Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - January 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(3/5/4)-(2/6/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/9/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/7)-(2/9/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/7)-(2/9/6/5)-(9/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/9/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/5)-(2/9/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/5)-(2/9/6/5)-(2/9/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/6/5)-(9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/5)-(9/5/3)-(3/6/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (9/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/3)-(9/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5/3)-(9/5/3)-(9/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/5/3)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/5/3)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/4/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/8)-(3/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/8)-(3/4/6/8)-(6/7/9/2/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/8)-(6/7/9/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/7/9/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/9/2/10)-(6/7/9/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/9/2/10)-(6/7/9/2/10)-(6/7/9/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  AINT NO JOKE Oct10 Sep08 Nov25 Nov02   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  WAJDA Jan05 Nov07 Oct03 Sep01 Aug10 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 0.50    
2  MANO E MANO Jan19 Dec14 Nov07 Sep14 May19 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHAKIN THE BELLE Jan19 Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 Oct03 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
4  TIP OF THE BOOT Aug23 Jul21 Jul07     (henry)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 20.00    
5  SOLO FLIGHT Jan02 Dec12 Nov18 Oct28 Oct14 (d'aless)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 8.00 16% 5.20    
6  LCGOLUCKY Jan19 Jan05 Dec14 Nov07 Sep28 (ferraro jame)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
7  DANGEROUS DRIVER Jan05 Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 Oct05 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50    
 
AQU-2   01/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEADY PROGRESS Jan18 Jan01 Dec12 Nov24 Nov16 (chatterpaul na)CEDENO CAROL 123 20.00    
2  MIDNIGHT WORKER Jan02 Dec12 Nov15 Oct10 Jul21 (legall ricar)HARKIE K 123 10.00    
3  ABADIN Jan04 Dec06 Nov03 Sep28 Sep07 (morley thomas)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.00 64% 0.60    
4  BADLANDS RULER Dec13 Nov08 Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 (chatterpaul nai)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  PATRIARCHAL Jan15 Nov26 Nov12 Oct16 Oct01 (padilla esteba)ADORNO ABNER 123 5.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  HAVE YOU HEARD Jan16 Nov30 Oct19 Aug17 Jul27 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40    
 
AQU-3   01/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADA DIA MEJOR Jan18 Dec28       (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 120 3.50 ★    
1A  DAW SAMAA Jan03 Dec06 Oct24     (kantarmaci i)HARKIE K 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
2  BRODERICK Jan10 Nov07 Oct24     (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 1.40 28% 2.60    
3  TINO IN TOGA Jan02 Dec07 Nov15 Oct27 Sep28 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
4  KLIMT MASTER Jan02 Dec15 Nov23     (jones eduardo )CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00    
5  REAL ELEVE Jan02 Nov14 Oct05     (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
6  COOL HAND RICH         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
7  KING'S SPIRIT Dec28 Nov18       (sacco gregory )LUZZI J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   01/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL'S CAY Jan04 Dec13 Nov08 Oct10 Sep10 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 2.50    
1A  GIANT'S FIRE Jan02 Nov17 Oct10 Aug07 Jul12 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50    
2  NEUSCHWANSTEIN Jan02 Nov24 Oct25 Oct13 Sep14 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00 39% 1.50    
3  GOOD REUNION Jan02 Dec06 Nov15 May19 Apr11 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER Dec06 Nov14 Nov01 Oct18 Sep21 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 123 30.00    
5  ALWAYS CHARMING Jan02 Dec13 Oct18 Sep21 Nov30 (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  PERFECT FLIGHT Jan04 Dec14 Nov14 Oct05 Sep19 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 123 10.00 13% 6.90    
7  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Jan04 Dec13 Nov08 Oct10 Sep14 (quick patr)RIVERA R 123 20.00    
8  MASTERWORK Jan11 Dec28 Dec01 Nov17 Oct25 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 20.00    
9  HEY BROTHER Aug07 Apr27 Mar16 Jan21 Dec26 (catalan)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 1.80 14% 5.90    
 
