3 (morse l)CEDILLO ABEL 123 3.00 52% 0.90 3.89 S
PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 3 5 1½ 2nk   32 4 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 19.49  
NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 2 4 6 7   6 5 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 2.50 8.47  
MORNING MIRACLE 6 1 4¾ 31   5 6 (blair jordan)TORRES A 123 4.50 5.99  
LOTTA LISSA 1 2 3½ 64   710 716½ (bahena is)TORRES A 118 20.00 5% 19.00 42.47  
 
CD-4   05/29/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:104 1:343   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNELLE 7 7 6 54 43 13 1 (david a)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00 6.60  
10  MALIBU SMART 9 8 7 7 7 5 2 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 13% 6.60 13.49 P
FAITH UNDERSTOOD 1 2 8 86 910 6 3 (hancock dana)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 6.13  
SASSY PRINCESS 8 3 54 6 33 23 4 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 4.50  
HIDDEN QUARRY 3 4 22 2 2 4 5 (west w)TORRES A 118 20.00 7% 12.60 22.18  
LIKELY PERSPECTIVE (IRE) 5 1 12 1 1 3 6 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 10.92  
PURRING 2 9 9 96 67 810½ 713¾ (pomier de)CURTIS BEN 124 20.00 52.33  
LIFE ADVICE 6 6 3 4 55 79 814¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 36% 1.80 1.25  
SMOOTH WAVES 4 5 44 33 89 913½ 917¼ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 15% 5.70 8.88  
SCR  ITWILLBEFUN               (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00    
 
CD-5   05/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUNCHY GIRL 1 5 5 6   3 1 (morse rand)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 4.57  
DE' ANS EIGHTY 4 3 31 5   2 2 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 5.00 35% 1.80 1.31 P
LITTLE BLAZE 6 2 41 2nk   1 3 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 33% 2.00 2.60 S
LITTLE SISTER SUE 3 4 63 4   53 4 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.28  
MERCY WARREN 2 6 2½ 32   6 55 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 2.99  
BELLA CRUELLA 5 1 1½ 1nk   42 67 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 33.27  
SCR  MARSHMALLOW QUEEN               (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  PRINCESS IS OLIVIA               (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00    
 
CD-6   05/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:082     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINFIRE 1 2 1½ 11   1 1 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 123 3.50 39% 1.60 2.61 W
MIRACLE WORKER 6 4 31 21   2 2 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 13% 6.80 4.55 P
B SUDD 3 1 52 43   36 3 (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 123 8.00 12% 7.40 22.36 S
GREAT RICHIE M 2 6 6 5   4 48 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 5.00 4.85  
HAUNTED FLAME 4 7 76 76   6 58 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 3.82  
PAIR OF SOCKS 5 3 2½ 3   57 616 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 2.24  
HE'S ELUSIVE 7 5 42 6   712½ 722 (jackson chr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 15.00 36.95  
SCR  NORTHERN CHILL               (shirer ma)TORRES A 125 3.00    
 
CD-7   05/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:112 1:222   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN INVADER 3 2 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 11 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 41% 1.50 0.26 W
OUT OF DEDUCTIONS 4 3 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 21 (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5.15  
MIRANDA RIGHTS 2 1 3 3 42 42 3 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 6.93  
SKYRO 1 4 42 42 31 32 4 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 12.00 32% 2.10 6.40  
SCR  TALL BOY               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
SCR  WEST HOLLYWOOD               (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH               (morley thomas)CURTIS BEN 122 30.00    
SCR  NOISES OFF               (lobo paul)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  WHAT SAY THEE               (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
SCR  HERCHEE               (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50    
SCR  HIGGINS BOAT               (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
 
CD-8   05/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:103     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERUVIAN LUCKY 2 3 4 4   1½ 1 (cook b)MONCADA IRVING 113 8.00 5% 19.00 7.73 W
BRIGHT LEAF 9 9 6 31   2½ 2 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 2.79  
10  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT 10 8 3½ 2nk   3½ 3 (mcgovern shannon)PRESCOTT R 118 4.50 4.18  
SITTIN ON GO 3 4 10 9   65 4 (hartman chri)RAMOS D 118 3.50 7.80  
THE QUEENS JULES 1 6 5 5   5 5 (van berg )BEALMEAR C 118 10.00 11.38  
EL FRANCO 4 1 1½ 1nk   43 6 (norris mike)HESS SARA 118 20.00 50.08  
IMPROBABLE STORY 7 2 2½ 6   7 77 (king l)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 5% 19.00 44.11  
BUSINESS MODEL 5 5 8 8   8 8 (jaco)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 4.00 28% 2.60 4.69  
READY PURSUIT 6 7 7 75   9 911¼ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 36.25  
SECRET POCKET 8 10 9 10   1041¾ 10100 (bogle fergu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 5.00 43% 1.30 3.93  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.