Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - February 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (6/7/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/4/9)-(6/7/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/4/9)-(6/7/3/4/9)-(6/7/3/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/3/4/9)-(5/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/4/9)-(5/6/1)-(4/6/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/6/8/2)-(3/4/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/2)-(4/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/2)-(4/6/8/2)-(4/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/8/2)-(3/4/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8/2)-(3/4/7/8)-(4/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (3/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/8)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/8)-(4/3/6)-(2/5/7/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(2/5/7/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(2/5/7/10/4)-(3/7/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-6   WIN (2/5/7/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/10/4)-(2/5/7/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/10/4)-(2/5/7/10/4)-(2/5/7/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/7/10/4)-(3/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/10/4)-(3/7/8)-(9/2/7/6/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-7   WIN (3/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/8)-(3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/8)-(9/2/7/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8)-(9/2/7/6/8)-(5/9/7/2/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-8   WIN (9/2/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/6/8)-(9/2/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/6/8)-(9/2/7/6/8)-(9/2/7/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/7/6/8)-(5/9/7/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-9   WIN (5/9/7/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/7/2/8)-(5/9/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/7/2/8)-(5/9/7/2/8)-(5/9/7/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/06/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VANNA G Jan01 Nov22       (west patrici)TORRES A 120 20.00    
  (by MO TOM out of GIOVANNA by GIO PONTI)
2  GRAND EMPRESS Jan01 Dec14 Oct16 Sep08 Aug15 (gelner sco)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 12.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of OWAW'S EMPRESS by BODEMEISTER)
3  TENSAS BOLT Jul14 Jun14 May11     (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 12% 7.10    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TENSAS PATCH by BROKEN VOW)
4  SMITTYS CHEETAH Jan18 Dec14       (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of SMITTY'S SUNSHINE by SEEKING A HOME)
5  OSTRICA         (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GATEAU by SUPER SAVER)
6  JOJO BEAN Jan25 Jan08 Dec14     (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of VERA BELLE by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  THUNDERING DESIRE Jan18 Jan01 Nov22 Oct12   (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by MR. MONEY out of WILL TAKE OVER by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
8  JAZZY GAL Jan03 Dec06       (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DREAMCASTER by BERNARDINI)
9  WOSIEMAKS Jan18         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of CAUSEFORCONFUSION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  WICKEDREVOLUTION Dec28 Oct19 Oct06 Aug30   (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  PERFECT DIXIE LADY Jan16 Jan01 Dec12 Oct25   (duhon joseph)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of PERFECT SOUTHERNER by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
FG-2   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARSON BAY Jan10 Dec22 Oct26 Sep26 Aug31 (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SMALLTOWNSMOKESHOW Jan04 Dec04 Nov06 Oct02   (knudsen kent)COHEN DAVID 119 4.50    
3  BIRTHDAY GIRL Jan20 Jan01 Aug10     (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00    
4  BLACK GINGER Jan10 Dec21 Oct03     (lopez elia)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00    
5  AUTUMN RHYTHM (GB) Jan17 Nov06 Oct10     (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
6  TERRA BELLA Jan10 Dec13 Nov23     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
FG-3   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GARFISH Jan10 Dec21 Nov28 Nov14 Jun15 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
2  ANGELIC KNIGHT Jan18 Dec21 Nov28 Apr13 Mar24 (marechal merlin)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CATCHIN DRAMA Jul25 May30 Apr24 Apr05 Feb29 (morrell cynthi)GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00    
4  ALVARADO CAT Jan11 Dec21 Nov28 Oct16 Jun20 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  CHECK ME OUT Jan02 Nov23 Jun29 Jun14 May30 (cuccia j)TORRES A 122 8.00    
6  GORDITO HERMOSO Jan02 Nov24 Mar10 Feb24 Feb08 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
7  RAYDEN AND REMI Jan09 Dec28 Dec08 Nov23 Oct18 (gelner scott)GEROUX FLORENT 117 4.50    
8  STARRY EYED Jan18 Dec21 Nov28 Jun28 May29 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 122 8.00 6% 17.10    
 
FG-4   02/06/2025 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMALEESE Jan09 Dec15 Nov30 Oct12 Aug17 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
2  FUEGO K Sep25 Sep10       (brinkman bre)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 15.00    
3  BETTY'S DANCE Jan17         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  RED ZONE Jan10 Jan01 Nov20     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  ALWAYS PRACTICAL Dec19 Oct20 Sep07 Aug04 Jul06 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
6  DON'T BLINK Dec28         (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
7  MAKE A MILLION Jan10 Dec19 Oct13 Sep01 Aug10 (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50 13% 6.60    
8  DELICATE Jan18 Aug22 Jul27 Jun28 May19 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-5   02/06/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROME BABY Jan05 Dec07 Nov23 Nov08 Aug02 (larrosa j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
2  TRES SOLES Jan12 Jul30 Jun22 Sep30 Aug27 (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
3  TIGER MOON Jan11 Dec07 Oct18 Sep27 Aug09 (schultz lind)TORRES A 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
4  RELEASE MCCRAKEN Jan19 Nov23 Sep28 Sep04 Jun30 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 50% 1.00    
5  OVERANALYTICAL Jan12 Dec20 Aug26 Jul23 Jul12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
6  EMBER Jan10 Nov20 Oct13 Sep21 Sep05 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 12% 7.50    
7  GILMORE Dec13 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 Aug12 (gibson jonas)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00 ★    
 