AQU-5   01/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CYBER ATTACK Dec27 Mar09       (brion keri)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MY BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  GOOD AS HE GETS Nov29 Nov01 Oct12 Sep14   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BROWN EYED WOMAN by DE NIRO)
3  TIMING DIFFERENCE Feb18 Dec31 Nov15     (brown c)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BERNADREAMY by BERNARDINI)
4  EGYPT May19 Apr09 Mar08 Dec08 Oct20 (de hor)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of PHAROAH'S PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  EXPLORATION Dec13 Nov05 Jan20     (russell)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by CURLIN out of TANGERE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  WRIGHTSVILLE Apr27         (gonzalez claudi)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SEAHAWK GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  BADGE OF WAR Jan01 Nov13 Nov08 Oct18 Sep08 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BROOCH by HALO)
SCR  SOUNDS LIKE FUN Dec27 Nov30 Mar24 Mar03 Jan27 (pregman j)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MISSISSIPPI SOUND by UNION RAGS)
9  CLARE QUILTY Mar08 Feb09       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 57% 0.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GRANDTESSA by GRAND SLAM)
 
AQU-6   01/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIR PALACE PRINCE Dec18 Nov11 Oct15 Sep18 Aug17 (perez ru)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
2  DOLLY'S BANK Dec15 Dec01 Oct18 Sep21 Aug29 (henry)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 12.00    
3  TRUST FUND Oct16 Sep25 Aug27 Aug11   (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 52% 0.90    
4  VIOLENT SWING Dec28 Nov29 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 12.00    
5  SORORITY PRANK Dec28 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Oct04 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 123 3.00    
6  IRON MAN IRA Dec01 Nov02 Jul27 Jun15 May11 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 16% 5.20    
7  WILLINTORISKITALL Dec14 Sep29 Aug24 Jul27 Jun29 (ferraro james)OLVER MADISON 121 5.00 9% 9.70    
8  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Jan11 Nov29 Nov15 Oct12 Jun22 (shivmangal lo)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   01/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC TIGER Jan14 Nov15 Oct17 Oct04 Sep26 (richards marvi)BROWN DALTON 121 20.00    
2  BRACIOLE Dec15 Nov20 Nov05 Oct23 Sep23 (giglio gina)LUZZI J 121 6.00    
3  CLANCY FANCY Nov02 Jul20 Jun14 May10 Apr12 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  HUMSTINGER Dec29 Nov15       (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
5  NOONZIO Dec28 Oct25 Sep29 Aug29 Jul27 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
6  PRINCE OF TRUTH Apr19 Feb29 Dec30 Dec01 Oct28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
7  STOP THE SPREAD Jan11 Nov20 Oct30 Oct07 Aug31 (caramori ed)MARTINEZ R 121 15.00    
8  TOMACON Dec28 Nov29 Nov03 Sep21 Aug15 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   01/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZIGER Dec28 Nov03 Oct05     (schettino d)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 30.00    
2  DAYTONA MOONSHINE Jan10 Nov15 Sep22     (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 10.00 9% 10.10    
3  MONOMOYS PARTNER Jan05 Sep28       (chichakly amir)COA J 120 20.00    
4  I'M SOLO N IN LOVE Jan10 Nov29 Oct11 Sep22 Aug21 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
5  FINES CREEK Jan04 Nov23       (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
6  REVIVALISM Jan05 Dec15 Nov15 Sep21 Aug01 (weaver george)CIVACI SAHIN 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
7  RUNAMOR Jan04 Nov30       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  UNCLE BARRIE Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 Oct18 Oct06 (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 120 20.00    
9  ROMEO VOID Dec28 Nov15 Nov03 Sep22   (green a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 9% 9.60    
10  GUNMAN JAYVO Dec07 Nov23       (bhigr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.