Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - November 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/4/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(1/4/5/6)-(3/7/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/6)-(3/7/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/6)-(3/7/5/8)-(12/4/10/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/8)-(3/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/8)-(3/7/5/8)-(3/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/8)-(12/4/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/8)-(12/4/10/1)-(2/3/1/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (12/4/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/4/10/1)-(12/4/10/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/4/10/1)-(12/4/10/5/1)-(12/4/10/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/4/10/1)-(2/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (12/4/10/1)-(2/3/1/7)-(2/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/7)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/7)-(2/7/1)-(6/3/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(6/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(6/3/5/1)-(8/11/9/4/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/1)-(8/11/9/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (8/11/9/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/11/9/4/10)-(8/11/9/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/11/9/4/10)-(8/11/9/4/10)-(8/11/9/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN IT Nov09 Oct19 Aug22 Jul20 Jun08 (kantarmaci ilka)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50    
1A  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Nov08 Aug21 Jul25 Jun30 May04 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50    
2  BANK FRENZY Sep15 Aug18 May26 Apr14 Sep24 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.00 44% 1.30    
3  SEEKING UNITY Oct18 Aug28 Aug07 Jul21 Jun22 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLASSIC LEGACY Aug07 Jul13 Jun08 May02 Apr12 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
5  CELESTIAL MOON Nov05 Oct19 Oct05 Sep04 Jul26 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50    
 
AQU-2   11/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY'S PRIDE Nov01 Oct19 Aug28 Aug10 Jul13 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 122 1.40 31% 2.30    
1A  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Oct11 Aug22 Jul28 Jun12 May29 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.40    
2  COLD AS HELL Nov01 Oct19 Aug28 Aug10 Jul12 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00    
3  FIERY HEART Nov01 Sep21 Jul08 Jun11 Nov14 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  JEMOGRAPHY Nov02 Mar21 Mar01 Feb16 Jan26 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
5  DREAMPOINT Nov08 Oct10 Jul21 Jun16 Jun08 (sciacca )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 20.00    
6  SUPER CHIEF Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep14 Aug18 (bernardini juan)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
AQU-3   11/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL DENILE Oct04 Aug24 Jul14 Jun22 May10 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00    
1A  LAND D'ORO Sep14 Jun06 Apr21 Mar24 Feb11 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 55% 0.80    
2  KOLOMIO Sep18 Aug23 Aug11 Aug03 Jun29 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
3  PETROLO Oct09 Aug13 Jul09 Jun11 Apr19 (bond k)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
4  LIBERTY CENTRAL Oct25 Sep29 Aug25 Aug16 Mar24 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.20 20% 4.10    
5  HAGRID'S FLAME Oct31 Jul31 Jun15 Apr13 Mar24 (terranova )RIVERA R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROCK THE WEEKEND Oct13 Sep29 Jul26 Jun28 May12 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  A LISTER Nov03 Oct18 Sep21 Aug04 Jul05 (pringl)GRISALES DANILO 121 30.00    
 
AQU-4   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY DRAGON         (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00    
2  JUST CLARITY Oct19 Sep22       (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50    
3  RUN WITH HONOR         (englehart )RIVERA R 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF Nov03 Oct19 Sep22 Sep02   (ferraro)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 8.00    
5  KLIMT MASTER         (jones e)RUIZ ELISEO 119 15.00 7% 12.60    
6  RENEW THE BLUE Oct27 Oct06       (donk d)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
7  KING PHOENIX         (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
8  GUNMAN JAYVO         (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00 7% 12.60    
 