FG-6   02/06/2025 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($59K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENOMOUS VIXEN Jan25 Nov02 Oct03 Sep05 Aug22 (russell brittany)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
2  RAGTIME LADY Nov28 Oct10 Aug22 Jul25 May10 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  LA FORET Nov22 Oct16 Sep15 Aug29 Jul20 (catalano way)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
4  BOX OF PICTURES Jul29 Jun01 May21 Apr26 Mar03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SMOOTH WAVES Nov03 Oct10 Sep07 Jul27 Jun21 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 18% 4.40    
6  TOASTED ROLL Jan20 Dec08 Nov10 Oct10 Sep14 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00    
7  JUST THE SKY Oct20 Aug11 Jun15 May04 Mar21 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 9% 9.60    
8  CANDY BAR Dec28 Nov28 Oct20 Sep08 Aug05 (calhoun will)TORRES A 120 4.00    
SCR  MO SHIRO Nov28 Jul25 Jun25 May29 May02 (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
10  FOR LOVE AND HONOR Nov28 Oct10 Aug31 Jul21 May27 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 7% 14.00    
 
FG-7   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICY MUSTARD Jan10 Dec18       (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 125 12.00    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of MUSTARD by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  DELIGHTFUL HALO Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Sep14 Jul16 (duke steven)MCMAHON J 125 10.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LOST MY HALO by FOREST CAMP)
3  PRETTY PRAIRIE Dec20 Nov29 Jun15 May16 Apr18 (breaux sam)HERNANDEZ J 125 1.20 71% 0.40    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of ENDURING ERIN by KELA)
4  KALIL Jan18         (delhomme j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HATPIN by SMART STRIKE)
5  COTEAU MOMENT         (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 125 4.50 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ONE MOMENT IN TIME by BODEMEISTER)
6  BECKY'SGOTTAHAVEIT Jan02 Dec12       (david b)TORRES A 117 4.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of CRITIQUE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
7  JUS MAKES CENTS Jan12         (cohn alice)ROWLAND MADELINE 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIMME YO NUMBER by YONAGUSKA)
8  AWREE Jan12 Mar20 Feb03     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of OH BETTE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
FG-8   02/06/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUMERO SEIS Jan04 Apr20 Mar03 Sep21 Aug19 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
2  OFF RAMP Dec26 Nov30 Oct24 Sep22 Aug31 (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
3  GAVEA (GER) Dec28 Nov23 Sep07 Jul20 Jun01 (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00    
4  AUNT BECCA Sep21 Mar02 Nov22 Oct12 Jun11 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
5  RICHIES PRINCESS Jan03 Dec06 Sep02 Aug12   (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
6  RUE LALA Jan09 Dec12 Jul12 Jun06 May03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GIRLS WEEKEND Dec22 Nov10 Sep25 Aug17 Jul20 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00 8% 11.40    
8  NOTICE ME TOO Jan09 Dec08 Oct10 Aug11 May30 (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  PARTY ON GIRL (IRE) Jan09 Nov24 Sep28 Aug24 Jun28 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  TU CHA Dec12 Aug11 Jun22 May08 Apr16 (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
SCR  KAELY'S SISTER Dec12 Oct03 Sep08 Jul08 Jun15 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50    
SCR  ERVADEAN Jan02 Nov14 Sep21 Apr24 Mar02 (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00    
SCR  EASY RED Jan02 Nov27 Jan25 Sep29 Aug13 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00    
 
FG-9   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNTOLIVE Jan12 Dec07 Oct30 Aug16 Jun06 (larrosa juan )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
2  BASILE Jan02 Dec14       (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 114 3.50 6% 16.10    
3  PRECIOUS MONEY Oct19 Aug09       (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 10.00    
4  HONOR HIS HALF Jan16 Dec07       (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 109 15.00    
5  FAST MEDICINE Aug31 Jul27 Jun29 Jun14 May26 (wilson sha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 8.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  TALKABOUT Jan12 Nov22 Oct29 Aug01 Jul18 (broussard )ALBERT S 120 20.00    
7  LULU'S MAGIC Jan12 Dec26 Nov30 Dec08   (wilson shane)TORRES A 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
8  CAIRO CHARM May24 Apr13 Mar01 Jan18 Jan01 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  COPPER CRUSH Jan01 Nov29 Oct16 Sep14   (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
10  RADIANT REBEL Jan12 Dec26 Dec06 Sep24 Aug21 (hamilton )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.