AQU-5   11/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROOFER         (friedm)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MEMORIES OF MOM by INCLUDE)
SCR  DEAD AIM         (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 119 10.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MY CARA MIA by COLONEL JOHN)
2  A MILLION STORIES         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of KELLY'S PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
3  FRAME UP Oct31         (martin jane)LUZZI J 119 50.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of LADYBERG by TEUFLESBERG)
4  SIR KARTRITE Oct26         (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WATER OF LIFE by HENNESSY)
5  RIFF         (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 ★    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LEVETTA by VIOLENCE)
6  JOHN'S IN CHARGE Oct31         (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 119 20.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of SPECTACULAR ME by CATIENUS)
7  CHIEF LIAM         (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LIAM'S LOOKOUT by LIAM'S MAP)
8  LETS FIGHT         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of HOT SPARK by SCAT DADDY)
9  OUTSOURCE         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of TRADE AGREEMENT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
10  SKYTOWN Sep22 Aug21       (terranova john )DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of TROUBLE FOR SKYLAR by INTO MISCHIEF)
11  FINES CREEK         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of INDY UNION by UNION RAGS)
12  VOLATILE SITUATION Oct26         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by VOLATILE out of SUPPLEMENT by SKY MESA)
SCR  CENTAUR CENTRAL Nov04 Oct07 Sep21     (caban )GONZALEZ JR 119 15.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of KEEPNHERINTHEDARK by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
AQU-6   11/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARREBATO Oct31 Oct03 Sep20 Apr20 Apr05 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 123 3.00    
1A  SKI COUNTRY Nov02 Oct03 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
2  WINTER'S GHOST Nov14 Oct19 Oct03 Sep01 Aug15 (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  STYNER Oct28 Oct08 Sep27 Sep03 Jul31 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  MYSTIC NIGHT Nov08 Oct18 Sep13 Aug01 Jun21 (schauer st)RIVERA R 123 4.50    
5  STRONG LIGHT Nov16 Oct13 Oct03 Sep14 Sep07 (samsundar rosha)OTERO AAROM 111 20.00    
6  CO CONSPIRATOR Nov02 Oct13 Sep29 Sep14 Jul19 (jones e)RUIZ ELISEO 121 30.00    
7  MR. SWAGGER Nov02 Oct03 Sep20 Aug09 Jul20 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CUMBERLAND BLUES Nov16 Nov02 Oct13 Sep14 Jul27 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 121 2.50    
 
AQU-7   11/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY New York Stallion Series Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ROCKET Oct27 Oct10 Sep02 Jul20 Feb17 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 10% 9.00    
  (by ALPHA out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
2  SUNDAY GIRL Jul11 Jun09 Apr14 Feb10   (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LADY DAPHNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  KHALI MAGIC Nov03 Oct06 Jun20 May12 Mar15 (ferraro james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
  (by AL KHALI out of SMOKIN SUE by SMOKIN MEL)
SCR  BROWN SUGA BABE Nov07 Oct10 Sep27 Sep02 Aug22 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ITSMYHONOR by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  LISA'S VISION Nov14 Oct19 Aug25 Jul07 Jun09 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  MY SHEA D LADY Oct19 Aug25 Jul17 Jun14 Apr14 (david carlos)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of LADYBERG by TEUFLESBERG)
7  ATHENA BEACH Oct27 Sep26 Aug28 Aug02 Jun15 (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by BANK HEIST out of BEACH by TRICKY CREEK)
 
AQU-8   11/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY New York Stallion Series Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. KRAFT Aug25 Aug01 Jun27 May26 May02 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
2  B D SAINTS Nov08 Oct18 Sep21 Aug25 Aug15 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
3  DOC SULLIVAN Sep21 Aug25 Jul15 Jun09 May05 (miceli micha)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by SOLOMINI out of QUEEN FROSTINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  CICCIOBELLO Sep02 Aug18 Aug01 Jun29 Oct29 (ryan s)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of SPA SUNRISE by EDDINGTON)
5  LIGHT MAN Oct27 Aug31 Aug08 Jul05 May17 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 11% 7.90    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SO N SO by FREUD)
6  ANTONIO OF VENICE Apr14 Mar17 Jan28 Dec16 Sep25 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by LAOBAN out of STELLA PERFORMANCE by TRAPPE SHOT)
7  KAZ SUGAR BANK Nov06 Sep27 Aug30 Jul05 May31 (synnefias d)RAMOS O 120 30.00    
  (by BANK HEIST out of SPUN SUGAR by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  GENERAL BANKER Oct12 Sep21 Aug28 Jul27 Feb17 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 120 3.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ELUSIVE JOZI by JOHANNESBURG)
 
AQU-9   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFASTUATION Nov09 Sep13 Aug25     (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 20.00    
2  EVELYN'S WAR         (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 119 12.00    
3  HEY MAGGIE         (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
4  PUTTIN IN THE WORK Oct28         (barrera osc)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  T D MAGEE Oct06 Sep13       (levine bru)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
6  JUST WORDS Oct06 Sep13       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
7  LIGHTNING MAMA Oct06 Aug30 Jul17     (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
8  RODEO STAR Nov03 Oct17       (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
9  NOTMYSTEPPINGSTONE Nov09         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  AH CA IRA         (abreu r)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  WAVE         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 19% 4.40    
12  RUN DON'T WALK Nov03 Sep28       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
SCR  INSTANT VISION         (persaud )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.